Matheus Nicolau UFC Stats & Fight History

Career Analytics

Advanced Metric	Career
Fight Shape
Avg Fight Time	10:50
Fight Completion Rate (xR%)	67.8%
Expected Rounds (xR)	2.17
% Fights Inside the Distance	50.0%
Strength of Schedule
Opponent UFC Record (all, at fight time)	38-26 (59.4%)
Opponent UFC Record (among wins)	19-16 (54.3%)
Opponent UFC Record (among losses)	19-10 (65.5%)
Positional Profile
% Time at Distance (approx.)	74.9%
% Time in Control	15.8%
% Time Controlled	9.3%
Control Rate of Clinch/Ground Time	63.1%
Distance Striking
Distance Sig. Strikes Landed / Min	3.85
Distance Sig. Strikes Absorbed / Min	3.60
Distance Striking Differential / Min	+0.26
Distance Strike Accuracy	50.2%
Distance Strike Defense	67.3%
Power & Pressure
KDs per 100 Power Strikes Landed	2.90
Knocked Down per 100 Absorbed	2.13
TD Attempts per 5 Distance Min	1.35
TDs Faced per 5 Distance Min	1.17
Sub Attempts per 15 Control Min	6.12
Fade Index (R3 pace / R1 pace)	1.13

All metrics are UFC fights only. Methodology →

Where the Strikes Land

Share of landed significant strikes by target

Where the Fight Happens

Share of total fight time by position

Cumulative Significant Strikes vs the Flyweight field

Matheus Nicolau League percentile bands (p5–p95) League median

The shaded bands are the league’s middle range: the darker center covers the 25th–75th percentile of fighters, the lighter outer zones extend to the 5th and 95th — computed only over fighters whose careers reached each minute mark. How these are calculated →

Career Stats

Statistic	Matheus Nicolau
Striking
Sig. Strike Accuracy	52.4%
Sig. Strikes Landed/min	3.4
Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min	3.1
Strike Differential	0.3/min
Grappling
Takedown Accuracy	45.5%
Takedown Defense	89.5%
Takedowns Landed/15min	1.4
Submission Attempts/15min	1.0
Control Time/15min	2:22
Finishing Ability
KO/TKO % of Wins	16.7%
Submission % of Wins	16.7%
Decision % of Wins	66.7%
Avg Fight Time	10:50
Secondary Stats
Knockdowns/15min	1.1
Reversals/15min	0.0

Last 5 Averages

Statistic	Last 5 Fights
Sig. Strike Accuracy	48.0%
Sig. Strikes Landed/min	2.3
Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min	2.6
Takedown Accuracy	25.0%
Takedown Defense	87.5%
Control Time/Fight	0:19

Fight History

LOSS

vs. Asu Almabayev

UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira • Oct 2024

Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00

Matheus Nicolau16/4238%TD 0/1Ctrl 0:00

Asu Almabayev22/5441%TD 1/6Ctrl 5:17

▼ Rounds

Rnd	Fighter	Sig Str	Acc	TD	Ctrl	KD
R1	Matheus Nicolau	5/15	33%	0/0	0:00	—
	Asu Almabayev	9/21	43%	0/0	0:00	—

R2	Matheus Nicolau	10/24	42%	0/1	0:00	—
	Asu Almabayev	6/22	27%	1/6	1:08	—

R3	Matheus Nicolau	1/3	33%	0/0	0:00	—
	Asu Almabayev	7/11	64%	0/0	4:09	1

LOSS

vs. Alex Perez

UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez • Apr 2024

KO/TKO (Punch) • Rd 2, 2:16

Matheus Nicolau22/5540%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00

Alex Perez28/7139%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:02

▼ Rounds

Rnd	Fighter	Sig Str	Acc	TD	Ctrl	KD
R1	Matheus Nicolau	10/31	32%	0/0	0:00	—
	Alex Perez	13/35	37%	0/0	0:00	—

R2	Matheus Nicolau	12/24	50%	0/0	0:00	—
	Alex Perez	15/36	42%	0/0	0:02	1

LOSS

vs. Brandon Royval

UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen • Apr 2023

KO/TKO (Knee) • Rd 1, 2:09

Matheus Nicolau2/540%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00

Brandon Royval13/2259%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:07

▼ Rounds

Rnd	Fighter	Sig Str	Acc	TD	Ctrl	KD
R1	Matheus Nicolau	2/5	40%	0/0	0:00	—
	Brandon Royval	13/22	59%	0/0	0:07	1

WIN

vs. Matt Schnell

UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland • Dec 2022

KO/TKO (Punch) • Rd 2, 1:44

Matheus Nicolau32/4276%TD 1/1Ctrl 0:47

Matt Schnell20/5934%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00

▼ Rounds

Rnd	Fighter	Sig Str	Acc	TD	Ctrl	KD
R1	Matheus Nicolau	19/27	70%	0/0	0:11	1
	Matt Schnell	14/43	33%	0/0	0:00	—

