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Ismael Bonfim vs Francisco Prado

Ismael Bonfim

Pro 20-7-0  |  UFC 2-4-0
Lightweight
VS

Francisco Prado

Pro 12-5-0  |  UFC 1-5-0
Age
30|24
Height
5'8"|5'10"
Reach
71"|69"
Stance
Orthodox|Orthodox

Career Statistics

Statistic Ismael Bonfim Francisco Prado Edge
Striking
Sig. Strike Accuracy54.5%43.6%◄
Sig. Strikes Landed/min4.93.7◄
Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min4.34.3—
Strike Differential0.6/min-0.6/min◄
Grappling
Takedown Accuracy33.3%19.0%◄
Takedown Defense72.7%40.0%◄
Takedowns Landed/15min1.30.8—
Submission Attempts/15min0.00.8►
Control Time/15min1:132:20►
Finishing Ability
KO/TKO % of Wins50.0%100.0%—
Submission % of Wins0.0%0.0%—
Decision % of Wins50.0%0.0%—
Avg Fight Time7:4313:10—
Secondary Stats
Knockdowns/15min0.30.2—
Reversals/15min0.00.6—
Edges522 even

Fight Dynamics

Career Striking Volume
Ismael Bonfim   Francisco Prado   League median
StatisticIsmael BonfimFrancisco PradoEdge
Fight Shape
Fight Completion Rate51.5%87.9%—
Avg Fight Time7:4313:10—
% Fights Inside the Distance83.3%16.7%—
Strength of UFC Schedule
Opponent UFC Win % (all)75.0%60.0%◀
Opponent UFC Record (all)18-6 (75.0%)24-16 (60.0%)—
Opponent Record (among wins)10-4 (71.4%)2-1 (66.7%)—
Positional Profile
% Time at Distance (approx.)66.6%62.7%—
% Time in Control8.1%15.6%—
% Time Controlled25.2%21.7%—
Control Rate of Clinch/Ground Time24.4%41.7%▶
Distance Striking
Distance Sig. Landed / Min6.674.66◀
Distance Sig. Absorbed / Min4.545.69◀
Distance Striking Differential / Min+2.14-1.03◀
Distance Strike Accuracy52.6%39.3%◀
Distance Strike Defense59.4%57.6%—
Power & Pressure
KDs per 100 Power Strikes0.520.58—
Knocked Down per 100 Absorbed0.770.00▶
TD Attempts per 5 Distance Min1.942.12—
TDs Faced per 5 Distance Min1.781.51—
Fade Index (R3 / R1 pace)—0.87—
UFC fights only. Metrics with insufficient data show "—" and award no edge. Methodology →

Last 5 Fights (Averages)

Statistic Ismael Bonfim Francisco Prado Edge
Sig. Strike Accuracy52.6%44.4%◄
Sig. Strikes Landed/min5.04.1◄
Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min4.74.4—
Takedown Accuracy37.5%21.1%◄
Takedown Defense66.7%45.5%◄
Control Time/Fight0:352:25►
Edges411 even

Last 3 Fights

Ismael Bonfim

LOSS
vs. Axel Sola
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov • Jul 2026Lightweight
Submission (D'Arce Choke) • Rd 1, 4:44
Ismael Bonfim1/333%TD 1/3Ctrl 2:03
Axel Sola33/4475%TD 0/0Ctrl 2:03KD 1
▼ Rounds
LOSS
vs. Chris Padilla
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown • Nov 2025Lightweight
KO/TKO (Punches) • Rd 2, 4:30
Ismael Bonfim42/8450%TD 1/3Ctrl 0:15
Chris Padilla64/10959%TD 0/0Ctrl 3:21
▼ Rounds
LOSS
vs. Nazim Sadykhov
KO/TKO • Rd 1, 5:00
Ismael Bonfim26/4262%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
Nazim Sadykhov13/4628%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:35
▼ Rounds

Francisco Prado

LOSS
vs. Charles Radtke
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg • Apr 2026Welterweight
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00
Francisco Prado29/6644%TD 0/0Ctrl 1:50
Charles Radtke24/4751%TD 4/5Ctrl 9:07
▼ Rounds
LOSS
vs. Nikolay Veretennikov
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 • Jul 2025Welterweight
Decision (Split) • Rd 3, 5:00
Francisco Prado47/7761%TD 3/10Ctrl 6:49
Nikolay Veretennikov56/10553%TD 2/6Ctrl 2:33
▼ Rounds
LOSS
vs. Jake Matthews
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 • Feb 2025Welterweight
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00
Francisco Prado59/14640%TD 1/6Ctrl 2:16
Jake Matthews68/18437%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:40
▼ Rounds

Common Opponents

No Common Opponents

Analysis Summary

Striking Volume: Ismael Bonfim is the busier striker, landing 4.9 significant strikes per minute vs 3.7. Their opponent absorbs 4.3 strikes per minute on average — Ismael Bonfim's output should find a target.

Striking Accuracy: Ismael Bonfim connects on 54.5% of significant strikes compared to 43.6%. The 11pp accuracy gap compounds over the rounds.

Grappling: Ismael Bonfim shoots at 33% accuracy but Francisco Prado stops 40% of attempts — the takedown path looks difficult. Francisco Prado shoots at 19% accuracy against Ismael Bonfim's 73% defense — Ismael Bonfim should keep it standing.

Finish Threat: Ismael Bonfim finishes 50% of wins (50% KO/TKO, 0% sub). Francisco Prado finishes 100% of wins (100% KO/TKO, 0% sub).

Fight Length: Francisco Prado's fights average 13:10 vs 7:43 for Ismael Bonfim. If this reaches the championship rounds, Francisco Prado's conditioning history becomes a factor.

Last updated: 2026-10-01 | Data source: UFCStats.com