Colby Thicknesse vs Vince Morales

Colby Thicknesse

Pro 9-1-0  |  UFC 2-1-0
VS

Vince Morales

Pro 16-11-0  |  UFC 3-9-0
Age
27|35
Height
5'7"|5'7"
Reach
69"|70"
Stance
Orthodox|Orthodox

Career Statistics

Statistic Colby Thicknesse Vince Morales Edge
Striking
Sig. Strike Accuracy41.1%36.7%—
Sig. Strikes Landed/min3.23.4—
Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min2.93.9◄
Strike Differential0.3/min-0.5/min◄
Grappling
Takedown Accuracy7.1%47.1%►
Takedown Defense33.3%64.4%►
Takedowns Landed/15min0.70.7—
Submission Attempts/15min1.70.5◄
Control Time/15min3:351:15◄
Finishing Ability
KO/TKO % of Wins0.0%33.3%—
Submission % of Wins0.0%0.0%—
Decision % of Wins100.0%66.7%—
Avg Fight Time15:0013:27—
Secondary Stats
Knockdowns/15min0.00.2—
Reversals/15min0.30.4—
Edges423 even

Fight Dynamics

Career Striking Volume
Colby Thicknesse   Vince Morales   League median
StatisticColby ThicknesseVince MoralesEdge
Fight Shape
Fight Completion Rate100.0%89.7%—
Avg Fight Time15:0013:27—
% Fights Inside the Distance0.0%16.7%—
Strength of UFC Schedule
Opponent UFC Win % (all)25.0%62.3%▶
Opponent UFC Record (all)3-9 (25.0%)33-20 (62.3%)—
Opponent Record (among wins)3-9 (25.0%)9-9 (50.0%)—
Positional Profile
% Time at Distance (approx.)55.0%77.0%—
% Time in Control23.9%8.5%◀
% Time Controlled21.0%14.6%—
Control Rate of Clinch/Ground Time53.2%36.8%◀
Distance Striking
Distance Sig. Landed / Min3.753.83—
Distance Sig. Absorbed / Min4.204.56—
Distance Striking Differential / Min-0.44-0.73—
Distance Strike Accuracy35.1%34.8%—
Distance Strike Defense57.4%56.4%—
Power & Pressure
KDs per 100 Power Strikes0.000.41▶
Knocked Down per 100 Absorbed0.000.45◀
TD Attempts per 5 Distance Min5.650.69—
TDs Faced per 5 Distance Min1.211.83—
Fade Index (R3 / R1 pace)0.451.62—
UFC fights only. Metrics with insufficient data show "—" and award no edge. Methodology →

Last 5 Fights (Averages)

Statistic Colby Thicknesse Vince Morales Edge
Sig. Strike Accuracy41.1%35.9%—
Sig. Strikes Landed/min3.22.4◄
Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min2.93.2—
Takedown Accuracy7.1%53.8%►
Takedown Defense33.3%74.2%►
Control Time/Fight3:352:24—
Edges123 even

Last 3 Fights

Colby Thicknesse

WIN
vs. Vince Morales
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00
Colby Thicknesse46/11739%TD 0/6Ctrl 3:01
Vince Morales48/12140%TD 2/2Ctrl 3:34
▼ Rounds
WIN
vs. Josias Musasa
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes • Sep 2025Bantamweight
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00
Colby Thicknesse62/11156%TD 2/14Ctrl 7:45
Josias Musasa43/8948%TD 1/2Ctrl 0:52
▼ Rounds
LOSS
vs. Aleksandre Topuria
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 • Feb 2025Bantamweight
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00
Colby Thicknesse38/12730%TD 0/8Ctrl 0:00
Aleksandre Topuria41/7952%TD 1/2Ctrl 5:02
▼ Rounds

Vince Morales

LOSS
vs. Colby Thicknesse
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00
Vince Morales48/12140%TD 2/2Ctrl 3:34
Colby Thicknesse46/11739%TD 0/6Ctrl 3:01
▼ Rounds
LOSS
vs. Raul Rosas Jr.
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg • Mar 2025Bantamweight
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00
Vince Morales17/3155%TD 1/1Ctrl 2:14
Raul Rosas Jr.20/3951%TD 4/8Ctrl 9:38
▼ Rounds
LOSS
vs. Elijah Smith
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00
Vince Morales40/8647%TD 2/4Ctrl 3:07
Elijah Smith40/9741%TD 3/4Ctrl 2:53
▼ Rounds

Common Opponents

No Common Opponents

Analysis Summary

Striking Volume: Both fighters operate at a similar pace (3.2 vs 3.4 sig str/min). Accuracy and timing will decide the striking battle.

Grappling: Colby Thicknesse shoots at 7% accuracy but Vince Morales stops 64% of attempts — the takedown path looks difficult. Vince Morales is a serious grappling threat at 0.7 TD/15min (47% accuracy) against Colby Thicknesse's 33% defense.

Control: Colby Thicknesse controls 3:35 per fight on average vs 1:07 — sustained control shifts rounds and drains cardio.

Finish Threat: Both fighters trend toward decisions — Colby Thicknesse (100% of wins) and Vince Morales (67%).

Fight Length: Colby Thicknesse's fights average 15:00 vs 13:27 for Vince Morales. If this reaches the championship rounds, Colby Thicknesse's conditioning history becomes a factor.

Data through UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan (Oct 10, 2026)
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