← Back to UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan

Carlos Leal vs Randy Brown

Carlos Leal

Pro 23-7-0  |  UFC 2-2-0
Welterweight
VS

Randy Brown

Pro 20-8-0  |  UFC 14-8-0
Age
32|36
Height
5'11"|6'3"
Reach
74"|78"
Stance
Orthodox|Orthodox

Career Statistics

Statistic Carlos Leal Randy Brown Edge
Striking
Sig. Strike Accuracy47.0%47.1%—
Sig. Strikes Landed/min8.84.4◄
Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min7.83.4►
Strike Differential1.0/min1.0/min—
Grappling
Takedown Accuracy11.1%34.4%►
Takedown Defense90.9%74.6%◄
Takedowns Landed/15min0.40.7—
Submission Attempts/15min0.00.5►
Control Time/15min1:062:23►
Finishing Ability
KO/TKO % of Wins50.0%28.6%—
Submission % of Wins0.0%21.4%—
Decision % of Wins50.0%50.0%—
Avg Fight Time8:4410:30—
Secondary Stats
Knockdowns/15min0.00.4—
Reversals/15min0.00.3—
Edges243 even

Fight Dynamics

Career Striking Volume
Carlos Leal   Randy Brown   League median
StatisticCarlos LealRandy BrownEdge
Fight Shape
Fight Completion Rate58.3%68.0%—
Avg Fight Time8:4410:30—
% Fights Inside the Distance50.0%54.5%—
Strength of UFC Schedule
Opponent UFC Win % (all)65.2%67.0%—
Opponent UFC Record (all)30-16 (65.2%)122-60 (67.0%)—
Opponent Record (among wins)18-12 (60.0%)77-40 (65.8%)—
Positional Profile
% Time at Distance (approx.)82.1%56.3%—
% Time in Control7.4%15.9%▶
% Time Controlled10.5%27.8%◀
Control Rate of Clinch/Ground Time41.5%36.4%—
Distance Striking
Distance Sig. Landed / Min9.236.03◀
Distance Sig. Absorbed / Min8.334.58▶
Distance Striking Differential / Min+0.91+1.45—
Distance Strike Accuracy44.1%42.3%—
Distance Strike Defense50.2%57.7%▶
Power & Pressure
KDs per 100 Power Strikes0.000.79▶
Knocked Down per 100 Absorbed0.461.64◀
TD Attempts per 5 Distance Min1.571.23—
TDs Faced per 5 Distance Min3.832.42—
Fade Index (R3 / R1 pace)—1.21—
UFC fights only. Metrics with insufficient data show "—" and award no edge. Methodology →

Last 5 Fights (Averages)

Statistic Carlos Leal Randy Brown Edge
Sig. Strike Accuracy47.0%47.4%—
Sig. Strikes Landed/min8.84.5◄
Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min7.83.4►
Takedown Accuracy11.1%22.2%—
Takedown Defense90.9%75.0%◄
Control Time/Fight0:391:02—
Edges213 even

Last 3 Fights

Carlos Leal

WIN
vs. Chidi Njokuani
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00
Carlos Leal115/27642%TD 0/5Ctrl 2:20
Chidi Njokuani120/20559%TD 0/2Ctrl 0:06
▼ Rounds
LOSS
vs. Muslim Salikhov
KO/TKO (Punch) • Rd 1, 0:42
Carlos Leal5/956%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
Muslim Salikhov3/933%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00KD 1
▼ Rounds
WIN
vs. Alex Morono
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev • Mar 2025Welterweight
KO/TKO (Punches) • Rd 1, 4:16
Carlos Leal79/12066%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:03
Alex Morono40/9542%TD 0/1Ctrl 0:20
▼ Rounds

Randy Brown

LOSS
vs. Kevin Holland
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg • Apr 2026Welterweight
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00
Randy Brown46/9548%TD 0/4Ctrl 2:43
Kevin Holland56/9162%TD 0/3Ctrl 4:05
▼ Rounds
LOSS
vs. Gabriel Bonfim
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown • Nov 2025Welterweight
KO/TKO (Knee) • Rd 2, 1:40
Randy Brown33/8738%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
Gabriel Bonfim35/6455%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00KD 1
▼ Rounds
WIN
vs. Nicolas Dalby
KO/TKO (Punch) • Rd 2, 1:39
Randy Brown54/11447%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:03KD 1
Nicolas Dalby26/7435%TD 0/0Ctrl 1:22KD 1
▼ Rounds

Common Opponents

vs. Muslim Salikhov
Carlos Leal
LOSS
KO/TKO (Punch) • Rd 1, 0:42
Carlos Leal5/956%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
Muslim Salikhov3/933%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00KD 1
▼ Rounds
Randy Brown
WIN
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov • Feb 2024Welterweight
KO/TKO (Punch) • Rd 1, 3:17
Randy Brown13/4628%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:03KD 1
Muslim Salikhov10/2245%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
▼ Rounds

Analysis Summary

Striking Volume: Carlos Leal is the busier striker, landing 8.8 significant strikes per minute vs 4.4. Their opponent absorbs 3.4 strikes per minute on average — Carlos Leal's output should find a target.

Grappling: Randy Brown shoots at 34% accuracy against Carlos Leal's 91% defense — Carlos Leal should keep it standing.

Finish Threat: Carlos Leal finishes 50% of wins (50% KO/TKO, 0% sub). Randy Brown finishes 50% of wins (29% KO/TKO, 21% sub).

Fight Length: Randy Brown's fights average 10:30 vs 8:44 for Carlos Leal. If this reaches the championship rounds, Randy Brown's conditioning history becomes a factor.

Last updated: 2026-10-01 | Data source: UFCStats.com