Alexander Volkanovski vs Islam Makhachev Fight Analysis

Statistic	Alexander Volkanovski	Islam Makhachev	Edge
Striking
Sig. Strike Accuracy	57.3%	58.4%	—
Sig. Strikes Landed/min	5.8	2.4	◄
Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min	3.3	1.4	►
Strike Differential	2.6/min	1.0/min	◄
Grappling
Takedown Accuracy	33.7%	56.2%	►
Takedown Defense	68.0%	91.3%	►
Takedowns Landed/15min	1.6	3.1	►
Submission Attempts/15min	0.2	1.0	►
Control Time/15min	2:50	7:40	►
Finishing Ability
KO/TKO % of Wins	31.2%	17.6%	—
Submission % of Wins	0.0%	47.1%	—
Decision % of Wins	68.8%	35.3%	—
Avg Fight Time	17:15	11:00	—
Secondary Stats
Knockdowns/15min	0.0	0.0	—
Reversals/15min	0.1	0.2	—
Edges	2	6	1 even

Statistic	Alexander Volkanovski	Islam Makhachev	Edge
Sig. Strike Accuracy	58.5%	57.6%	—
Sig. Strikes Landed/min	4.7	2.6	◄
Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min	3.0	2.2	►
Takedown Accuracy	20.0%	43.8%	►
Takedown Defense	63.6%	100.0%	►
Control Time/Fight	1:33	7:47	►
Edges	1	4	1 even

Alexander Volkanovski

WIN

vs. Diego Lopes

UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 • Jan 2026

Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 5, 5:00

Alexander Volkanovski98/16061%TD 2/7Ctrl 2:49

Diego Lopes70/15844%TD 2/5Ctrl 1:50

▼ Rounds

Rnd	Fighter	Sig Str	Acc	TD	Ctrl	KD
R1	Alexander Volkanovski	12/27	44%	0/2	0:27	—
	Diego Lopes	12/28	43%	0/0	0:00	—

R2	Alexander Volkanovski	19/30	63%	0/0	0:00	—
	Diego Lopes	16/34	47%	1/1	0:39	—

R3	Alexander Volkanovski	21/35	60%	0/2	0:00	—
	Diego Lopes	17/38	45%	0/0	0:00	—

R4	Alexander Volkanovski	25/44	57%	0/0	0:00	—
	Diego Lopes	22/48	46%	0/0	0:00	—

R5	Alexander Volkanovski	21/24	88%	2/3	2:22	—
	Diego Lopes	3/10	30%	1/4	1:11	—

WIN

vs. Diego Lopes

UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes • Apr 2025

Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 5, 5:00

Alexander Volkanovski158/25961%TD 1/11Ctrl 1:18

Diego Lopes63/19432%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:05

▼ Rounds

Rnd	Fighter	Sig Str	Acc	TD	Ctrl	KD
R1	Alexander Volkanovski	27/44	61%	1/3	0:58	—
	Diego Lopes	8/22	36%	0/0	0:03	—

R2	Alexander Volkanovski	24/52	46%	0/2	0:20	—
	Diego Lopes	16/33	48%	0/0	0:02	1

R3	Alexander Volkanovski	25/45	56%	0/1	0:00	—
	Diego Lopes	9/37	24%	0/0	0:00	—

R4	Alexander Volkanovski	39/57	68%	0/3	0:00	—
	Diego Lopes	16/43	37%	0/0	0:00	—

R5	Alexander Volkanovski	43/61	70%	0/2	0:00	—
	Diego Lopes	14/59	24%	0/0	0:00	—

WIN

vs. Diego Lopes

UFC 314 • Feb 2025

Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 5, 5:00

Alexander Volkanovski98/16061%TD 2/7Ctrl 2:49

Diego Lopes70/15844%TD 2/5Ctrl 1:50KD 1

▼ Rounds

Rnd	Fighter	Sig Str	Acc	TD	Ctrl	KD
R1	Alexander Volkanovski	12/27	44%	0/2	0:27	—
	Diego Lopes	12/28	43%	0/0	0:00	—

