Alexander Volkanovski vs Islam Makhachev
Career Statistics
| Statistic | Alexander Volkanovski | Islam Makhachev | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Striking | |||
| Sig. Strike Accuracy | 57.1% | 58.0% | — |
| Sig. Strikes Landed/min | 6.0 | 2.3 | ◄ |
| Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min | 3.3 | 1.4 | ► |
| Strike Differential | 2.7/min | 0.9/min | ◄ |
| Grappling | |||
| Takedown Accuracy | 34.0% | 54.5% | ► |
| Takedown Defense | 68.9% | 91.3% | ► |
| Takedowns Landed/15min | 1.6 | 3.2 | ► |
| Submission Attempts/15min | 0.2 | 0.9 | ► |
| Control Time/15min | 2:57 | 7:39 | ► |
| Finishing Ability | |||
| KO/TKO % of Wins | 33.3% | 16.7% | — |
| Submission % of Wins | 0.0% | 44.4% | — |
| Decision % of Wins | 66.7% | 38.9% | — |
| Avg Fight Time | 16:49 | 11:45 | — |
| Secondary Stats | |||
| Knockdowns/15min | 0.3 | 0.3 | — |
| Reversals/15min | 0.1 | 0.2 | — |
| Edges | 2 | 6 | 1 even |
Fight Dynamics
| Statistic | Alexander Volkanovski | Islam Makhachev | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fight Shape | |||
| Fight Completion Rate | 79.7% | 59.5% | — |
| Avg Fight Time | 16:49 | 11:45 | — |
| % Fights Inside the Distance | 38.9% | 63.2% | — |
| Strength of UFC Schedule | |||
| Opponent UFC Win % (all) | 79.6% | 74.4% | ◀ |
| Opponent UFC Record (all) | 156-40 (79.6%) | 174-60 (74.4%) | — |
| Opponent Record (among wins) | 125-38 (76.7%) | 171-59 (74.3%) | — |
| Positional Profile | |||
| % Time at Distance (approx.) | 75.1% | 41.8% | — |
| % Time in Control | 19.7% | 51.0% | ▶ |
| % Time Controlled | 5.2% | 7.1% | — |
| Control Rate of Clinch/Ground Time | 79.2% | 87.8% | — |
| Distance Striking | |||
| Distance Sig. Landed / Min | 6.10 | 3.14 | ◀ |
| Distance Sig. Absorbed / Min | 3.88 | 2.44 | ▶ |
| Distance Striking Differential / Min | +2.22 | +0.70 | ◀ |
| Distance Strike Accuracy | 54.0% | 48.6% | ◀ |
| Distance Strike Defense | 61.2% | 67.8% | ▶ |
| Power & Pressure | |||
| KDs per 100 Power Strikes | 0.55 | 1.43 | ▶ |
| Knocked Down per 100 Absorbed | 0.49 | 0.83 | ◀ |
| TD Attempts per 5 Distance Min | 2.13 | 4.71 | — |
| TDs Faced per 5 Distance Min | 0.99 | 1.23 | — |
| Fade Index (R3 / R1 pace) | 1.43 | 1.11 | — |
Last 5 Fights (Averages)
| Statistic | Alexander Volkanovski | Islam Makhachev | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sig. Strike Accuracy | 59.3% | 55.7% | — |
| Sig. Strikes Landed/min | 4.9 | 2.1 | ◄ |
| Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min | 3.1 | 1.7 | ► |
| Takedown Accuracy | 33.3% | 44.7% | — |
| Takedown Defense | 66.7% | 100.0% | ► |
| Control Time/Fight | 2:25 | 8:45 | ► |
| Edges | 1 | 3 | 2 even |
Last 3 Fights
Alexander Volkanovski
Islam Makhachev
Common Opponents
No Common Opponents
Analysis Summary
Striking Volume: Alexander Volkanovski is the busier striker, landing 6.0 significant strikes per minute vs 2.3. Their opponent absorbs 1.4 strikes per minute on average — Alexander Volkanovski's output should find a target.
Grappling: Alexander Volkanovski shoots at 34% accuracy but Islam Makhachev stops 91% of attempts — the takedown path looks difficult. Islam Makhachev shoots at 55% accuracy against Alexander Volkanovski's 69% defense — Alexander Volkanovski should keep it standing.
Control: Islam Makhachev controls 5:59 per fight on average vs 3:19 — sustained control shifts rounds and drains cardio.
Finish Threat: Islam Makhachev finishes 61% of wins (17% KO/TKO, 44% sub).
Fight Length: Alexander Volkanovski's fights average 16:49 vs 11:45 for Islam Makhachev. If this reaches the championship rounds, Alexander Volkanovski's conditioning history becomes a factor.