Bruno Lopes vs Diyar Nurgozhay

Bruno Lopes

Pro 14-4-0  |  UFC 1-3-0
VS

Diyar Nurgozhay

Pro 12-2-0  |  UFC 2-2-0
Age
33|29
Height
6'2"|6'2"
Reach
74"|74"
Stance
Orthodox|Southpaw

Career Statistics

Statistic Bruno Lopes Diyar Nurgozhay Edge
Striking
Sig. Strike Accuracy46.7%63.1%
Sig. Strikes Landed/min2.55.7
Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min5.12.8
Strike Differential-2.6/min2.8/min
Grappling
Takedown Accuracy26.1%75.0%
Takedown Defense100.0%70.0%
Takedowns Landed/15min2.91.5
Submission Attempts/15min0.00.0
Control Time/15min5:011:23
Finishing Ability
KO/TKO % of Wins0.0%50.0%
Submission % of Wins0.0%0.0%
Decision % of Wins100.0%50.0%
Avg Fight Time7:437:18
Secondary Stats
Knockdowns/15min0.01.0
Reversals/15min0.00.5
Edges351 even

Fight Dynamics

Career Striking Volume
Bruno Lopes   Diyar Nurgozhay   League median
StatisticBruno LopesDiyar NurgozhayEdge
Fight Shape
Fight Completion Rate51.5%48.7%
Avg Fight Time7:437:18
% Fights Inside the Distance75.0%75.0%
Strength of UFC Schedule
Opponent UFC Win % (all)61.9%28.6%
Opponent UFC Record (all)13-8 (61.9%)2-5 (28.6%)
Opponent Record (among wins)1-0 (100.0%)1-2 (33.3%)
Positional Profile
% Time at Distance (approx.)58.7%77.1%
% Time in Control33.5%9.3%
% Time Controlled7.7%13.6%
Control Rate of Clinch/Ground Time81.3%40.6%
Distance Striking
Distance Sig. Landed / Min2.596.13
Distance Sig. Absorbed / Min6.173.11
Distance Striking Differential / Min-3.58+3.02
Distance Strike Accuracy36.7%61.3%
Distance Strike Defense50.7%60.0%
Power & Pressure
KDs per 100 Power Strikes0.002.06
Knocked Down per 100 Absorbed4.603.85
TD Attempts per 5 Distance Min6.340.89
TDs Faced per 5 Distance Min0.832.22
Fade Index (R3 / R1 pace)
UFC fights only. Metrics with insufficient data show "—" and award no edge. Methodology →

Last 5 Fights (Averages)

Statistic Bruno Lopes Diyar Nurgozhay Edge
Sig. Strike Accuracy46.7%63.1%
Sig. Strikes Landed/min2.55.7
Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min5.12.8
Takedown Accuracy26.1%75.0%
Takedown Defense100.0%70.0%
Control Time/Fight2:350:40
Edges240 even

Last 3 Fights

Bruno Lopes

LOSS
vs. Diyar Nurgozhay
UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld • Aug 2026Light Heavyweight
KO/TKO (Punches) • Rd 1, 4:59
Bruno Lopes14/2556%TD 1/1Ctrl 0:03
Diyar Nurgozhay48/7069%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:08KD 2
▼ Rounds
LOSS
vs. Navajo Stirling
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer • Mar 2026Light Heavyweight
KO/TKO (Punches) • Rd 2, 4:05
Bruno Lopes28/6344%TD 0/8Ctrl 1:00
Navajo Stirling63/11953%TD 0/0Ctrl 1:31KD 1
▼ Rounds
LOSS
vs. Dustin Jacoby
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber • May 2025Light Heavyweight
KO/TKO (Punch) • Rd 1, 1:50
Bruno Lopes3/933%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
Dustin Jacoby17/2959%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:30KD 1
▼ Rounds

Diyar Nurgozhay

WIN
vs. Bruno Lopes
UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld • Aug 2026Light Heavyweight
KO/TKO (Punches) • Rd 1, 4:59
Diyar Nurgozhay48/7069%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:08KD 2
Bruno Lopes14/2556%TD 1/1Ctrl 0:03
▼ Rounds
WIN
vs. Rafael Tobias
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 • Mar 2026Light Heavyweight
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00
Diyar Nurgozhay94/14366%TD 0/1Ctrl 1:28
Rafael Tobias39/10139%TD 2/8Ctrl 2:31
▼ Rounds
LOSS
vs. Uran Satybaldiev
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang • Aug 2025Light Heavyweight
Submission (Ezekiel Choke) • Rd 1, 2:45
Diyar Nurgozhay7/1164%TD 1/1Ctrl 0:18
Uran Satybaldiev2/922%TD 0/0Ctrl 1:10KD 1
▼ Rounds

Common Opponents

vs. Brendson Ribeiro
Bruno Lopes
LOSS
DWCS 7.5 • Sep 2023
KO/TKO (Punches) • Rd 1, 3:47
Bruno Lopes20/5735%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:15
Brendson Ribeiro32/6946%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:04KD 1
▼ Rounds
Diyar Nurgozhay
LOSS
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 • Mar 2025Light Heavyweight
Submission (Kimura) • Rd 2, 1:28
Diyar Nurgozhay17/3944%TD 2/2Ctrl 0:49
Brendson Ribeiro28/5848%TD 0/1Ctrl 0:14KD 1
▼ Rounds

Analysis Summary

Striking Volume: Diyar Nurgozhay is the busier striker, landing 5.7 significant strikes per minute vs 2.5. Their opponent absorbs 5.1 strikes per minute on average — Diyar Nurgozhay's output should find a target.

Striking Accuracy: Diyar Nurgozhay connects on 63.1% of significant strikes compared to 46.7%. The 16pp accuracy gap compounds over the rounds.

Grappling: Bruno Lopes shoots at 26% accuracy but Diyar Nurgozhay stops 70% of attempts — the takedown path looks difficult. Diyar Nurgozhay shoots at 75% accuracy against Bruno Lopes's 100% defense — Bruno Lopes should keep it standing.

Control: Bruno Lopes controls 2:35 per fight on average vs 0:40 — sustained control shifts rounds and drains cardio.

Finish Threat: Diyar Nurgozhay finishes 50% of wins (50% KO/TKO, 0% sub).

Last updated: 2026-08-22 | Data source: UFCStats.com