Rafa Garcia vs Alexander Hernandez

Alexander Hernandez

Pro 19-9-0 | UFC 11-8-0

Age

32|34

Height

5'7"|5'9"

Reach

70"|72"

Stance

Orthodox|Orthodox

Career Statistics

Statistic	Rafa Garcia	Alexander Hernandez	Edge
Striking
Sig. Strike Accuracy	43.6%	40.5%	—
Sig. Strikes Landed/min	4.3	4.2	—
Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min	4.7	4.4	—
Strike Differential	-0.3/min	-0.2/min	—
Grappling
Takedown Accuracy	41.8%	35.1%	—
Takedown Defense	77.1%	68.8%	—
Takedowns Landed/15min	3.0	1.0	◄
Submission Attempts/15min	0.4	0.1	—
Control Time/15min	3:05	2:04	◄
Finishing Ability
KO/TKO % of Wins	14.3%	54.5%	—
Submission % of Wins	14.3%	0.0%	—
Decision % of Wins	71.4%	45.5%	—
Avg Fight Time	13:39	10:15	—
Secondary Stats
Knockdowns/15min	0.1	0.6	—
Reversals/15min	0.1	0.2	—
Edges	2	0	7 even

Fight Dynamics

Career Striking Volume

Rafa Garcia Alexander Hernandez League median

Statistic	Rafa Garcia	Alexander Hernandez	Edge
Fight Shape
Fight Completion Rate	91.1%	68.3%	—
Avg Fight Time	13:39	10:15	—
% Fights Inside the Distance	25.0%	52.6%	—
Strength of UFC Schedule
Opponent UFC Win % (all)	59.5%	62.8%	—
Opponent UFC Record (all)	69-47 (59.5%)	157-93 (62.8%)	—
Opponent Record (among wins)	45-36 (55.6%)	99-61 (61.9%)	—
Positional Profile
% Time at Distance (approx.)	74.4%	77.4%	—
% Time in Control	20.6%	13.8%	—
% Time Controlled	5.1%	8.8%	—
Control Rate of Clinch/Ground Time	80.3%	61.0%	◀
Distance Striking
Distance Sig. Landed / Min	4.94	4.61	—
Distance Sig. Absorbed / Min	5.45	4.89	—
Distance Striking Differential / Min	-0.52	-0.28	—
Distance Strike Accuracy	40.7%	37.7%	—
Distance Strike Defense	63.2%	62.2%	—
Power & Pressure
KDs per 100 Power Strikes	0.16	1.24	▶
Knocked Down per 100 Absorbed	0.00	0.29	◀
TD Attempts per 5 Distance Min	3.24	1.23	—
TDs Faced per 5 Distance Min	1.44	1.59	—
Fade Index (R3 / R1 pace)	1.36	0.92	—

UFC fights only. Metrics with insufficient data show "—" and award no edge. Methodology →

Last 5 Fights (Averages)

Statistic	Rafa Garcia	Alexander Hernandez	Edge
Sig. Strike Accuracy	44.8%	38.9%	—
Sig. Strikes Landed/min	4.6	3.7	◄
Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min	5.4	3.8	►
Takedown Accuracy	36.0%	66.7%	►
Takedown Defense	72.7%	55.6%	◄
Control Time/Fight	1:28	1:55	—
Edges	2	2	2 even

Last 3 Fights

Rafa Garcia

LOSS

vs. Rongzhu

Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado • Sep 2026Lightweight

Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00

Rafa Garcia73/18939%TD 1/9Ctrl 1:15

Rongzhu109/24744%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00

▼ Rounds

Rnd	Fighter	Sig Str	Acc	TD	Ctrl	KD
R1	Rafa Garcia	21/50	42%	1/1	0:28	—
	Rongzhu	29/69	42%	0/0	0:00	—

R2	Rafa Garcia	23/69	33%	0/2	0:23	—
	Rongzhu	39/79	49%	0/0	0:00	—

R3	Rafa Garcia	29/70	41%	0/6	0:24	—
	Rongzhu	41/99	41%	0/0	0:00	—

WIN

vs. Alexander Hernandez

UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal • Apr 2026Lightweight

Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00

Rafa Garcia59/16935%TD 4/7Ctrl 1:50

Alexander Hernandez50/14534%TD 0/1Ctrl 0:00

▼ Rounds

Rnd	Fighter	Sig Str	Acc	TD	Ctrl	KD
R1	Rafa Garcia	10/40	25%	2/2	0:28	—
	Alexander Hernandez	8/27	30%	0/1	0:00	—

