Ketlen Souza vs Ariane Carnelossi
Age
32|33
Height
5'3"|5'2"
Reach
63"|61"
Stance
Orthodox|Orthodox
Career Statistics
| Statistic | Ketlen Souza | Ariane Carnelossi | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Striking | |||
| Sig. Strike Accuracy | 53.2% | 38.6% | ◄ |
| Sig. Strikes Landed/min | 4.1 | 2.7 | ◄ |
| Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min | 4.0 | 4.7 | — |
| Strike Differential | 0.1/min | -2.0/min | ◄ |
| Grappling | |||
| Takedown Accuracy | 13.3% | 50.0% | ► |
| Takedown Defense | 63.4% | 22.7% | ◄ |
| Takedowns Landed/15min | 0.4 | 1.1 | — |
| Submission Attempts/15min | 0.2 | 0.2 | — |
| Control Time/15min | 2:32 | 2:40 | — |
| Finishing Ability | |||
| KO/TKO % of Wins | 25.0% | 33.3% | — |
| Submission % of Wins | 25.0% | 33.3% | — |
| Decision % of Wins | 50.0% | 33.3% | — |
| Avg Fight Time | 10:10 | 10:06 | — |
| Secondary Stats | |||
| Knockdowns/15min | 0.4 | 0.0 | — |
| Reversals/15min | 0.2 | 0.6 | — |
| Edges | 4 | 1 | 4 even |
Fight Dynamics
Career Striking Volume
Ketlen Souza
Ariane Carnelossi
League median
| Statistic | Ketlen Souza | Ariane Carnelossi | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fight Shape | |||
| Fight Completion Rate | 67.8% | 67.4% | — |
| Avg Fight Time | 10:10 | 10:06 | — |
| % Fights Inside the Distance | 37.5% | 85.7% | — |
| Strength of UFC Schedule | |||
| Opponent UFC Win % (all) | 52.4% | 48.1% | — |
| Opponent UFC Record (all) | 33-30 (52.4%) | 13-14 (48.1%) | — |
| Opponent Record (among wins) | 8-8 (50.0%) | 2-1 (66.7%) | — |
| Positional Profile | |||
| % Time at Distance (approx.) | 61.3% | 43.6% | — |
| % Time in Control | 16.9% | 17.8% | — |
| % Time Controlled | 21.8% | 38.6% | ◀ |
| Control Rate of Clinch/Ground Time | 43.7% | 31.6% | ◀ |
| Distance Striking | |||
| Distance Sig. Landed / Min | 5.84 | 4.70 | ◀ |
| Distance Sig. Absorbed / Min | 5.19 | 6.39 | ◀ |
| Distance Striking Differential / Min | +0.65 | -1.69 | ◀ |
| Distance Strike Accuracy | 50.2% | 34.9% | ◀ |
| Distance Strike Defense | 57.0% | 53.6% | — |
| Power & Pressure | |||
| KDs per 100 Power Strikes | 0.73 | 0.00 | ◀ |
| Knocked Down per 100 Absorbed | 0.00 | 0.76 | ◀ |
| TD Attempts per 5 Distance Min | 1.51 | 1.62 | — |
| TDs Faced per 5 Distance Min | 4.04 | 3.57 | — |
| Fade Index (R3 / R1 pace) | 1.04 | 1.05 | — |
UFC fights only. Metrics with insufficient data show "—" and award no edge.
Methodology →
Last 5 Fights (Averages)
| Statistic | Ketlen Souza | Ariane Carnelossi | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sig. Strike Accuracy | 49.0% | 34.3% | ◄ |
| Sig. Strikes Landed/min | 3.8 | 1.8 | ◄ |
| Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min | 4.2 | 4.2 | — |
| Takedown Accuracy | 7.7% | 55.6% | ► |
| Takedown Defense | 63.6% | 22.2% | ◄ |
| Control Time/Fight | 2:03 | 1:52 | — |
| Edges | 3 | 1 | 2 even |
Last 3 Fights
Ketlen Souza
LOSS
vs. Loopy Godinez
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan • Oct 2026Women's Strawweight
Ketlen Souza63/15341%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:29
Loopy Godinez67/14646%TD 2/13Ctrl 3:39
WIN
vs. Ariane Carnelossi
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim • Jun 2026Women's Strawweight
Ketlen Souza13/1776%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:03KD 1
Ariane Carnelossi8/2138%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
WIN
vs. Bruna Brasil
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira • Feb 2026Women's Strawweight
Ketlen Souza33/6948%TD 1/8Ctrl 8:03
Bruna Brasil31/6052%TD 1/4Ctrl 0:41
Ariane Carnelossi
LOSS
vs. Ketlen Souza
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim • Jun 2026Women's Strawweight
Ariane Carnelossi8/2138%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
Ketlen Souza13/1776%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:03KD 1
LOSS
vs. Talita Alencar
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama • Nov 2025Women's Strawweight
Ariane Carnelossi25/7633%TD 0/1Ctrl 2:19
Talita Alencar60/10060%TD 5/8Ctrl 6:10
WIN
vs. Piera Rodriguez
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy • May 2024Women's Strawweight
Ariane Carnelossi16/4933%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
Piera Rodriguez40/8149%TD 1/2Ctrl 3:53KD 1
Common Opponents
vs. Loopy Godinez
Ketlen Souza
LOSS
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan • Oct 2026Women's Strawweight
Ketlen Souza63/15341%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:29
Loopy Godinez67/14646%TD 2/13Ctrl 3:39
Ariane Carnelossi
LOSS
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje • May 2022Women's Strawweight
Ariane Carnelossi9/2045%TD 0/1Ctrl 0:00
Loopy Godinez46/6175%TD 8/8Ctrl 13:26
vs. Piera Rodriguez
Ketlen Souza
LOSS
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park • Aug 2025Women's Strawweight
Ketlen Souza56/10354%TD 0/3Ctrl 1:41
Piera Rodriguez64/15043%TD 7/10Ctrl 4:36
Ariane Carnelossi
WIN
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy • May 2024Women's Strawweight
Ariane Carnelossi16/4933%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
Piera Rodriguez40/8149%TD 1/2Ctrl 3:53KD 1
vs. Angela Hill
Ketlen Souza
LOSS
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues • Feb 2025Women's Strawweight
Ketlen Souza70/13851%TD 0/2Ctrl 0:03
Angela Hill86/15854%TD 2/6Ctrl 4:31
Ariane Carnelossi
LOSS
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Stephens • Sep 2019Women's Strawweight
Ariane Carnelossi72/18639%TD 0/1Ctrl 0:38
Angela Hill92/18450%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:59
Analysis Summary
Striking Volume: Ketlen Souza is the busier striker, landing 4.1 significant strikes per minute vs 2.7. Their opponent absorbs 4.7 strikes per minute on average — Ketlen Souza's output should find a target.
Striking Accuracy: Ketlen Souza connects on 53.2% of significant strikes compared to 38.6%. The 15pp accuracy gap compounds over the rounds.
Grappling: Ariane Carnelossi shoots at 50% accuracy against Ketlen Souza's 63% defense — Ketlen Souza should keep it standing.
Finish Threat: Ketlen Souza finishes 50% of wins (25% KO/TKO, 25% sub). Ariane Carnelossi finishes 67% of wins (33% KO/TKO, 33% sub).