Rafa Garcia vs Alexander Hernandez

Alexander Hernandez

Pro 18-9-0 | UFC 10-8-0

Age

32|33

Height

5'7"|5'9"

Reach

70"|72"

Stance

Orthodox|Orthodox

Career Statistics

Statistic	Rafa Garcia	Alexander Hernandez	Edge
Striking
Sig. Strike Accuracy	44.3%	40.4%	—
Sig. Strikes Landed/min	4.3	4.2	—
Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min	4.4	4.5	—
Strike Differential	-0.1/min	-0.2/min	—
Grappling
Takedown Accuracy	45.7%	35.1%	—
Takedown Defense	77.1%	68.8%	—
Takedowns Landed/15min	3.2	1.0	◄
Submission Attempts/15min	0.4	0.1	—
Control Time/15min	3:16	1:56	◄
Finishing Ability
KO/TKO % of Wins	14.3%	50.0%	—
Submission % of Wins	14.3%	0.0%	—
Decision % of Wins	71.4%	50.0%	—
Avg Fight Time	13:32	10:21	—
Secondary Stats
Knockdowns/15min	0.1	0.5	—
Reversals/15min	0.1	0.2	—
Edges	2	0	7 even

Fight Dynamics

Career Striking Volume

Rafa Garcia Alexander Hernandez League median

Statistic	Rafa Garcia	Alexander Hernandez	Edge
Fight Shape
Fight Completion Rate	90.3%	69.1%	—
Avg Fight Time	13:32	10:21	—
% Fights Inside the Distance	27.3%	50.0%	—
Strength of UFC Schedule
Opponent UFC Win % (all)	60.0%	63.6%	—
Opponent UFC Record (all)	66-44 (60.0%)	136-78 (63.6%)	—
Opponent Record (among wins)	45-36 (55.6%)	78-46 (62.9%)	—
Positional Profile
% Time at Distance (approx.)	72.6%	77.8%	—
% Time in Control	21.8%	12.9%	◀
% Time Controlled	5.6%	9.2%	—
Control Rate of Clinch/Ground Time	79.7%	58.4%	◀
Distance Striking
Distance Sig. Landed / Min	5.01	4.61	—
Distance Sig. Absorbed / Min	5.15	4.90	—
Distance Striking Differential / Min	-0.14	-0.29	—
Distance Strike Accuracy	41.5%	37.7%	—
Distance Strike Defense	64.4%	62.4%	—
Power & Pressure
KDs per 100 Power Strikes	0.18	0.96	▶
Knocked Down per 100 Absorbed	0.00	0.30	◀
TD Attempts per 5 Distance Min	3.23	1.27	—
TDs Faced per 5 Distance Min	1.62	1.65	—
Fade Index (R3 / R1 pace)	1.35	0.92	—

UFC fights only. Metrics with insufficient data show "—" and award no edge. Methodology →

Last 5 Fights (Averages)

Statistic	Rafa Garcia	Alexander Hernandez	Edge
Sig. Strike Accuracy	48.0%	38.5%	◄
Sig. Strikes Landed/min	5.6	4.0	◄
Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min	4.7	4.0	—
Takedown Accuracy	47.1%	50.0%	—
Takedown Defense	78.6%	81.0%	—
Control Time/Fight	1:17	1:30	—
Edges	2	0	4 even

Last 3 Fights

Rafa Garcia

WIN

vs. Alexander Hernandez

UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal • Apr 2026Lightweight

Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00

Rafa Garcia59/16935%TD 4/7Ctrl 1:50

Alexander Hernandez50/14534%TD 0/1Ctrl 0:00

▼ Rounds

Rnd	Fighter	Sig Str	Acc	TD	Ctrl	KD
R1	Rafa Garcia	10/40	25%	2/2	0:28	—
	Alexander Hernandez	8/27	30%	0/1	0:00	—

R2	Rafa Garcia	20/66	30%	0/1	0:10	—
	Alexander Hernandez	18/38	47%	0/0	0:00	—

R3	Rafa Garcia	29/63	46%	2/4	1:12	—
	Alexander Hernandez	24/80	30%	0/0	0:00	—

WIN

vs. Jared Gordon

Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silva • Sep 2025Lightweight

KO/TKO (Elbows) • Rd 3, 2:27

Rafa Garcia91/16256%TD 2/3Ctrl 2:01KD 1

Jared Gordon65/18635%TD 1/3Ctrl 0:09

▼ Rounds

Rnd	Fighter	Sig Str	Acc	TD	Ctrl	KD
R1	Rafa Garcia	22/41	54%	1/1	0:24	—
	Jared Gordon	23/64	36%	0/1	0:00	—

