Allan Nascimento vs Mitch Raposo

Mitch Raposo

Pro 11-3-0 | UFC 2-2-0

Age

35|27

Height

5'8"|5'5"

Reach

69"|64"

Stance

Orthodox|Switch

Career Statistics

Statistic	Allan Nascimento	Mitch Raposo	Edge
Striking
Sig. Strike Accuracy	45.1%	42.4%	—
Sig. Strikes Landed/min	2.4	1.8	—
Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min	1.9	2.9	◄
Strike Differential	0.5/min	-1.1/min	◄
Grappling
Takedown Accuracy	25.0%	31.8%	—
Takedown Defense	43.8%	70.8%	►
Takedowns Landed/15min	1.0	1.8	—
Submission Attempts/15min	1.0	0.0	◄
Control Time/15min	5:00	1:30	◄
Finishing Ability
KO/TKO % of Wins	0.0%	0.0%	—
Submission % of Wins	50.0%	0.0%	—
Decision % of Wins	50.0%	100.0%	—
Avg Fight Time	11:54	15:00	—
Secondary Stats
Knockdowns/15min	0.2	0.0	—
Reversals/15min	1.0	0.0	—
Edges	4	1	4 even

Fight Dynamics

Career Striking Volume

Allan Nascimento Mitch Raposo League median

Statistic	Allan Nascimento	Mitch Raposo	Edge
Fight Shape
Fight Completion Rate	79.4%	100.0%	—
Avg Fight Time	11:54	15:00	—
% Fights Inside the Distance	33.3%	0.0%	—
Strength of UFC Schedule
Opponent UFC Win % (all)	55.0%	56.2%	—
Opponent UFC Record (all)	11-9 (55.0%)	9-7 (56.2%)	—
Opponent Record (among wins)	9-7 (56.2%)	5-3 (62.5%)	—
Positional Profile
% Time at Distance (approx.)	34.3%	73.3%	—
% Time in Control	33.4%	10.1%	◀
% Time Controlled	32.3%	16.6%	▶
Control Rate of Clinch/Ground Time	50.8%	37.8%	◀
Distance Striking
Distance Sig. Landed / Min	5.34	2.43	◀
Distance Sig. Absorbed / Min	4.65	3.32	▶
Distance Striking Differential / Min	+0.69	-0.89	◀
Distance Strike Accuracy	41.1%	42.1%	—
Distance Strike Defense	60.6%	64.4%	—
Power & Pressure
KDs per 100 Power Strikes	1.12	0.00	◀
Knocked Down per 100 Absorbed	0.00	0.94	◀
TD Attempts per 5 Distance Min	4.08	2.50	—
TDs Faced per 5 Distance Min	3.26	2.73	—
Fade Index (R3 / R1 pace)	0.77	1.03	—

UFC fights only. Metrics with insufficient data show "—" and award no edge. Methodology →

Last 5 Fights (Averages)

Statistic	Allan Nascimento	Mitch Raposo	Edge
Sig. Strike Accuracy	42.7%	42.4%	—
Sig. Strikes Landed/min	2.6	1.8	—
Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min	2.1	2.9	—
Takedown Accuracy	26.3%	31.8%	—
Takedown Defense	54.5%	70.8%	►
Control Time/Fight	4:43	1:30	◄
Edges	1	1	4 even

Last 3 Fights

Allan Nascimento

LOSS

vs. Mitch Raposo

UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi • Jun 2026Flyweight

Decision (Split) • Rd 3, 5:00

Allan Nascimento58/14241%TD 0/4Ctrl 4:21KD 1

Mitch Raposo38/8943%TD 0/1Ctrl 0:47

▼ Rounds

Rnd	Fighter	Sig Str	Acc	TD	Ctrl	KD
R1	Allan Nascimento	14/54	26%	0/3	0:24	—
	Mitch Raposo	15/32	47%	0/0	0:14	—

R2	Allan Nascimento	20/48	42%	0/1	0:26	—
	Mitch Raposo	19/48	40%	0/0	0:12	—

R3	Allan Nascimento	24/40	60%	0/0	3:31	1
	Mitch Raposo	4/9	44%	0/1	0:21	—

WIN

vs. Cody Durden

UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama • Nov 2025Catch Weight

Submission (Anaconda Choke) • Rd 2, 3:13

Allan Nascimento52/11545%TD 0/1Ctrl 0:21

Cody Durden57/12845%TD 1/3Ctrl 0:05

▼ Rounds

Rnd	Fighter	Sig Str	Acc	TD	Ctrl	KD
R1	Allan Nascimento	26/58	45%	0/1	0:00	—
	Cody Durden	36/73	49%	1/2	0:03	—

R2	Allan Nascimento	26/57	46%	0/0	0:21	—
	Cody Durden	21/55	38%	0/1	0:02	—

WIN

vs. Jafel Filho

UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber • May 2025Flyweight

Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00

Allan Nascimento12/2450%TD 1/6Ctrl 7:03

Jafel Filho14/3047%TD 4/7Ctrl 6:20

▼ Rounds

Rnd	Fighter	Sig Str	Acc	TD	Ctrl	KD
R1	Allan Nascimento	4/9	44%	0/3	0:04	—
	Jafel Filho	11/20	55%	2/4	4:07	—

