Melissa Croden vs Chelsea Chandler
Age
35|35
Height
5'9"|5'8"
Reach
68"|68"
Stance
Orthodox|Southpaw
Career Statistics
| Statistic | Melissa Croden | Chelsea Chandler | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Striking | |||
| Sig. Strike Accuracy | 47.3% | 45.0% | — |
| Sig. Strikes Landed/min | 4.3 | 3.5 | — |
| Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min | 2.1 | 4.3 | ◄ |
| Strike Differential | 2.1/min | -0.8/min | ◄ |
| Grappling | |||
| Takedown Accuracy | 50.0% | 60.0% | — |
| Takedown Defense | 66.7% | 25.0% | ◄ |
| Takedowns Landed/15min | 2.0 | 0.8 | ◄ |
| Submission Attempts/15min | 0.3 | 0.3 | — |
| Control Time/15min | 3:42 | 4:22 | — |
| Finishing Ability | |||
| KO/TKO % of Wins | 50.0% | 33.3% | — |
| Submission % of Wins | 0.0% | 33.3% | — |
| Decision % of Wins | 50.0% | 33.3% | — |
| Avg Fight Time | 14:50 | 9:14 | — |
| Secondary Stats | |||
| Knockdowns/15min | 0.3 | 0.3 | — |
| Reversals/15min | 0.3 | 0.0 | — |
| Edges | 4 | 0 | 5 even |
Fight Dynamics
Career Striking Volume
Melissa Croden
Chelsea Chandler
League median
| Statistic | Melissa Croden | Chelsea Chandler | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fight Shape | |||
| Fight Completion Rate | 99.0% | 61.6% | — |
| Avg Fight Time | 14:50 | 9:14 | — |
| % Fights Inside the Distance | 33.3% | 50.0% | — |
| Strength of UFC Schedule | |||
| Opponent UFC Win % (all) | 72.7% | 50.0% | ◀ |
| Opponent UFC Record (all) | 8-3 (72.7%) | 23-23 (50.0%) | — |
| Opponent Record (among wins) | 4-2 (66.7%) | 9-12 (42.9%) | — |
| Positional Profile | |||
| % Time at Distance (approx.) | 49.1% | 49.4% | — |
| % Time in Control | 24.7% | 29.1% | — |
| % Time Controlled | 26.2% | 21.5% | — |
| Control Rate of Clinch/Ground Time | 48.6% | 57.6% | — |
| Distance Striking | |||
| Distance Sig. Landed / Min | 5.40 | 4.38 | ◀ |
| Distance Sig. Absorbed / Min | 3.11 | 6.35 | ◀ |
| Distance Striking Differential / Min | +2.29 | -1.97 | ◀ |
| Distance Strike Accuracy | 40.4% | 37.0% | — |
| Distance Strike Defense | 65.3% | 46.0% | ◀ |
| Power & Pressure | |||
| KDs per 100 Power Strikes | 0.79 | 0.65 | — |
| Knocked Down per 100 Absorbed | 0.00 | 0.57 | ◀ |
| TD Attempts per 5 Distance Min | 2.75 | 0.91 | — |
| TDs Faced per 5 Distance Min | 3.43 | 1.46 | — |
| Fade Index (R3 / R1 pace) | 1.50 | 0.89 | — |
UFC fights only. Metrics with insufficient data show "—" and award no edge.
Methodology →
Last 5 Fights (Averages)
| Statistic | Melissa Croden | Chelsea Chandler | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sig. Strike Accuracy | 47.3% | 43.3% | — |
| Sig. Strikes Landed/min | 4.3 | 3.1 | ◄ |
| Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min | 2.1 | 4.4 | ◄ |
| Takedown Accuracy | 50.0% | 60.0% | — |
| Takedown Defense | 66.7% | 0.0% | ◄ |
| Control Time/Fight | 3:40 | 2:49 | — |
| Edges | 3 | 0 | 3 even |
Last 3 Fights
Melissa Croden
WIN
vs. Daria Zhelezniakova
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott • Apr 2026Women's Bantamweight
Melissa Croden69/15345%TD 4/8Ctrl 5:12
Daria Zhelezniakova41/11835%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
LOSS
vs. Luana Santos
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape • Dec 2025Women's Bantamweight
Melissa Croden22/7430%TD 0/1Ctrl 0:44
Luana Santos12/2450%TD 3/7Ctrl 9:21
WIN
vs. Tainara Lisboa
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen • Oct 2025Women's Bantamweight
Melissa Croden99/17557%TD 2/3Ctrl 5:05KD 1
Tainara Lisboa42/9246%TD 2/8Ctrl 2:19
Chelsea Chandler
WIN
vs. Priscila Cachoeira
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim • Jun 2026Women's Bantamweight
Chelsea Chandler11/2544%TD 0/0Ctrl 1:52KD 1
Priscila Cachoeira7/1354%TD 1/1Ctrl 0:23
LOSS
vs. Joselyne Edwards
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates • Apr 2025Women's Bantamweight
Chelsea Chandler10/2343%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
Joselyne Edwards30/4271%TD 1/1Ctrl 0:49
LOSS
vs. Yana Santos
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 • Aug 2024Women's Bantamweight
Chelsea Chandler56/12445%TD 0/0Ctrl 2:41
Yana Santos94/13570%TD 0/0Ctrl 1:00KD 1
Common Opponents
No Common Opponents
Analysis Summary
Striking Volume: Both fighters operate at a similar pace (4.3 vs 3.5 sig str/min). Accuracy and timing will decide the striking battle.
Grappling: Melissa Croden shoots 2.0 TD/15min at 50% accuracy against Chelsea Chandler's 25% defense — takedowns are a viable path. Chelsea Chandler shoots at 60% accuracy against Melissa Croden's 67% defense — Melissa Croden should keep it standing.
Finish Threat: Melissa Croden finishes 50% of wins (50% KO/TKO, 0% sub). Chelsea Chandler finishes 67% of wins (33% KO/TKO, 33% sub).
Fight Length: Melissa Croden's fights average 14:50 vs 9:14 for Chelsea Chandler. If this reaches the championship rounds, Melissa Croden's conditioning history becomes a factor.