Grant Dawson vs Mateusz Rebecki

Grant Dawson

Pro 24-3-1  |  UFC 12-2-1
VS

Mateusz Rebecki

Pro 21-5-0  |  UFC 5-4-0
Age
32|33
Height
5'10"|5'7"
Reach
72"|66"
Stance
Switch|Southpaw

Career Statistics

Statistic Grant Dawson Mateusz Rebecki Edge
Striking
Sig. Strike Accuracy51.2%49.4%
Sig. Strikes Landed/min3.15.4
Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min2.24.3
Strike Differential0.9/min1.1/min
Grappling
Takedown Accuracy39.0%50.0%
Takedown Defense70.0%53.3%
Takedowns Landed/15min3.62.9
Submission Attempts/15min1.20.3
Control Time/15min9:454:20
Finishing Ability
KO/TKO % of Wins16.7%40.0%
Submission % of Wins41.7%20.0%
Decision % of Wins41.7%40.0%
Avg Fight Time11:1811:39
Secondary Stats
Knockdowns/15min0.10.7
Reversals/15min0.00.1
Edges414 even

Fight Dynamics

Career Striking Volume
Grant Dawson   Mateusz Rebecki   League median
StatisticGrant DawsonMateusz RebeckiEdge
Fight Shape
Fight Completion Rate72.2%77.8%
Avg Fight Time11:1811:39
% Fights Inside the Distance60.0%55.6%
Strength of UFC Schedule
Opponent UFC Win % (all)67.6%67.9%
Opponent UFC Record (all)69-33 (67.6%)38-18 (67.9%)
Opponent Record (among wins)50-20 (71.4%)7-7 (50.0%)
Positional Profile
% Time at Distance (approx.)27.8%59.0%
% Time in Control65.1%28.9%
% Time Controlled7.1%12.1%
Control Rate of Clinch/Ground Time90.1%70.5%
Distance Striking
Distance Sig. Landed / Min5.626.51
Distance Sig. Absorbed / Min5.766.22
Distance Striking Differential / Min-0.15+0.29
Distance Strike Accuracy40.0%42.6%
Distance Strike Defense50.5%57.8%
Power & Pressure
KDs per 100 Power Strikes0.401.41
Knocked Down per 100 Absorbed1.090.00
TD Attempts per 5 Distance Min11.133.23
TDs Faced per 5 Distance Min1.061.21
Fade Index (R3 / R1 pace)1.260.58
UFC fights only. Metrics with insufficient data show "—" and award no edge. Methodology →

Last 5 Fights (Averages)

Statistic Grant Dawson Mateusz Rebecki Edge
Sig. Strike Accuracy50.7%49.7%
Sig. Strikes Landed/min3.55.7
Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min1.94.2
Takedown Accuracy52.2%35.7%
Takedown Defense85.7%66.7%
Control Time/Fight7:223:03
Edges411 even

Last 3 Fights

Grant Dawson

WIN
vs. Mateusz Rebecki
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland • May 2026Lightweight
Submission (Rear Naked Choke) • Rd 3, 4:42
Grant Dawson35/9437%TD 1/3Ctrl 7:08
Mateusz Rebecki33/6452%TD 1/5Ctrl 2:22KD 1
▼ Rounds
LOSS
vs. Manuel Torres
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 • Dec 2025Lightweight
KO/TKO (Punch) • Rd 1, 2:25
Grant Dawson8/2138%TD 0/2Ctrl 0:00
Manuel Torres9/1753%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:04KD 1
▼ Rounds
WIN
vs. Diego Ferreira
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano • Jan 2025Lightweight
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00
Grant Dawson56/9857%TD 6/11Ctrl 10:50
Diego Ferreira41/6167%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:20
▼ Rounds

Mateusz Rebecki

WIN
vs. Kyle Prepolec
UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez • Aug 2026Lightweight
KO/TKO (Punches) • Rd 1, 4:41
Mateusz Rebecki75/9877%TD 1/1Ctrl 4:04
Kyle Prepolec2/1315%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
▼ Rounds
LOSS
vs. Grant Dawson
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland • May 2026Lightweight
Submission (Rear Naked Choke) • Rd 3, 4:42
Mateusz Rebecki33/6452%TD 1/5Ctrl 2:22KD 1
Grant Dawson35/9437%TD 1/3Ctrl 7:08
▼ Rounds
LOSS
vs. Ludovit Klein
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane • Oct 2025Lightweight
Decision (Majority) • Rd 3, 5:00
Mateusz Rebecki72/15945%TD 3/12Ctrl 5:03
Ludovit Klein82/14059%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
▼ Rounds

Common Opponents

vs. Diego Ferreira
Grant Dawson
WIN
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano • Jan 2025Lightweight
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00
Grant Dawson56/9857%TD 6/11Ctrl 10:50
Diego Ferreira41/6167%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:20
▼ Rounds
Mateusz Rebecki
LOSS
KO/TKO (Punches) • Rd 3, 4:51
Mateusz Rebecki52/13738%TD 4/5Ctrl 2:26KD 1
Diego Ferreira123/24151%TD 3/3Ctrl 2:12
▼ Rounds

Analysis Summary

Striking Volume: Mateusz Rebecki is the busier striker, landing 5.4 significant strikes per minute vs 3.1. Their opponent absorbs 2.2 strikes per minute on average — Mateusz Rebecki's output should find a target.

Grappling: Grant Dawson shoots at 39% accuracy but Mateusz Rebecki stops 53% of attempts — the takedown path looks difficult. Mateusz Rebecki shoots at 50% accuracy against Grant Dawson's 70% defense — Grant Dawson should keep it standing.

Control: Grant Dawson controls 7:21 per fight on average vs 3:22 — sustained control shifts rounds and drains cardio.

Finish Threat: Grant Dawson finishes 58% of wins (17% KO/TKO, 42% sub). Mateusz Rebecki finishes 60% of wins (40% KO/TKO, 20% sub).

Last updated: 2026-08-22 | Data source: UFCStats.com