Ateba Gautier vs Ozzy Diaz
Age
24|35
Height
6'4"|6'4"
Reach
81"|79"
Stance
Switch|Orthodox
Career Statistics
| Statistic | Ateba Gautier | Ozzy Diaz | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Striking | |||
| Sig. Strike Accuracy | 37.5% | 51.5% | ► |
| Sig. Strikes Landed/min | 4.0 | 6.0 | ► |
| Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min | 3.0 | 7.3 | ◄ |
| Strike Differential | 0.9/min | -1.3/min | ◄ |
| Grappling | |||
| Takedown Accuracy | 100.0% | 0.0% | ◄ |
| Takedown Defense | 100.0% | 66.7% | ◄ |
| Takedowns Landed/15min | 0.5 | 0.0 | — |
| Submission Attempts/15min | 0.0 | 0.0 | — |
| Control Time/15min | 0:02 | 0:36 | — |
| Finishing Ability | |||
| KO/TKO % of Wins | 80.0% | 0.0% | — |
| Submission % of Wins | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
| Decision % of Wins | 20.0% | 100.0% | — |
| Avg Fight Time | 5:30 | 6:24 | — |
| Secondary Stats | |||
| Knockdowns/15min | 3.3 | 0.0 | — |
| Reversals/15min | 0.0 | 0.0 | — |
| Edges | 4 | 2 | 3 even |
Fight Dynamics
Career Striking Volume
Ateba Gautier
Ozzy Diaz
League median
| Statistic | Ateba Gautier | Ozzy Diaz | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fight Shape | |||
| Fight Completion Rate | 36.7% | 42.8% | — |
| Avg Fight Time | 5:30 | 6:24 | — |
| % Fights Inside the Distance | 80.0% | 75.0% | — |
| Strength of UFC Schedule | |||
| Opponent UFC Win % (all) | 28.6% | 100.0% | ▶ |
| Opponent UFC Record (all) | 2-5 (28.6%) | 7-0 (100.0%) | — |
| Opponent Record (among wins) | 2-5 (28.6%) | — | — |
| Positional Profile | |||
| % Time at Distance (approx.) | 95.5% | 93.7% | — |
| % Time in Control | 0.3% | 4.1% | — |
| % Time Controlled | 4.2% | 2.2% | — |
| Control Rate of Clinch/Ground Time | 6.8% | 64.9% | ▶ |
| Distance Striking | |||
| Distance Sig. Landed / Min | 3.53 | 6.16 | ▶ |
| Distance Sig. Absorbed / Min | 3.12 | 7.28 | ◀ |
| Distance Striking Differential / Min | +0.42 | -1.12 | ◀ |
| Distance Strike Accuracy | 34.7% | 50.9% | ▶ |
| Distance Strike Defense | 54.4% | 63.0% | ▶ |
| Power & Pressure | |||
| KDs per 100 Power Strikes | 5.94 | 0.00 | ◀ |
| Knocked Down per 100 Absorbed | 0.00 | 1.90 | ◀ |
| TD Attempts per 5 Distance Min | 0.19 | 0.62 | — |
| TDs Faced per 5 Distance Min | 0.95 | 0.62 | — |
| Fade Index (R3 / R1 pace) | — | — | — |
UFC fights only. Metrics with insufficient data show "—" and award no edge.
Methodology →
Last 5 Fights (Averages)
| Statistic | Ateba Gautier | Ozzy Diaz | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sig. Strike Accuracy | 37.5% | 51.5% | ► |
| Sig. Strikes Landed/min | 4.0 | 6.0 | ► |
| Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min | 3.0 | 7.3 | ◄ |
| Takedown Accuracy | 100.0% | 0.0% | ◄ |
| Takedown Defense | 100.0% | 66.7% | ◄ |
| Control Time/Fight | 0:01 | 0:15 | — |
| Edges | 3 | 2 | 1 even |
Last 3 Fights
Ateba Gautier
WIN
vs. Ozzy Diaz
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland • May 2026Middleweight
Ateba Gautier23/8228%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00KD 1
Ozzy Diaz6/2030%TD 0/3Ctrl 1:03
WIN
vs. Andrey Pulyaev
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett • Jan 2026Middleweight
Ateba Gautier34/11230%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00KD 2
Andrey Pulyaev59/12348%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
WIN
vs. Tre'ston Vines
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 • Oct 2025Middleweight
Ateba Gautier6/1250%TD 1/1Ctrl 0:04KD 1
Tre'ston Vines0/10%TD 0/2Ctrl 0:06
Ozzy Diaz
LOSS
vs. Ryan Gandra
UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2 • Sep 2026Middleweight
Ozzy Diaz3/475%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
Ryan Gandra16/3447%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:03KD 1
LOSS
vs. Ateba Gautier
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland • May 2026Middleweight
Ozzy Diaz6/2030%TD 0/3Ctrl 1:03
Ateba Gautier23/8228%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00KD 1
WIN
vs. Djorden Santos
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev • Mar 2025Middleweight
Ozzy Diaz135/26152%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
Djorden Santos131/34538%TD 1/3Ctrl 0:26
Common Opponents
No Common Opponents
Analysis Summary
Striking Volume: Ozzy Diaz is the busier striker, landing 6.0 significant strikes per minute vs 4.0. Their opponent absorbs 3.0 strikes per minute on average — Ozzy Diaz's output should find a target.
Striking Accuracy: Ozzy Diaz connects on 51.5% of significant strikes compared to 37.5%. The 14pp accuracy gap compounds over the rounds.
Grappling: Ateba Gautier shoots 0.5 TD/15min at 100% accuracy against Ozzy Diaz's 67% defense — takedowns are a viable path.
Finish Threat: Ateba Gautier finishes 80% of wins (80% KO/TKO, 0% sub).