Matheus Camilo vs Jai Herbert
Age
25|38
Height
5'10"|6'1"
Reach
69"|77"
Stance
Orthodox|Orthodox
Career Statistics
| Statistic | Matheus Camilo | Jai Herbert | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Striking | |||
| Sig. Strike Accuracy | 43.1% | 41.6% | — |
| Sig. Strikes Landed/min | 2.2 | 3.2 | ► |
| Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min | 3.1 | 3.3 | — |
| Strike Differential | -0.8/min | -0.2/min | — |
| Grappling | |||
| Takedown Accuracy | 53.8% | 21.4% | ◄ |
| Takedown Defense | — | — | — |
| Takedowns Landed/15min | 4.2 | 0.4 | ◄ |
| Submission Attempts/15min | 0.6 | 0.0 | ◄ |
| Control Time/15min | 3:31 | 2:29 | ◄ |
| Finishing Ability | |||
| KO/TKO % of Wins | 50.0% | 50.0% | — |
| Submission % of Wins | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
| Decision % of Wins | 50.0% | 50.0% | — |
| Avg Fight Time | 8:24 | 10:42 | — |
| Secondary Stats | |||
| Knockdowns/15min | 0.6 | 0.8 | — |
| Reversals/15min | 0.0 | 0.0 | — |
| Edges | 4 | 1 | 4 even |
Fight Dynamics
Career Striking Volume
Matheus Camilo
Jai Herbert
League median
| Statistic | Matheus Camilo | Jai Herbert | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fight Shape | |||
| Fight Completion Rate | 56.1% | 71.4% | — |
| Avg Fight Time | 8:24 | 10:42 | — |
| % Fights Inside the Distance | 66.7% | 50.0% | — |
| Strength of UFC Schedule | |||
| Opponent UFC Win % (all) | 50.0% | 62.5% | ▶ |
| Opponent UFC Record (all) | 9-9 (50.0%) | 35-21 (62.5%) | — |
| Opponent Record (among wins) | 7-6 (53.8%) | 3-7 (30.0%) | — |
| Positional Profile | |||
| % Time at Distance (approx.) | 66.2% | 58.7% | — |
| % Time in Control | 23.4% | 16.6% | — |
| % Time Controlled | 10.3% | 24.7% | ◀ |
| Control Rate of Clinch/Ground Time | 69.5% | 40.2% | ◀ |
| Distance Striking | |||
| Distance Sig. Landed / Min | 3.05 | 4.26 | ▶ |
| Distance Sig. Absorbed / Min | 4.43 | 4.20 | — |
| Distance Striking Differential / Min | -1.38 | +0.06 | ▶ |
| Distance Strike Accuracy | 42.5% | 36.8% | ◀ |
| Distance Strike Defense | 67.4% | 58.8% | ◀ |
| Power & Pressure | |||
| KDs per 100 Power Strikes | 2.38 | 2.33 | — |
| Knocked Down per 100 Absorbed | 0.00 | 1.30 | ◀ |
| TD Attempts per 5 Distance Min | 3.89 | 1.11 | — |
| TDs Faced per 5 Distance Min | 0.00 | 2.62 | — |
| Fade Index (R3 / R1 pace) | — | 1.51 | — |
UFC fights only. Metrics with insufficient data show "—" and award no edge.
Methodology →
Last 5 Fights (Averages)
| Statistic | Matheus Camilo | Jai Herbert | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sig. Strike Accuracy | 43.1% | 41.8% | — |
| Sig. Strikes Landed/min | 2.2 | 3.7 | ► |
| Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min | 3.1 | 3.7 | — |
| Takedown Accuracy | 53.8% | 23.1% | ◄ |
| Takedown Defense | — | — | — |
| Control Time/Fight | 1:58 | 1:37 | — |
| Edges | 1 | 1 | 4 even |
Last 3 Fights
Matheus Camilo
WIN
vs. Nazim Sadykhov
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres • Jun 2026Lightweight
Matheus Camilo4/1040%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:03KD 1
Nazim Sadykhov0/160%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
WIN
vs. Viacheslav Borshchev
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev • Nov 2025Lightweight
Matheus Camilo39/9342%TD 5/10Ctrl 3:22
Viacheslav Borshchev65/18835%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:24
LOSS
vs. Gabe Green
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales • May 2025Lightweight
Matheus Camilo13/2748%TD 2/3Ctrl 2:30
Gabe Green12/2744%TD 0/0Ctrl 2:12
Jai Herbert
WIN
vs. Mandel Nallo
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott • Apr 2026Lightweight
Jai Herbert19/2868%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:27KD 2
Mandel Nallo16/3152%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:10KD 1
LOSS
vs. Chris Padilla
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady • Mar 2025Lightweight
Jai Herbert38/12231%TD 0/1Ctrl 0:01
Chris Padilla39/9840%TD 0/6Ctrl 3:41
WIN
vs. Rolando Bedoya
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov • Aug 2024Lightweight
Jai Herbert82/17846%TD 2/3Ctrl 0:33KD 1
Rolando Bedoya67/19934%TD 0/1Ctrl 1:11
Common Opponents
No Common Opponents
Analysis Summary
Striking Volume: Jai Herbert is the busier striker, landing 3.2 significant strikes per minute vs 2.2. Their opponent absorbs 3.1 strikes per minute on average — Jai Herbert's output should find a target.
Grappling: Matheus Camilo shoots at 54% accuracy but Jai Herbert stops 67% of attempts — the takedown path looks difficult.
Finish Threat: Matheus Camilo finishes 50% of wins (50% KO/TKO, 0% sub). Jai Herbert finishes 50% of wins (50% KO/TKO, 0% sub).
Fight Length: Jai Herbert's fights average 10:42 vs 8:24 for Matheus Camilo. If this reaches the championship rounds, Jai Herbert's conditioning history becomes a factor.