R2	Allan Nascimento	6/9	67%	0/0	3:35	—
	Jafel Filho	1/4	25%	2/3	1:11	—

R3	Allan Nascimento	2/6	33%	1/3	3:24	—
	Jafel Filho	2/6	33%	0/0	1:02	—

Mitch Raposo

WIN

vs. Allan Nascimento

UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi • Jun 2026Flyweight

Decision (Split) • Rd 3, 5:00

Mitch Raposo38/8943%TD 0/1Ctrl 0:47

Allan Nascimento58/14241%TD 0/4Ctrl 4:21KD 1

▼ Rounds

Rnd	Fighter	Sig Str	Acc	TD	Ctrl	KD
R1	Mitch Raposo	15/32	47%	0/0	0:14	—
	Allan Nascimento	14/54	26%	0/3	0:24	—

R2	Mitch Raposo	19/48	40%	0/0	0:12	—
	Allan Nascimento	20/48	42%	0/1	0:26	—

R3	Mitch Raposo	4/9	44%	0/1	0:21	—
	Allan Nascimento	24/40	60%	0/0	3:31	1

WIN

vs. Azat Maksum

UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane • Oct 2025Flyweight

Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00

Mitch Raposo30/6645%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:49

Azat Maksum19/8822%TD 7/19Ctrl 5:27

▼ Rounds

Rnd	Fighter	Sig Str	Acc	TD	Ctrl	KD
R1	Mitch Raposo	4/18	22%	0/0	0:00	—
	Azat Maksum	4/27	15%	1/2	2:18	—

R2	Mitch Raposo	17/25	68%	0/0	0:04	—
	Azat Maksum	12/34	35%	3/6	1:24	—

R3	Mitch Raposo	9/23	39%	0/0	0:45	—
	Azat Maksum	3/27	11%	3/11	1:45	—

LOSS

vs. Sumudaerji

UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes • Apr 2025Flyweight

Decision (Split) • Rd 3, 5:00

Mitch Raposo9/2635%TD 6/19Ctrl 4:18

Sumudaerji45/11439%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00

▼ Rounds

Rnd	Fighter	Sig Str	Acc	TD	Ctrl	KD
R1	Mitch Raposo	5/12	42%	2/7	1:05	—
	Sumudaerji	11/30	37%	0/0	0:00	—

R2	Mitch Raposo	2/5	40%	1/6	1:16	—
	Sumudaerji	14/39	36%	0/0	0:00	—

R3	Mitch Raposo	2/9	22%	3/6	1:57	—
	Sumudaerji	20/45	44%	0/0	0:00	—

Common Opponents

vs. Jake Hadley

Allan Nascimento

WIN

UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Rakic • May 2022Flyweight

Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00

Allan Nascimento19/5237%TD 2/4Ctrl 9:27

Jake Hadley8/2928%TD 0/0Ctrl 3:50

▼ Rounds

Rnd	Fighter	Sig Str	Acc	TD	Ctrl	KD
R1	Allan Nascimento	4/11	36%	1/1	2:59	—
	Jake Hadley	3/14	21%	0/0	1:23	—

R2	Allan Nascimento	9/21	43%	1/1	4:04	—
	Jake Hadley	2/5	40%	0/0	0:25	—

R3	Allan Nascimento	6/20	30%	0/2	2:24	—
	Jake Hadley	3/10	30%	0/0	2:02	—

Mitch Raposo

LOSS

DWCS 5.7 • Oct 2021

Submission (Rear Naked Choke) • Rd 2, 3:11

Mitch Raposo21/8226%TD 2/3Ctrl 1:33

Jake Hadley26/6043%TD 1/1Ctrl 1:26

▼ Rounds

Rnd	Fighter	Sig Str	Acc	TD	Ctrl	KD
R1	Mitch Raposo	16/62	26%	2/2	1:33	—
	Jake Hadley	18/43	42%	0/0	0:00	—

R2	Mitch Raposo	5/20	25%	0/1	0:00	—
	Jake Hadley	8/17	47%	1/1	1:26	—

Analysis Summary

Striking Volume: Both fighters operate at a similar pace (2.4 vs 1.8 sig str/min). Accuracy and timing will decide the striking battle.

Grappling: Allan Nascimento shoots at 25% accuracy but Mitch Raposo stops 71% of attempts — the takedown path looks difficult. Mitch Raposo shoots at 32% accuracy against Allan Nascimento's 44% defense — Allan Nascimento should keep it standing.

Control: Allan Nascimento controls 3:58 per fight on average vs 1:30 — sustained control shifts rounds and drains cardio.

Finish Threat: Allan Nascimento finishes 50% of wins (0% KO/TKO, 50% sub).

Fight Length: Mitch Raposo's fights average 15:00 vs 11:54 for Allan Nascimento. If this reaches the championship rounds, Mitch Raposo's conditioning history becomes a factor.

Last updated: 2026-09-14 | Data source: UFCStats.com