R2	Alexander Volkanovski	19/30	63%	0/0	0:00	—
	Diego Lopes	16/34	47%	1/1	0:39	—

R3	Alexander Volkanovski	21/35	60%	0/2	0:00	—
	Diego Lopes	17/38	45%	0/0	0:00	—

R4	Alexander Volkanovski	25/44	57%	0/0	0:00	—
	Diego Lopes	22/48	46%	0/0	0:00	—

R5	Alexander Volkanovski	21/24	88%	2/3	2:22	—
	Diego Lopes	3/10	30%	1/4	1:11	—

Islam Makhachev

WIN

vs. Jack Della Maddalena

UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev • Nov 2025

Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 5, 5:00

Islam Makhachev30/5753%TD 4/4Ctrl 19:10

Jack Della Maddalena18/6130%TD 0/1Ctrl 0:00

▼ Rounds

Rnd	Fighter	Sig Str	Acc	TD	Ctrl	KD
R1	Islam Makhachev	3/8	38%	1/1	3:52	—
	Jack Della Maddalena	4/18	22%	0/0	0:00	—

R2	Islam Makhachev	9/17	53%	0/0	4:05	—
	Jack Della Maddalena	3/6	50%	0/1	0:00	—

R3	Islam Makhachev	11/18	61%	1/1	3:06	—
	Jack Della Maddalena	9/20	45%	0/0	0:00	—

R4	Islam Makhachev	7/12	58%	1/1	3:24	—
	Jack Della Maddalena	1/11	9%	0/0	0:00	—

R5	Islam Makhachev	0/2	0%	1/1	4:43	—
	Jack Della Maddalena	1/6	17%	0/0	0:00	—

WIN

vs. Renato Moicano

UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano • Jan 2025

Submission (D'Arce Choke) • Rd 1, 4:05

Islam Makhachev6/1932%TD 1/2Ctrl 1:27

Renato Moicano9/2733%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00

▼ Rounds

Rnd	Fighter	Sig Str	Acc	TD	Ctrl	KD
R1	Islam Makhachev	6/19	32%	1/2	1:27	—
	Renato Moicano	9/27	33%	0/0	0:00	—

WIN

vs. Dustin Poirier

UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier • Jun 2024

Submission (D'Arce Choke) • Rd 5, 2:42

Islam Makhachev88/15656%TD 5/16Ctrl 10:23

Dustin Poirier74/18340%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:30

▼ Rounds

Rnd	Fighter	Sig Str	Acc	TD	Ctrl	KD
R1	Islam Makhachev	6/9	67%	1/1	4:23	—
	Dustin Poirier	1/5	20%	0/0	0:00	—

R2	Islam Makhachev	26/46	57%	1/4	0:49	—
	Dustin Poirier	24/58	41%	0/0	0:15	—

R3	Islam Makhachev	18/24	75%	1/1	2:10	—
	Dustin Poirier	15/36	42%	0/0	0:05	—

R4	Islam Makhachev	20/44	45%	1/6	2:28	—
	Dustin Poirier	23/61	38%	0/0	0:10	—

R5	Islam Makhachev	18/33	55%	1/4	0:33	—
	Dustin Poirier	11/23	48%	0/0	0:00	—

Striking Volume: Alexander Volkanovski is the busier striker, landing 5.8 significant strikes per minute vs 2.4. Their opponent absorbs 1.4 strikes per minute on average — Alexander Volkanovski's output should find a target.

Grappling: Alexander Volkanovski shoots at 34% accuracy but Islam Makhachev stops 91% of attempts — the takedown path looks difficult. Islam Makhachev shoots at 56% accuracy against Alexander Volkanovski's 68% defense — Alexander Volkanovski should keep it standing.

Control: Islam Makhachev controls 5:38 per fight on average vs 3:16 — sustained control shifts rounds and drains cardio.

Finish Threat: Islam Makhachev finishes 65% of wins (18% KO/TKO, 47% sub).

Fight Length: Alexander Volkanovski's fights average 17:15 vs 11:00 for Islam Makhachev. If this reaches the championship rounds, Alexander Volkanovski's conditioning history becomes a factor.

Alexander Volkanovski vs Islam Makhachev