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Arnold Allen vs Aaron Pico

Arnold Allen

Pro 21-4-0  |  UFC 12-3-0
Featherweight
VS

Aaron Pico

Pro 14-5-0  |  UFC 1-1-0
Age
32|29
Height
5'8"|5'8"
Reach
70"|70"
Stance
Southpaw|Orthodox

Career Statistics

Statistic Arnold Allen Aaron Pico Edge
Striking
Sig. Strike Accuracy44.0%53.0%
Sig. Strikes Landed/min3.53.4
Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min3.23.1
Strike Differential0.4/min0.3/min
Grappling
Takedown Accuracy60.0%66.7%
Takedown Defense
Takedowns Landed/15min1.21.6
Submission Attempts/15min0.30.0
Control Time/15min2:121:38
Finishing Ability
KO/TKO % of Wins16.7%0.0%
Submission % of Wins16.7%0.0%
Decision % of Wins66.7%100.0%
Avg Fight Time14:289:10
Secondary Stats
Knockdowns/15min0.30.0
Reversals/15min0.00.0
Edges018 even

Fight Dynamics

Career Striking Volume
Arnold Allen   Aaron Pico   League median
StatisticArnold AllenAaron PicoEdge
Fight Shape
Fight Completion Rate85.1%61.2%
Avg Fight Time14:289:10
% Fights Inside the Distance26.7%50.0%
Strength of UFC Schedule
Opponent UFC Win % (all)68.9%90.0%
Opponent UFC Record (all)91-41 (68.9%)9-1 (90.0%)
Opponent Record (among wins)60-33 (64.5%)1-1 (50.0%)
Positional Profile
% Time at Distance (approx.)72.1%89.0%
% Time in Control14.8%11.0%
% Time Controlled13.1%0.0%
Control Rate of Clinch/Ground Time52.9%100.0%
Distance Striking
Distance Sig. Landed / Min4.352.69
Distance Sig. Absorbed / Min3.932.63
Distance Striking Differential / Min+0.42+0.06
Distance Strike Accuracy42.4%45.4%
Distance Strike Defense62.0%52.2%
Power & Pressure
KDs per 100 Power Strikes0.620.00
Knocked Down per 100 Absorbed0.002.04
TD Attempts per 5 Distance Min0.960.92
TDs Faced per 5 Distance Min2.490.00
Fade Index (R3 / R1 pace)0.90
UFC fights only. Metrics with insufficient data show "—" and award no edge. Methodology →

Last 5 Fights (Averages)

Statistic Arnold Allen Aaron Pico Edge
Sig. Strike Accuracy46.4%53.0%
Sig. Strikes Landed/min3.73.4
Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min4.33.1
Takedown Accuracy87.5%66.7%
Takedown Defense
Control Time/Fight2:131:00
Edges114 even

Last 3 Fights

Arnold Allen

WIN
vs. Melquizael Costa
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa • May 2026Featherweight
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 5, 5:00
Arnold Allen98/15264%TD 7/7Ctrl 9:28KD 1
Melquizael Costa100/25439%TD 0/4Ctrl 1:45
▼ Rounds
LOSS
vs. Jean Silva
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett • Jan 2026Featherweight
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00
Arnold Allen56/11648%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:54
Jean Silva74/13654%TD 4/6Ctrl 0:32
▼ Rounds
WIN
vs. Giga Chikadze
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 • Jul 2024Featherweight
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00
Arnold Allen61/12250%TD 0/1Ctrl 0:00
Giga Chikadze38/11134%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
▼ Rounds

Aaron Pico

WIN
vs. Patricio Freire
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg • Apr 2026Featherweight
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00
Aaron Pico49/8856%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
Patricio Freire49/8856%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
▼ Rounds
LOSS
vs. Lerone Murphy
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev • Aug 2025Featherweight
KO/TKO (Spinning Back Elbow) • Rd 1, 3:21
Aaron Pico13/2945%TD 2/3Ctrl 2:01
Lerone Murphy8/1650%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00KD 1
▼ Rounds

Common Opponents

No Common Opponents

Analysis Summary

Striking Volume: Both fighters operate at a similar pace (3.5 vs 3.4 sig str/min). Accuracy and timing will decide the striking battle.

Striking Accuracy: Aaron Pico connects on 53.0% of significant strikes compared to 44.0%. The 9pp accuracy gap compounds over the rounds.

Grappling: Arnold Allen shoots 1.2 TD/15min at 60% accuracy against Aaron Pico's 0% defense — takedowns are a viable path. Aaron Pico shoots at 67% accuracy against Arnold Allen's 73% defense — Arnold Allen should keep it standing.

Finish Threat: Both fighters trend toward decisions — Arnold Allen (67% of wins) and Aaron Pico (100%).

Fight Length: Arnold Allen's fights average 14:28 vs 9:10 for Aaron Pico. If this reaches the championship rounds, Arnold Allen's conditioning history becomes a factor.

Last updated: 2026-08-24 | Data source: UFCStats.com