Chris Padilla vs MarQuel Mederos

Chris Padilla

Pro 18-6-1 | UFC 5-0-1

MarQuel Mederos

Pro 12-1-1 | UFC 4-0-1

Age

31|29

Height

5'9"|5'10"

Reach

74"|69"

Stance

Orthodox|Orthodox

Career Statistics

Statistic	Chris Padilla	MarQuel Mederos	Edge
Striking
Sig. Strike Accuracy	54.4%	60.0%	—
Sig. Strikes Landed/min	6.7	5.9	—
Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min	4.8	5.4	—
Strike Differential	1.8/min	0.5/min	◄
Grappling
Takedown Accuracy	29.4%	6.2%	◄
Takedown Defense	83.3%	75.0%	—
Takedowns Landed/15min	1.1	0.2	—
Submission Attempts/15min	0.4	0.0	—
Control Time/15min	2:28	1:41	—
Finishing Ability
KO/TKO % of Wins	40.0%	25.0%	—
Submission % of Wins	40.0%	0.0%	—
Decision % of Wins	20.0%	75.0%	—
Avg Fight Time	11:22	13:25	—
Secondary Stats
Knockdowns/15min	0.2	0.4	—
Reversals/15min	0.0	0.4	—
Edges	2	0	7 even

Fight Dynamics

Career Striking Volume

Chris Padilla MarQuel Mederos League median

Statistic	Chris Padilla	MarQuel Mederos	Edge
Fight Shape
Fight Completion Rate	75.9%	89.5%	—
Avg Fight Time	11:22	13:25	—
% Fights Inside the Distance	66.7%	20.0%	—
Strength of UFC Schedule
Opponent UFC Win % (all)	59.4%	57.1%	—
Opponent UFC Record (all)	19-13 (59.4%)	12-9 (57.1%)	—
Opponent Record (among wins)	16-13 (55.2%)	8-9 (47.1%)	—
Positional Profile
% Time at Distance (approx.)	82.4%	63.5%	—
% Time in Control	16.5%	11.3%	—
% Time Controlled	1.1%	25.2%	◀
Control Rate of Clinch/Ground Time	93.9%	30.9%	◀
Distance Striking
Distance Sig. Landed / Min	6.75	7.91	▶
Distance Sig. Absorbed / Min	5.15	7.32	◀
Distance Striking Differential / Min	+1.60	+0.59	◀
Distance Strike Accuracy	51.2%	57.2%	▶
Distance Strike Defense	54.2%	54.3%	—
Power & Pressure
KDs per 100 Power Strikes	0.36	0.69	▶
Knocked Down per 100 Absorbed	0.00	0.00	—
TD Attempts per 5 Distance Min	1.51	1.88	—
TDs Faced per 5 Distance Min	1.07	3.29	—
Fade Index (R3 / R1 pace)	1.59	1.03	—

UFC fights only. Metrics with insufficient data show "—" and award no edge. Methodology →

Last 5 Fights (Averages)

Statistic	Chris Padilla	MarQuel Mederos	Edge
Sig. Strike Accuracy	54.7%	60.0%	—
Sig. Strikes Landed/min	7.0	5.9	◄
Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min	4.9	5.4	—
Takedown Accuracy	14.3%	6.2%	—
Takedown Defense	83.3%	75.0%	—
Control Time/Fight	1:59	1:30	—
Edges	1	0	5 even

Last 3 Fights

Chris Padilla

WIN

vs. Nasrat Haqparast

UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues • Aug 2026Lightweight

Submission (Arm Triangle) • Rd 3, 4:59

Chris Padilla125/22755%TD 1/3Ctrl 0:45KD 1

Nasrat Haqparast71/16842%TD 0/2Ctrl 0:00

▼ Rounds

Rnd	Fighter	Sig Str	Acc	TD	Ctrl	KD
R1	Chris Padilla	27/43	63%	0/0	0:00	—
	Nasrat Haqparast	13/36	36%	0/0	0:00	—

