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Alexander Volkanovski vs Yair Rodriguez

Alexander Volkanovski

Pro 28-4-0  |  UFC 16-3-0
Featherweight
VS

Yair Rodriguez

Pro 21-6-0 (1 NC)  |  UFC 11-4-0
Age
37|33
Height
5'6"|5'11"
Reach
71"|71"
Stance
Orthodox|Orthodox

Career Statistics

Statistic Alexander Volkanovski Yair Rodriguez Edge
Striking
Sig. Strike Accuracy57.3%46.9%
Sig. Strikes Landed/min5.84.6
Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min3.33.8
Strike Differential2.6/min0.9/min
Grappling
Takedown Accuracy33.7%29.4%
Takedown Defense68.0%59.4%
Takedowns Landed/15min1.60.7
Submission Attempts/15min0.20.6
Control Time/15min2:501:16
Finishing Ability
KO/TKO % of Wins31.2%36.4%
Submission % of Wins0.0%9.1%
Decision % of Wins68.8%54.5%
Avg Fight Time17:1513:13
Secondary Stats
Knockdowns/15min0.00.0
Reversals/15min0.10.2
Edges405 even

Last 5 Fights (Averages)

Statistic Alexander Volkanovski Yair Rodriguez Edge
Sig. Strike Accuracy58.5%53.2%
Sig. Strikes Landed/min4.74.6
Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min3.02.9
Takedown Accuracy20.0%50.0%
Takedown Defense63.6%58.1%
Control Time/Fight1:330:39
Edges015 even

Last 3 Fights

Alexander Volkanovski

WIN
vs. Diego Lopes
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 5, 5:00
Alexander Volkanovski98/16061%TD 2/7Ctrl 2:49
Diego Lopes70/15844%TD 2/5Ctrl 1:50
▼ Rounds
WIN
vs. Diego Lopes
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 5, 5:00
Alexander Volkanovski158/25961%TD 1/11Ctrl 1:18
Diego Lopes63/19432%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:05
▼ Rounds
WIN
vs. Diego Lopes
UFC 314 • Feb 2025
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 5, 5:00
Alexander Volkanovski98/16061%TD 2/7Ctrl 2:49
Diego Lopes70/15844%TD 2/5Ctrl 1:50KD 1
▼ Rounds

Yair Rodriguez

WIN
vs. Patricio Freire
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00
Yair Rodriguez70/12257%TD 1/1Ctrl 1:43
Patricio Freire17/5034%TD 1/4Ctrl 1:03
▼ Rounds
LOSS
vs. Brian Ortega
Submission (Arm Triangle) • Rd 3, 0:58
Yair Rodriguez55/11548%TD 0/1Ctrl 1:32
Brian Ortega28/7338%TD 3/6Ctrl 5:21
▼ Rounds
LOSS
vs. Alexander Volkanovski
UFC 290 • Jul 2023
KO/TKO (Punches) • Rd 3, 4:19
Yair Rodriguez40/8050%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
Alexander Volkanovski66/9768%TD 7/12Ctrl 7:13
▼ Rounds

Common Opponents

vs. Brian Ortega
Alexander Volkanovski
WIN
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 5, 5:00
Alexander Volkanovski214/35361%TD 0/0Ctrl 3:51
Brian Ortega88/23438%TD 2/5Ctrl 0:54
▼ Rounds
Yair Rodriguez
LOSS
Submission (Arm Triangle) • Rd 3, 0:58
Yair Rodriguez55/11548%TD 0/1Ctrl 1:32
Brian Ortega28/7338%TD 3/6Ctrl 5:21
▼ Rounds
vs. Max Holloway
Alexander Volkanovski
WIN
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 5, 5:00
Alexander Volkanovski199/37253%TD 0/0Ctrl 1:57
Max Holloway127/30142%TD 0/3Ctrl 0:16
▼ Rounds
Yair Rodriguez
LOSS
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 5, 5:00
Yair Rodriguez159/35245%TD 1/5Ctrl 1:20
Max Holloway230/40457%TD 3/5Ctrl 6:49
▼ Rounds
vs. Chan Sung Jung
Alexander Volkanovski
WIN
KO/TKO (Punches) • Rd 4, 0:45
Alexander Volkanovski138/21365%TD 4/8Ctrl 2:52
Chan Sung Jung48/12538%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
▼ Rounds
Yair Rodriguez
WIN
KO/TKO (Elbow) • Rd 5, 4:59
Yair Rodriguez119/27144%TD 0/4Ctrl 0:19
Chan Sung Jung126/30841%TD 0/5Ctrl 0:58
▼ Rounds

Analysis Summary

Striking Volume: Alexander Volkanovski is the busier striker, landing 5.8 significant strikes per minute vs 4.6. Their opponent absorbs 3.8 strikes per minute on average — Alexander Volkanovski's output should find a target.

Striking Accuracy: Alexander Volkanovski connects on 57.3% of significant strikes compared to 46.9%. The 10pp accuracy gap compounds over the rounds.

Grappling: Alexander Volkanovski shoots at 34% accuracy but Yair Rodriguez stops 59% of attempts — the takedown path looks difficult. Yair Rodriguez shoots at 29% accuracy against Alexander Volkanovski's 68% defense — Alexander Volkanovski should keep it standing.

Control: Alexander Volkanovski controls 3:16 per fight on average vs 1:07 — sustained control shifts rounds and drains cardio.

Finish Threat: Both fighters trend toward decisions — Alexander Volkanovski (69% of wins) and Yair Rodriguez (55%).

Fight Length: Alexander Volkanovski's fights average 17:15 vs 13:13 for Yair Rodriguez. If this reaches the championship rounds, Alexander Volkanovski's conditioning history becomes a factor.

Report generated: 2026-04-20 09:03:19 | Data source: UFCStats.com