Christian Leroy Duncan vs Brendan Allen

Christian Leroy Duncan

Pro 15-3-0  |  UFC 8-3-0
VS

Brendan Allen

Pro 28-7-0  |  UFC 16-4-0
Age
31|30
Height
6'2"|6'2"
Reach
79"|75"
Stance
Switch|Orthodox

Career Statistics

Statistic Christian Leroy Duncan Brendan Allen Edge
Striking
Sig. Strike Accuracy57.6%52.0%—
Sig. Strikes Landed/min4.53.6◄
Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min2.33.8◄
Strike Differential2.1/min-0.2/min◄
Grappling
Takedown Accuracy20.0%41.3%►
Takedown Defense59.2%55.8%—
Takedowns Landed/15min0.41.6►
Submission Attempts/15min0.01.0►
Control Time/15min2:574:34►
Finishing Ability
KO/TKO % of Wins62.5%12.5%—
Submission % of Wins0.0%50.0%—
Decision % of Wins37.5%37.5%—
Avg Fight Time11:3912:17—
Secondary Stats
Knockdowns/15min0.40.2—
Reversals/15min0.20.9—
Edges342 even

Fight Dynamics

Career Striking Volume
Christian Leroy Duncan   Brendan Allen   League median
StatisticChristian Leroy DuncanBrendan AllenEdge
Fight Shape
Fight Completion Rate73.3%72.3%—
Avg Fight Time11:3912:17—
% Fights Inside the Distance54.5%60.0%—
Strength of UFC Schedule
Opponent UFC Win % (all)62.1%68.1%▶
Opponent UFC Record (all)59-36 (62.1%)111-52 (68.1%)—
Opponent Record (among wins)36-29 (55.4%)89-45 (66.4%)—
Positional Profile
% Time at Distance (approx.)48.8%47.3%—
% Time in Control19.7%30.5%▶
% Time Controlled31.5%22.3%▶
Control Rate of Clinch/Ground Time38.5%57.7%▶
Distance Striking
Distance Sig. Landed / Min6.945.87◀
Distance Sig. Absorbed / Min3.616.93◀
Distance Striking Differential / Min+3.33-1.06◀
Distance Strike Accuracy53.4%48.3%◀
Distance Strike Defense58.5%50.1%◀
Power & Pressure
KDs per 100 Power Strikes0.840.47◀
Knocked Down per 100 Absorbed0.000.25◀
TD Attempts per 5 Distance Min1.202.71—
TDs Faced per 5 Distance Min3.921.85—
Fade Index (R3 / R1 pace)0.771.11—
UFC fights only. Metrics with insufficient data show "—" and award no edge. Methodology →

Last 5 Fights (Averages)

Statistic Christian Leroy Duncan Brendan Allen Edge
Sig. Strike Accuracy55.7%48.8%—
Sig. Strikes Landed/min4.23.3◄
Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min1.73.9◄
Takedown Accuracy33.3%42.9%—
Takedown Defense51.6%56.2%—
Control Time/Fight1:485:02►
Edges213 even

Last 3 Fights

Christian Leroy Duncan

LOSS
vs. Brendan Allen
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan • Oct 2026Middleweight
Submission (Rear Naked Choke) • Rd 5, 2:46
Christian Leroy Duncan106/18956%TD 0/0Ctrl 3:51
Brendan Allen51/10748%TD 4/11Ctrl 8:39
▼ Rounds
WIN
vs. Jared Cannonier
UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman • Jul 2026Middleweight
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00
Christian Leroy Duncan68/11758%TD 1/3Ctrl 2:16
Jared Cannonier15/4633%TD 5/8Ctrl 6:12
▼ Rounds
WIN
vs. Roman Dolidze
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy • Mar 2026Middleweight
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00
Christian Leroy Duncan54/9955%TD 0/2Ctrl 1:08
Roman Dolidze10/3429%TD 3/4Ctrl 7:07
▼ Rounds

Brendan Allen

WIN
vs. Christian Leroy Duncan
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan • Oct 2026Middleweight
Submission (Rear Naked Choke) • Rd 5, 2:46
Brendan Allen51/10748%TD 4/11Ctrl 8:39
Christian Leroy Duncan106/18956%TD 0/0Ctrl 3:51
▼ Rounds
WIN
vs. Edmen Shahbazyan
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim • Jun 2026Middleweight
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00
Brendan Allen89/19446%TD 1/4Ctrl 0:28
Edmen Shahbazyan90/18050%TD 0/1Ctrl 0:08
▼ Rounds
WIN
vs. Reinier de Ridder
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen • Oct 2025Middleweight
KO/TKO • Rd 4, 5:00
Brendan Allen22/3759%TD 1/1Ctrl 11:39
Reinier de Ridder9/1369%TD 3/7Ctrl 7:05
▼ Rounds

Common Opponents

No Common Opponents

Analysis Summary

Striking Volume: Christian Leroy Duncan is the busier striker, landing 4.5 significant strikes per minute vs 3.6. Their opponent absorbs 3.8 strikes per minute on average — Christian Leroy Duncan's output should find a target.

Grappling: Brendan Allen shoots at 41% accuracy against Christian Leroy Duncan's 59% defense — Christian Leroy Duncan should keep it standing.

Finish Threat: Christian Leroy Duncan finishes 62% of wins (62% KO/TKO, 0% sub). Brendan Allen finishes 62% of wins (12% KO/TKO, 50% sub).

Data through UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott (Oct 17, 2026)
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