Kyoji Horiguchi vs Asu Almabayev
Age
35|32
Height
5'4"|5'4"
Reach
63"|65"
Stance
Orthodox|Orthodox
Career Statistics
| Statistic | Kyoji Horiguchi | Asu Almabayev | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Striking | |||
| Sig. Strike Accuracy | 47.6% | 51.4% | — |
| Sig. Strikes Landed/min | 3.6 | 2.3 | ◄ |
| Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min | 2.1 | 1.9 | — |
| Strike Differential | 1.6/min | 0.3/min | ◄ |
| Grappling | |||
| Takedown Accuracy | 40.5% | 45.8% | — |
| Takedown Defense | 61.2% | 44.4% | ◄ |
| Takedowns Landed/15min | 1.7 | 4.7 | ► |
| Submission Attempts/15min | 0.1 | 1.4 | ► |
| Control Time/15min | 3:15 | 7:20 | ► |
| Finishing Ability | |||
| KO/TKO % of Wins | 22.2% | 0.0% | — |
| Submission % of Wins | 11.1% | 42.9% | — |
| Decision % of Wins | 66.7% | 57.1% | — |
| Avg Fight Time | 13:52 | 13:02 | — |
| Secondary Stats | |||
| Knockdowns/15min | 0.6 | 0.1 | — |
| Reversals/15min | 0.0 | 0.1 | — |
| Edges | 3 | 3 | 3 even |
Fight Dynamics
Career Striking Volume
Kyoji Horiguchi
Asu Almabayev
League median
| Statistic | Kyoji Horiguchi | Asu Almabayev | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fight Shape | |||
| Fight Completion Rate | 82.5% | 80.3% | — |
| Avg Fight Time | 13:52 | 13:02 | — |
| % Fights Inside the Distance | 45.5% | 50.0% | — |
| Strength of UFC Schedule | |||
| Opponent UFC Win % (all) | 65.0% | 60.0% | ◀ |
| Opponent UFC Record (all) | 39-21 (65.0%) | 36-24 (60.0%) | — |
| Opponent Record (among wins) | 23-17 (57.5%) | 31-21 (59.6%) | — |
| Positional Profile | |||
| % Time at Distance (approx.) | 60.5% | 46.0% | — |
| % Time in Control | 21.7% | 48.9% | ▶ |
| % Time Controlled | 17.8% | 5.1% | ▶ |
| Control Rate of Clinch/Ground Time | 54.9% | 90.5% | ▶ |
| Distance Striking | |||
| Distance Sig. Landed / Min | 4.22 | 3.21 | ◀ |
| Distance Sig. Absorbed / Min | 2.57 | 3.21 | — |
| Distance Striking Differential / Min | +1.65 | 0.00 | ◀ |
| Distance Strike Accuracy | 42.4% | 45.4% | — |
| Distance Strike Defense | 69.1% | 58.5% | ◀ |
| Power & Pressure | |||
| KDs per 100 Power Strikes | 1.45 | 0.79 | ◀ |
| Knocked Down per 100 Absorbed | 0.43 | 0.00 | ▶ |
| TD Attempts per 5 Distance Min | 2.28 | 7.50 | — |
| TDs Faced per 5 Distance Min | 2.65 | 0.94 | — |
| Fade Index (R3 / R1 pace) | 1.41 | 0.85 | — |
UFC fights only. Metrics with insufficient data show "—" and award no edge.
Methodology →
Last 5 Fights (Averages)
| Statistic | Kyoji Horiguchi | Asu Almabayev | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sig. Strike Accuracy | 54.9% | 46.7% | ◄ |
| Sig. Strikes Landed/min | 3.9 | 2.2 | ◄ |
| Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min | 1.7 | 2.5 | ◄ |
| Takedown Accuracy | 48.0% | 38.1% | — |
| Takedown Defense | 85.0% | 50.0% | ◄ |
| Control Time/Fight | 4:11 | 4:56 | — |
| Edges | 4 | 0 | 2 even |
Last 3 Fights
Kyoji Horiguchi
LOSS
vs. Manel Kape
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi • Jun 2026Flyweight
Kyoji Horiguchi27/5351%TD 2/5Ctrl 4:00
Manel Kape19/5634%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:10KD 1
WIN
vs. Amir Albazi
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira • Feb 2026Flyweight
Kyoji Horiguchi73/13654%TD 0/2Ctrl 1:02
Amir Albazi16/6724%TD 0/7Ctrl 3:50
WIN
vs. Tagir Ulanbekov
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker • Nov 2025Flyweight
Kyoji Horiguchi49/7764%TD 0/1Ctrl 5:34KD 2
Tagir Ulanbekov6/2722%TD 1/2Ctrl 1:25
Asu Almabayev
WIN
vs. Charles Johnson
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres • Jun 2026Flyweight
Asu Almabayev28/5155%TD 6/9Ctrl 8:48
Charles Johnson21/4547%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
WIN
vs. Alex Perez
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker • Nov 2025Flyweight
Asu Almabayev36/9040%TD 2/5Ctrl 1:12
Alex Perez40/9841%TD 3/5Ctrl 2:18
WIN
vs. Jose Ochoa
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder • Jul 2025Flyweight
Asu Almabayev22/4252%TD 7/16Ctrl 9:26
Jose Ochoa26/4558%TD 1/1Ctrl 0:56
Common Opponents
vs. Manel Kape
Kyoji Horiguchi
LOSS
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi • Jun 2026Flyweight
Kyoji Horiguchi27/5351%TD 2/5Ctrl 4:00
Manel Kape19/5634%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:10KD 1
Asu Almabayev
LOSS
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev • Mar 2025Flyweight
Asu Almabayev40/8050%TD 0/6Ctrl 0:00
Manel Kape61/11553%TD 0/1Ctrl 0:29
Analysis Summary
Striking Volume: Kyoji Horiguchi is the busier striker, landing 3.6 significant strikes per minute vs 2.3. Their opponent absorbs 1.9 strikes per minute on average — Kyoji Horiguchi's output should find a target.
Grappling: Kyoji Horiguchi shoots at 40% accuracy but Asu Almabayev stops 44% of attempts — the takedown path looks difficult. Asu Almabayev shoots at 46% accuracy against Kyoji Horiguchi's 61% defense — Kyoji Horiguchi should keep it standing.
Control: Asu Almabayev controls 6:22 per fight on average vs 3:00 — sustained control shifts rounds and drains cardio.
Finish Threat: Both fighters trend toward decisions — Kyoji Horiguchi (67% of wins) and Asu Almabayev (57%).