Grant Dawson vs Mateusz Rebecki
Age
32|33
Height
5'10"|5'7"
Reach
72"|66"
Stance
Switch|Southpaw
Career Statistics
| Statistic | Grant Dawson | Mateusz Rebecki | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Striking | |||
| Sig. Strike Accuracy | 51.2% | 49.4% | — |
| Sig. Strikes Landed/min | 3.1 | 5.4 | ► |
| Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min | 2.2 | 4.3 | ◄ |
| Strike Differential | 0.9/min | 1.1/min | — |
| Grappling | |||
| Takedown Accuracy | 39.0% | 50.0% | — |
| Takedown Defense | 70.0% | 53.3% | ◄ |
| Takedowns Landed/15min | 3.6 | 2.9 | — |
| Submission Attempts/15min | 1.2 | 0.3 | ◄ |
| Control Time/15min | 9:45 | 4:20 | ◄ |
| Finishing Ability | |||
| KO/TKO % of Wins | 16.7% | 40.0% | — |
| Submission % of Wins | 41.7% | 20.0% | — |
| Decision % of Wins | 41.7% | 40.0% | — |
| Avg Fight Time | 11:18 | 11:39 | — |
| Secondary Stats | |||
| Knockdowns/15min | 0.1 | 0.7 | — |
| Reversals/15min | 0.0 | 0.1 | — |
| Edges | 4 | 1 | 4 even |
Fight Dynamics
Career Striking Volume
Grant Dawson
Mateusz Rebecki
League median
| Statistic | Grant Dawson | Mateusz Rebecki | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fight Shape | |||
| Fight Completion Rate | 72.2% | 77.8% | — |
| Avg Fight Time | 11:18 | 11:39 | — |
| % Fights Inside the Distance | 60.0% | 55.6% | — |
| Strength of UFC Schedule | |||
| Opponent UFC Win % (all) | 67.6% | 67.9% | — |
| Opponent UFC Record (all) | 69-33 (67.6%) | 38-18 (67.9%) | — |
| Opponent Record (among wins) | 50-20 (71.4%) | 7-7 (50.0%) | — |
| Positional Profile | |||
| % Time at Distance (approx.) | 27.8% | 59.0% | — |
| % Time in Control | 65.1% | 28.9% | ◀ |
| % Time Controlled | 7.1% | 12.1% | — |
| Control Rate of Clinch/Ground Time | 90.1% | 70.5% | ◀ |
| Distance Striking | |||
| Distance Sig. Landed / Min | 5.62 | 6.51 | ▶ |
| Distance Sig. Absorbed / Min | 5.76 | 6.22 | — |
| Distance Striking Differential / Min | -0.15 | +0.29 | — |
| Distance Strike Accuracy | 40.0% | 42.6% | — |
| Distance Strike Defense | 50.5% | 57.8% | ▶ |
| Power & Pressure | |||
| KDs per 100 Power Strikes | 0.40 | 1.41 | ▶ |
| Knocked Down per 100 Absorbed | 1.09 | 0.00 | ▶ |
| TD Attempts per 5 Distance Min | 11.13 | 3.23 | — |
| TDs Faced per 5 Distance Min | 1.06 | 1.21 | — |
| Fade Index (R3 / R1 pace) | 1.26 | 0.58 | — |
UFC fights only. Metrics with insufficient data show "—" and award no edge.
Methodology →
Last 5 Fights (Averages)
| Statistic | Grant Dawson | Mateusz Rebecki | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sig. Strike Accuracy | 50.7% | 49.7% | — |
| Sig. Strikes Landed/min | 3.5 | 5.7 | ► |
| Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min | 1.9 | 4.2 | ◄ |
| Takedown Accuracy | 52.2% | 35.7% | ◄ |
| Takedown Defense | 85.7% | 66.7% | ◄ |
| Control Time/Fight | 7:22 | 3:03 | ◄ |
| Edges | 4 | 1 | 1 even |
Last 3 Fights
Grant Dawson
WIN
vs. Mateusz Rebecki
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland • May 2026Lightweight
Grant Dawson35/9437%TD 1/3Ctrl 7:08
Mateusz Rebecki33/6452%TD 1/5Ctrl 2:22KD 1
LOSS
vs. Manuel Torres
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 • Dec 2025Lightweight
Grant Dawson8/2138%TD 0/2Ctrl 0:00
Manuel Torres9/1753%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:04KD 1
WIN
vs. Diego Ferreira
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano • Jan 2025Lightweight
Grant Dawson56/9857%TD 6/11Ctrl 10:50
Diego Ferreira41/6167%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:20
Mateusz Rebecki
WIN
vs. Kyle Prepolec
UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez • Aug 2026Lightweight
Mateusz Rebecki75/9877%TD 1/1Ctrl 4:04
Kyle Prepolec2/1315%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
LOSS
vs. Grant Dawson
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland • May 2026Lightweight
Mateusz Rebecki33/6452%TD 1/5Ctrl 2:22KD 1
Grant Dawson35/9437%TD 1/3Ctrl 7:08
LOSS
vs. Ludovit Klein
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane • Oct 2025Lightweight
Mateusz Rebecki72/15945%TD 3/12Ctrl 5:03
Ludovit Klein82/14059%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
Common Opponents
vs. Diego Ferreira
Grant Dawson
WIN
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano • Jan 2025Lightweight
Grant Dawson56/9857%TD 6/11Ctrl 10:50
Diego Ferreira41/6167%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:20
Mateusz Rebecki
LOSS
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento • May 2024Lightweight
Mateusz Rebecki52/13738%TD 4/5Ctrl 2:26KD 1
Diego Ferreira123/24151%TD 3/3Ctrl 2:12
Analysis Summary
Striking Volume: Mateusz Rebecki is the busier striker, landing 5.4 significant strikes per minute vs 3.1. Their opponent absorbs 2.2 strikes per minute on average — Mateusz Rebecki's output should find a target.
Grappling: Grant Dawson shoots at 39% accuracy but Mateusz Rebecki stops 53% of attempts — the takedown path looks difficult. Mateusz Rebecki shoots at 50% accuracy against Grant Dawson's 70% defense — Grant Dawson should keep it standing.
Control: Grant Dawson controls 7:21 per fight on average vs 3:22 — sustained control shifts rounds and drains cardio.
Finish Threat: Grant Dawson finishes 58% of wins (17% KO/TKO, 42% sub). Mateusz Rebecki finishes 60% of wins (40% KO/TKO, 20% sub).