Ketlen Souza vs Ariane Carnelossi

Ketlen Souza

Pro 17-7-0  |  UFC 4-4-0
VS

Ariane Carnelossi

Pro 15-5-0  |  UFC 3-4-0
Age
32|33
Height
5'3"|5'2"
Reach
63"|61"
Stance
Orthodox|Orthodox

Career Statistics

Statistic Ketlen Souza Ariane Carnelossi Edge
Striking
Sig. Strike Accuracy53.2%38.6%◄
Sig. Strikes Landed/min4.12.7◄
Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min4.04.7—
Strike Differential0.1/min-2.0/min◄
Grappling
Takedown Accuracy13.3%50.0%►
Takedown Defense63.4%22.7%◄
Takedowns Landed/15min0.41.1—
Submission Attempts/15min0.20.2—
Control Time/15min2:322:40—
Finishing Ability
KO/TKO % of Wins25.0%33.3%—
Submission % of Wins25.0%33.3%—
Decision % of Wins50.0%33.3%—
Avg Fight Time10:1010:06—
Secondary Stats
Knockdowns/15min0.40.0—
Reversals/15min0.20.6—
Edges414 even

Fight Dynamics

Career Striking Volume
Ketlen Souza   Ariane Carnelossi   League median
StatisticKetlen SouzaAriane CarnelossiEdge
Fight Shape
Fight Completion Rate67.8%67.4%—
Avg Fight Time10:1010:06—
% Fights Inside the Distance37.5%85.7%—
Strength of UFC Schedule
Opponent UFC Win % (all)52.4%48.1%—
Opponent UFC Record (all)33-30 (52.4%)13-14 (48.1%)—
Opponent Record (among wins)8-8 (50.0%)2-1 (66.7%)—
Positional Profile
% Time at Distance (approx.)61.3%43.6%—
% Time in Control16.9%17.8%—
% Time Controlled21.8%38.6%◀
Control Rate of Clinch/Ground Time43.7%31.6%◀
Distance Striking
Distance Sig. Landed / Min5.844.70◀
Distance Sig. Absorbed / Min5.196.39◀
Distance Striking Differential / Min+0.65-1.69◀
Distance Strike Accuracy50.2%34.9%◀
Distance Strike Defense57.0%53.6%—
Power & Pressure
KDs per 100 Power Strikes0.730.00◀
Knocked Down per 100 Absorbed0.000.76◀
TD Attempts per 5 Distance Min1.511.62—
TDs Faced per 5 Distance Min4.043.57—
Fade Index (R3 / R1 pace)1.041.05—
UFC fights only. Metrics with insufficient data show "—" and award no edge. Methodology →

Last 5 Fights (Averages)

Statistic Ketlen Souza Ariane Carnelossi Edge
Sig. Strike Accuracy49.0%34.3%◄
Sig. Strikes Landed/min3.81.8◄
Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min4.24.2—
Takedown Accuracy7.7%55.6%►
Takedown Defense63.6%22.2%◄
Control Time/Fight2:031:52—
Edges312 even

Last 3 Fights

Ketlen Souza

LOSS
vs. Loopy Godinez
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan • Oct 2026Women's Strawweight
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00
Ketlen Souza63/15341%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:29
Loopy Godinez67/14646%TD 2/13Ctrl 3:39
▼ Rounds
WIN
vs. Ariane Carnelossi
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim • Jun 2026Women's Strawweight
KO/TKO (Kick) • Rd 1, 1:34
Ketlen Souza13/1776%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:03KD 1
Ariane Carnelossi8/2138%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
▼ Rounds
WIN
vs. Bruna Brasil
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira • Feb 2026Women's Strawweight
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00
Ketlen Souza33/6948%TD 1/8Ctrl 8:03
Bruna Brasil31/6052%TD 1/4Ctrl 0:41
▼ Rounds

Ariane Carnelossi

LOSS
vs. Ketlen Souza
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim • Jun 2026Women's Strawweight
KO/TKO (Kick) • Rd 1, 1:34
Ariane Carnelossi8/2138%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
Ketlen Souza13/1776%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:03KD 1
▼ Rounds
LOSS
vs. Talita Alencar
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama • Nov 2025Women's Strawweight
Submission (Rear Naked Choke) • Rd 3, 4:36
Ariane Carnelossi25/7633%TD 0/1Ctrl 2:19
Talita Alencar60/10060%TD 5/8Ctrl 6:10
▼ Rounds
WIN
vs. Piera Rodriguez
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy • May 2024Women's Strawweight
DQ • Rd 2, 3:16
Ariane Carnelossi16/4933%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
Piera Rodriguez40/8149%TD 1/2Ctrl 3:53KD 1
▼ Rounds

Common Opponents

vs. Loopy Godinez
Ketlen Souza
LOSS
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan • Oct 2026Women's Strawweight
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00
Ketlen Souza63/15341%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:29
Loopy Godinez67/14646%TD 2/13Ctrl 3:39
▼ Rounds
Ariane Carnelossi
LOSS
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje • May 2022Women's Strawweight
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00
Ariane Carnelossi9/2045%TD 0/1Ctrl 0:00
Loopy Godinez46/6175%TD 8/8Ctrl 13:26
▼ Rounds
vs. Piera Rodriguez
Ketlen Souza
LOSS
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park • Aug 2025Women's Strawweight
Decision (Split) • Rd 3, 5:00
Ketlen Souza56/10354%TD 0/3Ctrl 1:41
Piera Rodriguez64/15043%TD 7/10Ctrl 4:36
▼ Rounds
Ariane Carnelossi
WIN
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy • May 2024Women's Strawweight
DQ • Rd 2, 3:16
Ariane Carnelossi16/4933%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
Piera Rodriguez40/8149%TD 1/2Ctrl 3:53KD 1
▼ Rounds
vs. Angela Hill
Ketlen Souza
LOSS
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues • Feb 2025Women's Strawweight
Decision (Split) • Rd 3, 5:00
Ketlen Souza70/13851%TD 0/2Ctrl 0:03
Angela Hill86/15854%TD 2/6Ctrl 4:31
▼ Rounds
Ariane Carnelossi
LOSS
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Stephens • Sep 2019Women's Strawweight
KO/TKO (Elbow) • Rd 3, 1:56
Ariane Carnelossi72/18639%TD 0/1Ctrl 0:38
Angela Hill92/18450%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:59
▼ Rounds

Analysis Summary

Striking Volume: Ketlen Souza is the busier striker, landing 4.1 significant strikes per minute vs 2.7. Their opponent absorbs 4.7 strikes per minute on average — Ketlen Souza's output should find a target.

Striking Accuracy: Ketlen Souza connects on 53.2% of significant strikes compared to 38.6%. The 15pp accuracy gap compounds over the rounds.

Grappling: Ariane Carnelossi shoots at 50% accuracy against Ketlen Souza's 63% defense — Ketlen Souza should keep it standing.

Finish Threat: Ketlen Souza finishes 50% of wins (25% KO/TKO, 25% sub). Ariane Carnelossi finishes 67% of wins (33% KO/TKO, 33% sub).

Data through UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott (Oct 17, 2026)
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