Rafael Fiziev vs Justin Gaethje

Justin Gaethje

Pro 28-5-0 | UFC 11-5-0

Age

33|37

Height

5'8"|5'11"

Reach

71"|70"

Stance

Switch|Orthodox

Career Statistics

Statistic	Rafael Fiziev	Justin Gaethje	Edge
Striking
Sig. Strike Accuracy	52.9%	57.6%	—
Sig. Strikes Landed/min	4.7	6.3	►
Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min	4.8	6.8	◄
Strike Differential	-0.1/min	-0.5/min	—
Grappling
Takedown Accuracy	71.4%	26.7%	◄
Takedown Defense	90.4%	73.3%	◄
Takedowns Landed/15min	1.0	0.3	—
Submission Attempts/15min	0.0	0.0	—
Control Time/15min	1:04	0:59	—
Finishing Ability
KO/TKO % of Wins	50.0%	63.6%	—
Submission % of Wins	0.0%	0.0%	—
Decision % of Wins	50.0%	36.4%	—
Avg Fight Time	11:32	12:38	—
Secondary Stats
Knockdowns/15min	0.3	0.7	—
Reversals/15min	0.0	0.0	—
Edges	3	1	5 even

Fight Dynamics

Career Striking Volume

Rafael Fiziev Justin Gaethje League median

Statistic	Rafael Fiziev	Justin Gaethje	Edge
Fight Shape
Fight Completion Rate	66.6%	56.2%	—
Avg Fight Time	11:32	12:38	—
% Fights Inside the Distance	53.8%	75.0%	—
Strength of UFC Schedule
Opponent UFC Win % (all)	65.1%	77.2%	▶
Opponent UFC Record (all)	82-44 (65.1%)	190-56 (77.2%)	—
Opponent Record (among wins)	58-31 (65.2%)	120-35 (77.4%)	—
Positional Profile
% Time at Distance (approx.)	84.1%	90.2%	—
% Time in Control	7.2%	6.6%	—
% Time Controlled	8.7%	3.3%	—
Control Rate of Clinch/Ground Time	45.4%	66.8%	▶
Distance Striking
Distance Sig. Landed / Min	4.85	5.84	▶
Distance Sig. Absorbed / Min	4.87	6.75	◀
Distance Striking Differential / Min	-0.02	-0.91	◀
Distance Strike Accuracy	50.5%	54.9%	—
Distance Strike Defense	52.7%	52.8%	—
Power & Pressure
KDs per 100 Power Strikes	0.54	0.96	▶
Knocked Down per 100 Absorbed	0.51	0.34	▶
TD Attempts per 5 Distance Min	0.56	0.41	—
TDs Faced per 5 Distance Min	2.06	0.82	—
Fade Index (R3 / R1 pace)	1.57	1.04	—

UFC fights only. Metrics with insufficient data show "—" and award no edge. Methodology →

Last 5 Fights (Averages)

Statistic	Rafael Fiziev	Justin Gaethje	Edge
Sig. Strike Accuracy	56.6%	53.4%	—
Sig. Strikes Landed/min	4.0	5.0	►
Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min	4.2	5.8	◄
Takedown Accuracy	88.9%	27.3%	◄
Takedown Defense	90.9%	70.0%	◄
Control Time/Fight	0:37	1:48	—
Edges	3	1	2 even

Last 3 Fights

Rafael Fiziev

WIN

vs. Manuel Torres

UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres • Jun 2026Lightweight

KO/TKO (Punches) • Rd 2, 0:15

Rafael Fiziev25/3964%TD 2/2Ctrl 0:42KD 1

Manuel Torres22/5242%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:06

▼ Rounds

Rnd	Fighter	Sig Str	Acc	TD	Ctrl	KD
R1	Rafael Fiziev	15/25	60%	2/2	0:36	—
	Manuel Torres	21/51	41%	0/0	0:06	—

R2	Rafael Fiziev	10/14	71%	0/0	0:06	1
	Manuel Torres	1/1	100%	0/0	0:00	—

LOSS

vs. Mauricio Ruffy

UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 • Jan 2026Lightweight

KO/TKO (Punches) • Rd 2, 4:30

Rafael Fiziev36/6655%TD 0/1Ctrl 0:00

Mauricio Ruffy55/8862%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:45KD 1

▼ Rounds

Rnd	Fighter	Sig Str	Acc	TD	Ctrl	KD
R1	Rafael Fiziev	16/33	48%	0/0	0:00	—
	Mauricio Ruffy	18/28	64%	0/0	0:25	—

