Allan Nascimento vs Mitch Raposo

Allan Nascimento

Pro 22-7-0  |  UFC 4-2-0
VS

Mitch Raposo

Pro 11-3-0  |  UFC 2-2-0
Age
34|27
Height
5'8"|5'5"
Reach
69"|64"
Stance
Orthodox|Switch

Career Statistics

Statistic Allan Nascimento Mitch Raposo Edge
Striking
Sig. Strike Accuracy45.1%42.4%
Sig. Strikes Landed/min2.41.8
Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min1.92.9
Strike Differential0.5/min-1.1/min
Grappling
Takedown Accuracy25.0%31.8%
Takedown Defense43.8%70.8%
Takedowns Landed/15min1.01.8
Submission Attempts/15min1.00.0
Control Time/15min5:001:30
Finishing Ability
KO/TKO % of Wins0.0%0.0%
Submission % of Wins50.0%0.0%
Decision % of Wins50.0%100.0%
Avg Fight Time11:5415:00
Secondary Stats
Knockdowns/15min0.20.0
Reversals/15min1.00.0
Edges414 even

Fight Dynamics

Career Striking Volume
Allan Nascimento   Mitch Raposo   League median
StatisticAllan NascimentoMitch RaposoEdge
Fight Shape
Fight Completion Rate79.4%100.0%
Avg Fight Time11:5415:00
% Fights Inside the Distance33.3%0.0%
Strength of UFC Schedule
Opponent UFC Win % (all)55.0%56.2%
Opponent UFC Record (all)11-9 (55.0%)9-7 (56.2%)
Opponent Record (among wins)9-7 (56.2%)5-3 (62.5%)
Positional Profile
% Time at Distance (approx.)34.3%73.3%
% Time in Control33.4%10.1%
% Time Controlled32.3%16.6%
Control Rate of Clinch/Ground Time50.8%37.8%
Distance Striking
Distance Sig. Landed / Min5.342.43
Distance Sig. Absorbed / Min4.653.32
Distance Striking Differential / Min+0.69-0.89
Distance Strike Accuracy41.1%42.1%
Distance Strike Defense60.6%64.4%
Power & Pressure
KDs per 100 Power Strikes1.120.00
Knocked Down per 100 Absorbed0.000.94
TD Attempts per 5 Distance Min4.082.50
TDs Faced per 5 Distance Min3.262.73
Fade Index (R3 / R1 pace)0.771.03
UFC fights only. Metrics with insufficient data show "—" and award no edge. Methodology →

Last 5 Fights (Averages)

Statistic Allan Nascimento Mitch Raposo Edge
Sig. Strike Accuracy42.7%42.4%
Sig. Strikes Landed/min2.61.8
Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min2.12.9
Takedown Accuracy26.3%31.8%
Takedown Defense54.5%70.8%
Control Time/Fight4:431:30
Edges114 even

Last 3 Fights

Allan Nascimento

LOSS
vs. Mitch Raposo
Decision (Split) • Rd 3, 5:00
Allan Nascimento58/14241%TD 0/4Ctrl 4:21KD 1
Mitch Raposo38/8943%TD 0/1Ctrl 0:47
▼ Rounds
WIN
vs. Cody Durden
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama • Nov 2025Catch Weight
Submission (Anaconda Choke) • Rd 2, 3:13
Allan Nascimento52/11545%TD 0/1Ctrl 0:21
Cody Durden57/12845%TD 1/3Ctrl 0:05
▼ Rounds
WIN
vs. Jafel Filho
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00
Allan Nascimento12/2450%TD 1/6Ctrl 7:03
Jafel Filho14/3047%TD 4/7Ctrl 6:20
▼ Rounds

Mitch Raposo

WIN
vs. Allan Nascimento
Decision (Split) • Rd 3, 5:00
Mitch Raposo38/8943%TD 0/1Ctrl 0:47
Allan Nascimento58/14241%TD 0/4Ctrl 4:21KD 1
▼ Rounds
WIN
vs. Azat Maksum
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane • Oct 2025Flyweight
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00
Mitch Raposo30/6645%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:49
Azat Maksum19/8822%TD 7/19Ctrl 5:27
▼ Rounds
LOSS
vs. Sumudaerji
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes • Apr 2025Flyweight
Decision (Split) • Rd 3, 5:00
Mitch Raposo9/2635%TD 6/19Ctrl 4:18
Sumudaerji45/11439%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
▼ Rounds

Common Opponents

vs. Jake Hadley
Allan Nascimento
WIN
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00
Allan Nascimento19/5237%TD 2/4Ctrl 9:27
Jake Hadley8/2928%TD 0/0Ctrl 3:50
▼ Rounds
Mitch Raposo
LOSS
DWCS 5.7 • Oct 2021
Submission (Rear Naked Choke) • Rd 2, 3:11
Mitch Raposo21/8226%TD 2/3Ctrl 1:33
Jake Hadley26/6043%TD 1/1Ctrl 1:26
▼ Rounds

Analysis Summary

Striking Volume: Both fighters operate at a similar pace (2.4 vs 1.8 sig str/min). Accuracy and timing will decide the striking battle.

Grappling: Allan Nascimento shoots at 25% accuracy but Mitch Raposo stops 71% of attempts — the takedown path looks difficult. Mitch Raposo shoots at 32% accuracy against Allan Nascimento's 44% defense — Allan Nascimento should keep it standing.

Control: Allan Nascimento controls 3:58 per fight on average vs 1:30 — sustained control shifts rounds and drains cardio.

Finish Threat: Allan Nascimento finishes 50% of wins (0% KO/TKO, 50% sub).

Fight Length: Mitch Raposo's fights average 15:00 vs 11:54 for Allan Nascimento. If this reaches the championship rounds, Mitch Raposo's conditioning history becomes a factor.

Last updated: 2026-08-13 | Data source: UFCStats.com