R2	Matheus Nicolau	13/15	87%	1/1	0:36	1
	Matt Schnell	6/16	38%	0/0	0:00	—

WIN

vs. David Dvorak

UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus • Mar 2022

Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00

Matheus Nicolau36/8144%TD 0/2Ctrl 0:48

David Dvorak39/11035%TD 0/2Ctrl 1:25

▼ Rounds

Rnd	Fighter	Sig Str	Acc	TD	Ctrl	KD
R1	Matheus Nicolau	6/16	38%	0/0	0:02	—
	David Dvorak	12/26	46%	0/0	0:00	—

R2	Matheus Nicolau	17/35	49%	0/0	0:46	1
	David Dvorak	19/48	40%	0/0	0:00	—

R3	Matheus Nicolau	13/30	43%	0/2	0:00	—
	David Dvorak	8/36	22%	0/2	1:25	—

WIN

vs. Tim Elliott

UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Rodriguez • Oct 2021

Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00

Matheus Nicolau64/10959%TD 1/1Ctrl 2:08

Tim Elliott70/21533%TD 1/10Ctrl 2:28

▼ Rounds

Rnd	Fighter	Sig Str	Acc	TD	Ctrl	KD
R1	Matheus Nicolau	19/29	66%	0/0	0:00	—
	Tim Elliott	24/62	39%	1/4	1:34	—

R2	Matheus Nicolau	31/56	55%	0/0	0:00	—
	Tim Elliott	29/101	29%	0/5	0:18	—

R3	Matheus Nicolau	14/24	58%	1/1	2:08	—
	Tim Elliott	17/52	33%	0/1	0:36	—

WIN

vs. Manel Kape

UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad • Mar 2021

Decision (Split) • Rd 3, 5:00

Matheus Nicolau55/10254%TD 2/9Ctrl 2:31

Manel Kape61/15041%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:38

▼ Rounds

Rnd	Fighter	Sig Str	Acc	TD	Ctrl	KD
R1	Matheus Nicolau	7/13	54%	2/3	2:24	—
	Manel Kape	2/10	20%	0/0	0:02	—

R2	Matheus Nicolau	21/38	55%	0/3	0:03	—
	Manel Kape	28/69	41%	0/0	0:04	—

R3	Matheus Nicolau	27/51	53%	0/3	0:04	—
	Manel Kape	31/71	44%	0/0	0:32	—

LOSS

vs. Dustin Ortiz

UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 • Jul 2018

KO/TKO (Kick) • Rd 1, 3:49

Matheus Nicolau7/1644%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00

Dustin Ortiz8/4319%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:04

▼ Rounds

Rnd	Fighter	Sig Str	Acc	TD	Ctrl	KD
R1	Matheus Nicolau	7/16	44%	0/0	0:00	—
	Dustin Ortiz	8/43	19%	0/0	0:04	1

WIN

vs. Louis Smolka

UFC 219: Cyborg vs. Holm • Dec 2017

Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00

Matheus Nicolau87/17251%TD 3/4Ctrl 4:19

Louis Smolka49/15931%TD 0/1Ctrl 0:01

▼ Rounds

Rnd	Fighter	Sig Str	Acc	TD	Ctrl	KD
R1	Matheus Nicolau	34/59	58%	0/0	1:59	3
	Louis Smolka	7/43	16%	0/1	0:00	—

R2	Matheus Nicolau	32/70	46%	0/0	0:00	—
	Louis Smolka	27/74	36%	0/0	0:00	—

R3	Matheus Nicolau	21/43	49%	3/4	2:20	—
	Louis Smolka	15/42	36%	0/0	0:01	—

WIN

vs. Bruno Korea

UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3 • Nov 2015

Submission (Guillotine Choke) • Rd 3, 3:27

Matheus Nicolau46/7760%TD 3/4Ctrl 6:37

Bruno Korea27/7934%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00

▼ Rounds

Rnd	Fighter	Sig Str	Acc	TD	Ctrl	KD
R1	Matheus Nicolau	18/32	56%	2/3	2:06	1
	Bruno Korea	8/27	30%	0/0	0:00	—

R2	Matheus Nicolau	15/27	56%	1/1	2:23	—
	Bruno Korea	17/37	46%	0/0	0:00	1

R3	Matheus Nicolau	13/18	72%	0/0	2:08	1
	Bruno Korea	2/15	13%	0/0	0:00	—

Prior to UFC

Other (1 fight)

WIN

vs. John Moraga

The Ultimate Fighter: Team Joanna vs. Team Cláudia Finale • Jul 2016

Decision (Split) • Rd 3, 5:00

Matheus Nicolau41/8548%TD 0/1Ctrl 0:43

John Moraga31/11327%TD 0/2Ctrl 0:00

▼ Rounds

Rnd	Fighter	Sig Str	Acc	TD	Ctrl	KD
R1	Matheus Nicolau	12/25	48%	0/0	0:00	—
	John Moraga	11/40	28%	0/1	0:00	—

R2	Matheus Nicolau	19/35	54%	0/0	0:00	—
	John Moraga	12/36	33%	0/0	0:00	—

R3	Matheus Nicolau	10/25	40%	0/1	0:43	—
	John Moraga	8/37	22%	0/1	0:00	—