Islam Makhachev vs Ian Machado Garry

Islam Makhachev

Pro 29-1-0  |  UFC 18-1-0
VS

Ian Machado Garry

Pro 17-2-0  |  UFC 10-2-0
Age
35|28
Height
5'10"|6'3"
Reach
70"|74"
Stance
Southpaw|Orthodox

Career Statistics

Statistic Islam Makhachev Ian Machado Garry Edge
Striking
Sig. Strike Accuracy58.0%53.7%—
Sig. Strikes Landed/min2.34.3►
Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min1.42.6◄
Strike Differential0.9/min1.7/min►
Grappling
Takedown Accuracy54.5%31.2%◄
Takedown Defense91.3%71.1%◄
Takedowns Landed/15min3.20.8◄
Submission Attempts/15min0.90.3◄
Control Time/15min7:391:33◄
Finishing Ability
KO/TKO % of Wins16.7%30.0%—
Submission % of Wins44.4%0.0%—
Decision % of Wins38.9%70.0%—
Avg Fight Time11:4515:36—
Secondary Stats
Knockdowns/15min0.30.3—
Reversals/15min0.20.0—
Edges621 even

Fight Dynamics

Career Striking Volume
Islam Makhachev   Ian Machado Garry   League median
StatisticIslam MakhachevIan Machado GarryEdge
Fight Shape
Fight Completion Rate59.5%89.2%—
Avg Fight Time11:4515:36—
% Fights Inside the Distance63.2%25.0%—
Strength of UFC Schedule
Opponent UFC Win % (all)74.4%77.1%—
Opponent UFC Record (all)174-60 (74.4%)84-25 (77.1%)—
Opponent Record (among wins)171-59 (74.3%)61-24 (71.8%)—
Positional Profile
% Time at Distance (approx.)41.8%66.7%—
% Time in Control51.0%10.4%◀
% Time Controlled7.1%22.9%◀
Control Rate of Clinch/Ground Time87.8%31.1%◀
Distance Striking
Distance Sig. Landed / Min3.145.81▶
Distance Sig. Absorbed / Min2.443.35◀
Distance Striking Differential / Min+0.70+2.47▶
Distance Strike Accuracy48.6%52.4%—
Distance Strike Defense67.8%55.1%◀
Power & Pressure
KDs per 100 Power Strikes1.430.70◀
Knocked Down per 100 Absorbed0.830.61▶
TD Attempts per 5 Distance Min4.711.28—
TDs Faced per 5 Distance Min1.231.80—
Fade Index (R3 / R1 pace)1.111.73—
UFC fights only. Metrics with insufficient data show "—" and award no edge. Methodology →

Last 5 Fights (Averages)

Statistic Islam Makhachev Ian Machado Garry Edge
Sig. Strike Accuracy55.7%50.4%—
Sig. Strikes Landed/min2.12.7—
Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min1.71.9—
Takedown Accuracy44.7%25.0%◄
Takedown Defense100.0%71.9%◄
Control Time/Fight8:452:52◄
Edges303 even

Last 3 Fights

Islam Makhachev

WIN
vs. Ian Machado Garry
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry • Aug 2026WelterweightTITLE
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 5, 5:00
Islam Makhachev22/4450%TD 7/15Ctrl 12:30KD 1
Ian Machado Garry29/6545%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:34
▼ Rounds
WIN
vs. Jack Della Maddalena
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev • Nov 2025WelterweightTITLE
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 5, 5:00
Islam Makhachev30/5753%TD 4/4Ctrl 19:10
Jack Della Maddalena18/6130%TD 0/1Ctrl 0:00
▼ Rounds
WIN
vs. Renato Moicano
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano • Jan 2025LightweightTITLE
Submission (D'Arce Choke) • Rd 1, 4:05
Islam Makhachev6/1932%TD 1/2Ctrl 1:27
Renato Moicano9/2733%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
▼ Rounds

Ian Machado Garry

LOSS
vs. Islam Makhachev
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry • Aug 2026WelterweightTITLE
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 5, 5:00
Ian Machado Garry29/6545%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:34
Islam Makhachev22/4450%TD 7/15Ctrl 12:30KD 1
▼ Rounds
WIN
vs. Belal Muhammad
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker • Nov 2025Welterweight
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00
Ian Machado Garry72/14151%TD 0/2Ctrl 0:39
Belal Muhammad56/13940%TD 0/7Ctrl 3:35
▼ Rounds
WIN
vs. Carlos Prates
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 5, 5:00
Ian Machado Garry126/24252%TD 4/19Ctrl 3:09
Carlos Prates63/12949%TD 0/0Ctrl 1:46
▼ Rounds

Common Opponents

No Common Opponents

Analysis Summary

Striking Volume: Ian Machado Garry is the busier striker, landing 4.3 significant strikes per minute vs 2.3. Their opponent absorbs 1.4 strikes per minute on average — Ian Machado Garry's output should find a target.

Grappling: Islam Makhachev shoots at 55% accuracy but Ian Machado Garry stops 71% of attempts — the takedown path looks difficult. Ian Machado Garry shoots at 31% accuracy against Islam Makhachev's 91% defense — Islam Makhachev should keep it standing.

Control: Islam Makhachev controls 5:59 per fight on average vs 1:37 — sustained control shifts rounds and drains cardio.

Finish Threat: Islam Makhachev finishes 61% of wins (17% KO/TKO, 44% sub).

Fight Length: Ian Machado Garry's fights average 15:36 vs 11:45 for Islam Makhachev. If this reaches the championship rounds, Ian Machado Garry's conditioning history becomes a factor.

Data through UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan (Oct 31, 2026)
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