Arnold Allen vs Melquizael Costa

Arnold Allen

Pro 21-4-0  |  UFC 12-3-0
VS

Melquizael Costa

Pro 26-8-0  |  UFC 7-3-0
Age
32|29
Height
5'8"|5'10"
Reach
70"|71"
Stance
Southpaw|Southpaw

Career Statistics

Statistic Arnold Allen Melquizael Costa Edge
Striking
Sig. Strike Accuracy44.0%47.0%
Sig. Strikes Landed/min3.54.3
Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min3.23.2
Strike Differential0.4/min1.1/min
Grappling
Takedown Accuracy60.0%35.5%
Takedown Defense73.1%50.9%
Takedowns Landed/15min1.21.5
Submission Attempts/15min0.30.8
Control Time/15min2:122:30
Finishing Ability
KO/TKO % of Wins16.7%28.6%
Submission % of Wins16.7%28.6%
Decision % of Wins66.7%42.9%
Avg Fight Time14:2810:45
Secondary Stats
Knockdowns/15min0.30.3
Reversals/15min0.00.6
Edges216 even

Fight Dynamics

Career Striking Volume
Arnold Allen   Melquizael Costa   League median
StatisticArnold AllenMelquizael CostaEdge
Fight Shape
Fight Completion Rate85.1%67.2%
Avg Fight Time14:2810:45
% Fights Inside the Distance26.7%60.0%
Strength of UFC Schedule
Opponent UFC Win % (all)68.9%59.8%
Opponent UFC Record (all)91-41 (68.9%)64-43 (59.8%)
Opponent Record (among wins)60-33 (64.5%)45-34 (57.0%)
Positional Profile
% Time at Distance (approx.)72.1%51.2%
% Time in Control14.8%16.8%
% Time Controlled13.1%32.0%
Control Rate of Clinch/Ground Time52.9%34.3%
Distance Striking
Distance Sig. Landed / Min4.356.93
Distance Sig. Absorbed / Min3.934.30
Distance Striking Differential / Min+0.42+2.63
Distance Strike Accuracy42.4%44.2%
Distance Strike Defense62.0%56.8%
Power & Pressure
KDs per 100 Power Strikes0.620.63
Knocked Down per 100 Absorbed0.000.82
TD Attempts per 5 Distance Min0.962.81
TDs Faced per 5 Distance Min2.494.81
Fade Index (R3 / R1 pace)0.901.26
UFC fights only. Metrics with insufficient data show "—" and award no edge. Methodology →

Last 5 Fights (Averages)

Statistic Arnold Allen Melquizael Costa Edge
Sig. Strike Accuracy46.4%47.4%
Sig. Strikes Landed/min3.74.7
Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min4.33.9
Takedown Accuracy87.5%40.0%
Takedown Defense66.7%51.4%
Control Time/Fight2:131:31
Edges213 even

Last 3 Fights

Arnold Allen

WIN
vs. Melquizael Costa
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa • May 2026Featherweight
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 5, 5:00
Arnold Allen98/15264%TD 7/7Ctrl 9:28KD 1
Melquizael Costa100/25439%TD 0/4Ctrl 1:45
▼ Rounds
LOSS
vs. Jean Silva
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett • Jan 2026Featherweight
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00
Arnold Allen56/11648%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:54
Jean Silva74/13654%TD 4/6Ctrl 0:32
▼ Rounds
WIN
vs. Giga Chikadze
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 • Jul 2024Featherweight
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00
Arnold Allen61/12250%TD 0/1Ctrl 0:00
Giga Chikadze38/11134%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
▼ Rounds

Melquizael Costa

LOSS
vs. Arnold Allen
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa • May 2026Featherweight
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 5, 5:00
Melquizael Costa100/25439%TD 0/4Ctrl 1:45
Arnold Allen98/15264%TD 7/7Ctrl 9:28KD 1
▼ Rounds
WIN
vs. Dan Ige
KO/TKO (Spinning Back Kick) • Rd 1, 4:56
Melquizael Costa19/4048%TD 1/1Ctrl 0:32KD 1
Dan Ige7/1164%TD 1/3Ctrl 1:31
▼ Rounds
WIN
vs. Morgan Charriere
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape • Dec 2025Featherweight
KO/TKO (Kick) • Rd 1, 1:14
Melquizael Costa4/944%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:02KD 1
Morgan Charriere2/450%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
▼ Rounds

Common Opponents

No Common Opponents

Analysis Summary

Striking Volume: Both fighters operate at a similar pace (3.5 vs 4.3 sig str/min). Accuracy and timing will decide the striking battle.

Grappling: Arnold Allen shoots 1.2 TD/15min at 60% accuracy against Melquizael Costa's 51% defense — takedowns are a viable path. Melquizael Costa shoots at 35% accuracy against Arnold Allen's 73% defense — Arnold Allen should keep it standing.

Finish Threat: Melquizael Costa finishes 57% of wins (29% KO/TKO, 29% sub).

Fight Length: Arnold Allen's fights average 14:28 vs 10:45 for Melquizael Costa. If this reaches the championship rounds, Arnold Allen's conditioning history becomes a factor.

Last updated: 2026-08-13 | Data source: UFCStats.com