R2	Rafa Garcia	20/66	30%	0/1	0:10	—
	Alexander Hernandez	18/38	47%	0/0	0:00	—

R3	Rafa Garcia	29/63	46%	2/4	1:12	—
	Alexander Hernandez	24/80	30%	0/0	0:00	—

WIN

vs. Jared Gordon

Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silva • Sep 2025Lightweight

KO/TKO (Elbows) • Rd 3, 2:27

Rafa Garcia91/16256%TD 2/3Ctrl 2:01KD 1

Jared Gordon65/18635%TD 1/3Ctrl 0:09

▼ Rounds

Rnd	Fighter	Sig Str	Acc	TD	Ctrl	KD
R1	Rafa Garcia	22/41	54%	1/1	0:24	—
	Jared Gordon	23/64	36%	0/1	0:00	—

R2	Rafa Garcia	33/61	54%	1/2	1:12	—
	Jared Gordon	31/86	36%	1/1	0:09	—

R3	Rafa Garcia	36/60	60%	0/0	0:25	1
	Jared Gordon	11/36	31%	0/1	0:00	—

Alexander Hernandez

WIN

vs. Rafael Dos Anjos

UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang • Oct 2026Lightweight

KO/TKO (Punch) • Rd 2, 3:12

Alexander Hernandez36/8642%TD 0/0Ctrl 2:44KD 2

Rafael Dos Anjos26/5944%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00

▼ Rounds

Rnd	Fighter	Sig Str	Acc	TD	Ctrl	KD
R1	Alexander Hernandez	22/52	42%	0/0	0:00	—
	Rafael Dos Anjos	25/50	50%	0/0	0:00	—

R2	Alexander Hernandez	14/34	41%	0/0	2:44	2
	Rafael Dos Anjos	1/9	11%	0/0	0:00	—

LOSS

vs. Rafa Garcia

UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal • Apr 2026Lightweight

Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00

Alexander Hernandez50/14534%TD 0/1Ctrl 0:00

Rafa Garcia59/16935%TD 4/7Ctrl 1:50

▼ Rounds

Rnd	Fighter	Sig Str	Acc	TD	Ctrl	KD
R1	Alexander Hernandez	8/27	30%	0/1	0:00	—
	Rafa Garcia	10/40	25%	2/2	0:28	—

R2	Alexander Hernandez	18/38	47%	0/0	0:00	—
	Rafa Garcia	20/66	30%	0/1	0:10	—

R3	Alexander Hernandez	24/80	30%	0/0	0:00	—
	Rafa Garcia	29/63	46%	2/4	1:12	—

WIN

vs. Diego Ferreira

Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silva • Sep 2025Lightweight

KO/TKO (Punches) • Rd 2, 3:46

Alexander Hernandez30/7540%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:12KD 1

Diego Ferreira23/9823%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00

▼ Rounds

Rnd	Fighter	Sig Str	Acc	TD	Ctrl	KD
R1	Alexander Hernandez	12/36	33%	0/0	0:00	—
	Diego Ferreira	11/53	21%	0/0	0:00	—

R2	Alexander Hernandez	18/39	46%	0/0	0:12	1
	Diego Ferreira	12/45	27%	0/0	0:00	—

Common Opponents

vs. Chris Gruetzemacher

Rafa Garcia

LOSS

UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Strickland • Jul 2021Lightweight

Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00

Rafa Garcia72/14649%TD 5/12Ctrl 6:26

Chris Gruetzemacher100/19053%TD 0/1Ctrl 0:03

▼ Rounds

Rnd	Fighter	Sig Str	Acc	TD	Ctrl	KD
R1	Rafa Garcia	38/67	57%	2/4	1:27	—
	Chris Gruetzemacher	42/75	56%	0/1	0:01	—

R2	Rafa Garcia	20/43	47%	1/5	1:53	—
	Chris Gruetzemacher	32/63	51%	0/0	0:02	—

R3	Rafa Garcia	14/36	39%	2/3	3:06	—
	Chris Gruetzemacher	26/52	50%	0/0	0:00	—

Alexander Hernandez

WIN

UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Silva • Oct 2020Lightweight

KO/TKO (Punches) • Rd 1, 1:46

Alexander Hernandez29/5256%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00KD 1

Chris Gruetzemacher8/2730%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00

▼ Rounds

Rnd	Fighter	Sig Str	Acc	TD	Ctrl	KD
R1	Alexander Hernandez	29/52	56%	0/0	0:00	1
	Chris Gruetzemacher	8/27	30%	0/0	0:00	—

Analysis Summary

Striking Volume: Both fighters operate at a similar pace (4.3 vs 4.2 sig str/min). Accuracy and timing will decide the striking battle.

Grappling: Rafa Garcia shoots at 42% accuracy but Alexander Hernandez stops 69% of attempts — the takedown path looks difficult. Alexander Hernandez shoots at 35% accuracy against Rafa Garcia's 77% defense — Rafa Garcia should keep it standing.

Finish Threat: Alexander Hernandez finishes 55% of wins (55% KO/TKO, 0% sub).

Fight Length: Rafa Garcia's fights average 13:39 vs 10:15 for Alexander Hernandez. If this reaches the championship rounds, Rafa Garcia's conditioning history becomes a factor.

Data through UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan (Oct 10, 2026)