Bogdan Guskov vs Robert Whittaker

Bogdan Guskov

Pro 18-4-1 | UFC 4-2-1

Light Heavyweight

Robert Whittaker

Pro 28-9-0 | UFC 18-7-0

Age

34|35

Height

6'3"|6'0"

Reach

76"|73"

Stance

Orthodox|Orthodox

Career Statistics

Statistic	Bogdan Guskov	Robert Whittaker	Edge
Striking
Sig. Strike Accuracy	56.8%	43.4%	◄
Sig. Strikes Landed/min	3.6	4.4	►
Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min	3.5	3.4	—
Strike Differential	0.1/min	1.0/min	►
Grappling
Takedown Accuracy	0.0%	38.1%	►
Takedown Defense	54.5%	80.0%	►
Takedowns Landed/15min	0.0	0.7	—
Submission Attempts/15min	0.7	0.0	◄
Control Time/15min	1:24	1:11	—
Finishing Ability
KO/TKO % of Wins	75.0%	38.9%	—
Submission % of Wins	25.0%	0.0%	—
Decision % of Wins	0.0%	61.1%	—
Avg Fight Time	9:27	13:30	—
Secondary Stats
Knockdowns/15min	0.9	0.5	—
Reversals/15min	0.2	0.0	—
Edges	2	4	3 even

Fight Dynamics

Career Striking Volume

Bogdan Guskov Robert Whittaker League median

Statistic	Bogdan Guskov	Robert Whittaker	Edge
Fight Shape
Fight Completion Rate	57.6%	71.1%	—
Avg Fight Time	9:27	13:30	—
% Fights Inside the Distance	85.7%	44.0%	—
Strength of UFC Schedule
Opponent UFC Win % (all)	62.0%	77.0%	▶
Opponent UFC Record (all)	49-30 (62.0%)	147-44 (77.0%)	—
Opponent Record (among wins)	19-14 (57.6%)	109-40 (73.2%)	—
Positional Profile
% Time at Distance (approx.)	63.1%	81.3%	—
% Time in Control	9.4%	7.9%	—
% Time Controlled	27.4%	10.8%	▶
Control Rate of Clinch/Ground Time	25.5%	42.3%	▶
Distance Striking
Distance Sig. Landed / Min	3.73	4.69	▶
Distance Sig. Absorbed / Min	4.47	3.51	▶
Distance Striking Differential / Min	-0.74	+1.18	▶
Distance Strike Accuracy	51.5%	41.5%	◀
Distance Strike Defense	50.3%	62.3%	▶
Power & Pressure
KDs per 100 Power Strikes	3.39	1.07	◀
Knocked Down per 100 Absorbed	1.33	0.98	▶
TD Attempts per 5 Distance Min	0.00	0.76	—
TDs Faced per 5 Distance Min	1.32	1.73	—
Fade Index (R3 / R1 pace)	—	1.05	—

UFC fights only. Metrics with insufficient data show "—" and award no edge. Methodology →

Last 5 Fights (Averages)

Statistic	Bogdan Guskov	Robert Whittaker	Edge
Sig. Strike Accuracy	60.3%	51.2%	◄
Sig. Strikes Landed/min	3.7	4.1	—
Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min	3.2	3.4	—
Takedown Accuracy	0.0%	0.0%	—
Takedown Defense	50.0%	72.0%	►
Control Time/Fight	1:14	0:07	—
Edges	1	1	4 even

Last 3 Fights

Bogdan Guskov

LOSS

vs. Magomed Ankalaev

UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov • Jul 2026Light Heavyweight

KO/TKO (Punches) • Rd 5, 2:41

Bogdan Guskov39/6362%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00

Magomed Ankalaev54/11348%TD 2/4Ctrl 8:26

▼ Rounds

Rnd	Fighter	Sig Str	Acc	TD	Ctrl	KD
R1	Bogdan Guskov	11/22	50%	0/0	0:00	—
	Magomed Ankalaev	19/39	49%	0/1	0:00	—

R2	Bogdan Guskov	12/17	71%	0/0	0:00	—
	Magomed Ankalaev	14/29	48%	0/1	1:21	—

R3	Bogdan Guskov	15/22	68%	0/0	0:00	—
	Magomed Ankalaev	15/33	45%	0/0	0:00	—

R4	Bogdan Guskov	1/1	100%	0/0	0:00	—
	Magomed Ankalaev	3/5	60%	1/1	4:50	—

R5	Bogdan Guskov	0/1	0%	0/0	0:00	—
	Magomed Ankalaev	3/7	43%	1/1	2:15	—

vs. Jan Blachowicz

UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 • Dec 2025Light Heavyweight

Decision (Majority) • Rd 3, 5:00

Bogdan Guskov80/14057%TD 0/0Ctrl 4:09KD 1

Jan Blachowicz84/14956%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:08KD 1

▼ Rounds

Rnd	Fighter	Sig Str	Acc	TD	Ctrl	KD
R1	Bogdan Guskov	21/44	48%	0/0	0:00	—
	Jan Blachowicz	25/52	48%	0/0	0:00	—

