Erik Silva vs Francis Marshall

Erik Silva

Pro 9-4-0  |  UFC 0-3-0
VS

Francis Marshall

Pro 10-3-0  |  UFC 4-3-0
Age
39|27
Height
5'9"|5'9"
Reach
71"|72"
Stance
Orthodox|Orthodox

Career Statistics

Statistic Erik Silva Francis Marshall Edge
Striking
Sig. Strike Accuracy66.7%29.3%
Sig. Strikes Landed/min1.52.3
Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min1.73.1
Strike Differential-0.1/min-0.8/min
Grappling
Takedown Accuracy75.0%41.7%
Takedown Defense60.0%88.9%
Takedowns Landed/15min2.72.0
Submission Attempts/15min0.00.6
Control Time/15min2:294:46
Finishing Ability
KO/TKO % of Wins0.0%25.0%
Submission % of Wins0.0%25.0%
Decision % of Wins0.0%50.0%
Avg Fight Time5:3810:30
Secondary Stats
Knockdowns/15min0.00.4
Reversals/15min0.90.0
Edges342 even

Fight Dynamics

Career Striking Volume
Erik Silva   Francis Marshall   League median
StatisticErik SilvaFrancis MarshallEdge
Fight Shape
Fight Completion Rate37.6%70.0%
Avg Fight Time5:3810:30
% Fights Inside the Distance100.0%42.9%
Strength of UFC Schedule
Opponent UFC Win % (all)45.5%33.3%
Opponent UFC Record (all)5-6 (45.5%)3-6 (33.3%)
Opponent Record (among wins)1-6 (14.3%)
Positional Profile
% Time at Distance (approx.)14.8%60.6%
% Time in Control16.6%31.9%
% Time Controlled68.6%7.5%
Control Rate of Clinch/Ground Time19.4%80.9%
Distance Striking
Distance Sig. Landed / Min7.203.43
Distance Sig. Absorbed / Min6.804.26
Distance Striking Differential / Min+0.40-0.83
Distance Strike Accuracy60.0%27.2%
Distance Strike Defense46.9%56.4%
Power & Pressure
KDs per 100 Power Strikes0.001.40
Knocked Down per 100 Absorbed0.000.00
TD Attempts per 5 Distance Min8.002.69
TDs Faced per 5 Distance Min20.001.01
Fade Index (R3 / R1 pace)1.96
UFC fights only. Metrics with insufficient data show "—" and award no edge. Methodology →

Last 5 Fights (Averages)

Statistic Erik Silva Francis Marshall Edge
Sig. Strike Accuracy66.7%35.8%
Sig. Strikes Landed/min1.52.6
Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min1.73.3
Takedown Accuracy75.0%43.8%
Takedown Defense60.0%88.9%
Control Time/Fight0:563:15
Edges330 even

Last 3 Fights

Erik Silva

LOSS
vs. Francis Marshall
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh • Feb 2026Featherweight
Submission (Rear Naked Choke) • Rd 1, 2:29
Erik Silva5/956%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
Francis Marshall3/560%TD 1/2Ctrl 1:42
▼ Rounds
LOSS
vs. Muhammad Naimov
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 • Feb 2024Featherweight
KO/TKO • Rd 1, 0:44
Erik Silva0/10%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:13
Muhammad Naimov1/250%TD 1/1Ctrl 0:11
▼ Rounds
LOSS
vs. TJ Brown
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev • Dec 2022Featherweight
Submission (Arm Triangle) • Rd 3, 3:41
Erik Silva21/2972%TD 3/4Ctrl 2:35
TJ Brown24/3863%TD 2/7Ctrl 9:43
▼ Rounds

Francis Marshall

WIN
vs. Lucas Brennan
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal • Apr 2026Lightweight
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00
Francis Marshall33/6948%TD 2/3Ctrl 6:36
Lucas Brennan9/3625%TD 0/6Ctrl 0:47
▼ Rounds
WIN
vs. Erik Silva
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh • Feb 2026Featherweight
Submission (Rear Naked Choke) • Rd 1, 2:29
Francis Marshall3/560%TD 1/2Ctrl 1:42
Erik Silva5/956%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
▼ Rounds
LOSS
vs. Mairon Santos
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev • Mar 2025Featherweight
Decision (Split) • Rd 3, 5:00
Francis Marshall39/14327%TD 3/5Ctrl 2:35
Mairon Santos58/12945%TD 0/1Ctrl 0:02
▼ Rounds

Common Opponents

No Common Opponents

Analysis Summary

Striking Volume: Francis Marshall is the busier striker, landing 2.3 significant strikes per minute vs 1.5. Their opponent absorbs 1.7 strikes per minute on average — Francis Marshall's output should find a target.

Striking Accuracy: Erik Silva connects on 66.7% of significant strikes compared to 29.3%. The 37pp accuracy gap compounds over the rounds.

Grappling: Erik Silva shoots at 75% accuracy but Francis Marshall stops 89% of attempts — the takedown path looks difficult. Francis Marshall shoots at 42% accuracy against Erik Silva's 60% defense — Erik Silva should keep it standing.

Control: Francis Marshall controls 3:20 per fight on average vs 0:56 — sustained control shifts rounds and drains cardio.

Finish Threat: Francis Marshall finishes 50% of wins (25% KO/TKO, 25% sub).

Fight Length: Francis Marshall's fights average 10:30 vs 5:38 for Erik Silva. If this reaches the championship rounds, Francis Marshall's conditioning history becomes a factor.

Last updated: 2026-08-13 | Data source: UFCStats.com