R2	Chris Padilla	46/83	55%	0/2	0:02	—
	Nasrat Haqparast	29/64	45%	0/0	0:00	—

R3	Chris Padilla	52/101	51%	1/1	0:43	1
	Nasrat Haqparast	29/68	43%	0/2	0:00	—

vs. MarQuel Mederos

UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg • Apr 2026Lightweight

Decision (Majority) • Rd 3, 5:00

Chris Padilla147/27154%TD 1/4Ctrl 2:09

MarQuel Mederos112/18062%TD 1/6Ctrl 0:16

▼ Rounds

Rnd	Fighter	Sig Str	Acc	TD	Ctrl	KD
R1	Chris Padilla	40/66	61%	0/1	0:58	—
	MarQuel Mederos	27/41	66%	0/3	0:15	—

R2	Chris Padilla	63/119	53%	0/1	0:14	—
	MarQuel Mederos	44/75	59%	1/2	0:01	—

R3	Chris Padilla	44/86	51%	1/2	0:57	—
	MarQuel Mederos	41/64	64%	0/1	0:00	—

WIN

vs. Ismael Bonfim

UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown • Nov 2025Lightweight

KO/TKO (Punches) • Rd 2, 4:30

Chris Padilla64/10959%TD 0/0Ctrl 3:21

Ismael Bonfim42/8450%TD 1/3Ctrl 0:15

▼ Rounds

Rnd	Fighter	Sig Str	Acc	TD	Ctrl	KD
R1	Chris Padilla	17/31	55%	0/0	2:23	—
	Ismael Bonfim	14/28	50%	1/2	0:08	—

R2	Chris Padilla	47/78	60%	0/0	0:58	—
	Ismael Bonfim	28/56	50%	0/1	0:07	—

MarQuel Mederos

WIN

vs. Mason Jones

UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues • Aug 2026Lightweight

KO/TKO (Punches) • Rd 2, 2:07

MarQuel Mederos73/10669%TD 0/4Ctrl 0:54KD 1

Mason Jones77/15151%TD 1/1Ctrl 0:30

▼ Rounds

Rnd	Fighter	Sig Str	Acc	TD	Ctrl	KD
R1	MarQuel Mederos	41/58	71%	0/3	0:50	—
	Mason Jones	48/97	49%	1/1	0:30	—

R2	MarQuel Mederos	32/48	67%	0/1	0:04	1
	Mason Jones	29/54	54%	0/0	0:00	—

vs. Chris Padilla

UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg • Apr 2026Lightweight

Decision (Majority) • Rd 3, 5:00

MarQuel Mederos112/18062%TD 1/6Ctrl 0:16

Chris Padilla147/27154%TD 1/4Ctrl 2:09

▼ Rounds

Rnd	Fighter	Sig Str	Acc	TD	Ctrl	KD
R1	MarQuel Mederos	27/41	66%	0/3	0:15	—
	Chris Padilla	40/66	61%	0/1	0:58	—

R2	MarQuel Mederos	44/75	59%	1/2	0:01	—
	Chris Padilla	63/119	53%	0/1	0:14	—

R3	MarQuel Mederos	41/64	64%	0/1	0:00	—
	Chris Padilla	44/86	51%	1/2	0:57	—

WIN

vs. Mark Choinski

UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 • Jun 2025Lightweight

Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00

MarQuel Mederos110/16567%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:38KD 1

Mark Choinski58/11451%TD 2/11Ctrl 4:39

▼ Rounds

Rnd	Fighter	Sig Str	Acc	TD	Ctrl	KD
R1	MarQuel Mederos	31/46	67%	0/0	0:02	—
	Mark Choinski	14/36	39%	0/3	1:23	—

R2	MarQuel Mederos	52/82	63%	0/0	0:16	—
	Mark Choinski	26/44	59%	1/2	0:41	—

R3	MarQuel Mederos	27/37	73%	0/0	0:20	1
	Mark Choinski	18/34	53%	1/6	2:35	—

Common Opponents

No Common Opponents

Analysis Summary

Striking Volume: Both fighters operate at a similar pace (6.7 vs 5.9 sig str/min). Accuracy and timing will decide the striking battle.

Grappling: Chris Padilla shoots at 29% accuracy but MarQuel Mederos stops 75% of attempts — the takedown path looks difficult.

Finish Threat: Chris Padilla finishes 80% of wins (40% KO/TKO, 40% sub).

Fight Length: MarQuel Mederos's fights average 13:25 vs 11:22 for Chris Padilla. If this reaches the championship rounds, MarQuel Mederos's conditioning history becomes a factor.

Last updated: 2026-09-14 | Data source: UFCStats.com