Christian Leroy Duncan vs Jared Cannonier

Christian Leroy Duncan

Pro 15-3-0 | UFC 8-3-0

Jared Cannonier

Pro 18-10-0 | UFC 11-10-0

Age

31|42

Height

6'2"|5'11"

Reach

79"|77"

Stance

Switch|Switch

Career Statistics

Statistic	Christian Leroy Duncan	Jared Cannonier	Edge
Striking
Sig. Strike Accuracy	57.6%	49.4%	◄
Sig. Strikes Landed/min	4.5	4.2	—
Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min	2.3	4.4	◄
Strike Differential	2.1/min	-0.1/min	◄
Grappling
Takedown Accuracy	20.0%	45.5%	►
Takedown Defense	59.2%	64.8%	—
Takedowns Landed/15min	0.4	0.8	—
Submission Attempts/15min	0.0	0.0	—
Control Time/15min	2:57	1:51	◄
Finishing Ability
KO/TKO % of Wins	62.5%	63.6%	—
Submission % of Wins	0.0%	0.0%	—
Decision % of Wins	37.5%	36.4%	—
Avg Fight Time	11:39	13:57	—
Secondary Stats
Knockdowns/15min	0.4	0.4	—
Reversals/15min	0.2	0.0	—
Edges	4	1	4 even

Fight Dynamics

Career Striking Volume

Christian Leroy Duncan Jared Cannonier League median

Statistic	Christian Leroy Duncan	Jared Cannonier	Edge
Fight Shape
Fight Completion Rate	73.3%	74.2%	—
Avg Fight Time	11:39	13:57	—
% Fights Inside the Distance	54.5%	47.6%	—
Strength of UFC Schedule
Opponent UFC Win % (all)	62.1%	73.2%	▶
Opponent UFC Record (all)	59-36 (62.1%)	142-52 (73.2%)	—
Opponent Record (among wins)	36-29 (55.4%)	82-33 (71.3%)	—
Positional Profile
% Time at Distance (approx.)	48.8%	75.2%	—
% Time in Control	19.7%	12.4%	—
% Time Controlled	31.5%	12.3%	▶
Control Rate of Clinch/Ground Time	38.5%	50.2%	—
Distance Striking
Distance Sig. Landed / Min	6.94	4.57	◀
Distance Sig. Absorbed / Min	3.61	5.16	◀
Distance Striking Differential / Min	+3.33	-0.59	◀
Distance Strike Accuracy	53.4%	45.3%	◀
Distance Strike Defense	58.5%	57.4%	—
Power & Pressure
KDs per 100 Power Strikes	0.84	0.74	—
Knocked Down per 100 Absorbed	0.00	0.77	◀
TD Attempts per 5 Distance Min	1.20	0.75	—
TDs Faced per 5 Distance Min	3.92	1.61	—
Fade Index (R3 / R1 pace)	0.77	1.23	—

UFC fights only. Metrics with insufficient data show "—" and award no edge. Methodology →

Last 5 Fights (Averages)

Statistic	Christian Leroy Duncan	Jared Cannonier	Edge
Sig. Strike Accuracy	55.7%	42.0%	◄
Sig. Strikes Landed/min	4.2	3.2	◄
Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min	1.7	4.9	◄
Takedown Accuracy	33.3%	47.4%	►
Takedown Defense	51.6%	72.7%	►
Control Time/Fight	1:48	4:34	►
Edges	3	3	0 even

Last 3 Fights

Christian Leroy Duncan

LOSS

vs. Brendan Allen

UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan • Oct 2026Middleweight

Submission (Rear Naked Choke) • Rd 5, 2:46

Christian Leroy Duncan106/18956%TD 0/0Ctrl 3:51

Brendan Allen51/10748%TD 4/11Ctrl 8:39

▼ Rounds

Rnd	Fighter	Sig Str	Acc	TD	Ctrl	KD
R1	Christian Leroy Duncan	24/39	62%	0/0	1:54	—
	Brendan Allen	15/22	68%	1/4	1:31	—

R2	Christian Leroy Duncan	14/27	52%	0/0	0:00	—
	Brendan Allen	10/24	42%	1/2	2:49	—

R3	Christian Leroy Duncan	6/6	100%	0/0	1:57	—
	Brendan Allen	6/6	100%	1/3	2:57	—

R4	Christian Leroy Duncan	46/89	52%	0/0	0:00	—
	Brendan Allen	17/43	40%	0/0	0:00	—

R5	Christian Leroy Duncan	16/28	57%	0/0	0:00	—
	Brendan Allen	3/12	25%	1/2	1:22	—

WIN

vs. Jared Cannonier

UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman • Jul 2026Middleweight

Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00

Christian Leroy Duncan68/11758%TD 1/3Ctrl 2:16

Jared Cannonier15/4633%TD 5/8Ctrl 6:12

▼ Rounds

Rnd	Fighter	Sig Str	Acc	TD	Ctrl	KD
R1	Christian Leroy Duncan	27/42	64%	1/1	1:09	—
	Jared Cannonier	2/8	25%	1/3	2:02	—

R2	Christian Leroy Duncan	16/31	52%	0/1	0:44	—
	Jared Cannonier	10/25	40%	1/2	2:19	—

R3	Christian Leroy Duncan	25/44	57%	0/1	0:23	—
	Jared Cannonier	3/13	23%	3/3	1:51	—

WIN

vs. Roman Dolidze

UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy • Mar 2026Middleweight

Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00

Christian Leroy Duncan54/9955%TD 0/2Ctrl 1:08

Roman Dolidze10/3429%TD 3/4Ctrl 7:07

▼ Rounds

Rnd	Fighter	Sig Str	Acc	TD	Ctrl	KD
R1	Christian Leroy Duncan	16/29	55%	0/1	0:37	—
	Roman Dolidze	2/6	33%	2/2	2:33	—

