Matheus Camilo vs Jai Herbert

Matheus Camilo

Pro 11-4-0  |  UFC 2-2-0
VS

Jai Herbert

Pro 15-6-1  |  UFC 5-5-1
Age
25|38
Height
5'10"|6'1"
Reach
69"|77"
Stance
Orthodox|Orthodox

Career Statistics

Statistic Matheus Camilo Jai Herbert Edge
Striking
Sig. Strike Accuracy45.8%40.4%—
Sig. Strikes Landed/min2.53.2—
Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min3.33.3—
Strike Differential-0.8/min-0.0/min—
Grappling
Takedown Accuracy52.9%20.0%◄
Takedown Defense100.0%64.9%◄
Takedowns Landed/15min3.40.4◄
Submission Attempts/15min0.40.0—
Control Time/15min3:122:32—
Finishing Ability
KO/TKO % of Wins50.0%40.0%—
Submission % of Wins0.0%0.0%—
Decision % of Wins50.0%60.0%—
Avg Fight Time10:0311:05—
Secondary Stats
Knockdowns/15min0.40.7—
Reversals/15min0.00.1—
Edges306 even

Fight Dynamics

Career Striking Volume
Matheus Camilo   Jai Herbert   League median
StatisticMatheus CamiloJai HerbertEdge
Fight Shape
Fight Completion Rate67.1%74.0%—
Avg Fight Time10:0311:05—
% Fights Inside the Distance50.0%45.5%—
Strength of UFC Schedule
Opponent UFC Win % (all)48.1%62.7%▶
Opponent UFC Record (all)13-14 (48.1%)37-22 (62.7%)—
Opponent Record (among wins)7-6 (53.8%)5-8 (38.5%)—
Positional Profile
% Time at Distance (approx.)64.9%59.2%—
% Time in Control21.4%16.9%—
% Time Controlled13.7%23.9%◀
Control Rate of Clinch/Ground Time60.9%41.5%◀
Distance Striking
Distance Sig. Landed / Min3.334.30▶
Distance Sig. Absorbed / Min4.484.15—
Distance Striking Differential / Min-1.15+0.15▶
Distance Strike Accuracy44.2%35.9%◀
Distance Strike Defense67.9%58.2%◀
Power & Pressure
KDs per 100 Power Strikes1.432.01▶
Knocked Down per 100 Absorbed0.001.16◀
TD Attempts per 5 Distance Min3.251.04—
TDs Faced per 5 Distance Min0.192.56—
Fade Index (R3 / R1 pace)—1.76—
UFC fights only. Metrics with insufficient data show "—" and award no edge. Methodology →

Last 5 Fights (Averages)

Statistic Matheus Camilo Jai Herbert Edge
Sig. Strike Accuracy45.8%39.1%—
Sig. Strikes Landed/min2.53.9►
Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min3.33.6—
Takedown Accuracy52.9%18.2%◄
Takedown Defense100.0%81.2%◄
Control Time/Fight2:091:37—
Edges213 even

Last 3 Fights

Matheus Camilo

LOSS
vs. Jai Herbert
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan • Oct 2026Lightweight
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00
Matheus Camilo43/8650%TD 2/4Ctrl 2:41
Jai Herbert54/15734%TD 0/1Ctrl 2:55
▼ Rounds
WIN
vs. Nazim Sadykhov
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres • Jun 2026Lightweight
KO/TKO (Punch) • Rd 1, 1:31
Matheus Camilo4/1040%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:03KD 1
Nazim Sadykhov0/160%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
▼ Rounds
WIN
vs. Viacheslav Borshchev
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00
Matheus Camilo39/9342%TD 5/10Ctrl 3:22
Viacheslav Borshchev65/18835%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:24
▼ Rounds

Jai Herbert

WIN
vs. Matheus Camilo
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan • Oct 2026Lightweight
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00
Jai Herbert54/15734%TD 0/1Ctrl 2:55
Matheus Camilo43/8650%TD 2/4Ctrl 2:41
▼ Rounds
WIN
vs. Mandel Nallo
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott • Apr 2026Lightweight
KO/TKO (Punches) • Rd 1, 2:05
Jai Herbert19/2868%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:27KD 2
Mandel Nallo16/3152%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:10KD 1
▼ Rounds
LOSS
vs. Chris Padilla
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady • Mar 2025Lightweight
Decision (Split) • Rd 3, 5:00
Jai Herbert38/12231%TD 0/1Ctrl 0:01
Chris Padilla39/9840%TD 0/6Ctrl 3:41
▼ Rounds

Common Opponents

No Common Opponents

Analysis Summary

Striking Volume: Both fighters operate at a similar pace (2.5 vs 3.2 sig str/min). Accuracy and timing will decide the striking battle.

Grappling: Matheus Camilo shoots at 53% accuracy but Jai Herbert stops 65% of attempts — the takedown path looks difficult.

Finish Threat: Matheus Camilo finishes 50% of wins (50% KO/TKO, 0% sub).

Data through UFC Fight Night: Cortes Acosta vs. Walker (Nov 7, 2026)
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