| Statistic | Diego Lopes | Brian Ortega | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Striking | |||
| Sig. Strike Accuracy | 47.5% | 37.3% | ◄ |
| Sig. Strikes Landed/min | 4.0 | 3.8 | — |
| Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min | 4.5 | 6.4 | ◄ |
| Strike Differential | -0.5/min | -2.5/min | ◄ |
| Grappling | |||
| Takedown Accuracy | 50.0% | 25.0% | ◄ |
| Takedown Defense | 73.7% | 54.5% | ◄ |
| Takedowns Landed/15min | 1.2 | 0.9 | — |
| Submission Attempts/15min | 0.8 | 0.9 | — |
| Control Time/15min | 1:42 | 1:17 | — |
| Finishing Ability | |||
| KO/TKO % of Wins | 62.5% | 37.5% | — |
| Submission % of Wins | 12.5% | 50.0% | — |
| Decision % of Wins | 25.0% | 12.5% | — |
| Avg Fight Time | 12:39 | 13:48 | — |
| Secondary Stats | |||
| Knockdowns/15min | 0.2 | 0.0 | — |
| Reversals/15min | 0.1 | 0.2 | — |
| Edges | 5 | 0 | 4 even |
| Statistic | Diego Lopes | Brian Ortega | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sig. Strike Accuracy | 42.3% | 36.0% | — |
| Sig. Strikes Landed/min | 3.3 | 3.2 | — |
| Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min | 4.8 | 6.5 | ◄ |
| Takedown Accuracy | 46.7% | 30.0% | ◄ |
| Takedown Defense | 80.0% | 50.0% | ◄ |
| Control Time/Fight | 1:18 | 1:46 | — |
| Edges | 3 | 0 | 3 even |
Striking Volume: Both fighters operate at a similar pace (4.0 vs 3.8 sig str/min). Accuracy and timing will decide the striking battle.
Striking Accuracy: Diego Lopes connects on 47.5% of significant strikes compared to 37.3%. The 10pp accuracy gap compounds over the rounds.
Grappling: Diego Lopes shoots at 50% accuracy but Brian Ortega stops 54% of attempts — the takedown path looks difficult. Brian Ortega shoots at 25% accuracy against Diego Lopes's 74% defense — Diego Lopes should keep it standing.
Finish Threat: Diego Lopes finishes 75% of wins (62% KO/TKO, 12% sub). Brian Ortega finishes 88% of wins (38% KO/TKO, 50% sub).