Carlos Leal vs Randy Brown
Age
32|36
Height
5'11"|6'3"
Reach
74"|78"
Stance
Orthodox|Orthodox
Career Statistics
| Statistic | Carlos Leal | Randy Brown | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Striking | |||
| Sig. Strike Accuracy | 47.0% | 47.1% | — |
| Sig. Strikes Landed/min | 8.8 | 4.4 | ◄ |
| Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min | 7.8 | 3.4 | ► |
| Strike Differential | 1.0/min | 1.0/min | — |
| Grappling | |||
| Takedown Accuracy | 11.1% | 34.4% | ► |
| Takedown Defense | 90.9% | 74.6% | ◄ |
| Takedowns Landed/15min | 0.4 | 0.7 | — |
| Submission Attempts/15min | 0.0 | 0.5 | ► |
| Control Time/15min | 1:06 | 2:23 | ► |
| Finishing Ability | |||
| KO/TKO % of Wins | 50.0% | 28.6% | — |
| Submission % of Wins | 0.0% | 21.4% | — |
| Decision % of Wins | 50.0% | 50.0% | — |
| Avg Fight Time | 8:44 | 10:30 | — |
| Secondary Stats | |||
| Knockdowns/15min | 0.0 | 0.4 | — |
| Reversals/15min | 0.0 | 0.3 | — |
| Edges | 2 | 4 | 3 even |
Fight Dynamics
Career Striking Volume
Carlos Leal
Randy Brown
League median
| Statistic | Carlos Leal | Randy Brown | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fight Shape | |||
| Fight Completion Rate | 58.3% | 68.0% | — |
| Avg Fight Time | 8:44 | 10:30 | — |
| % Fights Inside the Distance | 50.0% | 54.5% | — |
| Strength of UFC Schedule | |||
| Opponent UFC Win % (all) | 65.2% | 67.0% | — |
| Opponent UFC Record (all) | 30-16 (65.2%) | 122-60 (67.0%) | — |
| Opponent Record (among wins) | 18-12 (60.0%) | 77-40 (65.8%) | — |
| Positional Profile | |||
| % Time at Distance (approx.) | 82.1% | 56.3% | — |
| % Time in Control | 7.4% | 15.9% | ▶ |
| % Time Controlled | 10.5% | 27.8% | ◀ |
| Control Rate of Clinch/Ground Time | 41.5% | 36.4% | — |
| Distance Striking | |||
| Distance Sig. Landed / Min | 9.23 | 6.03 | ◀ |
| Distance Sig. Absorbed / Min | 8.33 | 4.58 | ▶ |
| Distance Striking Differential / Min | +0.91 | +1.45 | — |
| Distance Strike Accuracy | 44.1% | 42.3% | — |
| Distance Strike Defense | 50.2% | 57.7% | ▶ |
| Power & Pressure | |||
| KDs per 100 Power Strikes | 0.00 | 0.79 | ▶ |
| Knocked Down per 100 Absorbed | 0.46 | 1.64 | ◀ |
| TD Attempts per 5 Distance Min | 1.57 | 1.23 | — |
| TDs Faced per 5 Distance Min | 3.83 | 2.42 | — |
| Fade Index (R3 / R1 pace) | — | 1.21 | — |
UFC fights only. Metrics with insufficient data show "—" and award no edge.
Methodology →
Last 5 Fights (Averages)
| Statistic | Carlos Leal | Randy Brown | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sig. Strike Accuracy | 47.0% | 47.4% | — |
| Sig. Strikes Landed/min | 8.8 | 4.5 | ◄ |
| Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min | 7.8 | 3.4 | ► |
| Takedown Accuracy | 11.1% | 22.2% | — |
| Takedown Defense | 90.9% | 75.0% | ◄ |
| Control Time/Fight | 0:39 | 1:02 | — |
| Edges | 2 | 1 | 3 even |
Last 3 Fights
Carlos Leal
WIN
vs. Chidi Njokuani
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez • Feb 2026Welterweight
Carlos Leal115/27642%TD 0/5Ctrl 2:20
Chidi Njokuani120/20559%TD 0/2Ctrl 0:06
LOSS
vs. Muslim Salikhov
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder • Jul 2025Welterweight
Carlos Leal5/956%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
Muslim Salikhov3/933%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00KD 1
WIN
vs. Alex Morono
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev • Mar 2025Welterweight
Carlos Leal79/12066%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:03
Alex Morono40/9542%TD 0/1Ctrl 0:20
Randy Brown
LOSS
vs. Kevin Holland
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg • Apr 2026Welterweight
Randy Brown46/9548%TD 0/4Ctrl 2:43
Kevin Holland56/9162%TD 0/3Ctrl 4:05
LOSS
vs. Gabriel Bonfim
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown • Nov 2025Welterweight
Randy Brown33/8738%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
Gabriel Bonfim35/6455%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00KD 1
WIN
vs. Nicolas Dalby
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates • Apr 2025Welterweight
Randy Brown54/11447%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:03KD 1
Nicolas Dalby26/7435%TD 0/0Ctrl 1:22KD 1
Common Opponents
vs. Muslim Salikhov
Carlos Leal
LOSS
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder • Jul 2025Welterweight
Carlos Leal5/956%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
Muslim Salikhov3/933%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00KD 1
Randy Brown
WIN
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov • Feb 2024Welterweight
Randy Brown13/4628%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:03KD 1
Muslim Salikhov10/2245%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
Analysis Summary
Striking Volume: Carlos Leal is the busier striker, landing 8.8 significant strikes per minute vs 4.4. Their opponent absorbs 3.4 strikes per minute on average — Carlos Leal's output should find a target.
Grappling: Randy Brown shoots at 34% accuracy against Carlos Leal's 91% defense — Carlos Leal should keep it standing.
Finish Threat: Carlos Leal finishes 50% of wins (50% KO/TKO, 0% sub). Randy Brown finishes 50% of wins (29% KO/TKO, 21% sub).
Fight Length: Randy Brown's fights average 10:30 vs 8:44 for Carlos Leal. If this reaches the championship rounds, Randy Brown's conditioning history becomes a factor.