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Francis Marshall vs Gaston Bolanos

Francis Marshall

Pro 10-3-0  |  UFC 4-3-0
Featherweight
VS

Gaston Bolanos

Pro 9-5-0  |  UFC 3-2-0
Age
27|34
Height
5'9"|5'7"
Reach
72"|69"
Stance
Orthodox|Orthodox

Career Statistics

Statistic Francis Marshall Gaston Bolanos Edge
Striking
Sig. Strike Accuracy29.3%47.6%►
Sig. Strikes Landed/min2.33.9►
Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min3.13.5—
Strike Differential-0.8/min0.4/min►
Grappling
Takedown Accuracy41.7%75.0%►
Takedown Defense88.9%50.0%◄
Takedowns Landed/15min2.00.7◄
Submission Attempts/15min0.60.0◄
Control Time/15min4:461:37◄
Finishing Ability
KO/TKO % of Wins25.0%0.0%—
Submission % of Wins25.0%0.0%—
Decision % of Wins50.0%100.0%—
Avg Fight Time10:3012:04—
Secondary Stats
Knockdowns/15min0.40.0—
Reversals/15min0.00.5—
Edges441 even

Fight Dynamics

Career Striking Volume
Francis Marshall   Gaston Bolanos   League median
StatisticFrancis MarshallGaston BolanosEdge
Fight Shape
Fight Completion Rate70.0%80.5%—
Avg Fight Time10:3012:04—
% Fights Inside the Distance42.9%40.0%—
Strength of UFC Schedule
Opponent UFC Win % (all)33.3%30.0%—
Opponent UFC Record (all)3-6 (33.3%)3-7 (30.0%)—
Opponent Record (among wins)1-6 (14.3%)1-5 (16.7%)—
Positional Profile
% Time at Distance (approx.)60.6%54.6%—
% Time in Control31.9%10.8%◀
% Time Controlled7.5%34.6%◀
Control Rate of Clinch/Ground Time80.9%23.8%◀
Distance Striking
Distance Sig. Landed / Min3.435.79▶
Distance Sig. Absorbed / Min4.265.67◀
Distance Striking Differential / Min-0.83+0.12▶
Distance Strike Accuracy27.2%44.6%▶
Distance Strike Defense56.4%57.2%—
Power & Pressure
KDs per 100 Power Strikes1.400.00◀
Knocked Down per 100 Absorbed0.000.51◀
TD Attempts per 5 Distance Min2.690.61—
TDs Faced per 5 Distance Min1.013.64—
Fade Index (R3 / R1 pace)1.960.89—
UFC fights only. Metrics with insufficient data show "—" and award no edge. Methodology →

Last 5 Fights (Averages)

Statistic Francis Marshall Gaston Bolanos Edge
Sig. Strike Accuracy35.8%47.6%►
Sig. Strikes Landed/min2.63.9►
Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min3.33.5—
Takedown Accuracy43.8%75.0%►
Takedown Defense88.9%50.0%◄
Control Time/Fight3:151:18◄
Edges231 even

Last 3 Fights

Francis Marshall

WIN
vs. Lucas Brennan
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal • Apr 2026Lightweight
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00
Francis Marshall33/6948%TD 2/3Ctrl 6:36
Lucas Brennan9/3625%TD 0/6Ctrl 0:47
▼ Rounds
WIN
vs. Erik Silva
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh • Feb 2026Featherweight
Submission (Rear Naked Choke) • Rd 1, 2:29
Francis Marshall3/560%TD 1/2Ctrl 1:42
Erik Silva5/956%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
▼ Rounds
LOSS
vs. Mairon Santos
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev • Mar 2025Featherweight
Decision (Split) • Rd 3, 5:00
Francis Marshall39/14327%TD 3/5Ctrl 2:35
Mairon Santos58/12945%TD 0/1Ctrl 0:02
▼ Rounds

Gaston Bolanos

WIN
vs. Michael Aswell Jr.
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi • Jun 2026Featherweight
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00
Gaston Bolanos87/19345%TD 1/2Ctrl 0:22
Michael Aswell Jr.105/25242%TD 0/3Ctrl 1:06
▼ Rounds
LOSS
vs. Quang Le
Submission (Rear Naked Choke) • Rd 2, 1:54
Gaston Bolanos5/2025%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
Quang Le10/1471%TD 4/7Ctrl 5:46
▼ Rounds
WIN
vs. Cortavious Romious
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates • Nov 2024Bantamweight
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00
Gaston Bolanos53/7571%TD 2/2Ctrl 4:29
Cortavious Romious17/4538%TD 4/6Ctrl 6:13
▼ Rounds

Common Opponents

No Common Opponents

Analysis Summary

Striking Volume: Gaston Bolanos is the busier striker, landing 3.9 significant strikes per minute vs 2.3. Their opponent absorbs 3.1 strikes per minute on average — Gaston Bolanos's output should find a target.

Striking Accuracy: Gaston Bolanos connects on 47.6% of significant strikes compared to 29.3%. The 18pp accuracy gap compounds over the rounds.

Grappling: Francis Marshall shoots at 42% accuracy but Gaston Bolanos stops 50% of attempts — the takedown path looks difficult. Gaston Bolanos shoots at 75% accuracy against Francis Marshall's 89% defense — Francis Marshall should keep it standing.

Control: Francis Marshall controls 3:20 per fight on average vs 1:18 — sustained control shifts rounds and drains cardio.

Finish Threat: Francis Marshall finishes 50% of wins (25% KO/TKO, 25% sub).

Fight Length: Gaston Bolanos's fights average 12:04 vs 10:30 for Francis Marshall. If this reaches the championship rounds, Gaston Bolanos's conditioning history becomes a factor.

Last updated: 2026-10-01 | Data source: UFCStats.com