Grant Dawson vs Mateusz Rebecki

Mateusz Rebecki

Pro 21-5-0 | UFC 5-4-0

Age

32|34

Height

5'10"|5'7"

Reach

72"|66"

Stance

Switch|Southpaw

Career Statistics

Statistic	Grant Dawson	Mateusz Rebecki	Edge
Striking
Sig. Strike Accuracy	51.2%	49.4%	—
Sig. Strikes Landed/min	3.1	5.4	►
Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min	2.2	4.3	◄
Strike Differential	0.9/min	1.1/min	—
Grappling
Takedown Accuracy	39.0%	50.0%	—
Takedown Defense	70.0%	53.3%	◄
Takedowns Landed/15min	3.6	2.9	—
Submission Attempts/15min	1.2	0.3	◄
Control Time/15min	9:45	4:20	◄
Finishing Ability
KO/TKO % of Wins	16.7%	40.0%	—
Submission % of Wins	41.7%	20.0%	—
Decision % of Wins	41.7%	40.0%	—
Avg Fight Time	11:18	11:39	—
Secondary Stats
Knockdowns/15min	0.1	0.7	—
Reversals/15min	0.0	0.1	—
Edges	4	1	4 even

Fight Dynamics

Career Striking Volume

Grant Dawson Mateusz Rebecki League median

Statistic	Grant Dawson	Mateusz Rebecki	Edge
Fight Shape
Fight Completion Rate	72.2%	77.8%	—
Avg Fight Time	11:18	11:39	—
% Fights Inside the Distance	60.0%	55.6%	—
Strength of UFC Schedule
Opponent UFC Win % (all)	67.6%	67.9%	—
Opponent UFC Record (all)	69-33 (67.6%)	38-18 (67.9%)	—
Opponent Record (among wins)	50-20 (71.4%)	7-7 (50.0%)	—
Positional Profile
% Time at Distance (approx.)	27.8%	59.0%	—
% Time in Control	65.1%	28.9%	◀
% Time Controlled	7.1%	12.1%	—
Control Rate of Clinch/Ground Time	90.1%	70.5%	◀
Distance Striking
Distance Sig. Landed / Min	5.62	6.51	▶
Distance Sig. Absorbed / Min	5.76	6.22	—
Distance Striking Differential / Min	-0.15	+0.29	—
Distance Strike Accuracy	40.0%	42.6%	—
Distance Strike Defense	50.5%	57.8%	▶
Power & Pressure
KDs per 100 Power Strikes	0.40	1.41	▶
Knocked Down per 100 Absorbed	1.09	0.00	▶
TD Attempts per 5 Distance Min	11.13	3.23	—
TDs Faced per 5 Distance Min	1.06	1.21	—
Fade Index (R3 / R1 pace)	1.26	0.58	—

UFC fights only. Metrics with insufficient data show "—" and award no edge. Methodology →

Last 5 Fights (Averages)

Statistic	Grant Dawson	Mateusz Rebecki	Edge
Sig. Strike Accuracy	50.7%	49.7%	—
Sig. Strikes Landed/min	3.5	5.7	►
Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min	1.9	4.2	◄
Takedown Accuracy	52.2%	35.7%	◄
Takedown Defense	85.7%	66.7%	◄
Control Time/Fight	7:22	3:03	◄
Edges	4	1	1 even

Last 3 Fights

Grant Dawson

WIN

vs. Mateusz Rebecki

UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland • May 2026Lightweight

Submission (Rear Naked Choke) • Rd 3, 4:42

Grant Dawson35/9437%TD 1/3Ctrl 7:08

Mateusz Rebecki33/6452%TD 1/5Ctrl 2:22KD 1

▼ Rounds

Rnd	Fighter	Sig Str	Acc	TD	Ctrl	KD
R1	Grant Dawson	13/21	62%	0/0	2:37	—
	Mateusz Rebecki	8/11	73%	0/2	0:50	—

R2	Grant Dawson	20/69	29%	0/2	0:14	—
	Mateusz Rebecki	24/51	47%	1/3	1:29	1

R3	Grant Dawson	2/4	50%	1/1	4:17	—
	Mateusz Rebecki	1/2	50%	0/0	0:03	—

LOSS

vs. Manuel Torres

UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 • Dec 2025Lightweight

KO/TKO (Punch) • Rd 1, 2:25

Grant Dawson8/2138%TD 0/2Ctrl 0:00

Manuel Torres9/1753%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:04KD 1

▼ Rounds

Rnd	Fighter	Sig Str	Acc	TD	Ctrl	KD
R1	Grant Dawson	8/21	38%	0/2	0:00	—
	Manuel Torres	9/17	53%	0/0	0:04	1

WIN

vs. Diego Ferreira

UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano • Jan 2025Lightweight

Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00

Grant Dawson56/9857%TD 6/11Ctrl 10:50

Diego Ferreira41/6167%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:20

▼ Rounds

Rnd	Fighter	Sig Str	Acc	TD	Ctrl	KD
R1	Grant Dawson	21/31	68%	3/5	3:11	—
	Diego Ferreira	11/16	69%	0/0	0:00	—

