| Statistic | Christian Leroy Duncan | Jared Cannonier | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Striking | |||
| Sig. Strike Accuracy | 57.9% | 49.7% | ◄ |
| Sig. Strikes Landed/min | 4.4 | 4.4 | — |
| Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min | 2.6 | 4.3 | ◄ |
| Strike Differential | 1.8/min | 0.1/min | ◄ |
| Grappling | |||
| Takedown Accuracy | 16.7% | 40.0% | ► |
| Takedown Defense | 63.3% | 64.7% | — |
| Takedowns Landed/15min | 0.3 | 0.5 | — |
| Submission Attempts/15min | 0.0 | 0.0 | — |
| Control Time/15min | 3:10 | 1:37 | ◄ |
| Finishing Ability | |||
| KO/TKO % of Wins | 71.4% | 63.6% | — |
| Submission % of Wins | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
| Decision % of Wins | 28.6% | 36.4% | — |
| Avg Fight Time | 10:02 | 13:54 | — |
| Secondary Stats | |||
| Knockdowns/15min | 0.5 | 0.4 | — |
| Reversals/15min | 0.0 | 0.0 | — |
| Edges | 4 | 1 | 4 even |
| Statistic | Christian Leroy Duncan | Jared Cannonier | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fight Shape | |||
| Fight Completion Rate | 67.0% | 73.2% | — |
| Avg Fight Time | 10:02 | 13:54 | — |
| % Fights Inside the Distance | 55.6% | 50.0% | — |
| Strength of UFC Schedule | |||
| Opponent UFC Win % (all) | 58.9% | 73.0% | ▶ |
| Opponent UFC Record (all) | 33-23 (58.9%) | 135-50 (73.0%) | — |
| Opponent Record (among wins) | 25-20 (55.6%) | 82-33 (71.3%) | — |
| Positional Profile | |||
| % Time at Distance (approx.) | 50.6% | 76.9% | — |
| % Time in Control | 21.2% | 10.9% | ◀ |
| % Time Controlled | 28.2% | 12.2% | ▶ |
| Control Rate of Clinch/Ground Time | 42.9% | 47.1% | — |
| Distance Striking | |||
| Distance Sig. Landed / Min | 6.65 | 4.68 | ◀ |
| Distance Sig. Absorbed / Min | 4.11 | 5.11 | ◀ |
| Distance Striking Differential / Min | +2.54 | -0.43 | ◀ |
| Distance Strike Accuracy | 53.7% | 45.7% | ◀ |
| Distance Strike Defense | 56.2% | 57.7% | — |
| Power & Pressure | |||
| KDs per 100 Power Strikes | 1.33 | 0.76 | ◀ |
| Knocked Down per 100 Absorbed | 0.00 | 0.81 | ◀ |
| TD Attempts per 5 Distance Min | 1.31 | 0.58 | — |
| TDs Faced per 5 Distance Min | 3.28 | 1.59 | — |
| Fade Index (R3 / R1 pace) | 0.82 | 1.25 | — |
| Statistic | Christian Leroy Duncan | Jared Cannonier | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sig. Strike Accuracy | 53.8% | 49.0% | — |
| Sig. Strikes Landed/min | 3.5 | 5.2 | ► |
| Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min | 1.9 | 5.3 | ◄ |
| Takedown Accuracy | 20.0% | 47.1% | ► |
| Takedown Defense | 64.3% | 66.7% | — |
| Control Time/Fight | 2:03 | 3:57 | ► |
| Edges | 1 | 3 | 2 even |
Striking Volume: Both fighters operate at a similar pace (4.4 vs 4.4 sig str/min). Accuracy and timing will decide the striking battle.
Striking Accuracy: Christian Leroy Duncan connects on 57.9% of significant strikes compared to 49.7%. The 8pp accuracy gap compounds over the rounds.
Grappling: Jared Cannonier shoots at 40% accuracy against Christian Leroy Duncan's 63% defense — Christian Leroy Duncan should keep it standing.
Finish Threat: Christian Leroy Duncan finishes 71% of wins (71% KO/TKO, 0% sub). Jared Cannonier finishes 64% of wins (64% KO/TKO, 0% sub).
Fight Length: Jared Cannonier's fights average 13:54 vs 10:02 for Christian Leroy Duncan. If this reaches the championship rounds, Jared Cannonier's conditioning history becomes a factor.