← Back to UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal

Rafa Garcia vs Alexander Hernandez

Rafa Garcia

Pro 18-4-0  |  UFC 6-4-0
Lightweight
VS

Alexander Hernandez

Pro 18-8-0  |  UFC 10-7-0
Age
31|33
Height
5'7"|5'9"
Reach
70"|72"
Stance
Orthodox|Orthodox

Career Statistics

Statistic Rafa Garcia Alexander Hernandez Edge
Striking
Sig. Strike Accuracy45.5%40.9%
Sig. Strikes Landed/min4.34.3
Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min4.54.5
Strike Differential-0.2/min-0.2/min
Grappling
Takedown Accuracy44.4%36.1%
Takedown Defense76.5%73.2%
Takedowns Landed/15min3.11.1
Submission Attempts/15min0.40.1
Control Time/15min3:262:06
Finishing Ability
KO/TKO % of Wins16.7%50.0%
Submission % of Wins16.7%0.0%
Decision % of Wins66.7%50.0%
Avg Fight Time13:2310:05
Secondary Stats
Knockdowns/15min0.00.0
Reversals/15min0.10.2
Edges207 even

Last 5 Fights (Averages)

Statistic Rafa Garcia Alexander Hernandez Edge
Sig. Strike Accuracy51.5%39.2%
Sig. Strikes Landed/min5.53.7
Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min4.33.7
Takedown Accuracy47.6%57.1%
Takedown Defense76.9%85.7%
Control Time/Fight2:091:59
Edges204 even

Last 3 Fights

Rafa Garcia

WIN
vs. Jared Gordon
KO/TKO (Elbows) • Rd 3, 2:27
Rafa Garcia91/16256%TD 2/3Ctrl 2:01
Jared Gordon65/18635%TD 1/3Ctrl 0:09
▼ Rounds
WIN
vs. Vinc Pichel
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00
Rafa Garcia64/12053%TD 2/6Ctrl 2:15
Vinc Pichel79/18243%TD 0/3Ctrl 0:01
▼ Rounds
LOSS
vs. Grant Dawson
KO/TKO (Punches) • Rd 2, 1:42
Rafa Garcia5/1242%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
Grant Dawson44/9049%TD 2/4Ctrl 5:09
▼ Rounds

Alexander Hernandez

WIN
vs. Diego Ferreira
KO/TKO (Punches) • Rd 2, 3:46
Alexander Hernandez30/7540%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:12
Diego Ferreira23/9823%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
▼ Rounds
WIN
vs. Chase Hooper
KO/TKO (Punch) • Rd 1, 4:58
Alexander Hernandez17/3845%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:02
Chase Hooper20/8224%TD 0/2Ctrl 0:05
▼ Rounds
WIN
vs. Kurt Holobaugh
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00
Alexander Hernandez59/14940%TD 4/5Ctrl 6:39
Kurt Holobaugh71/17142%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:32
▼ Rounds

Common Opponents

vs. Chris Gruetzemacher
Rafa Garcia
LOSS
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00
Rafa Garcia72/14649%TD 5/12Ctrl 6:26
Chris Gruetzemacher100/19053%TD 0/1Ctrl 0:03
▼ Rounds
Alexander Hernandez
WIN
KO/TKO (Punches) • Rd 1, 1:46
Alexander Hernandez29/5256%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
Chris Gruetzemacher8/2730%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
▼ Rounds

Analysis Summary

Striking Volume: Both fighters operate at a similar pace (4.3 vs 4.3 sig str/min). Accuracy and timing will decide the striking battle.

Grappling: Rafa Garcia shoots at 44% accuracy but Alexander Hernandez stops 73% of attempts — the takedown path looks difficult. Alexander Hernandez shoots at 36% accuracy against Rafa Garcia's 76% defense — Rafa Garcia should keep it standing.

Control: Rafa Garcia controls 3:04 per fight on average vs 1:25 — sustained control shifts rounds and drains cardio.

Finish Threat: Alexander Hernandez finishes 50% of wins (50% KO/TKO, 0% sub).

Fight Length: Rafa Garcia's fights average 13:23 vs 10:05 for Alexander Hernandez. If this reaches the championship rounds, Rafa Garcia's conditioning history becomes a factor.

Report generated: 2026-04-13 09:06:07 | Data source: UFCStats.com