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Terrance McKinney vs Kyle Nelson

Terrance McKinney

Pro Record
17-8-0
UFC Record
7-5-0 (12 fights)
VS

Kyle Nelson

Pro Record
17-6-1
UFC Record
5-5-1 (11 fights)

Fighter Profiles

Terrance McKinney
Age31
Height5'10"
Weight155 lbs
Reach73"
StanceSwitch
Kyle Nelson
Age34
Height5'11"
Weight155 lbs
Reach71"
StanceSwitch
⚠️ Terrance McKinney avg fight time under 3 minutes — per-minute rates may be inflated.

Career Statistics

Statistic Terrance McKinney Kyle Nelson Edge
Striking
Sig. Strike Accuracy56.2%45.8%A
Sig. Strikes Landed/min7.43.6A
Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min4.14.5-
Strike Differential3.3/min-0.9/minA
Grappling
Takedown Accuracy42.9%23.1%A
Takedown Defense72.7%66.7%-
Takedowns Landed/15min3.11.2A
Submission Attempts/15min2.60.5A
Control Time/15min6:463:05A
Finishing Ability
KO/TKO % of Wins57.1%40.0%
Submission % of Wins42.9%0.0%
Decision % of Wins0.0%60.0%
Avg Fight Time2:2510:23
Secondary Stats
Knockdowns/15min1.50.1
Reversals/15min0.50.0
Edges702 even

Last 5 Fights (Averages)

Statistic Terrance McKinney Kyle Nelson Edge
Sig. Strike Accuracy62.9%46.8%A
Sig. Strikes Landed/min16.44.5A
Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min7.84.0B
Takedown Accuracy100.0%22.2%A
Takedown Defense50.0%71.4%B
Control Time/Fight0:241:42-
Edges321 even

Last 3 Fights

Terrance McKinney

LOSS
vs. Chris Duncan
Submission (Anaconda Choke) • Rd 1, 2:30 • Dec 2025
Terrance McKinney31/5754%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
Chris Duncan38/5569%TD 1/2Ctrl 1:10KD 1
▼ Rounds
WIN
vs. Viacheslav Borshchev
Submission (Guillotine Choke) • Rd 1, 0:55 • Jun 2025
Terrance McKinney1/250%TD 1/1Ctrl 0:47
Viacheslav Borshchev2/2100%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
▼ Rounds
WIN
vs. Damir Hadzovic
KO/TKO (Punches) • Rd 1, 2:01 • Feb 2025
Terrance McKinney54/6978%TD 0/0Ctrl 1:00
Damir Hadzovic4/1331%TD 1/2Ctrl 0:08
▼ Rounds

Kyle Nelson

WIN
vs. Matt Frevola
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00 • Oct 2025
Kyle Nelson63/13547%TD 2/5Ctrl 3:11KD 1
Matt Frevola43/13632%TD 2/3Ctrl 1:58
▼ Rounds
LOSS
vs. Steve Garcia
KO/TKO (Elbows) • Rd 1, 3:59 • Sep 2024
Kyle Nelson1/250%TD 0/0Ctrl 2:13
Steve Garcia22/3759%TD 0/0Ctrl 1:36
▼ Rounds
WIN
vs. Bill Algeo
KO/TKO (Punches) • Rd 1, 4:00 • Mar 2024
Kyle Nelson32/5954%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:48
Bill Algeo30/5852%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
▼ Rounds

Common Opponents

vs. Matt Frevola
Terrance McKinney
WIN
KO/TKO (Punch) • Rd 1, 0:07 • Jun 2021
Terrance McKinney4/580%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:03KD 1
Matt Frevola0/0TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
▼ Rounds
Kyle Nelson
WIN
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00 • Oct 2025
Kyle Nelson63/13547%TD 2/5Ctrl 3:11KD 1
Matt Frevola43/13632%TD 2/3Ctrl 1:58
▼ Rounds

Analysis Summary

Striking Volume: Terrance McKinney is the busier striker, landing 7.4 significant strikes per minute vs 3.6. Their opponent absorbs 4.5 strikes per minute on average — Terrance McKinney's output should find a target.

Striking Accuracy: Terrance McKinney connects on 56.2% of significant strikes compared to 45.8%. The 10pp accuracy gap compounds over the rounds.

Grappling: Terrance McKinney shoots at 43% accuracy but Kyle Nelson stops 67% of attempts — the takedown path looks difficult. Kyle Nelson shoots at 23% accuracy against Terrance McKinney's 73% defense — Terrance McKinney should keep it standing.

Finish Threat: Terrance McKinney finishes 100% of wins (57% KO/TKO, 43% sub).

Fight Length: Kyle Nelson's fights average 10:23 vs 2:25 for Terrance McKinney. If this reaches the championship rounds, Kyle Nelson's conditioning history becomes a factor.

Report generated: 2026-02-20 22:59:58 | Data source: UFCStats.com