Mario Bautista vs Cory Sandhagen
Age
33|34
Height
5'9"|5'11"
Reach
69"|70"
Stance
Switch|Switch
Career Statistics
| Statistic | Mario Bautista | Cory Sandhagen | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Striking | |||
| Sig. Strike Accuracy | 50.3% | 45.4% | — |
| Sig. Strikes Landed/min | 5.5 | 4.9 | — |
| Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min | 4.2 | 3.7 | — |
| Strike Differential | 1.4/min | 1.2/min | — |
| Grappling | |||
| Takedown Accuracy | 38.8% | 33.9% | — |
| Takedown Defense | 57.1% | 57.0% | — |
| Takedowns Landed/15min | 2.5 | 1.1 | ◄ |
| Submission Attempts/15min | 1.1 | 0.2 | ◄ |
| Control Time/15min | 3:26 | 2:54 | — |
| Finishing Ability | |||
| KO/TKO % of Wins | 8.3% | 54.5% | — |
| Submission % of Wins | 33.3% | 9.1% | — |
| Decision % of Wins | 58.3% | 36.4% | — |
| Avg Fight Time | 10:25 | 14:43 | — |
| Secondary Stats | |||
| Knockdowns/15min | 0.3 | 0.2 | — |
| Reversals/15min | 0.1 | 0.2 | — |
| Edges | 2 | 0 | 7 even |
Fight Dynamics
Career Striking Volume
Mario Bautista
Cory Sandhagen
League median
| Statistic | Mario Bautista | Cory Sandhagen | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fight Shape | |||
| Fight Completion Rate | 66.6% | 72.6% | — |
| Avg Fight Time | 10:25 | 14:43 | — |
| % Fights Inside the Distance | 46.7% | 47.1% | — |
| Strength of UFC Schedule | |||
| Opponent UFC Win % (all) | 67.4% | 75.7% | ▶ |
| Opponent UFC Record (all) | 62-30 (67.4%) | 159-51 (75.7%) | — |
| Opponent Record (among wins) | 54-29 (65.1%) | 101-38 (72.7%) | — |
| Positional Profile | |||
| % Time at Distance (approx.) | 60.8% | 65.2% | — |
| % Time in Control | 23.0% | 19.4% | — |
| % Time Controlled | 16.2% | 15.4% | — |
| Control Rate of Clinch/Ground Time | 58.6% | 55.8% | — |
| Distance Striking | |||
| Distance Sig. Landed / Min | 7.31 | 6.26 | ◀ |
| Distance Sig. Absorbed / Min | 5.64 | 4.86 | — |
| Distance Striking Differential / Min | +1.67 | +1.40 | — |
| Distance Strike Accuracy | 46.2% | 43.0% | — |
| Distance Strike Defense | 58.1% | 57.7% | — |
| Power & Pressure | |||
| KDs per 100 Power Strikes | 0.43 | 0.48 | — |
| Knocked Down per 100 Absorbed | 0.39 | 0.28 | — |
| TD Attempts per 5 Distance Min | 3.52 | 1.72 | — |
| TDs Faced per 5 Distance Min | 2.94 | 3.49 | — |
| Fade Index (R3 / R1 pace) | 1.90 | 0.84 | — |
UFC fights only. Metrics with insufficient data show "—" and award no edge.
Methodology →
Last 5 Fights (Averages)
| Statistic | Mario Bautista | Cory Sandhagen | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sig. Strike Accuracy | 52.3% | 47.5% | — |
| Sig. Strikes Landed/min | 5.3 | 3.3 | ◄ |
| Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min | 4.4 | 3.4 | ► |
| Takedown Accuracy | 34.2% | 66.7% | ► |
| Takedown Defense | 40.0% | 53.2% | ► |
| Control Time/Fight | 3:17 | 5:14 | ► |
| Edges | 1 | 4 | 1 even |
Last 3 Fights
Mario Bautista
WIN
vs. Cory Sandhagen
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 • Jul 2026Bantamweight
Mario Bautista114/18562%TD 8/20Ctrl 3:21KD 1
Cory Sandhagen89/17651%TD 1/4Ctrl 1:13
WIN
vs. Vinicius Oliveira
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira • Feb 2026Bantamweight
Mario Bautista15/2756%TD 5/7Ctrl 5:47
Vinicius Oliveira12/2157%TD 0/1Ctrl 1:39
LOSS
vs. Umar Nurmagomedov
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane • Oct 2025Bantamweight
Mario Bautista20/5437%TD 0/1Ctrl 0:04KD 1
Umar Nurmagomedov32/5459%TD 11/14Ctrl 10:46
Cory Sandhagen
LOSS
vs. Mario Bautista
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 • Jul 2026Bantamweight
Cory Sandhagen89/17651%TD 1/4Ctrl 1:13
Mario Bautista114/18562%TD 8/20Ctrl 3:21KD 1
LOSS
vs. Merab Dvalishvili
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 • Oct 2025BantamweightTITLE
Cory Sandhagen80/18443%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
Merab Dvalishvili114/26543%TD 20/37Ctrl 10:02
WIN
vs. Deiveson Figueiredo
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo • May 2025Bantamweight
Cory Sandhagen54/8762%TD 2/2Ctrl 5:07
Deiveson Figueiredo6/967%TD 2/5Ctrl 0:31
Common Opponents
vs. Umar Nurmagomedov
Mario Bautista
LOSS
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane • Oct 2025Bantamweight
Mario Bautista20/5437%TD 0/1Ctrl 0:04KD 1
Umar Nurmagomedov32/5459%TD 11/14Ctrl 10:46
Cory Sandhagen
LOSS
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov • Aug 2024Bantamweight
Cory Sandhagen71/15945%TD 0/2Ctrl 0:12
Umar Nurmagomedov98/18752%TD 5/13Ctrl 5:11
Analysis Summary
Striking Volume: Both fighters operate at a similar pace (5.5 vs 4.9 sig str/min). Accuracy and timing will decide the striking battle.
Grappling: Mario Bautista shoots at 39% accuracy but Cory Sandhagen stops 57% of attempts — the takedown path looks difficult. Cory Sandhagen shoots at 34% accuracy against Mario Bautista's 57% defense — Mario Bautista should keep it standing.
Finish Threat: Cory Sandhagen finishes 64% of wins (55% KO/TKO, 9% sub).
Fight Length: Cory Sandhagen's fights average 14:43 vs 10:25 for Mario Bautista. If this reaches the championship rounds, Cory Sandhagen's conditioning history becomes a factor.