Cody Garbrandt vs Xiao Long
Age
35|28
Height
5'8"|5'8"
Reach
65"|70"
Stance
Orthodox|Orthodox
Career Statistics
| Statistic | Cody Garbrandt | Xiao Long | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Striking | |||
| Sig. Strike Accuracy | 40.4% | 45.8% | — |
| Sig. Strikes Landed/min | 2.8 | 5.0 | ► |
| Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min | 3.7 | 4.3 | — |
| Strike Differential | -0.9/min | 0.7/min | ► |
| Grappling | |||
| Takedown Accuracy | 22.2% | 30.0% | — |
| Takedown Defense | 81.8% | 88.0% | — |
| Takedowns Landed/15min | 0.8 | 0.8 | — |
| Submission Attempts/15min | 0.0 | 0.0 | — |
| Control Time/15min | 0:51 | 2:03 | ► |
| Finishing Ability | |||
| KO/TKO % of Wins | 60.0% | 100.0% | — |
| Submission % of Wins | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
| Decision % of Wins | 40.0% | 0.0% | — |
| Avg Fight Time | 9:54 | 11:29 | — |
| Secondary Stats | |||
| Knockdowns/15min | 0.9 | 0.3 | — |
| Reversals/15min | 0.1 | 0.0 | — |
| Edges | 0 | 3 | 6 even |
Fight Dynamics
Career Striking Volume
Cody Garbrandt
Xiao Long
League median
| Statistic | Cody Garbrandt | Xiao Long | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fight Shape | |||
| Fight Completion Rate | 55.7% | 76.6% | — |
| Avg Fight Time | 9:54 | 11:29 | — |
| % Fights Inside the Distance | 66.7% | 40.0% | — |
| Strength of UFC Schedule | |||
| Opponent UFC Win % (all) | 70.3% | 57.9% | ◀ |
| Opponent UFC Record (all) | 109-46 (70.3%) | 11-8 (57.9%) | — |
| Opponent Record (among wins) | 43-22 (66.2%) | 0-1 (0.0%) | — |
| Positional Profile | |||
| % Time at Distance (approx.) | 87.7% | 81.2% | — |
| % Time in Control | 5.7% | 13.7% | — |
| % Time Controlled | 6.6% | 5.1% | — |
| Control Rate of Clinch/Ground Time | 46.4% | 72.7% | ▶ |
| Distance Striking | |||
| Distance Sig. Landed / Min | 2.79 | 4.27 | ▶ |
| Distance Sig. Absorbed / Min | 3.67 | 3.15 | — |
| Distance Striking Differential / Min | -0.89 | +1.11 | ▶ |
| Distance Strike Accuracy | 38.1% | 39.7% | — |
| Distance Strike Defense | 61.3% | 55.6% | ◀ |
| Power & Pressure | |||
| KDs per 100 Power Strikes | 2.72 | 0.46 | ◀ |
| Knocked Down per 100 Absorbed | 1.64 | 0.43 | ▶ |
| TD Attempts per 5 Distance Min | 1.44 | 1.07 | — |
| TDs Faced per 5 Distance Min | 1.05 | 2.68 | — |
| Fade Index (R3 / R1 pace) | 0.98 | 1.17 | — |
UFC fights only. Metrics with insufficient data show "—" and award no edge.
Methodology →
Last 5 Fights (Averages)
| Statistic | Cody Garbrandt | Xiao Long | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sig. Strike Accuracy | 41.7% | 45.8% | — |
| Sig. Strikes Landed/min | 2.3 | 5.0 | ► |
| Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min | 3.1 | 4.3 | ◄ |
| Takedown Accuracy | 0.0% | 30.0% | ► |
| Takedown Defense | 84.2% | 88.0% | — |
| Control Time/Fight | 0:24 | 1:34 | — |
| Edges | 1 | 2 | 3 even |
Last 3 Fights
Cody Garbrandt
LOSS
vs. Adrian Yanez
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 • Jul 2026Bantamweight
Cody Garbrandt13/3241%TD 0/1Ctrl 0:00
Adrian Yanez16/3053%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00KD 1
WIN
vs. Xiao Long
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 • Mar 2026Bantamweight
Cody Garbrandt28/5452%TD 0/8Ctrl 0:53
Xiao Long59/10855%TD 1/2Ctrl 0:47
LOSS
vs. Raoni Barcelos
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley • Jun 2025Bantamweight
Cody Garbrandt28/9430%TD 0/7Ctrl 0:46
Raoni Barcelos37/8544%TD 1/11Ctrl 2:26
Xiao Long
LOSS
vs. Francesco Nuzzi
UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song • Aug 2026Bantamweight
Xiao Long4/757%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
Francesco Nuzzi11/2055%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:02KD 1
LOSS
vs. Cody Garbrandt
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 • Mar 2026Bantamweight
Xiao Long59/10855%TD 1/2Ctrl 0:47
Cody Garbrandt28/5452%TD 0/8Ctrl 0:53
LOSS
vs. SuYoung You
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang • Aug 2025Bantamweight
Xiao Long68/21432%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:20
SuYoung You58/11053%TD 0/6Ctrl 0:07
Common Opponents
No Common Opponents
Analysis Summary
Striking Volume: Xiao Long is the busier striker, landing 5.0 significant strikes per minute vs 2.8. Their opponent absorbs 3.7 strikes per minute on average — Xiao Long's output should find a target.
Grappling: Cody Garbrandt shoots at 22% accuracy but Xiao Long stops 88% of attempts — the takedown path looks difficult. Xiao Long shoots at 30% accuracy against Cody Garbrandt's 82% defense — Cody Garbrandt should keep it standing.
Finish Threat: Cody Garbrandt finishes 60% of wins (60% KO/TKO, 0% sub). Xiao Long finishes 100% of wins (100% KO/TKO, 0% sub).
Fight Length: Xiao Long's fights average 11:29 vs 9:54 for Cody Garbrandt. If this reaches the championship rounds, Xiao Long's conditioning history becomes a factor.