Lone'er Kavanagh vs Brandon Royval
Age
27|34
Height
5'6"|5'9"
Reach
67"|68"
Stance
Orthodox|Southpaw
Career Statistics
| Statistic | Lone'er Kavanagh | Brandon Royval | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Striking | |||
| Sig. Strike Accuracy | 50.0% | 42.6% | — |
| Sig. Strikes Landed/min | 4.1 | 5.6 | ► |
| Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min | 3.9 | 4.2 | — |
| Strike Differential | 0.2/min | 1.4/min | ► |
| Grappling | |||
| Takedown Accuracy | 46.2% | 64.3% | ► |
| Takedown Defense | 82.6% | 45.3% | ◄ |
| Takedowns Landed/15min | 1.2 | 0.9 | — |
| Submission Attempts/15min | 0.4 | 1.2 | ► |
| Control Time/15min | 1:51 | 1:25 | — |
| Finishing Ability | |||
| KO/TKO % of Wins | 0.0% | 12.5% | — |
| Submission % of Wins | 0.0% | 50.0% | — |
| Decision % of Wins | 100.0% | 37.5% | — |
| Avg Fight Time | 15:39 | 11:42 | — |
| Secondary Stats | |||
| Knockdowns/15min | 0.2 | 0.3 | — |
| Reversals/15min | 0.2 | 0.6 | — |
| Edges | 1 | 4 | 4 even |
Fight Dynamics
Career Striking Volume
Lone'er Kavanagh
Brandon Royval
League median
| Statistic | Lone'er Kavanagh | Brandon Royval | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fight Shape | |||
| Fight Completion Rate | 92.1% | 64.8% | — |
| Avg Fight Time | 15:39 | 11:42 | — |
| % Fights Inside the Distance | 40.0% | 61.5% | — |
| Strength of UFC Schedule | |||
| Opponent UFC Win % (all) | 58.1% | 70.1% | ▶ |
| Opponent UFC Record (all) | 25-18 (58.1%) | 75-32 (70.1%) | — |
| Opponent Record (among wins) | 12-8 (60.0%) | 40-20 (66.7%) | — |
| Positional Profile | |||
| % Time at Distance (approx.) | 69.4% | 55.5% | — |
| % Time in Control | 12.4% | 9.5% | — |
| % Time Controlled | 18.3% | 35.0% | ◀ |
| Control Rate of Clinch/Ground Time | 40.4% | 21.3% | ◀ |
| Distance Striking | |||
| Distance Sig. Landed / Min | 4.75 | 8.63 | ▶ |
| Distance Sig. Absorbed / Min | 4.38 | 6.50 | ◀ |
| Distance Striking Differential / Min | +0.37 | +2.13 | ▶ |
| Distance Strike Accuracy | 46.9% | 39.8% | ◀ |
| Distance Strike Defense | 58.6% | 43.8% | ◀ |
| Power & Pressure | |||
| KDs per 100 Power Strikes | 0.44 | 0.42 | — |
| Knocked Down per 100 Absorbed | 0.51 | 1.07 | ◀ |
| TD Attempts per 5 Distance Min | 1.20 | 0.83 | — |
| TDs Faced per 5 Distance Min | 2.12 | 3.79 | — |
| Fade Index (R3 / R1 pace) | 0.64 | 1.91 | — |
UFC fights only. Metrics with insufficient data show "—" and award no edge.
Methodology →
Last 5 Fights (Averages)
| Statistic | Lone'er Kavanagh | Brandon Royval | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sig. Strike Accuracy | 50.0% | 42.2% | — |
| Sig. Strikes Landed/min | 4.1 | 7.1 | ► |
| Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min | 3.9 | 5.3 | ◄ |
| Takedown Accuracy | 46.2% | 63.6% | ► |
| Takedown Defense | 82.6% | 54.5% | ◄ |
| Control Time/Fight | 1:56 | 1:34 | — |
| Edges | 2 | 2 | 2 even |
Last 3 Fights
Lone'er Kavanagh
LOSS
vs. Brandon Royval
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 • Jul 2026Flyweight
Lone'er Kavanagh56/9460%TD 1/2Ctrl 2:09KD 1
Brandon Royval84/15255%TD 3/6Ctrl 4:53
WIN
vs. Brandon Moreno
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh • Feb 2026Flyweight
Lone'er Kavanagh97/20547%TD 0/1Ctrl 0:00
Brandon Moreno79/16847%TD 0/8Ctrl 7:20
LOSS
vs. Charles Johnson
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang • Aug 2025Flyweight
Lone'er Kavanagh59/12049%TD 1/2Ctrl 0:59
Charles Johnson44/8154%TD 1/5Ctrl 0:32KD 1
Brandon Royval
WIN
vs. Lone'er Kavanagh
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 • Jul 2026Flyweight
Brandon Royval84/15255%TD 3/6Ctrl 4:53
Lone'er Kavanagh56/9460%TD 1/2Ctrl 2:09KD 1
LOSS
vs. Manel Kape
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape • Dec 2025Flyweight
Brandon Royval17/2665%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
Manel Kape17/2374%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:04KD 1
LOSS
vs. Joshua Van
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira • Jun 2025Flyweight
Brandon Royval215/46746%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
Joshua Van204/30567%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:09KD 1
Common Opponents
vs. Brandon Moreno
Lone'er Kavanagh
WIN
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh • Feb 2026Flyweight
Lone'er Kavanagh97/20547%TD 0/1Ctrl 0:00
Brandon Moreno79/16847%TD 0/8Ctrl 7:20
Brandon Royval
WIN
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 • Feb 2024Flyweight
Brandon Royval145/51028%TD 1/2Ctrl 0:35
Brandon Moreno112/21153%TD 3/5Ctrl 2:54
Analysis Summary
Striking Volume: Brandon Royval is the busier striker, landing 5.6 significant strikes per minute vs 4.1. Their opponent absorbs 3.9 strikes per minute on average — Brandon Royval's output should find a target.
Grappling: Lone'er Kavanagh shoots 1.2 TD/15min at 46% accuracy against Brandon Royval's 45% defense — takedowns are a viable path. Brandon Royval shoots at 64% accuracy against Lone'er Kavanagh's 83% defense — Lone'er Kavanagh should keep it standing.
Finish Threat: Brandon Royval finishes 62% of wins (12% KO/TKO, 50% sub).
Fight Length: Lone'er Kavanagh's fights average 15:39 vs 11:42 for Brandon Royval. If this reaches the championship rounds, Lone'er Kavanagh's conditioning history becomes a factor.