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Francis Marshall vs Dakota Hope

Francis Marshall

Pro 10-3-0  |  UFC 4-3-0
Featherweight
VS

Dakota Hope

Pro 11-2-0  |  UFC 0-1-0
Age
27|29
Height
5'9"|5'6"
Reach
72"|68"
Stance
Orthodox|—

Career Statistics

Statistic Francis Marshall Dakota Hope Edge
Striking
Sig. Strike Accuracy29.3%41.1%►
Sig. Strikes Landed/min2.37.1►
Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min3.17.0◄
Strike Differential-0.8/min0.1/min►
Grappling
Takedown Accuracy41.7%33.3%—
Takedown Defense88.9%100.0%►
Takedowns Landed/15min2.01.0◄
Submission Attempts/15min0.60.0◄
Control Time/15min4:461:18◄
Finishing Ability
KO/TKO % of Wins25.0%0.0%—
Submission % of Wins25.0%0.0%—
Decision % of Wins50.0%0.0%—
Avg Fight Time10:3015:00—
Secondary Stats
Knockdowns/15min0.41.0—
Reversals/15min0.00.0—
Edges441 even

Last 5 Fights (Averages)

Statistic Francis Marshall Dakota Hope Edge
Sig. Strike Accuracy35.8%41.1%—
Sig. Strikes Landed/min2.67.1►
Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min3.37.0◄
Takedown Accuracy43.8%33.3%—
Takedown Defense88.9%100.0%►
Control Time/Fight3:151:18◄
Edges222 even

Last 3 Fights

Francis Marshall

WIN
vs. Lucas Brennan
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal • Apr 2026Lightweight
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00
Francis Marshall33/6948%TD 2/3Ctrl 6:36
Lucas Brennan9/3625%TD 0/6Ctrl 0:47
▼ Rounds
WIN
vs. Erik Silva
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh • Feb 2026Featherweight
Submission (Rear Naked Choke) • Rd 1, 2:29
Francis Marshall3/560%TD 1/2Ctrl 1:42
Erik Silva5/956%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
▼ Rounds
LOSS
vs. Mairon Santos
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev • Mar 2025Featherweight
Decision (Split) • Rd 3, 5:00
Francis Marshall39/14327%TD 3/5Ctrl 2:35
Mairon Santos58/12945%TD 0/1Ctrl 0:02
▼ Rounds

Dakota Hope

LOSS
vs. Kai Kamaka
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan • Apr 2026Lightweight
Decision (Split) • Rd 3, 5:00
Dakota Hope106/25841%TD 1/3Ctrl 1:18KD 1
Kai Kamaka105/15966%TD 0/1Ctrl 0:23
▼ Rounds

Common Opponents

No Common Opponents

Analysis Summary

Striking Volume: Dakota Hope is the busier striker, landing 7.1 significant strikes per minute vs 2.3. Their opponent absorbs 3.1 strikes per minute on average — Dakota Hope's output should find a target.

Striking Accuracy: Dakota Hope connects on 41.1% of significant strikes compared to 29.3%. The 12pp accuracy gap compounds over the rounds.

Grappling: Francis Marshall shoots at 42% accuracy but Dakota Hope stops 100% of attempts — the takedown path looks difficult. Dakota Hope shoots at 33% accuracy against Francis Marshall's 89% defense — Francis Marshall should keep it standing.

Control: Francis Marshall controls 3:20 per fight on average vs 1:18 — sustained control shifts rounds and drains cardio.

Finish Threat: Francis Marshall finishes 50% of wins (25% KO/TKO, 25% sub).

Fight Length: Dakota Hope's fights average 15:00 vs 10:30 for Francis Marshall. If this reaches the championship rounds, Dakota Hope's conditioning history becomes a factor.

Data through UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott (Oct 17, 2026)
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