Islam Makhachev vs Ian Machado Garry

Islam Makhachev

Pro 29-1-0  |  UFC 18-1-0
VS

Ian Machado Garry

Pro 17-2-0  |  UFC 10-2-0
Age
34|28
Height
5'10"|6'3"
Reach
70"|74"
Stance
Southpaw|Orthodox

Career Statistics

Statistic Islam Makhachev Ian Machado Garry Edge
Striking
Sig. Strike Accuracy58.0%53.7%
Sig. Strikes Landed/min2.34.3
Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min1.42.6
Strike Differential0.9/min1.7/min
Grappling
Takedown Accuracy54.5%31.2%
Takedown Defense91.3%71.1%
Takedowns Landed/15min3.20.8
Submission Attempts/15min0.90.3
Control Time/15min7:391:33
Finishing Ability
KO/TKO % of Wins16.7%30.0%
Submission % of Wins44.4%0.0%
Decision % of Wins38.9%70.0%
Avg Fight Time11:4515:36
Secondary Stats
Knockdowns/15min0.30.3
Reversals/15min0.20.0
Edges621 even

Fight Dynamics

Career Striking Volume
Islam Makhachev   Ian Machado Garry   League median
StatisticIslam MakhachevIan Machado GarryEdge
Fight Shape
Fight Completion Rate59.5%89.2%
Avg Fight Time11:4515:36
% Fights Inside the Distance63.2%25.0%
Strength of UFC Schedule
Opponent UFC Win % (all)74.4%77.1%
Opponent UFC Record (all)174-60 (74.4%)84-25 (77.1%)
Opponent Record (among wins)171-59 (74.3%)61-24 (71.8%)
Positional Profile
% Time at Distance (approx.)41.8%66.7%
% Time in Control51.0%10.4%
% Time Controlled7.1%22.9%
Control Rate of Clinch/Ground Time87.8%31.1%
Distance Striking
Distance Sig. Landed / Min3.145.81
Distance Sig. Absorbed / Min2.443.35
Distance Striking Differential / Min+0.70+2.47
Distance Strike Accuracy48.6%52.4%
Distance Strike Defense67.8%55.1%
Power & Pressure
KDs per 100 Power Strikes1.430.70
Knocked Down per 100 Absorbed0.830.61
TD Attempts per 5 Distance Min4.711.28
TDs Faced per 5 Distance Min1.231.80
Fade Index (R3 / R1 pace)1.111.73
UFC fights only. Metrics with insufficient data show "—" and award no edge. Methodology →

Last 5 Fights (Averages)

Statistic Islam Makhachev Ian Machado Garry Edge
Sig. Strike Accuracy55.7%50.4%
Sig. Strikes Landed/min2.12.7
Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min1.71.9
Takedown Accuracy44.7%25.0%
Takedown Defense100.0%71.9%
Control Time/Fight8:452:52
Edges303 even

Last 3 Fights

Islam Makhachev

WIN
vs. Ian Machado Garry
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry • Aug 2026WelterweightTITLE
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 5, 5:00
Islam Makhachev22/4450%TD 7/15Ctrl 12:30KD 1
Ian Machado Garry29/6545%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:34
▼ Rounds
WIN
vs. Jack Della Maddalena
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev • Nov 2025WelterweightTITLE
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 5, 5:00
Islam Makhachev30/5753%TD 4/4Ctrl 19:10
Jack Della Maddalena18/6130%TD 0/1Ctrl 0:00
▼ Rounds
WIN
vs. Renato Moicano
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano • Jan 2025LightweightTITLE
Submission (D'Arce Choke) • Rd 1, 4:05
Islam Makhachev6/1932%TD 1/2Ctrl 1:27
Renato Moicano9/2733%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
▼ Rounds

Ian Machado Garry

LOSS
vs. Islam Makhachev
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry • Aug 2026WelterweightTITLE
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 5, 5:00
Ian Machado Garry29/6545%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:34
Islam Makhachev22/4450%TD 7/15Ctrl 12:30KD 1
▼ Rounds
WIN
vs. Belal Muhammad
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker • Nov 2025Welterweight
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00
Ian Machado Garry72/14151%TD 0/2Ctrl 0:39
Belal Muhammad56/13940%TD 0/7Ctrl 3:35
▼ Rounds
WIN
vs. Carlos Prates
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 5, 5:00
Ian Machado Garry126/24252%TD 4/19Ctrl 3:09
Carlos Prates63/12949%TD 0/0Ctrl 1:46
▼ Rounds

Common Opponents

No Common Opponents

Analysis Summary

Striking Volume: Ian Machado Garry is the busier striker, landing 4.3 significant strikes per minute vs 2.3. Their opponent absorbs 1.4 strikes per minute on average — Ian Machado Garry's output should find a target.

Grappling: Islam Makhachev shoots at 55% accuracy but Ian Machado Garry stops 71% of attempts — the takedown path looks difficult. Ian Machado Garry shoots at 31% accuracy against Islam Makhachev's 91% defense — Islam Makhachev should keep it standing.

Control: Islam Makhachev controls 5:59 per fight on average vs 1:37 — sustained control shifts rounds and drains cardio.

Finish Threat: Islam Makhachev finishes 61% of wins (17% KO/TKO, 44% sub).

Fight Length: Ian Machado Garry's fights average 15:36 vs 11:45 for Islam Makhachev. If this reaches the championship rounds, Ian Machado Garry's conditioning history becomes a factor.

Last updated: 2026-08-22 | Data source: UFCStats.com