Melissa Croden vs Chelsea Chandler
Age
35|35
Height
5'9"|5'8"
Reach
68"|68"
Stance
Orthodox|Southpaw
Career Statistics
| Statistic | Melissa Croden | Chelsea Chandler | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Striking | |||
| Sig. Strike Accuracy | 46.6% | 45.0% | — |
| Sig. Strikes Landed/min | 4.1 | 3.4 | — |
| Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min | 2.2 | 4.1 | ◄ |
| Strike Differential | 1.9/min | -0.7/min | ◄ |
| Grappling | |||
| Takedown Accuracy | 46.7% | 50.0% | — |
| Takedown Defense | 68.8% | 36.4% | ◄ |
| Takedowns Landed/15min | 2.1 | 0.7 | ◄ |
| Submission Attempts/15min | 0.3 | 0.5 | — |
| Control Time/15min | 4:01 | 4:20 | — |
| Finishing Ability | |||
| KO/TKO % of Wins | 50.0% | 25.0% | — |
| Submission % of Wins | 0.0% | 50.0% | — |
| Decision % of Wins | 50.0% | 25.0% | — |
| Avg Fight Time | 12:21 | 8:37 | — |
| Secondary Stats | |||
| Knockdowns/15min | 0.3 | 0.2 | — |
| Reversals/15min | 0.3 | 0.0 | — |
| Edges | 4 | 0 | 5 even |
Fight Dynamics
Career Striking Volume
Melissa Croden
Chelsea Chandler
League median
| Statistic | Melissa Croden | Chelsea Chandler | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fight Shape | |||
| Fight Completion Rate | 82.3% | 57.5% | — |
| Avg Fight Time | 12:21 | 8:37 | — |
| % Fights Inside the Distance | 50.0% | 57.1% | — |
| Strength of UFC Schedule | |||
| Opponent UFC Win % (all) | 64.7% | 51.0% | ◀ |
| Opponent UFC Record (all) | 11-6 (64.7%) | 25-24 (51.0%) | — |
| Opponent Record (among wins) | 4-2 (66.7%) | 11-13 (45.8%) | — |
| Positional Profile | |||
| % Time at Distance (approx.) | 47.0% | 47.7% | — |
| % Time in Control | 26.8% | 28.9% | — |
| % Time Controlled | 26.2% | 23.5% | — |
| Control Rate of Clinch/Ground Time | 50.6% | 55.2% | — |
| Distance Striking | |||
| Distance Sig. Landed / Min | 5.25 | 4.28 | ◀ |
| Distance Sig. Absorbed / Min | 3.06 | 6.19 | ◀ |
| Distance Striking Differential / Min | +2.20 | -1.91 | ◀ |
| Distance Strike Accuracy | 39.6% | 36.2% | — |
| Distance Strike Defense | 66.5% | 47.3% | ◀ |
| Power & Pressure | |||
| KDs per 100 Power Strikes | 0.72 | 0.60 | — |
| Knocked Down per 100 Absorbed | 0.00 | 0.54 | ◀ |
| TD Attempts per 5 Distance Min | 3.23 | 1.04 | — |
| TDs Faced per 5 Distance Min | 3.45 | 1.91 | — |
| Fade Index (R3 / R1 pace) | 1.62 | 0.95 | — |
UFC fights only. Metrics with insufficient data show "—" and award no edge.
Methodology →
Last 5 Fights (Averages)
| Statistic | Melissa Croden | Chelsea Chandler | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sig. Strike Accuracy | 46.6% | 44.7% | — |
| Sig. Strikes Landed/min | 4.1 | 3.6 | — |
| Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min | 2.2 | 4.6 | ◄ |
| Takedown Accuracy | 46.7% | 66.7% | ► |
| Takedown Defense | 68.8% | 40.0% | ◄ |
| Control Time/Fight | 3:18 | 2:34 | — |
| Edges | 2 | 1 | 3 even |
Last 3 Fights
Melissa Croden
LOSS
vs. Chelsea Chandler
UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott • Oct 2026Women's Bantamweight
Melissa Croden11/2938%TD 1/3Ctrl 2:14
Chelsea Chandler12/2744%TD 0/1Ctrl 1:16
WIN
vs. Daria Zhelezniakova
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott • Apr 2026Women's Bantamweight
Melissa Croden69/15345%TD 4/8Ctrl 5:12
Daria Zhelezniakova41/11835%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
LOSS
vs. Luana Santos
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape • Dec 2025Women's Bantamweight
Melissa Croden22/7430%TD 0/1Ctrl 0:44
Luana Santos12/2450%TD 3/7Ctrl 9:21
Chelsea Chandler
WIN
vs. Melissa Croden
UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott • Oct 2026Women's Bantamweight
Chelsea Chandler12/2744%TD 0/1Ctrl 1:16
Melissa Croden11/2938%TD 1/3Ctrl 2:14
WIN
vs. Priscila Cachoeira
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim • Jun 2026Women's Bantamweight
Chelsea Chandler11/2544%TD 0/0Ctrl 1:52KD 1
Priscila Cachoeira7/1354%TD 1/1Ctrl 0:23
LOSS
vs. Joselyne Edwards
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates • Apr 2025Women's Bantamweight
Chelsea Chandler10/2343%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
Joselyne Edwards30/4271%TD 1/1Ctrl 0:49
Common Opponents
No Common Opponents
Analysis Summary
Striking Volume: Both fighters operate at a similar pace (4.1 vs 3.4 sig str/min). Accuracy and timing will decide the striking battle.
Grappling: Melissa Croden shoots 2.1 TD/15min at 47% accuracy against Chelsea Chandler's 36% defense — takedowns are a viable path. Chelsea Chandler shoots at 50% accuracy against Melissa Croden's 69% defense — Melissa Croden should keep it standing.
Finish Threat: Melissa Croden finishes 50% of wins (50% KO/TKO, 0% sub). Chelsea Chandler finishes 75% of wins (25% KO/TKO, 50% sub).
Fight Length: Melissa Croden's fights average 12:21 vs 8:37 for Chelsea Chandler. If this reaches the championship rounds, Melissa Croden's conditioning history becomes a factor.