Jan Blachowicz vs Bogdan Guskov

Jan Blachowicz

Pro 29-12-2  |  UFC 12-9-2
VS

Bogdan Guskov

Pro 18-4-1  |  UFC 4-2-1
Age
43|33
Height
6'2"|6'3"
Reach
78"|76"
Stance
Orthodox|Orthodox

Career Statistics

Statistic Jan Blachowicz Bogdan Guskov Edge
Striking
Sig. Strike Accuracy50.2%56.8%
Sig. Strikes Landed/min3.53.6
Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min3.23.5
Strike Differential0.3/min0.1/min
Grappling
Takedown Accuracy48.7%0.0%
Takedown Defense70.0%54.5%
Takedowns Landed/15min1.00.0
Submission Attempts/15min0.40.7
Control Time/15min1:591:24
Finishing Ability
KO/TKO % of Wins41.7%75.0%
Submission % of Wins16.7%25.0%
Decision % of Wins41.7%0.0%
Avg Fight Time12:499:27
Secondary Stats
Knockdowns/15min0.40.9
Reversals/15min0.00.2
Edges207 even

Fight Dynamics

Career Striking Volume
Jan Blachowicz   Bogdan Guskov   League median
StatisticJan BlachowiczBogdan GuskovEdge
Fight Shape
Fight Completion Rate69.4%57.6%
Avg Fight Time12:499:27
% Fights Inside the Distance43.5%85.7%
Strength of UFC Schedule
Opponent UFC Win % (all)72.4%62.0%
Opponent UFC Record (all)142-54 (72.4%)49-30 (62.0%)
Opponent Record (among wins)69-30 (69.7%)19-14 (57.6%)
Positional Profile
% Time at Distance (approx.)59.9%63.1%
% Time in Control13.3%9.4%
% Time Controlled26.9%27.4%
Control Rate of Clinch/Ground Time33.1%25.5%
Distance Striking
Distance Sig. Landed / Min4.623.73
Distance Sig. Absorbed / Min3.564.47
Distance Striking Differential / Min+1.06-0.74
Distance Strike Accuracy46.3%51.5%
Distance Strike Defense58.7%50.3%
Power & Pressure
KDs per 100 Power Strikes0.953.39
Knocked Down per 100 Absorbed0.421.33
TD Attempts per 5 Distance Min1.100.00
TDs Faced per 5 Distance Min1.701.32
Fade Index (R3 / R1 pace)1.25
UFC fights only. Metrics with insufficient data show "—" and award no edge. Methodology →

Last 5 Fights (Averages)

Statistic Jan Blachowicz Bogdan Guskov Edge
Sig. Strike Accuracy52.2%60.3%
Sig. Strikes Landed/min3.53.7
Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min4.63.2
Takedown Accuracy33.3%0.0%
Takedown Defense83.3%50.0%
Control Time/Fight1:321:14
Edges222 even

Last 3 Fights

Jan Blachowicz

LOSS
vs. Navajo Stirling
UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez • Aug 2026Light Heavyweight
KO/TKO (Punches) • Rd 1, 2:56
Jan Blachowicz3/743%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:04
Navajo Stirling35/4676%TD 0/1Ctrl 1:04
▼ Rounds
D
vs. Bogdan Guskov
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 • Dec 2025Light Heavyweight
Decision (Majority) • Rd 3, 5:00
Jan Blachowicz84/14956%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:08KD 1
Bogdan Guskov80/14057%TD 0/0Ctrl 4:09KD 1
▼ Rounds
LOSS
vs. Carlos Ulberg
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady • Mar 2025Light Heavyweight
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00
Jan Blachowicz59/13145%TD 0/1Ctrl 0:00
Carlos Ulberg75/15748%TD 0/1Ctrl 0:08
▼ Rounds

Bogdan Guskov

LOSS
vs. Magomed Ankalaev
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov • Jul 2026Light Heavyweight
KO/TKO (Punches) • Rd 5, 2:41
Bogdan Guskov39/6362%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
Magomed Ankalaev54/11348%TD 2/4Ctrl 8:26
▼ Rounds
D
vs. Jan Blachowicz
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 • Dec 2025Light Heavyweight
Decision (Majority) • Rd 3, 5:00
Bogdan Guskov80/14057%TD 0/0Ctrl 4:09KD 1
Jan Blachowicz84/14956%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:08KD 1
▼ Rounds
WIN
vs. Nikita Krylov
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder • Jul 2025Light Heavyweight
KO/TKO (Punches) • Rd 1, 4:18
Bogdan Guskov23/4353%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:17KD 1
Nikita Krylov16/3447%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
▼ Rounds

Common Opponents

vs. Magomed Ankalaev
Jan Blachowicz
D
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev • Dec 2022Light HeavyweightTITLE
Decision (Split) • Rd 5, 5:00
Jan Blachowicz55/11747%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
Magomed Ankalaev78/18442%TD 2/10Ctrl 11:20
▼ Rounds
Bogdan Guskov
LOSS
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov • Jul 2026Light Heavyweight
KO/TKO (Punches) • Rd 5, 2:41
Bogdan Guskov39/6362%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
Magomed Ankalaev54/11348%TD 2/4Ctrl 8:26
▼ Rounds
vs. Nikita Krylov
Jan Blachowicz
WIN
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Oleinik • Sep 2018Light Heavyweight
Submission (Arm Triangle) • Rd 2, 2:41
Jan Blachowicz10/1856%TD 1/1Ctrl 4:54
Nikita Krylov4/2218%TD 1/1Ctrl 1:40
▼ Rounds
Bogdan Guskov
WIN
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder • Jul 2025Light Heavyweight
KO/TKO (Punches) • Rd 1, 4:18
Bogdan Guskov23/4353%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:17KD 1
Nikita Krylov16/3447%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
▼ Rounds

Analysis Summary

Striking Volume: Both fighters operate at a similar pace (3.5 vs 3.6 sig str/min). Accuracy and timing will decide the striking battle.

Grappling: Jan Blachowicz shoots at 49% accuracy but Bogdan Guskov stops 54% of attempts — the takedown path looks difficult.

Finish Threat: Jan Blachowicz finishes 58% of wins (42% KO/TKO, 17% sub). Bogdan Guskov finishes 100% of wins (75% KO/TKO, 25% sub).

Fight Length: Jan Blachowicz's fights average 12:49 vs 9:27 for Bogdan Guskov. If this reaches the championship rounds, Jan Blachowicz's conditioning history becomes a factor.

Last updated: 2026-08-13 | Data source: UFCStats.com