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Matheus Camilo vs Jai Herbert

Matheus Camilo

Pro 11-3-0  |  UFC 2-1-0
Lightweight
VS

Jai Herbert

Pro 14-6-1  |  UFC 4-5-1
Age
25|38
Height
5'10"|6'1"
Reach
69"|77"
Stance
Orthodox|Orthodox

Career Statistics

Statistic Matheus Camilo Jai Herbert Edge
Striking
Sig. Strike Accuracy43.1%41.6%—
Sig. Strikes Landed/min2.23.2►
Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min3.13.3—
Strike Differential-0.8/min-0.2/min—
Grappling
Takedown Accuracy53.8%21.4%◄
Takedown Defense———
Takedowns Landed/15min4.20.4◄
Submission Attempts/15min0.60.0◄
Control Time/15min3:312:29◄
Finishing Ability
KO/TKO % of Wins50.0%50.0%—
Submission % of Wins0.0%0.0%—
Decision % of Wins50.0%50.0%—
Avg Fight Time8:2410:42—
Secondary Stats
Knockdowns/15min0.60.8—
Reversals/15min0.00.0—
Edges414 even

Fight Dynamics

Career Striking Volume
Matheus Camilo   Jai Herbert   League median
StatisticMatheus CamiloJai HerbertEdge
Fight Shape
Fight Completion Rate56.1%71.4%—
Avg Fight Time8:2410:42—
% Fights Inside the Distance66.7%50.0%—
Strength of UFC Schedule
Opponent UFC Win % (all)50.0%62.5%▶
Opponent UFC Record (all)9-9 (50.0%)35-21 (62.5%)—
Opponent Record (among wins)7-6 (53.8%)3-7 (30.0%)—
Positional Profile
% Time at Distance (approx.)66.2%58.7%—
% Time in Control23.4%16.6%—
% Time Controlled10.3%24.7%◀
Control Rate of Clinch/Ground Time69.5%40.2%◀
Distance Striking
Distance Sig. Landed / Min3.054.26▶
Distance Sig. Absorbed / Min4.434.20—
Distance Striking Differential / Min-1.38+0.06▶
Distance Strike Accuracy42.5%36.8%◀
Distance Strike Defense67.4%58.8%◀
Power & Pressure
KDs per 100 Power Strikes2.382.33—
Knocked Down per 100 Absorbed0.001.30◀
TD Attempts per 5 Distance Min3.891.11—
TDs Faced per 5 Distance Min0.002.62—
Fade Index (R3 / R1 pace)—1.51—
UFC fights only. Metrics with insufficient data show "—" and award no edge. Methodology →

Last 5 Fights (Averages)

Statistic Matheus Camilo Jai Herbert Edge
Sig. Strike Accuracy43.1%41.8%—
Sig. Strikes Landed/min2.23.7►
Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min3.13.7—
Takedown Accuracy53.8%23.1%◄
Takedown Defense———
Control Time/Fight1:581:37—
Edges114 even

Last 3 Fights

Matheus Camilo

WIN
vs. Nazim Sadykhov
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres • Jun 2026Lightweight
KO/TKO (Punch) • Rd 1, 1:31
Matheus Camilo4/1040%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:03KD 1
Nazim Sadykhov0/160%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
▼ Rounds
WIN
vs. Viacheslav Borshchev
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00
Matheus Camilo39/9342%TD 5/10Ctrl 3:22
Viacheslav Borshchev65/18835%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:24
▼ Rounds
LOSS
vs. Gabe Green
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales • May 2025Lightweight
Submission (Rear Naked Choke) • Rd 2, 3:43
Matheus Camilo13/2748%TD 2/3Ctrl 2:30
Gabe Green12/2744%TD 0/0Ctrl 2:12
▼ Rounds

Jai Herbert

WIN
vs. Mandel Nallo
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott • Apr 2026Lightweight
KO/TKO (Punches) • Rd 1, 2:05
Jai Herbert19/2868%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:27KD 2
Mandel Nallo16/3152%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:10KD 1
▼ Rounds
LOSS
vs. Chris Padilla
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady • Mar 2025Lightweight
Decision (Split) • Rd 3, 5:00
Jai Herbert38/12231%TD 0/1Ctrl 0:01
Chris Padilla39/9840%TD 0/6Ctrl 3:41
▼ Rounds
WIN
vs. Rolando Bedoya
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00
Jai Herbert82/17846%TD 2/3Ctrl 0:33KD 1
Rolando Bedoya67/19934%TD 0/1Ctrl 1:11
▼ Rounds

Common Opponents

No Common Opponents

Analysis Summary

Striking Volume: Jai Herbert is the busier striker, landing 3.2 significant strikes per minute vs 2.2. Their opponent absorbs 3.1 strikes per minute on average — Jai Herbert's output should find a target.

Grappling: Matheus Camilo shoots at 54% accuracy but Jai Herbert stops 67% of attempts — the takedown path looks difficult.

Finish Threat: Matheus Camilo finishes 50% of wins (50% KO/TKO, 0% sub). Jai Herbert finishes 50% of wins (50% KO/TKO, 0% sub).

Fight Length: Jai Herbert's fights average 10:42 vs 8:24 for Matheus Camilo. If this reaches the championship rounds, Jai Herbert's conditioning history becomes a factor.

Last updated: 2026-09-28 | Data source: UFCStats.com