Alexander Volkanovski vs Yair Rodriguez

Alexander Volkanovski

Pro 28-4-0  |  UFC 15-3-0
VS

Yair Rodriguez

Pro 21-6-0 (1 NC)  |  UFC 11-4-0
Age
37|33
Height
5'6"|5'11"
Reach
71"|71"
Stance
Orthodox|Orthodox

Career Statistics

Statistic Alexander Volkanovski Yair Rodriguez Edge
Striking
Sig. Strike Accuracy57.1%46.9%
Sig. Strikes Landed/min6.04.6
Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min3.33.8
Strike Differential2.7/min0.9/min
Grappling
Takedown Accuracy34.0%29.4%
Takedown Defense68.9%59.4%
Takedowns Landed/15min1.60.7
Submission Attempts/15min0.20.6
Control Time/15min2:571:16
Finishing Ability
KO/TKO % of Wins33.3%36.4%
Submission % of Wins0.0%9.1%
Decision % of Wins66.7%54.5%
Avg Fight Time16:4913:13
Secondary Stats
Knockdowns/15min0.30.4
Reversals/15min0.10.2
Edges405 even

Fight Dynamics

Career Striking Volume
Alexander Volkanovski   Yair Rodriguez   League median
StatisticAlexander VolkanovskiYair RodriguezEdge
Fight Shape
Fight Completion Rate79.7%64.1%
Avg Fight Time16:4913:13
% Fights Inside the Distance38.9%50.0%
Strength of UFC Schedule
Opponent UFC Win % (all)79.6%64.8%
Opponent UFC Record (all)156-40 (79.6%)127-69 (64.8%)
Opponent Record (among wins)125-38 (76.7%)60-39 (60.6%)
Positional Profile
% Time at Distance (approx.)75.1%63.2%
% Time in Control19.7%8.4%
% Time Controlled5.2%28.3%
Control Rate of Clinch/Ground Time79.2%23.0%
Distance Striking
Distance Sig. Landed / Min6.105.75
Distance Sig. Absorbed / Min3.883.98
Distance Striking Differential / Min+2.22+1.77
Distance Strike Accuracy54.0%43.7%
Distance Strike Defense61.2%59.8%
Power & Pressure
KDs per 100 Power Strikes0.550.85
Knocked Down per 100 Absorbed0.490.00
TD Attempts per 5 Distance Min2.131.27
TDs Faced per 5 Distance Min0.992.58
Fade Index (R3 / R1 pace)1.430.98
UFC fights only. Metrics with insufficient data show "—" and award no edge. Methodology →

Last 5 Fights (Averages)

Statistic Alexander Volkanovski Yair Rodriguez Edge
Sig. Strike Accuracy59.3%53.2%
Sig. Strikes Landed/min4.94.6
Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min3.12.9
Takedown Accuracy33.3%50.0%
Takedown Defense66.7%58.1%
Control Time/Fight2:250:39
Edges114 even

Last 3 Fights

Alexander Volkanovski

WIN
vs. Diego Lopes
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 • Jan 2026FeatherweightTITLE
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 5, 5:00
Alexander Volkanovski98/16061%TD 2/7Ctrl 2:49
Diego Lopes70/15844%TD 2/5Ctrl 1:50
▼ Rounds
WIN
vs. Diego Lopes
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes • Apr 2025FeatherweightTITLE
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 5, 5:00
Alexander Volkanovski158/25961%TD 1/11Ctrl 1:18
Diego Lopes63/19432%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:05KD 1
▼ Rounds
LOSS
vs. Ilia Topuria
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria • Feb 2024FeatherweightTITLE
KO/TKO (Punch) • Rd 2, 3:32
Alexander Volkanovski47/10744%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
Ilia Topuria35/7745%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:03KD 1
▼ Rounds

Yair Rodriguez

WIN
vs. Patricio Freire
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes • Apr 2025Featherweight
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00
Yair Rodriguez70/12257%TD 1/1Ctrl 1:43KD 1
Patricio Freire17/5034%TD 1/4Ctrl 1:03
▼ Rounds
LOSS
vs. Brian Ortega
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 • Feb 2024Featherweight
Submission (Arm Triangle) • Rd 3, 0:58
Yair Rodriguez55/11548%TD 0/1Ctrl 1:32KD 1
Brian Ortega28/7338%TD 3/6Ctrl 5:21
▼ Rounds
LOSS
vs. Alexander Volkanovski
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez • Jul 2023FeatherweightTITLE
KO/TKO (Punches) • Rd 3, 4:19
Yair Rodriguez40/8050%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
Alexander Volkanovski66/9768%TD 7/12Ctrl 7:13
▼ Rounds

Common Opponents

vs. Brian Ortega
Alexander Volkanovski
WIN
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega • Sep 2021FeatherweightTITLE
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 5, 5:00
Alexander Volkanovski214/35361%TD 0/0Ctrl 3:51
Brian Ortega88/23438%TD 2/5Ctrl 0:54
▼ Rounds
Yair Rodriguez
LOSS
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 • Feb 2024Featherweight
Submission (Arm Triangle) • Rd 3, 0:58
Yair Rodriguez55/11548%TD 0/1Ctrl 1:32KD 1
Brian Ortega28/7338%TD 3/6Ctrl 5:21
▼ Rounds
vs. Max Holloway
Alexander Volkanovski
WIN
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier • Jul 2022FeatherweightTITLE
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 5, 5:00
Alexander Volkanovski199/37253%TD 0/0Ctrl 1:57
Max Holloway127/30142%TD 0/3Ctrl 0:16
▼ Rounds
Yair Rodriguez
LOSS
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Rodriguez • Nov 2021Featherweight
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 5, 5:00
Yair Rodriguez159/35245%TD 1/5Ctrl 1:20
Max Holloway230/40457%TD 3/5Ctrl 6:49
▼ Rounds
vs. Chan Sung Jung
Alexander Volkanovski
WIN
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie • Apr 2022FeatherweightTITLE
KO/TKO (Punches) • Rd 4, 0:45
Alexander Volkanovski138/21365%TD 4/8Ctrl 2:52KD 1
Chan Sung Jung48/12538%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
▼ Rounds
Yair Rodriguez
WIN
KO/TKO (Elbow) • Rd 5, 4:59
Yair Rodriguez119/27144%TD 0/4Ctrl 0:19KD 1
Chan Sung Jung126/30841%TD 0/5Ctrl 0:58
▼ Rounds

Analysis Summary

Striking Volume: Alexander Volkanovski is the busier striker, landing 6.0 significant strikes per minute vs 4.6. Their opponent absorbs 3.8 strikes per minute on average — Alexander Volkanovski's output should find a target.

Striking Accuracy: Alexander Volkanovski connects on 57.1% of significant strikes compared to 46.9%. The 10pp accuracy gap compounds over the rounds.

Grappling: Alexander Volkanovski shoots at 34% accuracy but Yair Rodriguez stops 59% of attempts — the takedown path looks difficult. Yair Rodriguez shoots at 29% accuracy against Alexander Volkanovski's 69% defense — Alexander Volkanovski should keep it standing.

Control: Alexander Volkanovski controls 3:19 per fight on average vs 1:07 — sustained control shifts rounds and drains cardio.

Finish Threat: Both fighters trend toward decisions — Alexander Volkanovski (67% of wins) and Yair Rodriguez (55%).

Fight Length: Alexander Volkanovski's fights average 16:49 vs 13:13 for Yair Rodriguez. If this reaches the championship rounds, Alexander Volkanovski's conditioning history becomes a factor.

Last updated: 2026-08-22 | Data source: UFCStats.com