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Eduarda Moura vs Casey O'Neill

Eduarda Moura

Pro 12-2-0  |  UFC 3-2-0
Women's Flyweight
VS

Casey O'Neill

Pro 11-2-0  |  UFC 6-2-0
Age
32|28
Height
5'6"|5'6"
Reach
67"|69"
Stance
Orthodox|Orthodox

Career Statistics

Statistic Eduarda Moura Casey O'Neill Edge
Striking
Sig. Strike Accuracy37.7%52.2%
Sig. Strikes Landed/min2.67.9
Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min2.65.5
Strike Differential-0.0/min2.4/min
Grappling
Takedown Accuracy33.3%34.8%
Takedown Defense80.0%70.0%
Takedowns Landed/15min3.61.4
Submission Attempts/15min0.20.7
Control Time/15min6:133:45
Finishing Ability
KO/TKO % of Wins33.3%50.0%
Submission % of Wins0.0%16.7%
Decision % of Wins66.7%33.3%
Avg Fight Time13:2610:43
Secondary Stats
Knockdowns/15min0.00.2
Reversals/15min0.00.0
Edges333 even

Fight Dynamics

Career Striking Volume
Eduarda Moura   Casey O'Neill   League median
StatisticEduarda MouraCasey O'NeillEdge
Fight Shape
Fight Completion Rate89.6%71.5%
Avg Fight Time13:2610:43
% Fights Inside the Distance20.0%62.5%
Strength of UFC Schedule
Opponent UFC Win % (all)54.5%50.0%
Opponent UFC Record (all)18-15 (54.5%)26-26 (50.0%)
Opponent Record (among wins)13-12 (52.0%)16-16 (50.0%)
Positional Profile
% Time at Distance (approx.)48.7%63.2%
% Time in Control41.5%25.0%
% Time Controlled9.8%11.7%
Control Rate of Clinch/Ground Time80.9%68.1%
Distance Striking
Distance Sig. Landed / Min3.3910.13
Distance Sig. Absorbed / Min4.037.05
Distance Striking Differential / Min-0.64+3.08
Distance Strike Accuracy29.1%48.7%
Distance Strike Defense63.8%61.9%
Power & Pressure
KDs per 100 Power Strikes0.000.19
Knocked Down per 100 Absorbed0.790.00
TD Attempts per 5 Distance Min7.332.12
TDs Faced per 5 Distance Min1.531.84
Fade Index (R3 / R1 pace)0.811.31
UFC fights only. Metrics with insufficient data show "—" and award no edge. Methodology →

Last 5 Fights (Averages)

Statistic Eduarda Moura Casey O'Neill Edge
Sig. Strike Accuracy37.7%51.0%
Sig. Strikes Landed/min2.69.3
Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min2.66.9
Takedown Accuracy33.3%0.0%
Takedown Defense80.0%71.4%
Control Time/Fight5:340:32
Edges321 even

Last 3 Fights

Eduarda Moura

LOSS
vs. Wang Cong
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira • Feb 2026Women's Flyweight
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00
Eduarda Moura12/3435%TD 3/12Ctrl 8:06
Wang Cong39/7155%TD 0/0Ctrl 3:11KD 1
▼ Rounds
WIN
vs. Lauren Murphy
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira • Jul 2025Women's Flyweight
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00
Eduarda Moura64/23527%TD 2/3Ctrl 3:02
Lauren Murphy38/14526%TD 2/9Ctrl 1:03
▼ Rounds
WIN
vs. Veronica Hardy
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic • Nov 2024Women's Flyweight
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00
Eduarda Moura26/7634%TD 3/4Ctrl 4:13
Veronica Hardy46/10345%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
▼ Rounds

Casey O'Neill

WIN
vs. Gabriella Fernandes
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer • Mar 2026Women's Flyweight
KO/TKO (Punches) • Rd 1, 3:11
Casey O'Neill25/6638%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00KD 1
Gabriella Fernandes8/3324%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
▼ Rounds
WIN
vs. Luana Santos
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya • Aug 2024Women's Flyweight
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00
Casey O'Neill83/19343%TD 0/2Ctrl 2:21
Luana Santos41/9742%TD 1/5Ctrl 2:21
▼ Rounds
LOSS
vs. Ariane da Silva
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington • Dec 2023Women's Flyweight
Submission (Armbar) • Rd 2, 1:18
Casey O'Neill31/7442%TD 0/2Ctrl 0:20
Ariane da Silva64/12750%TD 1/1Ctrl 0:58
▼ Rounds

Common Opponents

No Common Opponents

Analysis Summary

Striking Volume: Casey O'Neill is the busier striker, landing 7.9 significant strikes per minute vs 2.6. Their opponent absorbs 2.6 strikes per minute on average — Casey O'Neill's output should find a target.

Striking Accuracy: Casey O'Neill connects on 52.2% of significant strikes compared to 37.7%. The 14pp accuracy gap compounds over the rounds.

Grappling: Eduarda Moura shoots at 33% accuracy but Casey O'Neill stops 70% of attempts — the takedown path looks difficult. Casey O'Neill shoots at 35% accuracy against Eduarda Moura's 80% defense — Eduarda Moura should keep it standing.

Control: Eduarda Moura controls 5:34 per fight on average vs 2:41 — sustained control shifts rounds and drains cardio.

Finish Threat: Casey O'Neill finishes 67% of wins (50% KO/TKO, 17% sub).

Fight Length: Eduarda Moura's fights average 13:26 vs 10:43 for Casey O'Neill. If this reaches the championship rounds, Eduarda Moura's conditioning history becomes a factor.

Report generated: 2026-08-10 19:37:15 | Data source: UFCStats.com