Diyar Nurgozhay vs Alik Lorenz
Age
29|29
Height
6'2"|6'2"
Reach
74"|77"
Stance
Southpaw|Orthodox
Alik Lorenz is making their UFC debut. Statistics shown are from DWCS data. UFC Record: 0-0-0
Career Statistics
| Statistic | Diyar Nurgozhay | Alik Lorenz | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Striking | |||
| Sig. Strike Accuracy | 63.1% | 33.3% | ◄ |
| Sig. Strikes Landed/min | 5.7 | 2.0 | ◄ |
| Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min | 2.8 | 32.0 | ◄ |
| Strike Differential | 2.8/min | -30.0/min | ◄ |
| Grappling | |||
| Takedown Accuracy | 75.0% | 0.0% | ◄ |
| Takedown Defense | — | — | — |
| Takedowns Landed/15min | 1.5 | 0.0 | ◄ |
| Submission Attempts/15min | 0.0 | 0.0 | — |
| Control Time/15min | 1:23 | 1:00 | — |
| Finishing Ability | |||
| KO/TKO % of Wins | 50.0% | 0.0% | — |
| Submission % of Wins | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
| Decision % of Wins | 50.0% | 0.0% | — |
| Avg Fight Time | 7:18 | 0:30 | — |
| Secondary Stats | |||
| Knockdowns/15min | 1.0 | 0.0 | — |
| Reversals/15min | 0.5 | 0.0 | — |
| Edges | 6 | 0 | 3 even |
Last 5 Fights (Averages)
| Statistic | Diyar Nurgozhay | Alik Lorenz | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sig. Strike Accuracy | 63.1% | 33.3% | ◄ |
| Sig. Strikes Landed/min | 5.7 | 2.0 | ◄ |
| Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min | 2.8 | 32.0 | ◄ |
| Takedown Accuracy | 75.0% | 0.0% | ◄ |
| Takedown Defense | — | — | — |
| Control Time/Fight | 0:40 | 0:02 | — |
| Edges | 4 | 0 | 2 even |
Last 3 Fights
Diyar Nurgozhay
WIN
vs. Bruno Lopes
UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld • Aug 2026Light Heavyweight
Diyar Nurgozhay48/7069%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:08KD 2
Bruno Lopes14/2556%TD 1/1Ctrl 0:03
WIN
vs. Rafael Tobias
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 • Mar 2026Light Heavyweight
Diyar Nurgozhay94/14366%TD 0/1Ctrl 1:28
Rafael Tobias39/10139%TD 2/8Ctrl 2:31
LOSS
vs. Uran Satybaldiev
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang • Aug 2025Light Heavyweight
Diyar Nurgozhay7/1164%TD 1/1Ctrl 0:18
Uran Satybaldiev2/922%TD 0/0Ctrl 1:10KD 1
Alik Lorenz
LOSS
vs. Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev
DWCS 9.3 • Aug 2025
Alik Lorenz1/333%TD 0/1Ctrl 0:02
Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev16/1889%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:07KD 1
Common Opponents
No Common Opponents
Analysis Summary
Striking Volume: Diyar Nurgozhay is the busier striker, landing 5.7 significant strikes per minute vs 2.0. Their opponent absorbs 32.0 strikes per minute on average — Diyar Nurgozhay's output should find a target.
Striking Accuracy: Diyar Nurgozhay connects on 63.1% of significant strikes compared to 33.3%. The 30pp accuracy gap compounds over the rounds.
Grappling: Diyar Nurgozhay shoots 1.5 TD/15min at 75% accuracy against Alik Lorenz's 0% defense — takedowns are a viable path.
Finish Threat: Diyar Nurgozhay finishes 50% of wins (50% KO/TKO, 0% sub).
Fight Length: Diyar Nurgozhay's fights average 7:18 vs 0:30 for Alik Lorenz. If this reaches the championship rounds, Diyar Nurgozhay's conditioning history becomes a factor.