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Rafael Fiziev vs Justin Gaethje

Rafael Fiziev

Pro 13-5-0  |  UFC 8-5-0
Lightweight
VS

Justin Gaethje

Pro 27-5-0  |  UFC 9-5-0
Age
33|37
Height
5'8"|5'11"
Reach
71"|70"
Stance
Switch|Orthodox

Career Statistics

Statistic Rafael Fiziev Justin Gaethje Edge
Striking
Sig. Strike Accuracy52.8%58.4%
Sig. Strikes Landed/min4.76.2
Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min4.76.9
Strike Differential-0.0/min-0.7/min
Grappling
Takedown Accuracy75.0%40.0%
Takedown Defense90.7%75.0%
Takedowns Landed/15min1.10.3
Submission Attempts/15min0.00.0
Control Time/15min1:061:00
Finishing Ability
KO/TKO % of Wins37.5%55.6%
Submission % of Wins0.0%0.0%
Decision % of Wins62.5%44.4%
Avg Fight Time12:1712:18
Secondary Stats
Knockdowns/15min0.00.0
Reversals/15min0.00.0
Edges315 even

Last 5 Fights (Averages)

Statistic Rafael Fiziev Justin Gaethje Edge
Sig. Strike Accuracy55.5%56.2%
Sig. Strikes Landed/min4.05.4
Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min3.96.2
Takedown Accuracy90.9%44.4%
Takedown Defense92.3%71.4%
Control Time/Fight0:491:30
Edges312 even

Last 3 Fights

Rafael Fiziev

LOSS
vs. Mauricio Ruffy
KO/TKO (Punches) • Rd 2, 4:30
Rafael Fiziev36/6655%TD 0/1Ctrl 0:00
Mauricio Ruffy55/8862%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:45
▼ Rounds
WIN
vs. Ignacio Bahamondes
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00
Rafael Fiziev62/11355%TD 4/4Ctrl 1:43
Ignacio Bahamondes50/14734%TD 0/2Ctrl 1:13
▼ Rounds
LOSS
vs. Justin Gaethje
UFC 313 • Mar 2025
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00
Rafael Fiziev68/11957%TD 2/2Ctrl 0:40
Justin Gaethje72/13454%TD 0/3Ctrl 1:32
▼ Rounds

Justin Gaethje

WIN
vs. Paddy Pimblett
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 5, 5:00
Justin Gaethje144/25457%TD 3/3Ctrl 5:55
Paddy Pimblett156/31150%TD 0/5Ctrl 0:48
▼ Rounds
WIN
vs. Rafael Fiziev
UFC 313 • Mar 2025
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00
Justin Gaethje72/13454%TD 0/3Ctrl 1:32
Rafael Fiziev68/11957%TD 2/2Ctrl 0:40
▼ Rounds
LOSS
vs. Max Holloway
KO/TKO (Punch) • Rd 5, 4:59
Justin Gaethje103/19952%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
Max Holloway181/30959%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
▼ Rounds

Common Opponents

No Common Opponents

Analysis Summary

Striking Volume: Justin Gaethje is the busier striker, landing 6.2 significant strikes per minute vs 4.7. Their opponent absorbs 4.7 strikes per minute on average — Justin Gaethje's output should find a target.

Grappling: Rafael Fiziev shoots 1.1 TD/15min at 75% accuracy against Justin Gaethje's 75% defense — takedowns are a viable path.

Finish Threat: Justin Gaethje finishes 56% of wins (56% KO/TKO, 0% sub).

Report generated: 2026-04-20 09:03:19 | Data source: UFCStats.com