Rafael Dos Anjos vs Alexander Hernandez

Alexander Hernandez

Pro 19-9-0 | UFC 11-8-0

Age

41|34

Height

5'8"|5'9"

Reach

70"|72"

Stance

Southpaw|Orthodox

Career Statistics

Statistic	Rafael Dos Anjos	Alexander Hernandez	Edge
Striking
Sig. Strike Accuracy	47.0%	40.5%	—
Sig. Strikes Landed/min	3.5	4.2	—
Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min	3.3	4.4	◄
Strike Differential	0.2/min	-0.2/min	—
Grappling
Takedown Accuracy	35.6%	35.1%	—
Takedown Defense	54.8%	68.8%	►
Takedowns Landed/15min	1.9	1.0	—
Submission Attempts/15min	0.6	0.1	—
Control Time/15min	3:51	2:04	◄
Finishing Ability
KO/TKO % of Wins	19.0%	54.5%	—
Submission % of Wins	23.8%	0.0%	—
Decision % of Wins	57.1%	45.5%	—
Avg Fight Time	14:21	10:15	—
Secondary Stats
Knockdowns/15min	0.2	0.6	—
Reversals/15min	0.1	0.2	—
Edges	2	1	6 even

Fight Dynamics

Career Striking Volume

Rafael Dos Anjos Alexander Hernandez League median

Statistic	Rafael Dos Anjos	Alexander Hernandez	Edge
Fight Shape
Fight Completion Rate	76.5%	68.3%	—
Avg Fight Time	14:21	10:15	—
% Fights Inside the Distance	40.5%	52.6%	—
Strength of UFC Schedule
Opponent UFC Win % (all)	70.8%	62.8%	◀
Opponent UFC Record (all)	259-107 (70.8%)	157-93 (62.8%)	—
Opponent Record (among wins)	143-64 (69.1%)	99-61 (61.9%)	—
Positional Profile
% Time at Distance (approx.)	50.2%	77.4%	—
% Time in Control	25.7%	13.8%	◀
% Time Controlled	24.1%	8.8%	▶
Control Rate of Clinch/Ground Time	51.6%	61.0%	—
Distance Striking
Distance Sig. Landed / Min	4.68	4.61	—
Distance Sig. Absorbed / Min	5.10	4.89	—
Distance Striking Differential / Min	-0.41	-0.28	—
Distance Strike Accuracy	40.1%	37.7%	—
Distance Strike Defense	64.4%	62.2%	—
Power & Pressure
KDs per 100 Power Strikes	0.56	1.24	▶
Knocked Down per 100 Absorbed	0.37	0.29	—
TD Attempts per 5 Distance Min	3.58	1.23	—
TDs Faced per 5 Distance Min	3.11	1.59	—
Fade Index (R3 / R1 pace)	0.96	0.92	—

UFC fights only. Metrics with insufficient data show "—" and award no edge. Methodology →

Last 5 Fights (Averages)

Statistic	Rafael Dos Anjos	Alexander Hernandez	Edge
Sig. Strike Accuracy	48.9%	38.9%	◄
Sig. Strikes Landed/min	2.6	3.7	►
Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min	3.4	3.8	—
Takedown Accuracy	46.2%	66.7%	►
Takedown Defense	35.5%	55.6%	►
Control Time/Fight	2:08	1:55	—
Edges	1	3	2 even

Last 3 Fights

Rafael Dos Anjos

LOSS

vs. Alexander Hernandez

UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang • Oct 2026Lightweight

KO/TKO (Punch) • Rd 2, 3:12

Rafael Dos Anjos26/5944%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00

Alexander Hernandez36/8642%TD 0/0Ctrl 2:44KD 2

▼ Rounds

Rnd	Fighter	Sig Str	Acc	TD	Ctrl	KD
R1	Rafael Dos Anjos	25/50	50%	0/0	0:00	—
	Alexander Hernandez	22/52	42%	0/0	0:00	—

R2	Rafael Dos Anjos	1/9	11%	0/0	0:00	—
	Alexander Hernandez	14/34	41%	0/0	2:44	2

LOSS

vs. Geoff Neal

UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway • Oct 2024Welterweight

KO/TKO • Rd 1, 1:30

Rafael Dos Anjos4/1331%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00

Geoff Neal18/3060%TD 1/1Ctrl 0:27KD 1

▼ Rounds

Rnd	Fighter	Sig Str	Acc	TD	Ctrl	KD
R1	Rafael Dos Anjos	4/13	31%	0/0	0:00	—
	Geoff Neal	18/30	60%	1/1	0:27	1

LOSS

vs. Mateusz Gamrot

UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 • Mar 2024Lightweight

Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00

Rafael Dos Anjos36/7846%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:11KD 1

Mateusz Gamrot57/10256%TD 11/19Ctrl 7:01

▼ Rounds

Rnd	Fighter	Sig Str	Acc	TD	Ctrl	KD
R1	Rafael Dos Anjos	11/19	58%	0/0	0:05	1
	Mateusz Gamrot	19/34	56%	2/4	2:35	—

R2	Rafael Dos Anjos	12/25	48%	0/0	0:06	—
	Mateusz Gamrot	10/18	56%	5/9	2:40	—

R3	Rafael Dos Anjos	13/34	38%	0/0	0:00	—
	Mateusz Gamrot	28/50	56%	4/6	1:46	—

Alexander Hernandez

WIN

vs. Rafael Dos Anjos

UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang • Oct 2026Lightweight

KO/TKO (Punch) • Rd 2, 3:12

Alexander Hernandez36/8642%TD 0/0Ctrl 2:44KD 2

Rafael Dos Anjos26/5944%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00

▼ Rounds

Rnd	Fighter	Sig Str	Acc	TD	Ctrl	KD
R1	Alexander Hernandez	22/52	42%	0/0	0:00	—
	Rafael Dos Anjos	25/50	50%	0/0	0:00	—

