Rinya Nakamura vs Brady Hiestand
Age
31|27
Height
5'7"|5'8"
Reach
68"|71"
Stance
Southpaw|Orthodox
Career Statistics
| Statistic | Rinya Nakamura | Brady Hiestand | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Striking | |||
| Sig. Strike Accuracy | 50.8% | 50.3% | — |
| Sig. Strikes Landed/min | 2.8 | 2.7 | — |
| Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min | 1.7 | 3.7 | ◄ |
| Strike Differential | 1.1/min | -0.9/min | ◄ |
| Grappling | |||
| Takedown Accuracy | 57.1% | 37.5% | ◄ |
| Takedown Defense | 100.0% | 61.5% | ◄ |
| Takedowns Landed/15min | 2.2 | 4.1 | ► |
| Submission Attempts/15min | 1.1 | 1.4 | — |
| Control Time/15min | 6:56 | 6:32 | — |
| Finishing Ability | |||
| KO/TKO % of Wins | 50.0% | 25.0% | — |
| Submission % of Wins | 0.0% | 50.0% | — |
| Decision % of Wins | 50.0% | 25.0% | — |
| Avg Fight Time | 9:17 | 13:04 | — |
| Secondary Stats | |||
| Knockdowns/15min | 0.8 | 0.0 | — |
| Reversals/15min | 0.0 | 0.2 | — |
| Edges | 4 | 1 | 4 even |
Fight Dynamics
Career Striking Volume
Rinya Nakamura
Brady Hiestand
League median
| Statistic | Rinya Nakamura | Brady Hiestand | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fight Shape | |||
| Fight Completion Rate | — | 87.1% | — |
| Avg Fight Time | 9:17 | 13:04 | — |
| % Fights Inside the Distance | 50.0% | 60.0% | — |
| Strength of UFC Schedule | |||
| Opponent UFC Win % (all) | 45.5% | 60.0% | ▶ |
| Opponent UFC Record (all) | 5-6 (45.5%) | 9-6 (60.0%) | — |
| Opponent Record (among wins) | 1-3 (25.0%) | 9-6 (60.0%) | — |
| Positional Profile | |||
| % Time at Distance (approx.) | 45.7% | 42.0% | — |
| % Time in Control | 46.3% | 43.6% | — |
| % Time Controlled | 8.0% | 14.4% | — |
| Control Rate of Clinch/Ground Time | 85.2% | 75.2% | — |
| Distance Striking | |||
| Distance Sig. Landed / Min | 3.77 | 5.39 | ▶ |
| Distance Sig. Absorbed / Min | 3.10 | 5.68 | ◀ |
| Distance Striking Differential / Min | +0.67 | -0.29 | ◀ |
| Distance Strike Accuracy | 45.5% | 46.7% | — |
| Distance Strike Defense | 63.9% | 58.7% | ◀ |
| Power & Pressure | |||
| KDs per 100 Power Strikes | 3.95 | 0.00 | ◀ |
| Knocked Down per 100 Absorbed | 1.39 | 1.70 | ◀ |
| TD Attempts per 5 Distance Min | 2.75 | 8.74 | — |
| TDs Faced per 5 Distance Min | 1.97 | 2.37 | — |
| Fade Index (R3 / R1 pace) | 0.71 | 1.24 | — |
UFC fights only. Metrics with insufficient data show "—" and award no edge.
Methodology →
Last 5 Fights (Averages)
| Statistic | Rinya Nakamura | Brady Hiestand | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sig. Strike Accuracy | 51.4% | 50.3% | — |
| Sig. Strikes Landed/min | 2.6 | 2.7 | — |
| Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min | 1.7 | 3.7 | ◄ |
| Takedown Accuracy | 57.1% | 37.5% | ◄ |
| Takedown Defense | 100.0% | 61.5% | ◄ |
| Control Time/Fight | 5:08 | 5:42 | — |
| Edges | 3 | 0 | 3 even |
Last 3 Fights
Rinya Nakamura
LOSS
vs. Brady Hiestand
UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos • Sep 2026Bantamweight
Rinya Nakamura29/6545%TD 1/6Ctrl 1:32
Brady Hiestand26/5547%TD 0/9Ctrl 1:51
WIN
vs. Nathan Fletcher
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park • Aug 2025Bantamweight
Rinya Nakamura12/1963%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:02KD 1
Nathan Fletcher3/743%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
LOSS
vs. Muin Gafurov
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano • Jan 2025Bantamweight
Rinya Nakamura31/7342%TD 0/1Ctrl 1:41
Muin Gafurov37/9041%TD 0/1Ctrl 2:37KD 1
Brady Hiestand
WIN
vs. Rinya Nakamura
UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos • Sep 2026Bantamweight
Brady Hiestand26/5547%TD 0/9Ctrl 1:51
Rinya Nakamura29/6545%TD 1/6Ctrl 1:32
WIN
vs. Garrett Armfield
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira • Jun 2024Bantamweight
Brady Hiestand22/5044%TD 6/13Ctrl 5:36
Garrett Armfield49/8359%TD 0/0Ctrl 2:57KD 1
WIN
vs. Batgerel Danaa
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes • Apr 2023Bantamweight
Brady Hiestand45/8156%TD 3/7Ctrl 4:09
Batgerel Danaa41/13431%TD 1/1Ctrl 1:00KD 1
Common Opponents
vs. Fernie Garcia
Rinya Nakamura
WIN
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie • Aug 2023Bantamweight
Rinya Nakamura36/5763%TD 4/4Ctrl 9:26
Fernie Garcia15/6623%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
Brady Hiestand
WIN
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba • Nov 2022Bantamweight
Brady Hiestand19/3456%TD 3/8Ctrl 9:14
Fernie Garcia21/4448%TD 1/2Ctrl 1:22
Analysis Summary
Striking Volume: Both fighters operate at a similar pace (2.8 vs 2.7 sig str/min). Accuracy and timing will decide the striking battle.
Grappling: Rinya Nakamura shoots at 57% accuracy but Brady Hiestand stops 62% of attempts — the takedown path looks difficult. Brady Hiestand shoots at 38% accuracy against Rinya Nakamura's 100% defense — Rinya Nakamura should keep it standing.
Finish Threat: Rinya Nakamura finishes 50% of wins (50% KO/TKO, 0% sub). Brady Hiestand finishes 75% of wins (25% KO/TKO, 50% sub).
Fight Length: Brady Hiestand's fights average 13:04 vs 9:17 for Rinya Nakamura. If this reaches the championship rounds, Brady Hiestand's conditioning history becomes a factor.