R2	Grant Dawson	21/39	54%	1/2	3:44	—
	Diego Ferreira	17/28	61%	0/0	0:18	—

R3	Grant Dawson	14/28	50%	2/4	3:55	—
	Diego Ferreira	13/17	76%	0/0	0:02	—

Mateusz Rebecki

WIN

vs. Kyle Prepolec

UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez • Aug 2026Lightweight

KO/TKO (Punches) • Rd 1, 4:41

Mateusz Rebecki75/9877%TD 1/1Ctrl 4:04

Kyle Prepolec2/1315%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00

▼ Rounds

Rnd	Fighter	Sig Str	Acc	TD	Ctrl	KD
R1	Mateusz Rebecki	75/98	77%	1/1	4:04	—
	Kyle Prepolec	2/13	15%	0/0	0:00	—

LOSS

vs. Grant Dawson

UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland • May 2026Lightweight

Submission (Rear Naked Choke) • Rd 3, 4:42

Mateusz Rebecki33/6452%TD 1/5Ctrl 2:22KD 1

Grant Dawson35/9437%TD 1/3Ctrl 7:08

▼ Rounds

Rnd	Fighter	Sig Str	Acc	TD	Ctrl	KD
R1	Mateusz Rebecki	8/11	73%	0/2	0:50	—
	Grant Dawson	13/21	62%	0/0	2:37	—

R2	Mateusz Rebecki	24/51	47%	1/3	1:29	1
	Grant Dawson	20/69	29%	0/2	0:14	—

R3	Mateusz Rebecki	1/2	50%	0/0	0:03	—
	Grant Dawson	2/4	50%	1/1	4:17	—

LOSS

vs. Ludovit Klein

UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane • Oct 2025Lightweight

Decision (Majority) • Rd 3, 5:00

Mateusz Rebecki72/15945%TD 3/12Ctrl 5:03

Ludovit Klein82/14059%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00

▼ Rounds

Rnd	Fighter	Sig Str	Acc	TD	Ctrl	KD
R1	Mateusz Rebecki	21/50	42%	0/5	0:47	—
	Ludovit Klein	25/45	56%	0/0	0:00	—

R2	Mateusz Rebecki	21/61	34%	1/3	0:23	—
	Ludovit Klein	38/67	57%	0/0	0:00	—

R3	Mateusz Rebecki	30/48	62%	2/4	3:53	—
	Ludovit Klein	19/28	68%	0/0	0:00	—

Common Opponents

vs. Diego Ferreira

Grant Dawson

WIN

UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano • Jan 2025Lightweight

Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00

Grant Dawson56/9857%TD 6/11Ctrl 10:50

Diego Ferreira41/6167%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:20

▼ Rounds

Rnd	Fighter	Sig Str	Acc	TD	Ctrl	KD
R1	Grant Dawson	21/31	68%	3/5	3:11	—
	Diego Ferreira	11/16	69%	0/0	0:00	—

R2	Grant Dawson	21/39	54%	1/2	3:44	—
	Diego Ferreira	17/28	61%	0/0	0:18	—

R3	Grant Dawson	14/28	50%	2/4	3:55	—
	Diego Ferreira	13/17	76%	0/0	0:02	—

Mateusz Rebecki

LOSS

UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento • May 2024Lightweight

KO/TKO (Punches) • Rd 3, 4:51

Mateusz Rebecki52/13738%TD 4/5Ctrl 2:26KD 1

Diego Ferreira123/24151%TD 3/3Ctrl 2:12

▼ Rounds

Rnd	Fighter	Sig Str	Acc	TD	Ctrl	KD
R1	Mateusz Rebecki	30/60	50%	0/0	1:16	1
	Diego Ferreira	21/65	32%	0/0	0:00	—

R2	Mateusz Rebecki	16/48	33%	3/4	0:55	—
	Diego Ferreira	40/79	51%	1/1	0:25	—

R3	Mateusz Rebecki	6/29	21%	1/1	0:15	—
	Diego Ferreira	62/97	64%	2/2	1:47	—

Analysis Summary

Striking Volume: Mateusz Rebecki is the busier striker, landing 5.4 significant strikes per minute vs 3.1. Their opponent absorbs 2.2 strikes per minute on average — Mateusz Rebecki's output should find a target.

Grappling: Grant Dawson shoots at 39% accuracy but Mateusz Rebecki stops 53% of attempts — the takedown path looks difficult. Mateusz Rebecki shoots at 50% accuracy against Grant Dawson's 70% defense — Grant Dawson should keep it standing.

Control: Grant Dawson controls 7:21 per fight on average vs 3:22 — sustained control shifts rounds and drains cardio.

Finish Threat: Grant Dawson finishes 58% of wins (17% KO/TKO, 42% sub). Mateusz Rebecki finishes 60% of wins (40% KO/TKO, 20% sub).

Data through UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan (Oct 10, 2026)