R2	Alexander Hernandez	14/34	41%	0/0	2:44	2
	Rafael Dos Anjos	1/9	11%	0/0	0:00	—

LOSS

vs. Rafa Garcia

UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal • Apr 2026Lightweight

Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00

Alexander Hernandez50/14534%TD 0/1Ctrl 0:00

Rafa Garcia59/16935%TD 4/7Ctrl 1:50

▼ Rounds

Rnd	Fighter	Sig Str	Acc	TD	Ctrl	KD
R1	Alexander Hernandez	8/27	30%	0/1	0:00	—
	Rafa Garcia	10/40	25%	2/2	0:28	—

R2	Alexander Hernandez	18/38	47%	0/0	0:00	—
	Rafa Garcia	20/66	30%	0/1	0:10	—

R3	Alexander Hernandez	24/80	30%	0/0	0:00	—
	Rafa Garcia	29/63	46%	2/4	1:12	—

WIN

vs. Diego Ferreira

Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silva • Sep 2025Lightweight

KO/TKO (Punches) • Rd 2, 3:46

Alexander Hernandez30/7540%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:12KD 1

Diego Ferreira23/9823%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00

▼ Rounds

Rnd	Fighter	Sig Str	Acc	TD	Ctrl	KD
R1	Alexander Hernandez	12/36	33%	0/0	0:00	—
	Diego Ferreira	11/53	21%	0/0	0:00	—

R2	Alexander Hernandez	18/39	46%	0/0	0:12	1
	Diego Ferreira	12/45	27%	0/0	0:00	—

Common Opponents

vs. Renato Moicano

Rafael Dos Anjos

WIN

UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal • Mar 2022Catch Weight

Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 5, 5:00

Rafael Dos Anjos149/28652%TD 5/15Ctrl 13:22KD 1

Renato Moicano88/17251%TD 0/3Ctrl 0:30

▼ Rounds

Rnd	Fighter	Sig Str	Acc	TD	Ctrl	KD
R1	Rafael Dos Anjos	22/34	65%	2/2	3:12	—
	Renato Moicano	10/23	43%	0/2	0:30	—

R2	Rafael Dos Anjos	27/47	57%	1/6	2:44	—
	Renato Moicano	15/29	52%	0/0	0:00	—

R3	Rafael Dos Anjos	40/84	48%	0/2	3:05	1
	Renato Moicano	15/25	60%	0/1	0:00	—

R4	Rafael Dos Anjos	22/42	52%	1/1	3:53	—
	Renato Moicano	12/22	55%	0/0	0:00	—

R5	Rafael Dos Anjos	38/79	48%	1/4	0:28	—
	Renato Moicano	36/73	49%	0/0	0:00	—

Alexander Hernandez

LOSS

UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 • Feb 2022Lightweight

Submission (Rear Naked Choke) • Rd 2, 1:23

Alexander Hernandez37/7947%TD 0/1Ctrl 0:05

Renato Moicano33/6055%TD 2/6Ctrl 1:43

▼ Rounds

Rnd	Fighter	Sig Str	Acc	TD	Ctrl	KD
R1	Alexander Hernandez	27/64	42%	0/0	0:05	—
	Renato Moicano	10/26	38%	2/5	1:31	—

R2	Alexander Hernandez	10/15	67%	0/1	0:00	—
	Renato Moicano	23/34	68%	0/1	0:12	—

vs. Donald Cerrone

Rafael Dos Anjos

WIN

UFC on FOX: Dos Anjos vs. Cowboy 2 • Dec 2015LightweightTITLE

KO/TKO (Punches) • Rd 1, 1:06

Rafael Dos Anjos26/4459%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:09

Donald Cerrone4/757%TD 0/1Ctrl 0:00

▼ Rounds

Rnd	Fighter	Sig Str	Acc	TD	Ctrl	KD
R1	Rafael Dos Anjos	26/44	59%	0/0	0:09	—
	Donald Cerrone	4/7	57%	0/1	0:00	—

Alexander Hernandez

LOSS

UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw • Jan 2019Lightweight

KO/TKO (Kick) • Rd 2, 3:43

Alexander Hernandez49/10547%TD 0/2Ctrl 0:22

Donald Cerrone80/16249%TD 1/1Ctrl 0:29KD 1

▼ Rounds

Rnd	Fighter	Sig Str	Acc	TD	Ctrl	KD
R1	Alexander Hernandez	31/71	44%	0/0	0:08	—
	Donald Cerrone	36/87	41%	1/1	0:17	—

R2	Alexander Hernandez	18/34	53%	0/2	0:14	—
	Donald Cerrone	44/75	59%	0/0	0:12	1

Analysis Summary

Striking Volume: Both fighters operate at a similar pace (3.5 vs 4.2 sig str/min). Accuracy and timing will decide the striking battle.

Grappling: Rafael Dos Anjos shoots at 36% accuracy but Alexander Hernandez stops 69% of attempts — the takedown path looks difficult. Alexander Hernandez shoots at 35% accuracy against Rafael Dos Anjos's 55% defense — Rafael Dos Anjos should keep it standing.

Control: Rafael Dos Anjos controls 3:41 per fight on average vs 1:24 — sustained control shifts rounds and drains cardio.

Finish Threat: Alexander Hernandez finishes 55% of wins (55% KO/TKO, 0% sub).

Fight Length: Rafael Dos Anjos's fights average 14:21 vs 10:15 for Alexander Hernandez. If this reaches the championship rounds, Rafael Dos Anjos's conditioning history becomes a factor.

Data through UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott (Oct 17, 2026)