R2	Christian Leroy Duncan	20/44	45%	0/0	0:31	—
	Roman Dolidze	5/19	26%	0/1	1:33	—

R3	Christian Leroy Duncan	18/26	69%	0/1	0:00	—
	Roman Dolidze	3/9	33%	1/1	3:01	—

Jared Cannonier

LOSS

vs. Christian Leroy Duncan

UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman • Jul 2026Middleweight

Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00

Jared Cannonier15/4633%TD 5/8Ctrl 6:12

Christian Leroy Duncan68/11758%TD 1/3Ctrl 2:16

▼ Rounds

Rnd	Fighter	Sig Str	Acc	TD	Ctrl	KD
R1	Jared Cannonier	2/8	25%	1/3	2:02	—
	Christian Leroy Duncan	27/42	64%	1/1	1:09	—

R2	Jared Cannonier	10/25	40%	1/2	2:19	—
	Christian Leroy Duncan	16/31	52%	0/1	0:44	—

R3	Jared Cannonier	3/13	23%	3/3	1:51	—
	Christian Leroy Duncan	25/44	57%	0/1	0:23	—

LOSS

vs. Michael Page

UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev • Aug 2025Middleweight

Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00

Jared Cannonier20/5735%TD 2/7Ctrl 8:14

Michael Page29/5553%TD 0/1Ctrl 0:01

▼ Rounds

Rnd	Fighter	Sig Str	Acc	TD	Ctrl	KD
R1	Jared Cannonier	2/16	12%	0/3	2:10	—
	Michael Page	11/20	55%	0/1	0:00	—

R2	Jared Cannonier	10/25	40%	1/3	1:56	—
	Michael Page	11/20	55%	0/0	0:01	—

R3	Jared Cannonier	8/16	50%	1/1	4:08	—
	Michael Page	7/15	47%	0/0	0:00	—

WIN

vs. Gregory Rodrigues

UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues • Feb 2025Middleweight

KO/TKO (Punches) • Rd 4, 0:21

Jared Cannonier98/20149%TD 1/3Ctrl 2:09KD 2

Gregory Rodrigues93/22142%TD 0/3Ctrl 0:17KD 2

▼ Rounds

Rnd	Fighter	Sig Str	Acc	TD	Ctrl	KD
R1	Jared Cannonier	22/38	58%	1/1	1:34	—
	Gregory Rodrigues	25/66	38%	0/1	0:17	2

R2	Jared Cannonier	33/72	46%	0/1	0:18	—
	Gregory Rodrigues	25/68	37%	0/0	0:00	—

R3	Jared Cannonier	34/78	44%	0/1	0:17	1
	Gregory Rodrigues	43/87	49%	0/2	0:00	—

R4	Jared Cannonier	9/13	69%	0/0	0:00	1
	Gregory Rodrigues	0/0	—	0/0	0:00	—

Common Opponents

vs. Gregory Rodrigues

Christian Leroy Duncan

LOSS

UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 • Jul 2024Middleweight

Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00

Christian Leroy Duncan29/4860%TD 0/0Ctrl 1:45

Gregory Rodrigues45/7957%TD 4/12Ctrl 8:20

▼ Rounds

Rnd	Fighter	Sig Str	Acc	TD	Ctrl	KD
R1	Christian Leroy Duncan	9/19	47%	0/0	0:00	—
	Gregory Rodrigues	12/21	57%	1/1	3:01	—

R2	Christian Leroy Duncan	13/17	76%	0/0	1:25	—
	Gregory Rodrigues	26/43	60%	1/7	1:39	—

R3	Christian Leroy Duncan	7/12	58%	0/0	0:20	—
	Gregory Rodrigues	7/15	47%	2/4	3:40	—

Jared Cannonier

WIN

UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues • Feb 2025Middleweight

KO/TKO (Punches) • Rd 4, 0:21

Jared Cannonier98/20149%TD 1/3Ctrl 2:09KD 2

Gregory Rodrigues93/22142%TD 0/3Ctrl 0:17KD 2

▼ Rounds

Rnd	Fighter	Sig Str	Acc	TD	Ctrl	KD
R1	Jared Cannonier	22/38	58%	1/1	1:34	—
	Gregory Rodrigues	25/66	38%	0/1	0:17	2

R2	Jared Cannonier	33/72	46%	0/1	0:18	—
	Gregory Rodrigues	25/68	37%	0/0	0:00	—

R3	Jared Cannonier	34/78	44%	0/1	0:17	1
	Gregory Rodrigues	43/87	49%	0/2	0:00	—

R4	Jared Cannonier	9/13	69%	0/0	0:00	1
	Gregory Rodrigues	0/0	—	0/0	0:00	—

Analysis Summary

Striking Volume: Both fighters operate at a similar pace (4.5 vs 4.2 sig str/min). Accuracy and timing will decide the striking battle.

Striking Accuracy: Christian Leroy Duncan connects on 57.6% of significant strikes compared to 49.4%. The 8pp accuracy gap compounds over the rounds.

Grappling: Jared Cannonier shoots at 45% accuracy against Christian Leroy Duncan's 59% defense — Christian Leroy Duncan should keep it standing.

Finish Threat: Christian Leroy Duncan finishes 62% of wins (62% KO/TKO, 0% sub). Jared Cannonier finishes 64% of wins (64% KO/TKO, 0% sub).

Fight Length: Jared Cannonier's fights average 13:57 vs 11:39 for Christian Leroy Duncan. If this reaches the championship rounds, Jared Cannonier's conditioning history becomes a factor.

Data through UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev (Oct 24, 2026)