Christian Leroy Duncan vs Brendan Allen
Age
31|30
Height
6'2"|6'2"
Reach
79"|75"
Stance
Switch|Orthodox
Career Statistics
| Statistic | Christian Leroy Duncan | Brendan Allen | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Striking | |||
| Sig. Strike Accuracy | 57.6% | 52.0% | — |
| Sig. Strikes Landed/min | 4.5 | 3.6 | ◄ |
| Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min | 2.3 | 3.8 | ◄ |
| Strike Differential | 2.1/min | -0.2/min | ◄ |
| Grappling | |||
| Takedown Accuracy | 20.0% | 41.3% | ► |
| Takedown Defense | 59.2% | 55.8% | — |
| Takedowns Landed/15min | 0.4 | 1.6 | ► |
| Submission Attempts/15min | 0.0 | 1.0 | ► |
| Control Time/15min | 2:57 | 4:34 | ► |
| Finishing Ability | |||
| KO/TKO % of Wins | 62.5% | 12.5% | — |
| Submission % of Wins | 0.0% | 50.0% | — |
| Decision % of Wins | 37.5% | 37.5% | — |
| Avg Fight Time | 11:39 | 12:17 | — |
| Secondary Stats | |||
| Knockdowns/15min | 0.4 | 0.2 | — |
| Reversals/15min | 0.2 | 0.9 | — |
| Edges | 3 | 4 | 2 even |
Fight Dynamics
Career Striking Volume
Christian Leroy Duncan
Brendan Allen
League median
| Statistic | Christian Leroy Duncan | Brendan Allen | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fight Shape | |||
| Fight Completion Rate | 73.3% | 72.3% | — |
| Avg Fight Time | 11:39 | 12:17 | — |
| % Fights Inside the Distance | 54.5% | 60.0% | — |
| Strength of UFC Schedule | |||
| Opponent UFC Win % (all) | 62.1% | 68.1% | ▶ |
| Opponent UFC Record (all) | 59-36 (62.1%) | 111-52 (68.1%) | — |
| Opponent Record (among wins) | 36-29 (55.4%) | 89-45 (66.4%) | — |
| Positional Profile | |||
| % Time at Distance (approx.) | 48.8% | 47.3% | — |
| % Time in Control | 19.7% | 30.5% | ▶ |
| % Time Controlled | 31.5% | 22.3% | ▶ |
| Control Rate of Clinch/Ground Time | 38.5% | 57.7% | ▶ |
| Distance Striking | |||
| Distance Sig. Landed / Min | 6.94 | 5.87 | ◀ |
| Distance Sig. Absorbed / Min | 3.61 | 6.93 | ◀ |
| Distance Striking Differential / Min | +3.33 | -1.06 | ◀ |
| Distance Strike Accuracy | 53.4% | 48.3% | ◀ |
| Distance Strike Defense | 58.5% | 50.1% | ◀ |
| Power & Pressure | |||
| KDs per 100 Power Strikes | 0.84 | 0.47 | ◀ |
| Knocked Down per 100 Absorbed | 0.00 | 0.25 | ◀ |
| TD Attempts per 5 Distance Min | 1.20 | 2.71 | — |
| TDs Faced per 5 Distance Min | 3.92 | 1.85 | — |
| Fade Index (R3 / R1 pace) | 0.77 | 1.11 | — |
UFC fights only. Metrics with insufficient data show "—" and award no edge.
Methodology →
Last 5 Fights (Averages)
| Statistic | Christian Leroy Duncan | Brendan Allen | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sig. Strike Accuracy | 55.7% | 48.8% | — |
| Sig. Strikes Landed/min | 4.2 | 3.3 | ◄ |
| Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min | 1.7 | 3.9 | ◄ |
| Takedown Accuracy | 33.3% | 42.9% | — |
| Takedown Defense | 51.6% | 56.2% | — |
| Control Time/Fight | 1:48 | 5:02 | ► |
| Edges | 2 | 1 | 3 even |
Last 3 Fights
Christian Leroy Duncan
LOSS
vs. Brendan Allen
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan • Oct 2026Middleweight
Christian Leroy Duncan106/18956%TD 0/0Ctrl 3:51
Brendan Allen51/10748%TD 4/11Ctrl 8:39
WIN
vs. Jared Cannonier
UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman • Jul 2026Middleweight
Christian Leroy Duncan68/11758%TD 1/3Ctrl 2:16
Jared Cannonier15/4633%TD 5/8Ctrl 6:12
WIN
vs. Roman Dolidze
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy • Mar 2026Middleweight
Christian Leroy Duncan54/9955%TD 0/2Ctrl 1:08
Roman Dolidze10/3429%TD 3/4Ctrl 7:07
Brendan Allen
WIN
vs. Christian Leroy Duncan
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan • Oct 2026Middleweight
Brendan Allen51/10748%TD 4/11Ctrl 8:39
Christian Leroy Duncan106/18956%TD 0/0Ctrl 3:51
WIN
vs. Edmen Shahbazyan
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim • Jun 2026Middleweight
Brendan Allen89/19446%TD 1/4Ctrl 0:28
Edmen Shahbazyan90/18050%TD 0/1Ctrl 0:08
WIN
vs. Reinier de Ridder
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen • Oct 2025Middleweight
Brendan Allen22/3759%TD 1/1Ctrl 11:39
Reinier de Ridder9/1369%TD 3/7Ctrl 7:05
Common Opponents
No Common Opponents
Analysis Summary
Striking Volume: Christian Leroy Duncan is the busier striker, landing 4.5 significant strikes per minute vs 3.6. Their opponent absorbs 3.8 strikes per minute on average — Christian Leroy Duncan's output should find a target.
Grappling: Brendan Allen shoots at 41% accuracy against Christian Leroy Duncan's 59% defense — Christian Leroy Duncan should keep it standing.
Finish Threat: Christian Leroy Duncan finishes 62% of wins (62% KO/TKO, 0% sub). Brendan Allen finishes 62% of wins (12% KO/TKO, 50% sub).