R2	Bogdan Guskov	32/51	63%	0/0	4:09	1
	Jan Blachowicz	11/13	85%	0/0	0:00	—

R3	Bogdan Guskov	27/45	60%	0/0	0:00	—
	Jan Blachowicz	48/84	57%	0/0	0:08	1

WIN

vs. Nikita Krylov

UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder • Jul 2025Light Heavyweight

KO/TKO (Punches) • Rd 1, 4:18

Bogdan Guskov23/4353%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:17KD 1

Nikita Krylov16/3447%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00

▼ Rounds

Rnd	Fighter	Sig Str	Acc	TD	Ctrl	KD
R1	Bogdan Guskov	23/43	53%	0/0	0:17	1
	Nikita Krylov	16/34	47%	0/0	0:00	—

Robert Whittaker

WIN

vs. Nikita Krylov

UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 • Jul 2026Light Heavyweight

KO/TKO (Punch) • Rd 3, 1:01

Robert Whittaker54/11149%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00

Nikita Krylov51/9952%TD 3/6Ctrl 2:10

▼ Rounds

Rnd	Fighter	Sig Str	Acc	TD	Ctrl	KD
R1	Robert Whittaker	20/38	53%	0/0	0:00	—
	Nikita Krylov	20/40	50%	3/5	2:10	—

R2	Robert Whittaker	29/61	48%	0/0	0:00	—
	Nikita Krylov	28/52	54%	0/1	0:00	—

R3	Robert Whittaker	5/12	42%	0/0	0:00	—
	Nikita Krylov	3/7	43%	0/0	0:00	—

LOSS

vs. Reinier de Ridder

UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder • Jul 2025Middleweight

Decision (Split) • Rd 5, 5:00

Robert Whittaker66/14246%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:36KD 1

Reinier de Ridder67/14546%TD 2/15Ctrl 9:06

▼ Rounds

Rnd	Fighter	Sig Str	Acc	TD	Ctrl	KD
R1	Robert Whittaker	20/34	59%	0/0	0:00	—
	Reinier de Ridder	15/35	43%	0/3	0:12	—

R2	Robert Whittaker	9/27	33%	0/0	0:00	—
	Reinier de Ridder	16/38	42%	1/3	2:04	—

R3	Robert Whittaker	20/28	71%	0/0	0:32	1
	Reinier de Ridder	13/30	43%	1/2	2:39	—

R4	Robert Whittaker	6/22	27%	0/0	0:04	—
	Reinier de Ridder	14/24	58%	0/3	1:56	—

R5	Robert Whittaker	11/31	35%	0/0	0:00	—
	Reinier de Ridder	9/18	50%	0/4	2:15	—

LOSS

vs. Khamzat Chimaev

UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway • Oct 2024Middleweight

Submission (Rear Naked Choke) • Rd 1, 3:34

Robert Whittaker2/2100%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00

Khamzat Chimaev3/475%TD 2/4Ctrl 3:20

▼ Rounds

Rnd	Fighter	Sig Str	Acc	TD	Ctrl	KD
R1	Robert Whittaker	2/2	100%	0/0	0:00	—
	Khamzat Chimaev	3/4	75%	2/4	3:20	—

Common Opponents

vs. Nikita Krylov

Bogdan Guskov

WIN

UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder • Jul 2025Light Heavyweight

KO/TKO (Punches) • Rd 1, 4:18

Bogdan Guskov23/4353%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:17KD 1

Nikita Krylov16/3447%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00

▼ Rounds

Rnd	Fighter	Sig Str	Acc	TD	Ctrl	KD
R1	Bogdan Guskov	23/43	53%	0/0	0:17	1
	Nikita Krylov	16/34	47%	0/0	0:00	—

Robert Whittaker

WIN

UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 • Jul 2026Light Heavyweight

KO/TKO (Punch) • Rd 3, 1:01

Robert Whittaker54/11149%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00

Nikita Krylov51/9952%TD 3/6Ctrl 2:10

▼ Rounds

Rnd	Fighter	Sig Str	Acc	TD	Ctrl	KD
R1	Robert Whittaker	20/38	53%	0/0	0:00	—
	Nikita Krylov	20/40	50%	3/5	2:10	—

R2	Robert Whittaker	29/61	48%	0/0	0:00	—
	Nikita Krylov	28/52	54%	0/1	0:00	—

R3	Robert Whittaker	5/12	42%	0/0	0:00	—
	Nikita Krylov	3/7	43%	0/0	0:00	—

Analysis Summary

Striking Volume: Robert Whittaker is the busier striker, landing 4.4 significant strikes per minute vs 3.6. Their opponent absorbs 3.5 strikes per minute on average — Robert Whittaker's output should find a target.

Striking Accuracy: Bogdan Guskov connects on 56.8% of significant strikes compared to 43.4%. The 13pp accuracy gap compounds over the rounds.

Grappling: Robert Whittaker shoots at 38% accuracy against Bogdan Guskov's 54% defense — Bogdan Guskov should keep it standing.

Finish Threat: Bogdan Guskov finishes 100% of wins (75% KO/TKO, 25% sub).

Fight Length: Robert Whittaker's fights average 13:30 vs 9:27 for Bogdan Guskov. If this reaches the championship rounds, Robert Whittaker's conditioning history becomes a factor.

Data through UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan (Oct 31, 2026)