Casey O'Neill vs Gabriella Fernandes
Age
28|33
Height
5'6"|5'6"
Reach
69"|66"
Stance
Orthodox|Southpaw
Career Statistics
| Statistic | Casey O'Neill | Gabriella Fernandes | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Striking | |||
| Sig. Strike Accuracy | 52.1% | 46.6% | — |
| Sig. Strikes Landed/min | 7.6 | 3.5 | ◄ |
| Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min | 5.4 | 5.3 | — |
| Strike Differential | 2.2/min | -1.8/min | ◄ |
| Grappling | |||
| Takedown Accuracy | 34.8% | 18.2% | ◄ |
| Takedown Defense | 70.0% | 69.0% | — |
| Takedowns Landed/15min | 1.3 | 0.4 | — |
| Submission Attempts/15min | 0.8 | 0.2 | ◄ |
| Control Time/15min | 3:36 | 0:42 | ◄ |
| Finishing Ability | |||
| KO/TKO % of Wins | 42.9% | 0.0% | — |
| Submission % of Wins | 28.6% | 33.3% | — |
| Decision % of Wins | 28.6% | 66.7% | — |
| Avg Fight Time | 9:54 | 12:00 | — |
| Secondary Stats | |||
| Knockdowns/15min | 0.2 | 0.2 | — |
| Reversals/15min | 0.0 | 0.0 | — |
| Edges | 5 | 0 | 4 even |
Fight Dynamics
Career Striking Volume
Casey O'Neill
Gabriella Fernandes
League median
| Statistic | Casey O'Neill | Gabriella Fernandes | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fight Shape | |||
| Fight Completion Rate | 66.1% | 80.0% | — |
| Avg Fight Time | 9:54 | 12:00 | — |
| % Fights Inside the Distance | 66.7% | 33.3% | — |
| Strength of UFC Schedule | |||
| Opponent UFC Win % (all) | 50.9% | 47.4% | — |
| Opponent UFC Record (all) | 29-28 (50.9%) | 9-10 (47.4%) | — |
| Opponent Record (among wins) | 19-18 (51.4%) | 3-6 (33.3%) | — |
| Positional Profile | |||
| % Time at Distance (approx.) | 61.0% | 61.1% | — |
| % Time in Control | 24.1% | 4.7% | ◀ |
| % Time Controlled | 14.9% | 34.3% | ◀ |
| Control Rate of Clinch/Ground Time | 61.9% | 12.0% | ◀ |
| Distance Striking | |||
| Distance Sig. Landed / Min | 10.12 | 5.14 | ◀ |
| Distance Sig. Absorbed / Min | 7.05 | 7.03 | — |
| Distance Striking Differential / Min | +3.07 | -1.89 | ◀ |
| Distance Strike Accuracy | 48.6% | 44.9% | — |
| Distance Strike Defense | 61.9% | 57.3% | — |
| Power & Pressure | |||
| KDs per 100 Power Strikes | 0.19 | 0.46 | ▶ |
| Knocked Down per 100 Absorbed | 0.00 | 0.36 | ◀ |
| TD Attempts per 5 Distance Min | 2.11 | 1.25 | — |
| TDs Faced per 5 Distance Min | 1.84 | 3.30 | — |
| Fade Index (R3 / R1 pace) | 1.42 | 1.08 | — |
UFC fights only. Metrics with insufficient data show "—" and award no edge.
Methodology →
Last 5 Fights (Averages)
| Statistic | Casey O'Neill | Gabriella Fernandes | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sig. Strike Accuracy | 46.1% | 46.6% | — |
| Sig. Strikes Landed/min | 6.5 | 4.0 | ◄ |
| Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min | 6.1 | 6.3 | — |
| Takedown Accuracy | 0.0% | 20.0% | ► |
| Takedown Defense | 80.0% | 76.2% | — |
| Control Time/Fight | 0:32 | 0:39 | — |
| Edges | 1 | 1 | 4 even |
Last 3 Fights
Casey O'Neill
WIN
vs. Eduarda Moura
UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2 • Sep 2026Women's Flyweight
Casey O'Neill1/425%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
Eduarda Moura3/743%TD 0/0Ctrl 3:12
WIN
vs. Gabriella Fernandes
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer • Mar 2026Women's Flyweight
Casey O'Neill25/6638%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00KD 1
Gabriella Fernandes8/3324%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
WIN
vs. Luana Santos
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya • Aug 2024Women's Flyweight
Casey O'Neill83/19343%TD 0/2Ctrl 2:21
Luana Santos41/9742%TD 1/5Ctrl 2:21
Gabriella Fernandes
LOSS
vs. Casey O'Neill
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer • Mar 2026Women's Flyweight
Gabriella Fernandes8/3324%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
Casey O'Neill25/6638%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00KD 1
WIN
vs. Julija Stoliarenko
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez • Aug 2025Women's Flyweight
Gabriella Fernandes59/11452%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
Julija Stoliarenko61/16138%TD 0/6Ctrl 1:14
WIN
vs. Wang Cong
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo • Nov 2024Women's Flyweight
Gabriella Fernandes18/5931%TD 0/2Ctrl 0:28KD 1
Wang Cong46/11141%TD 0/1Ctrl 0:00
Common Opponents
No Common Opponents
Analysis Summary
Striking Volume: Casey O'Neill is the busier striker, landing 7.6 significant strikes per minute vs 3.5. Their opponent absorbs 5.3 strikes per minute on average — Casey O'Neill's output should find a target.
Grappling: Casey O'Neill shoots at 35% accuracy but Gabriella Fernandes stops 69% of attempts — the takedown path looks difficult.
Control: Casey O'Neill controls 2:23 per fight on average vs 0:33 — sustained control shifts rounds and drains cardio.
Finish Threat: Casey O'Neill finishes 71% of wins (43% KO/TKO, 29% sub).
Fight Length: Gabriella Fernandes's fights average 12:00 vs 9:54 for Casey O'Neill. If this reaches the championship rounds, Gabriella Fernandes's conditioning history becomes a factor.