Eduarda Moura vs Casey O'Neill

Eduarda Moura

Pro 12-3-0  |  UFC 3-3-0
VS

Casey O'Neill

Pro 12-2-0  |  UFC 7-2-0
Age
32|28
Height
5'6"|5'6"
Reach
67"|69"
Stance
Orthodox|Orthodox

Career Statistics

Statistic Eduarda Moura Casey O'Neill Edge
Striking
Sig. Strike Accuracy37.8%52.1%►
Sig. Strikes Landed/min2.57.6►
Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min2.55.4◄
Strike Differential0.0/min2.2/min►
Grappling
Takedown Accuracy33.3%34.8%—
Takedown Defense80.0%70.0%—
Takedowns Landed/15min3.41.3◄
Submission Attempts/15min0.40.8—
Control Time/15min6:363:36◄
Finishing Ability
KO/TKO % of Wins33.3%42.9%—
Submission % of Wins0.0%28.6%—
Decision % of Wins66.7%28.6%—
Avg Fight Time11:469:54—
Secondary Stats
Knockdowns/15min0.00.2—
Reversals/15min0.00.0—
Edges333 even

Fight Dynamics

Career Striking Volume
Eduarda Moura   Casey O'Neill   League median
StatisticEduarda MouraCasey O'NeillEdge
Fight Shape
Fight Completion Rate78.4%66.1%—
Avg Fight Time11:469:54—
% Fights Inside the Distance33.3%66.7%—
Strength of UFC Schedule
Opponent UFC Win % (all)58.5%50.9%◀
Opponent UFC Record (all)24-17 (58.5%)29-28 (50.9%)—
Opponent Record (among wins)13-12 (52.0%)19-18 (51.4%)—
Positional Profile
% Time at Distance (approx.)46.6%61.0%—
% Time in Control44.1%24.1%◀
% Time Controlled9.3%14.9%—
Control Rate of Clinch/Ground Time82.5%61.9%◀
Distance Striking
Distance Sig. Landed / Min3.4010.12▶
Distance Sig. Absorbed / Min4.047.05◀
Distance Striking Differential / Min-0.64+3.07▶
Distance Strike Accuracy29.1%48.6%▶
Distance Strike Defense64.0%61.9%—
Power & Pressure
KDs per 100 Power Strikes0.000.19▶
Knocked Down per 100 Absorbed0.790.00▶
TD Attempts per 5 Distance Min7.292.11—
TDs Faced per 5 Distance Min1.521.84—
Fade Index (R3 / R1 pace)0.881.42—
UFC fights only. Metrics with insufficient data show "—" and award no edge. Methodology →

Last 5 Fights (Averages)

Statistic Eduarda Moura Casey O'Neill Edge
Sig. Strike Accuracy30.8%46.1%►
Sig. Strikes Landed/min1.96.5►
Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min2.76.1◄
Takedown Accuracy28.9%0.0%◄
Takedown Defense80.0%80.0%—
Control Time/Fight5:010:32◄
Edges321 even

Last 3 Fights

Eduarda Moura

LOSS
vs. Casey O'Neill
UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2 • Sep 2026Women's Flyweight
Submission (Armbar) • Rd 1, 3:22
Eduarda Moura3/743%TD 0/0Ctrl 3:12
Casey O'Neill1/425%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
▼ Rounds
LOSS
vs. Wang Cong
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira • Feb 2026Women's Flyweight
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00
Eduarda Moura12/3435%TD 3/12Ctrl 8:06
Wang Cong39/7155%TD 0/0Ctrl 3:11KD 1
▼ Rounds
WIN
vs. Lauren Murphy
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira • Jul 2025Women's Flyweight
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00
Eduarda Moura64/23527%TD 2/3Ctrl 3:02
Lauren Murphy38/14526%TD 2/9Ctrl 1:03
▼ Rounds

Casey O'Neill

WIN
vs. Eduarda Moura
UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2 • Sep 2026Women's Flyweight
Submission (Armbar) • Rd 1, 3:22
Casey O'Neill1/425%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
Eduarda Moura3/743%TD 0/0Ctrl 3:12
▼ Rounds
WIN
vs. Gabriella Fernandes
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer • Mar 2026Women's Flyweight
KO/TKO (Punches) • Rd 1, 3:11
Casey O'Neill25/6638%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00KD 1
Gabriella Fernandes8/3324%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
▼ Rounds
WIN
vs. Luana Santos
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya • Aug 2024Women's Flyweight
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00
Casey O'Neill83/19343%TD 0/2Ctrl 2:21
Luana Santos41/9742%TD 1/5Ctrl 2:21
▼ Rounds

Common Opponents

No Common Opponents

Analysis Summary

Striking Volume: Casey O'Neill is the busier striker, landing 7.6 significant strikes per minute vs 2.5. Their opponent absorbs 2.5 strikes per minute on average — Casey O'Neill's output should find a target.

Striking Accuracy: Casey O'Neill connects on 52.1% of significant strikes compared to 37.8%. The 14pp accuracy gap compounds over the rounds.

Grappling: Eduarda Moura shoots at 33% accuracy but Casey O'Neill stops 70% of attempts — the takedown path looks difficult. Casey O'Neill shoots at 35% accuracy against Eduarda Moura's 80% defense — Eduarda Moura should keep it standing.

Control: Eduarda Moura controls 5:11 per fight on average vs 2:23 — sustained control shifts rounds and drains cardio.

Finish Threat: Casey O'Neill finishes 71% of wins (43% KO/TKO, 29% sub).

Fight Length: Eduarda Moura's fights average 11:46 vs 9:54 for Casey O'Neill. If this reaches the championship rounds, Eduarda Moura's conditioning history becomes a factor.

Last updated: 2026-09-21 | Data source: UFCStats.com