R2	Rafael Fiziev	20/33	61%	0/1	0:00	—
	Mauricio Ruffy	37/60	62%	0/0	0:20	1

WIN

vs. Ignacio Bahamondes

UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. • Jun 2025Lightweight

Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00

Rafael Fiziev62/11355%TD 4/4Ctrl 1:43

Ignacio Bahamondes50/14734%TD 0/2Ctrl 1:13

▼ Rounds

Rnd	Fighter	Sig Str	Acc	TD	Ctrl	KD
R1	Rafael Fiziev	17/25	68%	0/0	0:00	—
	Ignacio Bahamondes	13/46	28%	0/0	0:00	—

R2	Rafael Fiziev	15/28	54%	2/2	0:55	—
	Ignacio Bahamondes	20/44	45%	0/1	0:43	—

R3	Rafael Fiziev	30/60	50%	2/2	0:48	—
	Ignacio Bahamondes	17/57	30%	0/1	0:30	—

Justin Gaethje

WIN

vs. Ilia Topuria

UFC Freedom 250 • Jun 2026LightweightTITLE

KO/TKO • Rd 4, 5:00

Justin Gaethje91/19247%TD 0/5Ctrl 1:32

Ilia Topuria97/16260%TD 1/3Ctrl 2:32KD 1

▼ Rounds

Rnd	Fighter	Sig Str	Acc	TD	Ctrl	KD
R1	Justin Gaethje	32/68	47%	0/3	0:00	—
	Ilia Topuria	29/58	50%	0/0	0:00	—

R2	Justin Gaethje	12/35	34%	0/1	0:00	—
	Ilia Topuria	44/60	73%	0/0	2:02	1

R3	Justin Gaethje	22/36	61%	0/0	0:47	—
	Ilia Topuria	7/15	47%	0/1	0:05	—

R4	Justin Gaethje	25/53	47%	0/1	0:45	—
	Ilia Topuria	17/29	59%	1/2	0:25	—

WIN

vs. Paddy Pimblett

UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett • Jan 2026LightweightTITLE

Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 5, 5:00

Justin Gaethje144/25457%TD 3/3Ctrl 5:55KD 2

Paddy Pimblett156/31150%TD 0/5Ctrl 0:48

▼ Rounds

Rnd	Fighter	Sig Str	Acc	TD	Ctrl	KD
R1	Justin Gaethje	27/45	60%	0/0	1:01	1
	Paddy Pimblett	37/65	57%	0/1	0:00	—

R2	Justin Gaethje	32/50	64%	2/2	2:23	1
	Paddy Pimblett	22/47	47%	0/0	0:00	—

R3	Justin Gaethje	24/53	45%	0/0	0:00	—
	Paddy Pimblett	41/78	53%	0/0	0:00	—

R4	Justin Gaethje	32/54	59%	1/1	1:26	—
	Paddy Pimblett	35/58	60%	0/1	0:00	—

R5	Justin Gaethje	29/52	56%	0/0	1:05	—
	Paddy Pimblett	21/63	33%	0/3	0:48	—

WIN

vs. Rafael Fiziev

UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev • Mar 2025Lightweight

Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00

Justin Gaethje72/13454%TD 0/3Ctrl 1:32KD 1

Rafael Fiziev68/11957%TD 2/2Ctrl 0:40

▼ Rounds

Rnd	Fighter	Sig Str	Acc	TD	Ctrl	KD
R1	Justin Gaethje	12/21	57%	0/1	0:14	—
	Rafael Fiziev	21/32	66%	2/2	0:40	—

R2	Justin Gaethje	21/52	40%	0/0	0:43	1
	Rafael Fiziev	17/40	42%	0/0	0:00	—

R3	Justin Gaethje	39/61	64%	0/2	0:35	—
	Rafael Fiziev	30/47	64%	0/0	0:00	—

Common Opponents

No Common Opponents

Analysis Summary

Striking Volume: Justin Gaethje is the busier striker, landing 6.3 significant strikes per minute vs 4.7. Their opponent absorbs 4.8 strikes per minute on average — Justin Gaethje's output should find a target.

Grappling: Rafael Fiziev shoots at 71% accuracy but Justin Gaethje stops 73% of attempts — the takedown path looks difficult.

Finish Threat: Rafael Fiziev finishes 50% of wins (50% KO/TKO, 0% sub). Justin Gaethje finishes 64% of wins (64% KO/TKO, 0% sub).

Data through UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan (Oct 10, 2026)