Chris Duncan UFC Stats & Fight History

Career Analytics

Advanced Metric	Career
Fight Shape
Avg Fight Time	8:43
Fight Completion Rate (xR%)	53.7%
Expected Rounds (xR)	1.74
% Fights Inside the Distance	62.5%
Strength of Schedule
Opponent UFC Record (all, at fight time)	31-16 (66.0%)
Opponent UFC Record (among wins)	16-9 (64.0%)
Opponent UFC Record (among losses)	15-7 (68.2%)
Positional Profile
% Time at Distance (approx.)	68.5%
% Time in Control	21.8%
% Time Controlled	9.7%
Control Rate of Clinch/Ground Time	69.2%
Distance Striking
Distance Sig. Strikes Landed / Min	5.53
Distance Sig. Strikes Absorbed / Min	5.36
Distance Striking Differential / Min	+0.17
Distance Strike Accuracy	42.3%
Distance Strike Defense	54.9%
Power & Pressure
KDs per 100 Power Strikes Landed	0.86
Knocked Down per 100 Absorbed	0.00
TD Attempts per 5 Distance Min	3.35
TDs Faced per 5 Distance Min	1.88
Sub Attempts per 15 Control Min	2.95
Fade Index (R3 pace / R1 pace)	1.65

All metrics are UFC fights only. Methodology →

Where the Strikes Land

Share of landed significant strikes by target

Where the Fight Happens

Share of total fight time by position

Cumulative Significant Strikes vs the Lightweight field

Chris Duncan League percentile bands (p5–p95) League median

The shaded bands are the league’s middle range: the darker center covers the 25th–75th percentile of fighters, the lighter outer zones extend to the 5th and 95th — computed only over fighters whose careers reached each minute mark. How these are calculated →

Career Stats

Statistic	Chris Duncan
Striking
Sig. Strike Accuracy	46.2%
Sig. Strikes Landed/min	4.6
Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min	4.2
Strike Differential	0.4/min
Grappling
Takedown Accuracy	40.6%
Takedown Defense	55.6%
Takedowns Landed/15min	2.8
Submission Attempts/15min	0.6
Control Time/15min	3:16
Finishing Ability
KO/TKO % of Wins	0.0%
Submission % of Wins	50.0%
Decision % of Wins	50.0%
Avg Fight Time	8:43
Secondary Stats
Knockdowns/15min	0.4
Reversals/15min	0.0

Last 5 Averages

Statistic	Last 5 Fights
Sig. Strike Accuracy	45.0%
Sig. Strikes Landed/min	4.8
Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min	5.5
Takedown Accuracy	45.5%
Takedown Defense	60.0%
Control Time/Fight	1:27

Fight History

LOSS

vs. Renato Moicano

UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan • Apr 2026

Submission (Rear Naked Choke) • Rd 2, 3:14

Chris Duncan27/6244%TD 0/2Ctrl 0:01

Renato Moicano21/3658%TD 1/4Ctrl 3:16

▼ Rounds

Rnd	Fighter	Sig Str	Acc	TD	Ctrl	KD
R1	Chris Duncan	17/38	45%	0/1	0:01	—
	Renato Moicano	14/20	70%	0/2	1:13	—

R2	Chris Duncan	10/24	42%	0/1	0:00	—
	Renato Moicano	7/16	44%	1/2	2:03	—

WIN

vs. Terrance McKinney

UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 • Dec 2025

Submission (Anaconda Choke) • Rd 1, 2:30

Chris Duncan38/5569%TD 1/2Ctrl 1:10

Terrance McKinney31/5754%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00

▼ Rounds

Rnd	Fighter	Sig Str	Acc	TD	Ctrl	KD
R1	Chris Duncan	38/55	69%	1/2	1:10	1
	Terrance McKinney	31/57	54%	0/0	0:00	—

WIN

vs. Mateusz Rebecki

UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park • Aug 2025

Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00

Chris Duncan92/22241%TD 0/1Ctrl 0:27

Mateusz Rebecki114/26743%TD 2/6Ctrl 1:23

▼ Rounds

Rnd	Fighter	Sig Str	Acc	TD	Ctrl	KD
R1	Chris Duncan	19/62	31%	0/1	0:00	—
	Mateusz Rebecki	32/74	43%	0/1	1:00	—

