Manel Kape vs Joshua Van
Age
32|25
Height
5'5"|5'5"
Reach
68"|65"
Stance
Southpaw|Orthodox
Career Statistics
| Statistic | Manel Kape | Joshua Van | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Striking | |||
| Sig. Strike Accuracy | 55.1% | 57.6% | — |
| Sig. Strikes Landed/min | 4.7 | 8.3 | ► |
| Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min | 3.9 | 5.8 | ◄ |
| Strike Differential | 0.8/min | 2.4/min | ► |
| Grappling | |||
| Takedown Accuracy | 30.0% | 61.5% | ► |
| Takedown Defense | 78.6% | 75.0% | — |
| Takedowns Landed/15min | 0.4 | 0.7 | — |
| Submission Attempts/15min | 0.2 | 0.3 | — |
| Control Time/15min | 0:26 | 1:07 | — |
| Finishing Ability | |||
| KO/TKO % of Wins | 75.0% | 36.4% | — |
| Submission % of Wins | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
| Decision % of Wins | 25.0% | 63.6% | — |
| Avg Fight Time | 11:16 | 14:14 | — |
| Secondary Stats | |||
| Knockdowns/15min | 1.0 | 0.7 | — |
| Reversals/15min | 0.1 | 0.1 | — |
| Edges | 1 | 3 | 5 even |
Fight Dynamics
Career Striking Volume
Manel Kape
Joshua Van
League median
| Statistic | Manel Kape | Joshua Van | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fight Shape | |||
| Fight Completion Rate | 63.6% | 81.3% | — |
| Avg Fight Time | 11:16 | 14:14 | — |
| % Fights Inside the Distance | 54.5% | 41.7% | — |
| Strength of UFC Schedule | |||
| Opponent UFC Win % (all) | 74.6% | 68.2% | ◀ |
| Opponent UFC Record (all) | 44-15 (74.6%) | 60-28 (68.2%) | — |
| Opponent Record (among wins) | 29-11 (72.5%) | 56-24 (70.0%) | — |
| Positional Profile | |||
| % Time at Distance (approx.) | 87.4% | 74.0% | — |
| % Time in Control | 2.9% | 7.5% | — |
| % Time Controlled | 9.6% | 18.5% | ◀ |
| Control Rate of Clinch/Ground Time | 23.3% | 29.0% | — |
| Distance Striking | |||
| Distance Sig. Landed / Min | 4.75 | 9.73 | ▶ |
| Distance Sig. Absorbed / Min | 4.18 | 7.41 | ◀ |
| Distance Striking Differential / Min | +0.57 | +2.33 | ▶ |
| Distance Strike Accuracy | 53.9% | 55.7% | — |
| Distance Strike Defense | 57.8% | 58.0% | — |
| Power & Pressure | |||
| KDs per 100 Power Strikes | 1.77 | 0.65 | ◀ |
| Knocked Down per 100 Absorbed | 0.00 | 0.12 | — |
| TD Attempts per 5 Distance Min | 0.46 | 0.51 | — |
| TDs Faced per 5 Distance Min | 1.94 | 3.64 | — |
| Fade Index (R3 / R1 pace) | 1.54 | 2.27 | — |
UFC fights only. Metrics with insufficient data show "—" and award no edge.
Methodology →
Last 5 Fights (Averages)
| Statistic | Manel Kape | Joshua Van | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sig. Strike Accuracy | 55.6% | 61.8% | — |
| Sig. Strikes Landed/min | 4.1 | 8.5 | ► |
| Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min | 3.1 | 6.6 | ◄ |
| Takedown Accuracy | 0.0% | 50.0% | ► |
| Takedown Defense | 79.2% | 68.9% | ◄ |
| Control Time/Fight | 0:09 | 0:56 | — |
| Edges | 2 | 2 | 2 even |
Last 3 Fights
Manel Kape
WIN
vs. Kyoji Horiguchi
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi • Jun 2026Flyweight
Manel Kape19/5634%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:10KD 1
Kyoji Horiguchi27/5351%TD 2/5Ctrl 4:00
WIN
vs. Brandon Royval
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape • Dec 2025Flyweight
Manel Kape17/2374%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:04KD 1
Brandon Royval17/2665%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
WIN
vs. Asu Almabayev
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev • Mar 2025Flyweight
Manel Kape61/11553%TD 0/1Ctrl 0:29
Asu Almabayev40/8050%TD 0/6Ctrl 0:00
Joshua Van
WIN
vs. Alexandre Pantoja
UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2 • Sep 2026FlyweightTITLE
Joshua Van181/30559%TD 0/0Ctrl 2:13KD 1
Alexandre Pantoja147/28452%TD 5/18Ctrl 9:11
WIN
vs. Tatsuro Taira
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland • May 2026FlyweightTITLE
Joshua Van131/20963%TD 1/2Ctrl 1:21KD 2
Tatsuro Taira55/15136%TD 8/21Ctrl 10:38
WIN
vs. Alexandre Pantoja
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 • Dec 2025FlyweightTITLE
Joshua Van2/450%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
Alexandre Pantoja6/1155%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
Common Opponents
vs. Alexandre Pantoja
Manel Kape
LOSS
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov • Feb 2021Flyweight
Manel Kape49/9154%TD 2/7Ctrl 0:25
Alexandre Pantoja74/14950%TD 0/1Ctrl 0:24
Joshua Van
WIN
UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2 • Sep 2026FlyweightTITLE
Joshua Van181/30559%TD 0/0Ctrl 2:13KD 1
Alexandre Pantoja147/28452%TD 5/18Ctrl 9:11
vs. Brandon Royval
Manel Kape
WIN
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape • Dec 2025Flyweight
Manel Kape17/2374%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:04KD 1
Brandon Royval17/2665%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
Joshua Van
WIN
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira • Jun 2025Flyweight
Joshua Van204/30567%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:09KD 1
Brandon Royval215/46746%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
vs. Bruno Silva
Manel Kape
WIN
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley • Dec 2024Flyweight
Manel Kape111/16866%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:01KD 1
Bruno Silva57/11251%TD 0/5Ctrl 0:00
Joshua Van
WIN
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 • Jun 2025Flyweight
Joshua Van125/21758%TD 0/0Ctrl 1:01KD 3
Bruno Silva76/14951%TD 1/6Ctrl 0:09
vs. Zhalgas Zhumagulov
Manel Kape
WIN
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo • Dec 2021Flyweight
Manel Kape53/7274%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:03KD 2
Zhalgas Zhumagulov31/7939%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
Joshua Van
WIN
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria • Jun 2023Flyweight
Joshua Van120/23451%TD 0/2Ctrl 0:01
Zhalgas Zhumagulov103/28736%TD 1/5Ctrl 1:10
Analysis Summary
Striking Volume: Joshua Van is the busier striker, landing 8.3 significant strikes per minute vs 4.7. Their opponent absorbs 3.9 strikes per minute on average — Joshua Van's output should find a target.
Grappling: Joshua Van shoots at 62% accuracy against Manel Kape's 79% defense — Manel Kape should keep it standing.
Finish Threat: Manel Kape finishes 75% of wins (75% KO/TKO, 0% sub).
Fight Length: Joshua Van's fights average 14:14 vs 11:16 for Manel Kape. If this reaches the championship rounds, Joshua Van's conditioning history becomes a factor.