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Jan Blachowicz vs Bogdan Guskov

Jan Blachowicz

Pro 29-11-2  |  UFC 12-8-2
Light Heavyweight
VS

Bogdan Guskov

Pro 18-3-1  |  UFC 4-1-1
Age
43|33
Height
6'2"|6'3"
Reach
78"|76"
Stance
Orthodox|Orthodox

Career Statistics

Statistic Jan Blachowicz Bogdan Guskov Edge
Striking
Sig. Strike Accuracy50.3%55.9%
Sig. Strikes Landed/min3.64.6
Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min3.14.1
Strike Differential0.4/min0.5/min
Grappling
Takedown Accuracy48.7%0.0%
Takedown Defense69.5%57.1%
Takedowns Landed/15min1.00.0
Submission Attempts/15min0.40.7
Control Time/15min2:002:08
Finishing Ability
KO/TKO % of Wins41.7%75.0%
Submission % of Wins16.7%25.0%
Decision % of Wins41.7%0.0%
Avg Fight Time13:167:15
Secondary Stats
Knockdowns/15min0.41.4
Reversals/15min0.00.3
Edges315 even

Fight Dynamics

Career Striking Volume
Jan Blachowicz   Bogdan Guskov   League median
StatisticJan BlachowiczBogdan GuskovEdge
Fight Shape
Fight Completion Rate71.2%48.4%
Avg Fight Time13:167:15
% Fights Inside the Distance40.9%83.3%
Strength of UFC Schedule
Opponent UFC Win % (all)71.7%56.9%
Opponent UFC Record (all)137-54 (71.7%)37-28 (56.9%)
Opponent Record (among wins)69-30 (69.7%)19-14 (57.6%)
Positional Profile
% Time at Distance (approx.)59.8%63.3%
% Time in Control13.4%14.3%
% Time Controlled26.8%22.4%
Control Rate of Clinch/Ground Time33.4%39.0%
Distance Striking
Distance Sig. Landed / Min4.654.25
Distance Sig. Absorbed / Min3.515.19
Distance Striking Differential / Min+1.14-0.94
Distance Strike Accuracy46.2%48.8%
Distance Strike Defense59.1%48.6%
Power & Pressure
KDs per 100 Power Strikes0.953.54
Knocked Down per 100 Absorbed0.431.80
TD Attempts per 5 Distance Min1.120.00
TDs Faced per 5 Distance Min1.691.27
Fade Index (R3 / R1 pace)1.23
UFC fights only. Metrics with insufficient data show "—" and award no edge. Methodology →

Last 5 Fights (Averages)

Statistic Jan Blachowicz Bogdan Guskov Edge
Sig. Strike Accuracy51.2%57.7%
Sig. Strikes Landed/min3.54.8
Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min4.13.8
Takedown Accuracy33.3%0.0%
Takedown Defense80.0%66.7%
Control Time/Fight1:321:14
Edges213 even

Last 3 Fights

Jan Blachowicz

D
vs. Bogdan Guskov
Decision (Majority) • Rd 3, 5:00
Jan Blachowicz84/14956%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:08KD 1
Bogdan Guskov80/14057%TD 0/0Ctrl 4:09KD 1
▼ Rounds
LOSS
vs. Carlos Ulberg
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00
Jan Blachowicz59/13145%TD 0/1Ctrl 0:00
Carlos Ulberg75/15748%TD 0/1Ctrl 0:08
▼ Rounds
LOSS
vs. Alex Pereira
Decision (Split) • Rd 3, 5:00
Jan Blachowicz52/8164%TD 3/8Ctrl 7:32
Alex Pereira70/9276%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:06
▼ Rounds

Bogdan Guskov

D
vs. Jan Blachowicz
Decision (Majority) • Rd 3, 5:00
Bogdan Guskov80/14057%TD 0/0Ctrl 4:09KD 1
Jan Blachowicz84/14956%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:08KD 1
▼ Rounds
WIN
vs. Nikita Krylov
KO/TKO (Punches) • Rd 1, 4:18
Bogdan Guskov23/4353%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:17KD 1
Nikita Krylov16/3447%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
▼ Rounds
WIN
vs. Billy Elekana
Submission (Guillotine Choke) • Rd 2, 3:33
Bogdan Guskov47/7166%TD 0/0Ctrl 1:24
Billy Elekana20/2871%TD 1/1Ctrl 3:40
▼ Rounds

Common Opponents

vs. Nikita Krylov
Jan Blachowicz
WIN
Submission (Arm Triangle) • Rd 2, 2:41
Jan Blachowicz10/1856%TD 1/1Ctrl 4:54
Nikita Krylov4/2218%TD 1/1Ctrl 1:40
▼ Rounds
Bogdan Guskov
WIN
KO/TKO (Punches) • Rd 1, 4:18
Bogdan Guskov23/4353%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:17KD 1
Nikita Krylov16/3447%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
▼ Rounds

Analysis Summary

Striking Volume: Bogdan Guskov is the busier striker, landing 4.6 significant strikes per minute vs 3.6. Their opponent absorbs 3.1 strikes per minute on average — Bogdan Guskov's output should find a target.

Grappling: Jan Blachowicz shoots at 49% accuracy but Bogdan Guskov stops 57% of attempts — the takedown path looks difficult.

Finish Threat: Jan Blachowicz finishes 58% of wins (42% KO/TKO, 17% sub). Bogdan Guskov finishes 100% of wins (75% KO/TKO, 25% sub).

Fight Length: Jan Blachowicz's fights average 13:16 vs 7:15 for Bogdan Guskov. If this reaches the championship rounds, Jan Blachowicz's conditioning history becomes a factor.

Report generated: 2026-07-13 08:59:46 | Data source: UFCStats.com