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Bruno Lopes vs Diyar Nurgozhay

Bruno Lopes

Pro 14-3-0  |  UFC 1-2-0
Light Heavyweight
VS

Diyar Nurgozhay

Pro 11-2-0  |  UFC 1-2-0
Age
33|29
Height
6'2"|6'2"
Reach
74"|74"
Stance
Orthodox|Southpaw

Career Statistics

Statistic Bruno Lopes Diyar Nurgozhay Edge
Striking
Sig. Strike Accuracy45.1%61.1%
Sig. Strikes Landed/min2.54.9
Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min4.32.8
Strike Differential-1.8/min2.0/min
Grappling
Takedown Accuracy22.7%75.0%
Takedown Defense100.0%77.8%
Takedowns Landed/15min2.91.9
Submission Attempts/15min0.00.0
Control Time/15min5:581:36
Finishing Ability
KO/TKO % of Wins0.0%0.0%
Submission % of Wins0.0%0.0%
Decision % of Wins100.0%100.0%
Avg Fight Time8:388:04
Secondary Stats
Knockdowns/15min0.00.0
Reversals/15min0.00.6
Edges351 even

Fight Dynamics

Career Striking Volume
Bruno Lopes   Diyar Nurgozhay   League median
StatisticBruno LopesDiyar NurgozhayEdge
Fight Shape
Fight Completion Rate57.6%53.8%
Avg Fight Time8:388:04
% Fights Inside the Distance66.7%66.7%
Strength of UFC Schedule
Opponent UFC Win % (all)66.7%25.0%
Opponent UFC Record (all)12-6 (66.7%)1-3 (25.0%)
Opponent Record (among wins)1-0 (100.0%)
Positional Profile
% Time at Distance (approx.)51.5%73.2%
% Time in Control39.8%10.7%
% Time Controlled8.7%16.2%
Control Rate of Clinch/Ground Time82.1%39.7%
Distance Striking
Distance Sig. Landed / Min2.475.87
Distance Sig. Absorbed / Min5.843.16
Distance Striking Differential / Min-3.37+2.71
Distance Strike Accuracy32.0%61.5%
Distance Strike Defense54.4%62.7%
Power & Pressure
KDs per 100 Power Strikes0.000.00
Knocked Down per 100 Absorbed2.944.35
TD Attempts per 5 Distance Min8.241.13
TDs Faced per 5 Distance Min1.122.54
Fade Index (R3 / R1 pace)
UFC fights only. Metrics with insufficient data show "—" and award no edge. Methodology →

Last 5 Fights (Averages)

Statistic Bruno Lopes Diyar Nurgozhay Edge
Sig. Strike Accuracy45.1%61.1%
Sig. Strikes Landed/min2.54.9
Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min4.32.8
Takedown Accuracy22.7%75.0%
Takedown Defense100.0%77.8%
Control Time/Fight3:260:51
Edges240 even

Last 3 Fights

Bruno Lopes

LOSS
vs. Navajo Stirling
KO/TKO (Punches) • Rd 2, 4:05
Bruno Lopes28/6344%TD 0/8Ctrl 1:00
Navajo Stirling63/11953%TD 0/0Ctrl 1:31KD 1
▼ Rounds
LOSS
vs. Dustin Jacoby
KO/TKO (Punch) • Rd 1, 1:50
Bruno Lopes3/933%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
Dustin Jacoby17/2959%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:30KD 1
▼ Rounds
WIN
vs. Magomed Gadzhiyasulov
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00
Bruno Lopes33/7047%TD 5/14Ctrl 9:19
Magomed Gadzhiyasulov31/6746%TD 0/3Ctrl 0:14
▼ Rounds

Diyar Nurgozhay

WIN
vs. Rafael Tobias
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00
Diyar Nurgozhay94/14366%TD 0/1Ctrl 1:28
Rafael Tobias39/10139%TD 2/8Ctrl 2:31
▼ Rounds
LOSS
vs. Uran Satybaldiev
Submission (Ezekiel Choke) • Rd 1, 2:45
Diyar Nurgozhay7/1164%TD 1/1Ctrl 0:18
Uran Satybaldiev2/922%TD 0/0Ctrl 1:10KD 1
▼ Rounds
LOSS
vs. Brendson Ribeiro
Submission (Kimura) • Rd 2, 1:28
Diyar Nurgozhay17/3944%TD 2/2Ctrl 0:49
Brendson Ribeiro28/5848%TD 0/1Ctrl 0:14KD 1
▼ Rounds

Common Opponents

vs. Brendson Ribeiro
Bruno Lopes
LOSS
DWCS 7.5 • Sep 2023
KO/TKO (Punches) • Rd 1, 3:47
Bruno Lopes20/5735%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:15
Brendson Ribeiro32/6946%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:04KD 1
▼ Rounds
Diyar Nurgozhay
LOSS
Submission (Kimura) • Rd 2, 1:28
Diyar Nurgozhay17/3944%TD 2/2Ctrl 0:49
Brendson Ribeiro28/5848%TD 0/1Ctrl 0:14KD 1
▼ Rounds

Analysis Summary

Striking Volume: Diyar Nurgozhay is the busier striker, landing 4.9 significant strikes per minute vs 2.5. Their opponent absorbs 4.3 strikes per minute on average — Diyar Nurgozhay's output should find a target.

Striking Accuracy: Diyar Nurgozhay connects on 61.1% of significant strikes compared to 45.1%. The 16pp accuracy gap compounds over the rounds.

Grappling: Bruno Lopes shoots at 23% accuracy but Diyar Nurgozhay stops 78% of attempts — the takedown path looks difficult. Diyar Nurgozhay shoots at 75% accuracy against Bruno Lopes's 100% defense — Bruno Lopes should keep it standing.

Control: Bruno Lopes controls 3:26 per fight on average vs 0:51 — sustained control shifts rounds and drains cardio.

Finish Threat: Both fighters trend toward decisions — Bruno Lopes (100% of wins) and Diyar Nurgozhay (100%).

Report generated: 2026-07-20 08:53:56 | Data source: UFCStats.com