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Grant Dawson vs Nurullo Aliev

Grant Dawson

Pro 24-3-1  |  UFC 12-2-1
Lightweight
VS

Nurullo Aliev

Pro 12-0-0  |  UFC 4-0-0
Age
32|25
Height
5'10"|5'10"
Reach
72"|72"
Stance
Switch|Orthodox

Career Statistics

Statistic Grant Dawson Nurullo Aliev Edge
Striking
Sig. Strike Accuracy51.2%41.5%
Sig. Strikes Landed/min3.12.0
Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min2.21.7
Strike Differential0.9/min0.3/min
Grappling
Takedown Accuracy39.0%58.3%
Takedown Defense70.0%80.0%
Takedowns Landed/15min3.63.5
Submission Attempts/15min1.20.5
Control Time/15min9:458:48
Finishing Ability
KO/TKO % of Wins16.7%0.0%
Submission % of Wins41.7%0.0%
Decision % of Wins41.7%100.0%
Avg Fight Time11:1815:00
Secondary Stats
Knockdowns/15min0.10.0
Reversals/15min0.00.5
Edges315 even

Fight Dynamics

Career Striking Volume
Grant Dawson   Nurullo Aliev   League median
StatisticGrant DawsonNurullo AlievEdge
Fight Shape
Fight Completion Rate72.2%100.0%
Avg Fight Time11:1815:00
% Fights Inside the Distance60.0%0.0%
Strength of UFC Schedule
Opponent UFC Win % (all)67.6%61.1%
Opponent UFC Record (all)69-33 (67.6%)11-7 (61.1%)
Opponent Record (among wins)50-20 (71.4%)11-7 (61.1%)
Positional Profile
% Time at Distance (approx.)27.8%36.2%
% Time in Control65.1%58.7%
% Time Controlled7.1%5.1%
Control Rate of Clinch/Ground Time90.1%92.1%
Distance Striking
Distance Sig. Landed / Min5.623.40
Distance Sig. Absorbed / Min5.763.72
Distance Striking Differential / Min-0.15-0.32
Distance Strike Accuracy40.0%37.6%
Distance Strike Defense50.5%59.9%
Power & Pressure
KDs per 100 Power Strikes0.400.00
Knocked Down per 100 Absorbed1.090.00
TD Attempts per 5 Distance Min11.135.52
TDs Faced per 5 Distance Min1.062.30
Fade Index (R3 / R1 pace)1.261.47
UFC fights only. Metrics with insufficient data show "—" and award no edge. Methodology →

Last 5 Fights (Averages)

Statistic Grant Dawson Nurullo Aliev Edge
Sig. Strike Accuracy50.7%41.5%
Sig. Strikes Landed/min3.52.0
Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min1.91.7
Takedown Accuracy52.2%58.3%
Takedown Defense85.7%80.0%
Control Time/Fight7:228:48
Edges204 even

Last 3 Fights

Grant Dawson

WIN
vs. Mateusz Rebecki
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland • May 2026Lightweight
Submission (Rear Naked Choke) • Rd 3, 4:42
Grant Dawson35/9437%TD 1/3Ctrl 7:08
Mateusz Rebecki33/6452%TD 1/5Ctrl 2:22KD 1
▼ Rounds
LOSS
vs. Manuel Torres
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 • Dec 2025Lightweight
KO/TKO (Punch) • Rd 1, 2:25
Grant Dawson8/2138%TD 0/2Ctrl 0:00
Manuel Torres9/1753%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:04KD 1
▼ Rounds
WIN
vs. Diego Ferreira
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano • Jan 2025Lightweight
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00
Grant Dawson56/9857%TD 6/11Ctrl 10:50
Diego Ferreira41/6167%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:20
▼ Rounds

Nurullo Aliev

WIN
vs. Mike Davis
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov • Jul 2026Lightweight
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00
Nurullo Aliev13/3438%TD 8/13Ctrl 12:25
Mike Davis22/3759%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:36
▼ Rounds
WIN
vs. Shem Rock
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00
Nurullo Aliev51/11744%TD 1/5Ctrl 3:44
Shem Rock44/10442%TD 1/9Ctrl 0:32
▼ Rounds
WIN
vs. Joe Solecki
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 • Jan 2025Lightweight
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00
Nurullo Aliev35/8840%TD 2/2Ctrl 8:13
Joe Solecki28/6841%TD 1/1Ctrl 0:36
▼ Rounds

Common Opponents

vs. Joe Solecki
Grant Dawson
WIN
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier • Jun 2024Lightweight
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00
Grant Dawson46/7066%TD 3/3Ctrl 13:46
Joe Solecki12/1963%TD 0/2Ctrl 0:14
▼ Rounds
Nurullo Aliev
WIN
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 • Jan 2025Lightweight
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00
Nurullo Aliev35/8840%TD 2/2Ctrl 8:13
Joe Solecki28/6841%TD 1/1Ctrl 0:36
▼ Rounds

Analysis Summary

Striking Volume: Grant Dawson is the busier striker, landing 3.1 significant strikes per minute vs 2.0. Their opponent absorbs 1.7 strikes per minute on average — Grant Dawson's output should find a target.

Striking Accuracy: Grant Dawson connects on 51.2% of significant strikes compared to 41.5%. The 10pp accuracy gap compounds over the rounds.

Grappling: Grant Dawson shoots at 39% accuracy but Nurullo Aliev stops 80% of attempts — the takedown path looks difficult. Nurullo Aliev shoots at 58% accuracy against Grant Dawson's 70% defense — Grant Dawson should keep it standing.

Finish Threat: Grant Dawson finishes 58% of wins (17% KO/TKO, 42% sub).

Fight Length: Nurullo Aliev's fights average 15:00 vs 11:18 for Grant Dawson. If this reaches the championship rounds, Nurullo Aliev's conditioning history becomes a factor.

Last updated: 2026-08-24 | Data source: UFCStats.com