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Rinya Nakamura vs Brady Hiestand

Rinya Nakamura

Pro 10-1-0  |  UFC 4-1-0
Bantamweight
VS

Brady Hiestand

Pro 9-2-0  |  UFC 3-1-0
Age
31|27
Height
5'7"|5'8"
Reach
68"|71"
Stance
Southpaw|Orthodox

Career Statistics

Statistic Rinya Nakamura Brady Hiestand Edge
Striking
Sig. Strike Accuracy52.5%50.8%
Sig. Strikes Landed/min2.72.7
Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min1.53.8
Strike Differential1.2/min-1.0/min
Grappling
Takedown Accuracy87.5%46.2%
Takedown Defense100.0%42.9%
Takedowns Landed/15min2.34.8
Submission Attempts/15min1.31.1
Control Time/15min7:487:06
Finishing Ability
KO/TKO % of Wins50.0%33.3%
Submission % of Wins0.0%33.3%
Decision % of Wins50.0%33.3%
Avg Fight Time9:1914:03
Secondary Stats
Knockdowns/15min1.00.0
Reversals/15min0.00.3
Edges414 even

Fight Dynamics

Career Striking Volume
Rinya Nakamura   Brady Hiestand   League median
StatisticRinya NakamuraBrady HiestandEdge
Fight Shape
Fight Completion Rate93.7%
Avg Fight Time9:1914:03
% Fights Inside the Distance40.0%50.0%
Strength of UFC Schedule
Opponent UFC Win % (all)28.6%50.0%
Opponent UFC Record (all)2-5 (28.6%)5-5 (50.0%)
Opponent Record (among wins)1-3 (25.0%)5-5 (50.0%)
Positional Profile
% Time at Distance (approx.)42.3%38.6%
% Time in Control52.1%47.4%
% Time Controlled5.6%14.0%
Control Rate of Clinch/Ground Time90.3%77.2%
Distance Striking
Distance Sig. Landed / Min3.965.85
Distance Sig. Absorbed / Min2.946.36
Distance Striking Differential / Min+1.01-0.51
Distance Strike Accuracy48.1%47.2%
Distance Strike Defense66.1%58.1%
Power & Pressure
KDs per 100 Power Strikes5.460.00
Knocked Down per 100 Absorbed2.131.92
TD Attempts per 5 Distance Min2.038.98
TDs Faced per 5 Distance Min0.251.61
Fade Index (R3 / R1 pace)0.721.41
UFC fights only. Metrics with insufficient data show "—" and award no edge. Methodology →

Last 5 Fights (Averages)

Statistic Rinya Nakamura Brady Hiestand Edge
Sig. Strike Accuracy52.5%50.8%
Sig. Strikes Landed/min2.72.7
Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min1.53.8
Takedown Accuracy87.5%46.2%
Takedown Defense100.0%42.9%
Control Time/Fight4:516:39
Edges312 even

Last 3 Fights

Rinya Nakamura

WIN
vs. Nathan Fletcher
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park • Aug 2025Bantamweight
KO/TKO (Kick) • Rd 1, 1:02
Rinya Nakamura12/1963%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:02KD 1
Nathan Fletcher3/743%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
▼ Rounds
LOSS
vs. Muin Gafurov
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano • Jan 2025Bantamweight
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00
Rinya Nakamura31/7342%TD 0/1Ctrl 1:41
Muin Gafurov37/9041%TD 0/1Ctrl 2:37KD 1
▼ Rounds
WIN
vs. Carlos Vera
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria • Feb 2024Bantamweight
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00
Rinya Nakamura38/7054%TD 3/3Ctrl 13:03
Carlos Vera12/2548%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
▼ Rounds

Brady Hiestand

WIN
vs. Garrett Armfield
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira • Jun 2024Bantamweight
Submission (Rear Naked Choke) • Rd 3, 1:52
Brady Hiestand22/5044%TD 6/13Ctrl 5:36
Garrett Armfield49/8359%TD 0/0Ctrl 2:57KD 1
▼ Rounds
WIN
vs. Batgerel Danaa
KO/TKO (Punches) • Rd 3, 4:21
Brady Hiestand45/8156%TD 3/7Ctrl 4:09
Batgerel Danaa41/13431%TD 1/1Ctrl 1:00KD 1
▼ Rounds
WIN
vs. Fernie Garcia
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00
Brady Hiestand19/3456%TD 3/8Ctrl 9:14
Fernie Garcia21/4448%TD 1/2Ctrl 1:22
▼ Rounds

Common Opponents

vs. Fernie Garcia
Rinya Nakamura
WIN
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00
Rinya Nakamura36/5763%TD 4/4Ctrl 9:26
Fernie Garcia15/6623%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
▼ Rounds
Brady Hiestand
WIN
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00
Brady Hiestand19/3456%TD 3/8Ctrl 9:14
Fernie Garcia21/4448%TD 1/2Ctrl 1:22
▼ Rounds

Analysis Summary

Striking Volume: Both fighters operate at a similar pace (2.7 vs 2.7 sig str/min). Accuracy and timing will decide the striking battle.

Grappling: Rinya Nakamura shoots 2.3 TD/15min at 88% accuracy against Brady Hiestand's 43% defense — takedowns are a viable path. Brady Hiestand shoots at 46% accuracy against Rinya Nakamura's 100% defense — Rinya Nakamura should keep it standing.

Control: Brady Hiestand controls 6:39 per fight on average vs 4:51 — sustained control shifts rounds and drains cardio.

Finish Threat: Rinya Nakamura finishes 50% of wins (50% KO/TKO, 0% sub). Brady Hiestand finishes 67% of wins (33% KO/TKO, 33% sub).

Fight Length: Brady Hiestand's fights average 14:03 vs 9:19 for Rinya Nakamura. If this reaches the championship rounds, Brady Hiestand's conditioning history becomes a factor.

Last updated: 2026-08-27 | Data source: UFCStats.com