Vicente Luque vs Kelvin Gastelum

Vicente Luque

Pro 24-13-1  |  UFC 17-9-0
VS

Kelvin Gastelum

Pro 21-11-0 (1 NC)  |  UFC 14-11-0
Age
34|34
Height
5'11"|5'9"
Reach
75"|71"
Stance
Orthodox|Southpaw

Career Statistics

Statistic Vicente Luque Kelvin Gastelum Edge
Striking
Sig. Strike Accuracy50.2%42.4%—
Sig. Strikes Landed/min4.73.7◄
Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min5.23.5►
Strike Differential-0.5/min0.1/min—
Grappling
Takedown Accuracy46.7%35.3%—
Takedown Defense60.9%60.4%—
Takedowns Landed/15min0.81.0—
Submission Attempts/15min0.70.1◄
Control Time/15min2:042:02—
Finishing Ability
KO/TKO % of Wins47.1%21.4%—
Submission % of Wins41.2%14.3%—
Decision % of Wins11.8%64.3%—
Avg Fight Time9:4013:21—
Secondary Stats
Knockdowns/15min0.70.4—
Reversals/15min0.10.3—
Edges216 even

Fight Dynamics

Career Striking Volume
Vicente Luque   Kelvin Gastelum   League median
StatisticVicente LuqueKelvin GastelumEdge
Fight Shape
Fight Completion Rate61.4%75.5%—
Avg Fight Time9:4013:21—
% Fights Inside the Distance69.2%34.6%—
Strength of UFC Schedule
Opponent UFC Win % (all)65.5%69.3%—
Opponent UFC Record (all)154-81 (65.5%)187-83 (69.3%)—
Opponent Record (among wins)93-50 (65.0%)90-43 (67.7%)—
Positional Profile
% Time at Distance (approx.)66.4%71.6%—
% Time in Control13.9%13.6%—
% Time Controlled19.7%14.8%—
Control Rate of Clinch/Ground Time41.3%47.9%—
Distance Striking
Distance Sig. Landed / Min6.264.35◀
Distance Sig. Absorbed / Min6.214.23▶
Distance Striking Differential / Min+0.05+0.12—
Distance Strike Accuracy48.2%40.1%◀
Distance Strike Defense55.3%59.7%—
Power & Pressure
KDs per 100 Power Strikes1.361.02◀
Knocked Down per 100 Absorbed0.390.92◀
TD Attempts per 5 Distance Min0.901.37—
TDs Faced per 5 Distance Min1.921.83—
Fade Index (R3 / R1 pace)0.971.15—
UFC fights only. Metrics with insufficient data show "—" and award no edge. Methodology →

Last 5 Fights (Averages)

Statistic Vicente Luque Kelvin Gastelum Edge
Sig. Strike Accuracy37.9%45.3%—
Sig. Strikes Landed/min2.83.8►
Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min5.14.5—
Takedown Accuracy0.0%83.3%►
Takedown Defense40.0%46.2%—
Control Time/Fight0:241:02—
Edges024 even

Last 3 Fights

Vicente Luque

LOSS
vs. Tresean Gore
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry • Aug 2026Middleweight
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00
Vicente Luque46/12238%TD 0/1Ctrl 0:44
Tresean Gore65/13648%TD 0/2Ctrl 3:45
▼ Rounds
WIN
vs. Kelvin Gastelum
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg • Apr 2026Middleweight
Submission (Anaconda Choke) • Rd 1, 4:08
Vicente Luque12/2843%TD 0/0Ctrl 1:04KD 1
Kelvin Gastelum9/2045%TD 1/1Ctrl 1:16
▼ Rounds
LOSS
vs. Joel Alvarez
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot • Oct 2025Welterweight
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00
Vicente Luque30/9930%TD 0/2Ctrl 0:00
Joel Alvarez89/14860%TD 1/1Ctrl 6:30
▼ Rounds

Kelvin Gastelum

LOSS
vs. Vicente Luque
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg • Apr 2026Middleweight
Submission (Anaconda Choke) • Rd 1, 4:08
Kelvin Gastelum9/2045%TD 1/1Ctrl 1:16
Vicente Luque12/2843%TD 0/0Ctrl 1:04KD 1
▼ Rounds
WIN
vs. Dustin Stoltzfus
Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silva • Sep 2025Middleweight
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00
Kelvin Gastelum57/11749%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:23KD 1
Dustin Stoltzfus64/14644%TD 1/6Ctrl 2:00
▼ Rounds
LOSS
vs. Joe Pyfer
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 • Jun 2025Middleweight
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00
Kelvin Gastelum33/9933%TD 0/1Ctrl 0:27
Joe Pyfer57/11450%TD 1/2Ctrl 0:31KD 2
▼ Rounds

Common Opponents

vs. Tyron Woodley
Vicente Luque
WIN
UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou • Mar 2021Welterweight
Submission (D'Arce Choke) • Rd 1, 3:56
Vicente Luque25/3376%TD 0/0Ctrl 2:03
Tyron Woodley18/4045%TD 0/1Ctrl 0:22
▼ Rounds
Kelvin Gastelum
LOSS
UFC 183: Silva vs Diaz • Jan 2015Welterweight
Decision (Split) • Rd 3, 5:00
Kelvin Gastelum32/14322%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:41
Tyron Woodley27/10426%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:26
▼ Rounds

Analysis Summary

Striking Volume: Vicente Luque is the busier striker, landing 4.7 significant strikes per minute vs 3.7. Their opponent absorbs 3.5 strikes per minute on average — Vicente Luque's output should find a target.

Grappling: Vicente Luque shoots at 47% accuracy but Kelvin Gastelum stops 60% of attempts — the takedown path looks difficult. Kelvin Gastelum shoots at 35% accuracy against Vicente Luque's 61% defense — Vicente Luque should keep it standing.

Finish Threat: Vicente Luque finishes 88% of wins (47% KO/TKO, 41% sub).

Fight Length: Kelvin Gastelum's fights average 13:21 vs 9:40 for Vicente Luque. If this reaches the championship rounds, Kelvin Gastelum's conditioning history becomes a factor.

Last updated: 2026-08-22 | Data source: UFCStats.com