Chris Padilla vs MarQuel Mederos

Chris Padilla

Pro 17-6-1  |  UFC 4-0-1
VS

MarQuel Mederos

Pro 11-1-1  |  UFC 3-0-1
Age
30|29
Height
5'9"|5'10"
Reach
74"|69"
Stance
Orthodox|Orthodox

Career Statistics

Statistic Chris Padilla MarQuel Mederos Edge
Striking
Sig. Strike Accuracy54.2%58.3%
Sig. Strikes Landed/min6.25.4
Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min4.94.8
Strike Differential1.3/min0.7/min
Grappling
Takedown Accuracy28.6%8.3%
Takedown Defense80.0%77.8%
Takedowns Landed/15min1.10.2
Submission Attempts/15min0.30.0
Control Time/15min2:571:40
Finishing Ability
KO/TKO % of Wins50.0%0.0%
Submission % of Wins25.0%0.0%
Decision % of Wins25.0%100.0%
Avg Fight Time10:3915:00
Secondary Stats
Knockdowns/15min0.00.2
Reversals/15min0.00.2
Edges207 even

Fight Dynamics

Career Striking Volume
Chris Padilla   MarQuel Mederos   League median
StatisticChris PadillaMarQuel MederosEdge
Fight Shape
Fight Completion Rate71.0%100.0%
Avg Fight Time10:3915:00
% Fights Inside the Distance60.0%0.0%
Strength of UFC Schedule
Opponent UFC Win % (all)52.9%53.3%
Opponent UFC Record (all)9-8 (52.9%)8-7 (53.3%)
Opponent Record (among wins)6-8 (42.9%)4-7 (36.4%)
Positional Profile
% Time at Distance (approx.)78.9%61.5%
% Time in Control19.7%11.1%
% Time Controlled1.4%27.4%
Control Rate of Clinch/Ground Time93.5%28.9%
Distance Striking
Distance Sig. Landed / Min6.507.37
Distance Sig. Absorbed / Min5.526.88
Distance Striking Differential / Min+0.97+0.49
Distance Strike Accuracy50.6%54.7%
Distance Strike Defense51.7%54.1%
Power & Pressure
KDs per 100 Power Strikes0.000.43
Knocked Down per 100 Absorbed0.000.00
TD Attempts per 5 Distance Min1.671.63
TDs Faced per 5 Distance Min1.193.66
Fade Index (R3 / R1 pace)1.18
UFC fights only. Metrics with insufficient data show "—" and award no edge. Methodology →

Last 5 Fights (Averages)

Statistic Chris Padilla MarQuel Mederos Edge
Sig. Strike Accuracy54.2%58.3%
Sig. Strikes Landed/min6.25.4
Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min4.94.8
Takedown Accuracy28.6%8.3%
Takedown Defense80.0%77.8%
Control Time/Fight2:061:40
Edges105 even

Last 3 Fights

Chris Padilla

D
vs. MarQuel Mederos
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg • Apr 2026Lightweight
Decision (Majority) • Rd 3, 5:00
Chris Padilla147/27154%TD 1/4Ctrl 2:09
MarQuel Mederos112/18062%TD 1/6Ctrl 0:16
▼ Rounds
WIN
vs. Ismael Bonfim
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown • Nov 2025Lightweight
KO/TKO (Punches) • Rd 2, 4:30
Chris Padilla64/10959%TD 0/0Ctrl 3:21
Ismael Bonfim42/8450%TD 1/3Ctrl 0:15
▼ Rounds
WIN
vs. Jai Herbert
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady • Mar 2025Lightweight
Decision (Split) • Rd 3, 5:00
Chris Padilla39/9840%TD 0/6Ctrl 3:41
Jai Herbert38/12231%TD 0/1Ctrl 0:01
▼ Rounds

MarQuel Mederos

D
vs. Chris Padilla
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg • Apr 2026Lightweight
Decision (Majority) • Rd 3, 5:00
MarQuel Mederos112/18062%TD 1/6Ctrl 0:16
Chris Padilla147/27154%TD 1/4Ctrl 2:09
▼ Rounds
WIN
vs. Mark Choinski
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 • Jun 2025Lightweight
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00
MarQuel Mederos110/16567%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:38KD 1
Mark Choinski58/11451%TD 2/11Ctrl 4:39
▼ Rounds
WIN
vs. Austin Hubbard
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg • Mar 2025Lightweight
Decision (Split) • Rd 3, 5:00
MarQuel Mederos44/6865%TD 0/1Ctrl 1:33
Austin Hubbard26/6540%TD 2/9Ctrl 7:34
▼ Rounds

Common Opponents

No Common Opponents

Analysis Summary

Striking Volume: Both fighters operate at a similar pace (6.2 vs 5.4 sig str/min). Accuracy and timing will decide the striking battle.

Grappling: Chris Padilla shoots at 29% accuracy but MarQuel Mederos stops 78% of attempts — the takedown path looks difficult.

Finish Threat: Chris Padilla finishes 75% of wins (50% KO/TKO, 25% sub).

Fight Length: MarQuel Mederos's fights average 15:00 vs 10:39 for Chris Padilla. If this reaches the championship rounds, MarQuel Mederos's conditioning history becomes a factor.

Last updated: 2026-08-20 | Data source: UFCStats.com