Stewart Nicoll vs Alessandro Costa

Stewart Nicoll

Pro 8-4-0  |  UFC 0-4-0
VS

Alessandro Costa

Pro 17-5-0  |  UFC 5-3-0
Age
31|30
Height
5'5"|5'4"
Reach
65"|67"
Stance
Orthodox|Orthodox

Career Statistics

Statistic Stewart Nicoll Alessandro Costa Edge
Striking
Sig. Strike Accuracy37.2%49.3%
Sig. Strikes Landed/min3.03.9
Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min4.83.8
Strike Differential-1.8/min0.1/min
Grappling
Takedown Accuracy22.9%26.7%
Takedown Defense33.3%85.2%
Takedowns Landed/15min2.80.9
Submission Attempts/15min0.00.9
Control Time/15min2:481:24
Finishing Ability
KO/TKO % of Wins0.0%80.0%
Submission % of Wins0.0%20.0%
Decision % of Wins0.0%0.0%
Avg Fight Time10:388:47
Secondary Stats
Knockdowns/15min0.00.9
Reversals/15min0.00.0
Edges261 even

Fight Dynamics

Career Striking Volume
Stewart Nicoll   Alessandro Costa   League median
StatisticStewart NicollAlessandro CostaEdge
Fight Shape
Fight Completion Rate71.0%58.6%
Avg Fight Time10:388:47
% Fights Inside the Distance50.0%87.5%
Strength of UFC Schedule
Opponent UFC Win % (all)54.5%48.7%
Opponent UFC Record (all)6-5 (54.5%)19-20 (48.7%)
Opponent Record (among wins)15-20 (42.9%)
Positional Profile
% Time at Distance (approx.)69.0%67.6%
% Time in Control18.7%9.4%
% Time Controlled12.4%23.1%
Control Rate of Clinch/Ground Time60.2%28.9%
Distance Striking
Distance Sig. Landed / Min4.154.39
Distance Sig. Absorbed / Min6.334.39
Distance Striking Differential / Min-2.180.00
Distance Strike Accuracy37.2%44.1%
Distance Strike Defense55.7%59.1%
Power & Pressure
KDs per 100 Power Strikes0.002.27
Knocked Down per 100 Absorbed0.531.01
TD Attempts per 5 Distance Min5.961.58
TDs Faced per 5 Distance Min2.042.84
Fade Index (R3 / R1 pace)0.58
UFC fights only. Metrics with insufficient data show "—" and award no edge. Methodology →

Last 5 Fights (Averages)

Statistic Stewart Nicoll Alessandro Costa Edge
Sig. Strike Accuracy37.2%46.5%
Sig. Strikes Landed/min3.03.8
Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min4.83.9
Takedown Accuracy22.9%33.3%
Takedown Defense33.3%81.8%
Control Time/Fight1:590:54
Edges033 even

Last 3 Fights

Stewart Nicoll

LOSS
vs. Alden Coria
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00
Stewart Nicoll28/9031%TD 5/9Ctrl 4:17
Alden Coria44/12735%TD 3/5Ctrl 2:17
▼ Rounds
LOSS
vs. Alessandro Costa
KO/TKO (Punch) • Rd 2, 4:56
Stewart Nicoll47/9947%TD 0/5Ctrl 0:06
Alessandro Costa43/8948%TD 2/3Ctrl 1:18KD 1
▼ Rounds
LOSS
vs. Lucas Rocha
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00
Stewart Nicoll45/13833%TD 2/20Ctrl 1:30
Lucas Rocha115/22651%TD 3/4Ctrl 1:25
▼ Rounds

Alessandro Costa

WIN
vs. Cody Durden
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 • Jul 2026Flyweight
Submission (Rear Naked Choke) • Rd 2, 2:19
Alessandro Costa21/4943%TD 0/0Ctrl 1:01
Cody Durden28/7338%TD 0/2Ctrl 0:12
▼ Rounds
WIN
vs. Matt Schnell
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim • Jun 2026Catch Weight
KO/TKO (Punch) • Rd 1, 2:28
Alessandro Costa19/2383%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:05KD 1
Matt Schnell8/2138%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
▼ Rounds
WIN
vs. Stewart Nicoll
KO/TKO (Punch) • Rd 2, 4:56
Alessandro Costa43/8948%TD 2/3Ctrl 1:18KD 1
Stewart Nicoll47/9947%TD 0/5Ctrl 0:06
▼ Rounds

Common Opponents

vs. Alden Coria
Stewart Nicoll
LOSS
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00
Stewart Nicoll28/9031%TD 5/9Ctrl 4:17
Alden Coria44/12735%TD 3/5Ctrl 2:17
▼ Rounds
Alessandro Costa
LOSS
Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silva • Sep 2025Flyweight
KO/TKO (Punches) • Rd 3, 0:47
Alessandro Costa12/5621%TD 1/4Ctrl 1:24
Alden Coria42/9544%TD 2/2Ctrl 3:18
▼ Rounds

Analysis Summary

Striking Volume: Alessandro Costa is the busier striker, landing 3.9 significant strikes per minute vs 3.0. Their opponent absorbs 4.8 strikes per minute on average — Alessandro Costa's output should find a target.

Striking Accuracy: Alessandro Costa connects on 49.3% of significant strikes compared to 37.2%. The 12pp accuracy gap compounds over the rounds.

Grappling: Stewart Nicoll shoots at 23% accuracy but Alessandro Costa stops 85% of attempts — the takedown path looks difficult. Alessandro Costa shoots at 27% accuracy against Stewart Nicoll's 33% defense — Stewart Nicoll should keep it standing.

Finish Threat: Alessandro Costa finishes 100% of wins (80% KO/TKO, 20% sub).

Fight Length: Stewart Nicoll's fights average 10:38 vs 8:47 for Alessandro Costa. If this reaches the championship rounds, Stewart Nicoll's conditioning history becomes a factor.

Last updated: 2026-08-13 | Data source: UFCStats.com