Alexander Volkanovski vs Islam Makhachev

Alexander Volkanovski

Pro 28-4-0  |  UFC 15-3-0
VS

Islam Makhachev

Pro 29-1-0  |  UFC 18-1-0
Age
38|34
Height
5'6"|5'10"
Reach
71"|70"
Stance
Orthodox|Southpaw

Career Statistics

Statistic Alexander Volkanovski Islam Makhachev Edge
Striking
Sig. Strike Accuracy57.1%58.0%—
Sig. Strikes Landed/min6.02.3◄
Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min3.31.4►
Strike Differential2.7/min0.9/min◄
Grappling
Takedown Accuracy34.0%54.5%►
Takedown Defense68.9%91.3%►
Takedowns Landed/15min1.63.2►
Submission Attempts/15min0.20.9►
Control Time/15min2:577:39►
Finishing Ability
KO/TKO % of Wins33.3%16.7%—
Submission % of Wins0.0%44.4%—
Decision % of Wins66.7%38.9%—
Avg Fight Time16:4911:45—
Secondary Stats
Knockdowns/15min0.30.3—
Reversals/15min0.10.2—
Edges261 even

Fight Dynamics

Career Striking Volume
Alexander Volkanovski   Islam Makhachev   League median
StatisticAlexander VolkanovskiIslam MakhachevEdge
Fight Shape
Fight Completion Rate79.7%59.5%—
Avg Fight Time16:4911:45—
% Fights Inside the Distance38.9%63.2%—
Strength of UFC Schedule
Opponent UFC Win % (all)79.6%74.4%◀
Opponent UFC Record (all)156-40 (79.6%)174-60 (74.4%)—
Opponent Record (among wins)125-38 (76.7%)171-59 (74.3%)—
Positional Profile
% Time at Distance (approx.)75.1%41.8%—
% Time in Control19.7%51.0%▶
% Time Controlled5.2%7.1%—
Control Rate of Clinch/Ground Time79.2%87.8%—
Distance Striking
Distance Sig. Landed / Min6.103.14◀
Distance Sig. Absorbed / Min3.882.44▶
Distance Striking Differential / Min+2.22+0.70◀
Distance Strike Accuracy54.0%48.6%◀
Distance Strike Defense61.2%67.8%▶
Power & Pressure
KDs per 100 Power Strikes0.551.43▶
Knocked Down per 100 Absorbed0.490.83◀
TD Attempts per 5 Distance Min2.134.71—
TDs Faced per 5 Distance Min0.991.23—
Fade Index (R3 / R1 pace)1.431.11—
UFC fights only. Metrics with insufficient data show "—" and award no edge. Methodology →

Last 5 Fights (Averages)

Statistic Alexander Volkanovski Islam Makhachev Edge
Sig. Strike Accuracy59.3%55.7%—
Sig. Strikes Landed/min4.92.1◄
Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min3.11.7►
Takedown Accuracy33.3%44.7%—
Takedown Defense66.7%100.0%►
Control Time/Fight2:258:45►
Edges132 even

Last 3 Fights

Alexander Volkanovski

WIN
vs. Diego Lopes
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 • Jan 2026FeatherweightTITLE
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 5, 5:00
Alexander Volkanovski98/16061%TD 2/7Ctrl 2:49
Diego Lopes70/15844%TD 2/5Ctrl 1:50
▼ Rounds
WIN
vs. Diego Lopes
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes • Apr 2025FeatherweightTITLE
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 5, 5:00
Alexander Volkanovski158/25961%TD 1/11Ctrl 1:18
Diego Lopes63/19432%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:05KD 1
▼ Rounds
LOSS
vs. Ilia Topuria
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria • Feb 2024FeatherweightTITLE
KO/TKO (Punch) • Rd 2, 3:32
Alexander Volkanovski47/10744%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
Ilia Topuria35/7745%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:03KD 1
▼ Rounds

Islam Makhachev

WIN
vs. Ian Machado Garry
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry • Aug 2026WelterweightTITLE
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 5, 5:00
Islam Makhachev22/4450%TD 7/15Ctrl 12:30KD 1
Ian Machado Garry29/6545%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:34
▼ Rounds
WIN
vs. Jack Della Maddalena
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev • Nov 2025WelterweightTITLE
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 5, 5:00
Islam Makhachev30/5753%TD 4/4Ctrl 19:10
Jack Della Maddalena18/6130%TD 0/1Ctrl 0:00
▼ Rounds
WIN
vs. Renato Moicano
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano • Jan 2025LightweightTITLE
Submission (D'Arce Choke) • Rd 1, 4:05
Islam Makhachev6/1932%TD 1/2Ctrl 1:27
Renato Moicano9/2733%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
▼ Rounds

Common Opponents

No Common Opponents

Analysis Summary

Striking Volume: Alexander Volkanovski is the busier striker, landing 6.0 significant strikes per minute vs 2.3. Their opponent absorbs 1.4 strikes per minute on average — Alexander Volkanovski's output should find a target.

Grappling: Alexander Volkanovski shoots at 34% accuracy but Islam Makhachev stops 91% of attempts — the takedown path looks difficult. Islam Makhachev shoots at 55% accuracy against Alexander Volkanovski's 69% defense — Alexander Volkanovski should keep it standing.

Control: Islam Makhachev controls 5:59 per fight on average vs 3:19 — sustained control shifts rounds and drains cardio.

Finish Threat: Islam Makhachev finishes 61% of wins (17% KO/TKO, 44% sub).

Fight Length: Alexander Volkanovski's fights average 16:49 vs 11:45 for Islam Makhachev. If this reaches the championship rounds, Alexander Volkanovski's conditioning history becomes a factor.

Data through UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan (Oct 10, 2026)
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