Christian Leroy Duncan vs Brendan Allen
Age
31|30
Height
6'2"|6'2"
Reach
79"|75"
Stance
Switch|Orthodox
Career Statistics
| Statistic | Christian Leroy Duncan | Brendan Allen | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Striking | |||
| Sig. Strike Accuracy | 58.0% | 52.3% | — |
| Sig. Strikes Landed/min | 4.4 | 3.7 | — |
| Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min | 2.4 | 3.7 | ◄ |
| Strike Differential | 2.1/min | -0.0/min | ◄ |
| Grappling | |||
| Takedown Accuracy | 20.0% | 42.3% | ► |
| Takedown Defense | 57.9% | 55.8% | — |
| Takedowns Landed/15min | 0.4 | 1.5 | ► |
| Submission Attempts/15min | 0.0 | 1.0 | ► |
| Control Time/15min | 3:03 | 4:27 | ► |
| Finishing Ability | |||
| KO/TKO % of Wins | 62.5% | 13.3% | — |
| Submission % of Wins | 0.0% | 46.7% | — |
| Decision % of Wins | 37.5% | 40.0% | — |
| Avg Fight Time | 10:32 | 11:44 | — |
| Secondary Stats | |||
| Knockdowns/15min | 0.4 | 0.2 | — |
| Reversals/15min | 0.1 | 0.9 | — |
| Edges | 2 | 4 | 3 even |
Fight Dynamics
Career Striking Volume
Christian Leroy Duncan
Brendan Allen
League median
| Statistic | Christian Leroy Duncan | Brendan Allen | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fight Shape | |||
| Fight Completion Rate | 70.3% | 70.8% | — |
| Avg Fight Time | 10:32 | 11:44 | — |
| % Fights Inside the Distance | 50.0% | 57.9% | — |
| Strength of UFC Schedule | |||
| Opponent UFC Win % (all) | 57.9% | 67.3% | ▶ |
| Opponent UFC Record (all) | 44-32 (57.9%) | 103-50 (67.3%) | — |
| Opponent Record (among wins) | 36-29 (55.4%) | 81-43 (65.3%) | — |
| Positional Profile | |||
| % Time at Distance (approx.) | 49.6% | 47.5% | — |
| % Time in Control | 20.3% | 29.7% | ▶ |
| % Time Controlled | 30.1% | 22.8% | — |
| Control Rate of Clinch/Ground Time | 40.3% | 56.5% | ▶ |
| Distance Striking | |||
| Distance Sig. Landed / Min | 6.64 | 6.14 | — |
| Distance Sig. Absorbed / Min | 3.71 | 6.78 | ◀ |
| Distance Striking Differential / Min | +2.93 | -0.64 | ◀ |
| Distance Strike Accuracy | 53.5% | 48.9% | — |
| Distance Strike Defense | 58.0% | 50.4% | ◀ |
| Power & Pressure | |||
| KDs per 100 Power Strikes | 1.07 | 0.51 | ◀ |
| Knocked Down per 100 Absorbed | 0.00 | 0.28 | ◀ |
| TD Attempts per 5 Distance Min | 1.44 | 2.46 | — |
| TDs Faced per 5 Distance Min | 3.63 | 2.03 | — |
| Fade Index (R3 / R1 pace) | 0.88 | 1.18 | — |
UFC fights only. Metrics with insufficient data show "—" and award no edge.
Methodology →
Last 5 Fights (Averages)
| Statistic | Christian Leroy Duncan | Brendan Allen | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sig. Strike Accuracy | 54.3% | 49.9% | — |
| Sig. Strikes Landed/min | 4.2 | 3.3 | ◄ |
| Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min | 1.3 | 3.7 | ◄ |
| Takedown Accuracy | 25.0% | 30.0% | — |
| Takedown Defense | 54.2% | 56.2% | — |
| Control Time/Fight | 2:09 | 4:31 | ► |
| Edges | 2 | 1 | 3 even |
Last 3 Fights
Christian Leroy Duncan
WIN
vs. Jared Cannonier
UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman • Jul 2026Middleweight
Christian Leroy Duncan68/11758%TD 1/3Ctrl 2:16
Jared Cannonier15/4633%TD 5/8Ctrl 6:12
WIN
vs. Roman Dolidze
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy • Mar 2026Middleweight
Christian Leroy Duncan54/9955%TD 0/2Ctrl 1:08
Roman Dolidze10/3429%TD 3/4Ctrl 7:07
WIN
vs. Marco Tulio
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown • Nov 2025Middleweight
Christian Leroy Duncan23/4650%TD 1/1Ctrl 1:10KD 1
Marco Tulio27/5747%TD 2/5Ctrl 2:33
Brendan Allen
WIN
vs. Edmen Shahbazyan
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim • Jun 2026Middleweight
Brendan Allen89/19446%TD 1/4Ctrl 0:28
Edmen Shahbazyan90/18050%TD 0/1Ctrl 0:08
WIN
vs. Reinier de Ridder
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen • Oct 2025Middleweight
Brendan Allen22/3759%TD 1/1Ctrl 11:39
Reinier de Ridder9/1369%TD 3/7Ctrl 7:05
WIN
vs. Marvin Vettori
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 • Jul 2025Middleweight
Brendan Allen111/22450%TD 3/4Ctrl 1:27
Marvin Vettori109/25343%TD 0/0Ctrl 1:17
Common Opponents
No Common Opponents
Analysis Summary
Striking Volume: Both fighters operate at a similar pace (4.4 vs 3.7 sig str/min). Accuracy and timing will decide the striking battle.
Grappling: Brendan Allen shoots at 42% accuracy against Christian Leroy Duncan's 58% defense — Christian Leroy Duncan should keep it standing.
Finish Threat: Christian Leroy Duncan finishes 62% of wins (62% KO/TKO, 0% sub). Brendan Allen finishes 60% of wins (13% KO/TKO, 47% sub).