R2	Chris Duncan	25/62	40%	0/0	0:00	—
	Mateusz Rebecki	38/88	43%	1/1	0:19	—

R3	Chris Duncan	48/98	49%	0/0	0:27	—
	Mateusz Rebecki	44/105	42%	1/4	0:04	—

WIN

vs. Jordan Vucenic

UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady • Mar 2025

Submission (Guillotine Choke) • Rd 2, 3:42

Chris Duncan15/4038%TD 4/5Ctrl 5:37

Jordan Vucenic16/2662%TD 1/2Ctrl 0:12

▼ Rounds

Rnd	Fighter	Sig Str	Acc	TD	Ctrl	KD
R1	Chris Duncan	9/13	69%	1/1	3:55	1
	Jordan Vucenic	1/3	33%	0/0	0:00	—

R2	Chris Duncan	6/27	22%	3/4	1:42	—
	Jordan Vucenic	15/23	65%	1/2	0:12	—

WIN

vs. Bolaji Oki

UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis • Sep 2024

Submission (Guillotine Choke) • Rd 1, 3:34

Chris Duncan10/2540%TD 0/1Ctrl 0:00

Bolaji Oki28/5056%TD 2/3Ctrl 1:11

▼ Rounds

Rnd	Fighter	Sig Str	Acc	TD	Ctrl	KD
R1	Chris Duncan	10/25	40%	0/1	0:00	—
	Bolaji Oki	28/50	56%	2/3	1:11	—

LOSS

vs. Manuel Torres

UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 • Feb 2024

Submission (Rear Naked Choke) • Rd 1, 1:46

Chris Duncan1/250%TD 1/3Ctrl 0:40

Manuel Torres3/560%TD 2/2Ctrl 0:42

▼ Rounds

Rnd	Fighter	Sig Str	Acc	TD	Ctrl	KD
R1	Chris Duncan	1/2	50%	1/3	0:40	—
	Manuel Torres	3/5	60%	2/2	0:42	—

WIN

vs. Yanal Ashmouz

UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura • Jul 2023

Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00

Chris Duncan85/20641%TD 2/4Ctrl 0:48

Yanal Ashmouz35/9836%TD 0/1Ctrl 0:00

▼ Rounds

Rnd	Fighter	Sig Str	Acc	TD	Ctrl	KD
R1	Chris Duncan	19/60	32%	1/1	0:06	—
	Yanal Ashmouz	9/28	32%	0/1	0:00	—

R2	Chris Duncan	26/60	43%	0/1	0:02	—
	Yanal Ashmouz	14/36	39%	0/0	0:00	—

R3	Chris Duncan	40/86	47%	1/2	0:40	—
	Yanal Ashmouz	12/34	35%	0/0	0:00	—

WIN

vs. Omar Morales

UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 • Mar 2023

Decision (Split) • Rd 3, 5:00

Chris Duncan53/8364%TD 5/14Ctrl 6:31

Omar Morales47/8059%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:02

▼ Rounds

Rnd	Fighter	Sig Str	Acc	TD	Ctrl	KD
R1	Chris Duncan	24/40	60%	0/2	0:12	—
	Omar Morales	26/42	62%	0/0	0:00	—

R2	Chris Duncan	14/24	58%	1/5	2:42	—
	Omar Morales	7/17	41%	0/0	0:02	—

R3	Chris Duncan	15/19	79%	4/7	3:37	—
	Omar Morales	14/21	67%	0/0	0:00	—

Prior to UFC

DWCS (2 fights)

WIN

vs. Charlie Campbell

DWCS 6.2 • Aug 2022

KO/TKO (Punch) • Rd 1, 1:43

Chris Duncan15/3543%TD 0/2Ctrl 0:02

Charlie Campbell16/3743%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:03

▼ Rounds

Rnd	Fighter	Sig Str	Acc	TD	Ctrl	KD
R1	Chris Duncan	15/35	43%	0/2	0:02	1
	Charlie Campbell	16/37	43%	0/0	0:03	—

LOSS

vs. Viacheslav Borshchev

DWCS 5.7 • Oct 2021

KO/TKO (Punch) • Rd 2, 0:28

Chris Duncan36/7946%TD 2/3Ctrl 1:19

Viacheslav Borshchev41/6167%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:02

▼ Rounds

Rnd	Fighter	Sig Str	Acc	TD	Ctrl	KD
R1	Chris Duncan	32/72	44%	2/3	1:19	—
	Viacheslav Borshchev	38/56	68%	0/0	0:00	—

R2	Chris Duncan	4/7	57%	0/0	0:00	—
	Viacheslav Borshchev	3/5	60%	0/0	0:02	1