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Jacobe Smith vs Randy Brown

Jacobe Smith

Pro 13-0-0  |  UFC 4-0-0
Welterweight
VS

Randy Brown

Pro 20-8-0  |  UFC 14-8-0
Age
30|36
Height
5'10"|6'3"
Reach
72"|78"
Stance
Southpaw|Orthodox

Career Statistics

Statistic Jacobe Smith Randy Brown Edge
Striking
Sig. Strike Accuracy63.4%47.1%◄
Sig. Strikes Landed/min6.94.4◄
Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min3.53.4—
Strike Differential3.4/min1.0/min◄
Grappling
Takedown Accuracy83.3%34.4%◄
Takedown Defense100.0%74.6%◄
Takedowns Landed/15min5.10.7◄
Submission Attempts/15min1.00.5—
Control Time/15min6:482:23◄
Finishing Ability
KO/TKO % of Wins75.0%28.6%—
Submission % of Wins25.0%21.4%—
Decision % of Wins0.0%50.0%—
Avg Fight Time3:4210:30—
Secondary Stats
Knockdowns/15min1.00.4—
Reversals/15min0.00.3—
Edges702 even

Fight Dynamics

Career Striking Volume
Jacobe Smith   Randy Brown   League median
StatisticJacobe SmithRandy BrownEdge
Fight Shape
Fight Completion Rate24.7%68.0%—
Avg Fight Time3:4210:30—
% Fights Inside the Distance100.0%54.5%—
Strength of UFC Schedule
Opponent UFC Win % (all)47.6%67.0%▶
Opponent UFC Record (all)10-11 (47.6%)122-60 (67.0%)—
Opponent Record (among wins)10-11 (47.6%)77-40 (65.8%)—
Positional Profile
% Time at Distance (approx.)54.1%56.3%—
% Time in Control45.4%15.9%◀
% Time Controlled0.5%27.8%◀
Control Rate of Clinch/Ground Time99.0%36.4%◀
Distance Striking
Distance Sig. Landed / Min7.736.03◀
Distance Sig. Absorbed / Min5.364.58—
Distance Striking Differential / Min+2.37+1.45◀
Distance Strike Accuracy55.9%42.3%◀
Distance Strike Defense50.0%57.7%▶
Power & Pressure
KDs per 100 Power Strikes1.850.79◀
Knocked Down per 100 Absorbed0.001.64◀
TD Attempts per 5 Distance Min3.741.23—
TDs Faced per 5 Distance Min2.502.42—
Fade Index (R3 / R1 pace)—1.21—
UFC fights only. Metrics with insufficient data show "—" and award no edge. Methodology →

Last 5 Fights (Averages)

Statistic Jacobe Smith Randy Brown Edge
Sig. Strike Accuracy63.4%47.4%◄
Sig. Strikes Landed/min6.94.5◄
Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min3.53.4—
Takedown Accuracy83.3%22.2%◄
Takedown Defense100.0%75.0%◄
Control Time/Fight1:411:02—
Edges402 even

Last 3 Fights

Jacobe Smith

WIN
vs. Bruce Whitehead
UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang • Oct 2026Welterweight
KO/TKO (Punches) • Rd 1, 1:32
Jacobe Smith11/1765%TD 1/2Ctrl 0:29
Bruce Whitehead4/1331%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:03
▼ Rounds
WIN
vs. Josiah Harrell
KO/TKO (Punches) • Rd 1, 3:01
Jacobe Smith33/4770%TD 2/2Ctrl 0:21
Josiah Harrell7/1450%TD 0/2Ctrl 0:01
▼ Rounds
WIN
vs. Niko Price
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira • Jun 2025Welterweight
Submission (Rear Naked Choke) • Rd 2, 4:03
Jacobe Smith46/7462%TD 2/2Ctrl 5:41
Niko Price34/6156%TD 0/2Ctrl 0:00
▼ Rounds

Randy Brown

LOSS
vs. Kevin Holland
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg • Apr 2026Welterweight
Decision (Unanimous) • Rd 3, 5:00
Randy Brown46/9548%TD 0/4Ctrl 2:43
Kevin Holland56/9162%TD 0/3Ctrl 4:05
▼ Rounds
LOSS
vs. Gabriel Bonfim
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown • Nov 2025Welterweight
KO/TKO (Knee) • Rd 2, 1:40
Randy Brown33/8738%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
Gabriel Bonfim35/6455%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00KD 1
▼ Rounds
WIN
vs. Nicolas Dalby
KO/TKO (Punch) • Rd 2, 1:39
Randy Brown54/11447%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:03KD 1
Nicolas Dalby26/7435%TD 0/0Ctrl 1:22KD 1
▼ Rounds

Common Opponents

vs. Niko Price
Jacobe Smith
WIN
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira • Jun 2025Welterweight
Submission (Rear Naked Choke) • Rd 2, 4:03
Jacobe Smith46/7462%TD 2/2Ctrl 5:41
Niko Price34/6156%TD 0/2Ctrl 0:00
▼ Rounds
Randy Brown
LOSS
KO/TKO (Punch) • Rd 2, 1:09
Randy Brown13/3735%TD 1/2Ctrl 1:38
Niko Price12/3931%TD 1/2Ctrl 1:44
▼ Rounds

Analysis Summary

Striking Volume: Jacobe Smith is the busier striker, landing 6.9 significant strikes per minute vs 4.4. Their opponent absorbs 3.4 strikes per minute on average — Jacobe Smith's output should find a target.

Striking Accuracy: Jacobe Smith connects on 63.4% of significant strikes compared to 47.1%. The 16pp accuracy gap compounds over the rounds.

Grappling: Jacobe Smith shoots 5.1 TD/15min at 83% accuracy against Randy Brown's 75% defense — takedowns are a viable path. Randy Brown shoots at 34% accuracy against Jacobe Smith's 100% defense — Jacobe Smith should keep it standing.

Finish Threat: Jacobe Smith finishes 100% of wins (75% KO/TKO, 25% sub). Randy Brown finishes 50% of wins (29% KO/TKO, 21% sub).

Fight Length: Randy Brown's fights average 10:30 vs 3:42 for Jacobe Smith. If this reaches the championship rounds, Randy Brown's conditioning history becomes a factor.

Data through UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott (Oct 17, 2026)
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