R2	Rafa Garcia	33/61	54%	1/2	1:12	—
	Jared Gordon	31/86	36%	1/1	0:09	—

R3	Rafa Garcia	36/60	60%	0/0	0:25	1
	Jared Gordon	11/36	31%	0/1	0:00	—

WIN

vs. Vinc Pichel

UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg • Mar 2025Lightweight

Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00

Rafa Garcia64/12053%TD 2/6Ctrl 2:15

Vinc Pichel79/18243%TD 0/3Ctrl 0:01

▼ Rounds

Rnd	Fighter	Sig Str	Acc	TD	Ctrl	KD
R1	Rafa Garcia	12/24	50%	1/2	1:06	—
	Vinc Pichel	13/38	34%	0/0	0:00	—

R2	Rafa Garcia	21/49	43%	0/2	0:23	—
	Vinc Pichel	32/70	46%	0/1	0:00	—

R3	Rafa Garcia	31/47	66%	1/2	0:46	—
	Vinc Pichel	34/74	46%	0/2	0:01	—

Alexander Hernandez

LOSS

vs. Rafa Garcia

UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal • Apr 2026Lightweight

Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00

Alexander Hernandez50/14534%TD 0/1Ctrl 0:00

Rafa Garcia59/16935%TD 4/7Ctrl 1:50

▼ Rounds

Rnd	Fighter	Sig Str	Acc	TD	Ctrl	KD
R1	Alexander Hernandez	8/27	30%	0/1	0:00	—
	Rafa Garcia	10/40	25%	2/2	0:28	—

R2	Alexander Hernandez	18/38	47%	0/0	0:00	—
	Rafa Garcia	20/66	30%	0/1	0:10	—

R3	Alexander Hernandez	24/80	30%	0/0	0:00	—
	Rafa Garcia	29/63	46%	2/4	1:12	—

WIN

vs. Diego Ferreira

Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silva • Sep 2025Lightweight

KO/TKO (Punches) • Rd 2, 3:46

Alexander Hernandez30/7540%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:12KD 1

Diego Ferreira23/9823%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00

▼ Rounds

Rnd	Fighter	Sig Str	Acc	TD	Ctrl	KD
R1	Alexander Hernandez	12/36	33%	0/0	0:00	—
	Diego Ferreira	11/53	21%	0/0	0:00	—

R2	Alexander Hernandez	18/39	46%	0/0	0:12	1
	Diego Ferreira	12/45	27%	0/0	0:00	—

WIN

vs. Chase Hooper

UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev • Aug 2025Lightweight

KO/TKO (Punch) • Rd 1, 4:58

Alexander Hernandez17/3845%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:02KD 1

Chase Hooper20/8224%TD 0/2Ctrl 0:05

▼ Rounds

Rnd	Fighter	Sig Str	Acc	TD	Ctrl	KD
R1	Alexander Hernandez	17/38	45%	0/0	0:02	1
	Chase Hooper	20/82	24%	0/2	0:05	—

Common Opponents

vs. Chris Gruetzemacher

Rafa Garcia

LOSS

UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Strickland • Jul 2021Lightweight

Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00

Rafa Garcia72/14649%TD 5/12Ctrl 6:26

Chris Gruetzemacher100/19053%TD 0/1Ctrl 0:03

▼ Rounds

Rnd	Fighter	Sig Str	Acc	TD	Ctrl	KD
R1	Rafa Garcia	38/67	57%	2/4	1:27	—
	Chris Gruetzemacher	42/75	56%	0/1	0:01	—

R2	Rafa Garcia	20/43	47%	1/5	1:53	—
	Chris Gruetzemacher	32/63	51%	0/0	0:02	—

R3	Rafa Garcia	14/36	39%	2/3	3:06	—
	Chris Gruetzemacher	26/52	50%	0/0	0:00	—

Alexander Hernandez

WIN

UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Silva • Oct 2020Lightweight

KO/TKO (Punches) • Rd 1, 1:46

Alexander Hernandez29/5256%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00KD 1

Chris Gruetzemacher8/2730%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00

▼ Rounds

Rnd	Fighter	Sig Str	Acc	TD	Ctrl	KD
R1	Alexander Hernandez	29/52	56%	0/0	0:00	1
	Chris Gruetzemacher	8/27	30%	0/0	0:00	—

Analysis Summary

Striking Volume: Both fighters operate at a similar pace (4.3 vs 4.2 sig str/min). Accuracy and timing will decide the striking battle.

Grappling: Rafa Garcia shoots at 46% accuracy but Alexander Hernandez stops 69% of attempts — the takedown path looks difficult. Alexander Hernandez shoots at 35% accuracy against Rafa Garcia's 77% defense — Rafa Garcia should keep it standing.

Control: Rafa Garcia controls 2:57 per fight on average vs 1:20 — sustained control shifts rounds and drains cardio.

Finish Threat: Alexander Hernandez finishes 50% of wins (50% KO/TKO, 0% sub).

Fight Length: Rafa Garcia's fights average 13:32 vs 10:21 for Alexander Hernandez. If this reaches the championship rounds, Rafa Garcia's conditioning history becomes a factor.

Last updated: 2026-08-22 | Data source: UFCStats.com