| Statistic | Christian Leroy Duncan | Jared Cannonier | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Striking | |||
| Sig. Strike Accuracy | 57.9% | 48.7% | ◄ |
| Sig. Strikes Landed/min | 4.4 | 4.3 | — |
| Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min | 2.6 | 4.5 | ◄ |
| Strike Differential | 1.8/min | -0.2/min | ◄ |
| Grappling | |||
| Takedown Accuracy | 16.7% | 40.9% | ► |
| Takedown Defense | 63.3% | 70.5% | — |
| Takedowns Landed/15min | 0.3 | 0.5 | — |
| Submission Attempts/15min | 0.0 | 0.0 | — |
| Control Time/15min | 3:10 | 1:35 | ◄ |
| Finishing Ability | |||
| KO/TKO % of Wins | 71.4% | 66.7% | — |
| Submission % of Wins | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
| Decision % of Wins | 28.6% | 33.3% | — |
| Avg Fight Time | 10:02 | 13:56 | — |
| Secondary Stats | |||
| Knockdowns/15min | 0.0 | 0.0 | — |
| Reversals/15min | 0.0 | 0.0 | — |
| Edges | 4 | 1 | 4 even |
| Statistic | Christian Leroy Duncan | Jared Cannonier | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sig. Strike Accuracy | 53.8% | 49.0% | — |
| Sig. Strikes Landed/min | 3.5 | 5.2 | ► |
| Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min | 1.9 | 5.3 | ◄ |
| Takedown Accuracy | 20.0% | 47.1% | ► |
| Takedown Defense | 64.3% | 66.7% | — |
| Control Time/Fight | 2:03 | 3:57 | ► |
| Edges | 1 | 3 | 2 even |
Striking Volume: Both fighters operate at a similar pace (4.4 vs 4.3 sig str/min). Accuracy and timing will decide the striking battle.
Striking Accuracy: Christian Leroy Duncan connects on 57.9% of significant strikes compared to 48.7%. The 9pp accuracy gap compounds over the rounds.
Grappling: Jared Cannonier shoots at 41% accuracy against Christian Leroy Duncan's 63% defense — Christian Leroy Duncan should keep it standing.
Finish Threat: Christian Leroy Duncan finishes 71% of wins (71% KO/TKO, 0% sub). Jared Cannonier finishes 67% of wins (67% KO/TKO, 0% sub).
Fight Length: Jared Cannonier's fights average 13:56 vs 10:02 for Christian Leroy Duncan. If this reaches the championship rounds, Jared Cannonier's conditioning history becomes a factor.