Vicente Luque vs Kelvin Gastelum
Age
34|34
Height
5'11"|5'9"
Reach
75"|71"
Stance
Orthodox|Southpaw
Career Statistics
| Statistic | Vicente Luque | Kelvin Gastelum | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Striking | |||
| Sig. Strike Accuracy | 50.2% | 42.4% | — |
| Sig. Strikes Landed/min | 4.7 | 3.7 | ◄ |
| Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min | 5.2 | 3.5 | ► |
| Strike Differential | -0.5/min | 0.1/min | — |
| Grappling | |||
| Takedown Accuracy | 46.7% | 35.3% | — |
| Takedown Defense | 60.9% | 60.4% | — |
| Takedowns Landed/15min | 0.8 | 1.0 | — |
| Submission Attempts/15min | 0.7 | 0.1 | ◄ |
| Control Time/15min | 2:04 | 2:02 | — |
| Finishing Ability | |||
| KO/TKO % of Wins | 47.1% | 21.4% | — |
| Submission % of Wins | 41.2% | 14.3% | — |
| Decision % of Wins | 11.8% | 64.3% | — |
| Avg Fight Time | 9:40 | 13:21 | — |
| Secondary Stats | |||
| Knockdowns/15min | 0.7 | 0.4 | — |
| Reversals/15min | 0.1 | 0.3 | — |
| Edges | 2 | 1 | 6 even |
Fight Dynamics
Career Striking Volume
Vicente Luque
Kelvin Gastelum
League median
| Statistic | Vicente Luque | Kelvin Gastelum | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fight Shape | |||
| Fight Completion Rate | 61.4% | 75.5% | — |
| Avg Fight Time | 9:40 | 13:21 | — |
| % Fights Inside the Distance | 69.2% | 34.6% | — |
| Strength of UFC Schedule | |||
| Opponent UFC Win % (all) | 65.5% | 69.3% | — |
| Opponent UFC Record (all) | 154-81 (65.5%) | 187-83 (69.3%) | — |
| Opponent Record (among wins) | 93-50 (65.0%) | 90-43 (67.7%) | — |
| Positional Profile | |||
| % Time at Distance (approx.) | 66.4% | 71.6% | — |
| % Time in Control | 13.9% | 13.6% | — |
| % Time Controlled | 19.7% | 14.8% | — |
| Control Rate of Clinch/Ground Time | 41.3% | 47.9% | — |
| Distance Striking | |||
| Distance Sig. Landed / Min | 6.26 | 4.35 | ◀ |
| Distance Sig. Absorbed / Min | 6.21 | 4.23 | ▶ |
| Distance Striking Differential / Min | +0.05 | +0.12 | — |
| Distance Strike Accuracy | 48.2% | 40.1% | ◀ |
| Distance Strike Defense | 55.3% | 59.7% | — |
| Power & Pressure | |||
| KDs per 100 Power Strikes | 1.36 | 1.02 | ◀ |
| Knocked Down per 100 Absorbed | 0.39 | 0.92 | ◀ |
| TD Attempts per 5 Distance Min | 0.90 | 1.37 | — |
| TDs Faced per 5 Distance Min | 1.92 | 1.83 | — |
| Fade Index (R3 / R1 pace) | 0.97 | 1.15 | — |
UFC fights only. Metrics with insufficient data show "—" and award no edge.
Methodology →
Last 5 Fights (Averages)
| Statistic | Vicente Luque | Kelvin Gastelum | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sig. Strike Accuracy | 37.9% | 45.3% | — |
| Sig. Strikes Landed/min | 2.8 | 3.8 | ► |
| Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min | 5.1 | 4.5 | — |
| Takedown Accuracy | 0.0% | 83.3% | ► |
| Takedown Defense | 40.0% | 46.2% | — |
| Control Time/Fight | 0:24 | 1:02 | — |
| Edges | 0 | 2 | 4 even |
Last 3 Fights
Vicente Luque
LOSS
vs. Tresean Gore
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry • Aug 2026Middleweight
Vicente Luque46/12238%TD 0/1Ctrl 0:44
Tresean Gore65/13648%TD 0/2Ctrl 3:45
WIN
vs. Kelvin Gastelum
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg • Apr 2026Middleweight
Vicente Luque12/2843%TD 0/0Ctrl 1:04KD 1
Kelvin Gastelum9/2045%TD 1/1Ctrl 1:16
LOSS
vs. Joel Alvarez
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot • Oct 2025Welterweight
Vicente Luque30/9930%TD 0/2Ctrl 0:00
Joel Alvarez89/14860%TD 1/1Ctrl 6:30
Kelvin Gastelum
LOSS
vs. Vicente Luque
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg • Apr 2026Middleweight
Kelvin Gastelum9/2045%TD 1/1Ctrl 1:16
Vicente Luque12/2843%TD 0/0Ctrl 1:04KD 1
WIN
vs. Dustin Stoltzfus
Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silva • Sep 2025Middleweight
Kelvin Gastelum57/11749%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:23KD 1
Dustin Stoltzfus64/14644%TD 1/6Ctrl 2:00
LOSS
vs. Joe Pyfer
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 • Jun 2025Middleweight
Kelvin Gastelum33/9933%TD 0/1Ctrl 0:27
Joe Pyfer57/11450%TD 1/2Ctrl 0:31KD 2
Common Opponents
vs. Tyron Woodley
Vicente Luque
WIN
UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou • Mar 2021Welterweight
Vicente Luque25/3376%TD 0/0Ctrl 2:03
Tyron Woodley18/4045%TD 0/1Ctrl 0:22
Kelvin Gastelum
LOSS
UFC 183: Silva vs Diaz • Jan 2015Welterweight
Kelvin Gastelum32/14322%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:41
Tyron Woodley27/10426%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:26
Analysis Summary
Striking Volume: Vicente Luque is the busier striker, landing 4.7 significant strikes per minute vs 3.7. Their opponent absorbs 3.5 strikes per minute on average — Vicente Luque's output should find a target.
Grappling: Vicente Luque shoots at 47% accuracy but Kelvin Gastelum stops 60% of attempts — the takedown path looks difficult. Kelvin Gastelum shoots at 35% accuracy against Vicente Luque's 61% defense — Vicente Luque should keep it standing.
Finish Threat: Vicente Luque finishes 88% of wins (47% KO/TKO, 41% sub).
Fight Length: Kelvin Gastelum's fights average 13:21 vs 9:40 for Vicente Luque. If this reaches the championship rounds, Kelvin Gastelum's conditioning history becomes a factor.