Ketlen Souza vs Ariane Carnelossi

Ketlen Souza

Pro 17-6-0  |  UFC 4-3-0
VS

Ariane Carnelossi

Pro 15-5-0  |  UFC 3-4-0
Age
32|33
Height
5'3"|5'2"
Reach
63"|61"
Stance
Orthodox|Orthodox

Career Statistics

Statistic Ketlen Souza Ariane Carnelossi Edge
Striking
Sig. Strike Accuracy57.1%38.6%
Sig. Strikes Landed/min4.12.7
Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min3.94.7
Strike Differential0.2/min-2.0/min
Grappling
Takedown Accuracy13.3%50.0%
Takedown Defense53.6%22.7%
Takedowns Landed/15min0.51.1
Submission Attempts/15min0.20.2
Control Time/15min2:592:40
Finishing Ability
KO/TKO % of Wins25.0%33.3%
Submission % of Wins25.0%33.3%
Decision % of Wins50.0%33.3%
Avg Fight Time9:2810:06
Secondary Stats
Knockdowns/15min0.50.0
Reversals/15min0.20.6
Edges513 even

Fight Dynamics

Career Striking Volume
Ketlen Souza   Ariane Carnelossi   League median
StatisticKetlen SouzaAriane CarnelossiEdge
Fight Shape
Fight Completion Rate63.2%67.4%
Avg Fight Time9:2810:06
% Fights Inside the Distance42.9%85.7%
Strength of UFC Schedule
Opponent UFC Win % (all)50.0%48.1%
Opponent UFC Record (all)24-24 (50.0%)13-14 (48.1%)
Opponent Record (among wins)8-8 (50.0%)2-1 (66.7%)
Positional Profile
% Time at Distance (approx.)58.8%43.6%
% Time in Control20.0%17.8%
% Time Controlled21.2%38.6%
Control Rate of Clinch/Ground Time48.6%31.6%
Distance Striking
Distance Sig. Landed / Min6.004.70
Distance Sig. Absorbed / Min5.206.39
Distance Striking Differential / Min+0.80-1.69
Distance Strike Accuracy54.0%34.9%
Distance Strike Defense57.2%53.6%
Power & Pressure
KDs per 100 Power Strikes0.910.00
Knocked Down per 100 Absorbed0.000.76
TD Attempts per 5 Distance Min1.941.62
TDs Faced per 5 Distance Min3.493.57
Fade Index (R3 / R1 pace)1.211.05
UFC fights only. Metrics with insufficient data show "—" and award no edge. Methodology →

Last 5 Fights (Averages)

Statistic Ketlen Souza Ariane Carnelossi Edge
Sig. Strike Accuracy53.3%34.3%
Sig. Strikes Landed/min3.91.8
Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min4.54.2
Takedown Accuracy7.7%55.6%
Takedown Defense54.5%22.2%
Control Time/Fight2:011:52
Edges312 even

Last 3 Fights

Ketlen Souza

WIN
vs. Ariane Carnelossi
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim • Jun 2026Women's Strawweight
KO/TKO (Kick) • Rd 1, 1:34
Ketlen Souza13/1776%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:03KD 1
Ariane Carnelossi8/2138%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
▼ Rounds
WIN
vs. Bruna Brasil
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira • Feb 2026Women's Strawweight
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00
Ketlen Souza33/6948%TD 1/8Ctrl 8:03
Bruna Brasil31/6052%TD 1/4Ctrl 0:41
▼ Rounds
LOSS
vs. Piera Rodriguez
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park • Aug 2025Women's Strawweight
Decision (Split) • Rd 3, 5:00
Ketlen Souza56/10354%TD 0/3Ctrl 1:41
Piera Rodriguez64/15043%TD 7/10Ctrl 4:36
▼ Rounds

Ariane Carnelossi

LOSS
vs. Ketlen Souza
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim • Jun 2026Women's Strawweight
KO/TKO (Kick) • Rd 1, 1:34
Ariane Carnelossi8/2138%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
Ketlen Souza13/1776%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:03KD 1
▼ Rounds
LOSS
vs. Talita Alencar
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama • Nov 2025Women's Strawweight
Submission (Rear Naked Choke) • Rd 3, 4:36
Ariane Carnelossi25/7633%TD 0/1Ctrl 2:19
Talita Alencar60/10060%TD 5/8Ctrl 6:10
▼ Rounds
WIN
vs. Piera Rodriguez
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy • May 2024Women's Strawweight
DQ • Rd 2, 3:16
Ariane Carnelossi16/4933%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
Piera Rodriguez40/8149%TD 1/2Ctrl 3:53KD 1
▼ Rounds

Common Opponents

vs. Piera Rodriguez
Ketlen Souza
LOSS
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park • Aug 2025Women's Strawweight
Decision (Split) • Rd 3, 5:00
Ketlen Souza56/10354%TD 0/3Ctrl 1:41
Piera Rodriguez64/15043%TD 7/10Ctrl 4:36
▼ Rounds
Ariane Carnelossi
WIN
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy • May 2024Women's Strawweight
DQ • Rd 2, 3:16
Ariane Carnelossi16/4933%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
Piera Rodriguez40/8149%TD 1/2Ctrl 3:53KD 1
▼ Rounds
vs. Angela Hill
Ketlen Souza
LOSS
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues • Feb 2025Women's Strawweight
Decision (Split) • Rd 3, 5:00
Ketlen Souza70/13851%TD 0/2Ctrl 0:03
Angela Hill86/15854%TD 2/6Ctrl 4:31
▼ Rounds
Ariane Carnelossi
LOSS
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Stephens • Sep 2019Women's Strawweight
KO/TKO (Elbow) • Rd 3, 1:56
Ariane Carnelossi72/18639%TD 0/1Ctrl 0:38
Angela Hill92/18450%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:59
▼ Rounds

Analysis Summary

Striking Volume: Ketlen Souza is the busier striker, landing 4.1 significant strikes per minute vs 2.7. Their opponent absorbs 4.7 strikes per minute on average — Ketlen Souza's output should find a target.

Striking Accuracy: Ketlen Souza connects on 57.1% of significant strikes compared to 38.6%. The 18pp accuracy gap compounds over the rounds.

Grappling: Ariane Carnelossi shoots at 50% accuracy against Ketlen Souza's 54% defense — Ketlen Souza should keep it standing.

Finish Threat: Ketlen Souza finishes 50% of wins (25% KO/TKO, 25% sub). Ariane Carnelossi finishes 67% of wins (33% KO/TKO, 33% sub).

Last updated: 2026-08-22 | Data source: UFCStats.com