Ethyn Ewing vs Rafael Estevam

Ethyn Ewing

Pro 10-2-0  |  UFC 2-0-0
VS

Rafael Estevam

Pro 14-1-0  |  UFC 3-1-0
Age
30|30
Height
5'6"|5'8"
Reach
69"|69"
Stance
Orthodox|Orthodox

Career Statistics

Statistic Ethyn Ewing Rafael Estevam Edge
Striking
Sig. Strike Accuracy55.3%32.3%
Sig. Strikes Landed/min7.41.9
Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min4.54.4
Strike Differential2.9/min-2.5/min
Grappling
Takedown Accuracy60.0%32.8%
Takedown Defense100.0%66.7%
Takedowns Landed/15min1.75.0
Submission Attempts/15min0.00.3
Control Time/15min0:567:47
Finishing Ability
KO/TKO % of Wins50.0%0.0%
Submission % of Wins0.0%0.0%
Decision % of Wins50.0%100.0%
Avg Fight Time13:2214:11
Secondary Stats
Knockdowns/15min0.60.0
Reversals/15min0.00.0
Edges522 even

Fight Dynamics

Career Striking Volume
Ethyn Ewing   Rafael Estevam   League median
StatisticEthyn EwingRafael EstevamEdge
Fight Shape
Fight Completion Rate89.1%94.6%
Avg Fight Time13:2214:11
% Fights Inside the Distance50.0%25.0%
Strength of UFC Schedule
Opponent UFC Win % (all)100.0%58.3%
Opponent UFC Record (all)5-0 (100.0%)7-5 (58.3%)
Opponent Record (among wins)5-0 (100.0%)6-5 (54.5%)
Positional Profile
% Time at Distance (approx.)89.3%43.9%
% Time in Control6.3%51.9%
% Time Controlled4.4%4.2%
Control Rate of Clinch/Ground Time58.7%92.6%
Distance Striking
Distance Sig. Landed / Min7.293.57
Distance Sig. Absorbed / Min4.068.67
Distance Striking Differential / Min+3.23-5.10
Distance Strike Accuracy53.5%29.7%
Distance Strike Defense67.7%45.6%
Power & Pressure
KDs per 100 Power Strikes0.540.00
Knocked Down per 100 Absorbed0.000.46
TD Attempts per 5 Distance Min1.0511.64
TDs Faced per 5 Distance Min2.301.20
Fade Index (R3 / R1 pace)1.30
UFC fights only. Metrics with insufficient data show "—" and award no edge. Methodology →

Last 5 Fights (Averages)

Statistic Ethyn Ewing Rafael Estevam Edge
Sig. Strike Accuracy55.3%32.3%
Sig. Strikes Landed/min7.41.9
Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min4.54.4
Takedown Accuracy60.0%32.8%
Takedown Defense100.0%66.7%
Control Time/Fight0:507:21
Edges411 even

Last 3 Fights

Ethyn Ewing

WIN
vs. Rafael Estevam
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan • Apr 2026Bantamweight
KO/TKO (Punch) • Rd 3, 1:44
Ethyn Ewing114/19758%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:22KD 1
Rafael Estevam44/18524%TD 0/8Ctrl 0:00
▼ Rounds
WIN
vs. Malcolm Wellmaker
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev • Nov 2025Featherweight
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00
Ethyn Ewing85/16352%TD 3/5Ctrl 1:19
Malcolm Wellmaker77/14653%TD 0/3Ctrl 1:11
▼ Rounds

Rafael Estevam

LOSS
vs. Ethyn Ewing
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan • Apr 2026Bantamweight
KO/TKO (Punch) • Rd 3, 1:44
Rafael Estevam44/18524%TD 0/8Ctrl 0:00
Ethyn Ewing114/19758%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:22KD 1
▼ Rounds
WIN
vs. Felipe Bunes
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park • Aug 2025Flyweight
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00
Rafael Estevam33/7047%TD 5/9Ctrl 10:42
Felipe Bunes26/5646%TD 0/1Ctrl 0:03
▼ Rounds
WIN
vs. Jesus Aguilar
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00
Rafael Estevam11/3037%TD 11/19Ctrl 9:22
Jesus Aguilar35/8740%TD 2/5Ctrl 1:14
▼ Rounds

Common Opponents

No Common Opponents

Analysis Summary

Striking Volume: Ethyn Ewing is the busier striker, landing 7.4 significant strikes per minute vs 1.9. Their opponent absorbs 4.4 strikes per minute on average — Ethyn Ewing's output should find a target.

Striking Accuracy: Ethyn Ewing connects on 55.3% of significant strikes compared to 32.3%. The 23pp accuracy gap compounds over the rounds.

Grappling: Ethyn Ewing shoots at 60% accuracy but Rafael Estevam stops 67% of attempts — the takedown path looks difficult. Rafael Estevam shoots at 33% accuracy against Ethyn Ewing's 100% defense — Ethyn Ewing should keep it standing.

Control: Rafael Estevam controls 7:21 per fight on average vs 0:50 — sustained control shifts rounds and drains cardio.

Finish Threat: Ethyn Ewing finishes 50% of wins (50% KO/TKO, 0% sub).

Last updated: 2026-08-13 | Data source: UFCStats.com