Matt Schnell vs Alessandro Costa
Age
36|30
Height
5'8"|5'4"
Reach
70"|67"
Stance
Orthodox|Orthodox
Career Statistics
| Statistic | Matt Schnell | Alessandro Costa | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Striking | |||
| Sig. Strike Accuracy | 40.3% | 49.3% | ► |
| Sig. Strikes Landed/min | 4.1 | 3.9 | — |
| Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min | 4.2 | 3.8 | — |
| Strike Differential | -0.1/min | 0.1/min | — |
| Grappling | |||
| Takedown Accuracy | 45.5% | 26.7% | ◄ |
| Takedown Defense | 43.5% | 85.2% | ► |
| Takedowns Landed/15min | 0.6 | 0.9 | — |
| Submission Attempts/15min | 1.2 | 0.9 | — |
| Control Time/15min | 1:00 | 1:24 | — |
| Finishing Ability | |||
| KO/TKO % of Wins | 0.0% | 80.0% | — |
| Submission % of Wins | 42.9% | 20.0% | — |
| Decision % of Wins | 57.1% | 0.0% | — |
| Avg Fight Time | 7:27 | 8:47 | — |
| Secondary Stats | |||
| Knockdowns/15min | 0.1 | 0.9 | — |
| Reversals/15min | 0.4 | 0.0 | — |
| Edges | 1 | 2 | 6 even |
Fight Dynamics
Career Striking Volume
Matt Schnell
Alessandro Costa
League median
| Statistic | Matt Schnell | Alessandro Costa | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fight Shape | |||
| Fight Completion Rate | 49.7% | 58.6% | — |
| Avg Fight Time | 7:27 | 8:47 | — |
| % Fights Inside the Distance | 70.6% | 87.5% | — |
| Strength of UFC Schedule | |||
| Opponent UFC Win % (all) | 61.2% | 48.7% | ◀ |
| Opponent UFC Record (all) | 49-31 (61.2%) | 19-20 (48.7%) | — |
| Opponent Record (among wins) | 18-13 (58.1%) | 15-20 (42.9%) | — |
| Positional Profile | |||
| % Time at Distance (approx.) | 75.7% | 67.6% | — |
| % Time in Control | 6.7% | 9.4% | — |
| % Time Controlled | 17.6% | 23.1% | — |
| Control Rate of Clinch/Ground Time | 27.6% | 28.9% | — |
| Distance Striking | |||
| Distance Sig. Landed / Min | 4.44 | 4.39 | — |
| Distance Sig. Absorbed / Min | 4.15 | 4.39 | — |
| Distance Striking Differential / Min | +0.29 | 0.00 | — |
| Distance Strike Accuracy | 37.0% | 44.1% | ▶ |
| Distance Strike Defense | 60.5% | 59.1% | — |
| Power & Pressure | |||
| KDs per 100 Power Strikes | 0.26 | 2.27 | ▶ |
| Knocked Down per 100 Absorbed | 1.93 | 1.01 | ▶ |
| TD Attempts per 5 Distance Min | 0.57 | 1.58 | — |
| TDs Faced per 5 Distance Min | 1.20 | 2.84 | — |
| Fade Index (R3 / R1 pace) | 0.99 | 0.58 | — |
UFC fights only. Metrics with insufficient data show "—" and award no edge.
Methodology →
Last 5 Fights (Averages)
| Statistic | Matt Schnell | Alessandro Costa | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sig. Strike Accuracy | 42.9% | 46.5% | — |
| Sig. Strikes Landed/min | 3.5 | 3.8 | — |
| Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min | 3.3 | 3.9 | — |
| Takedown Accuracy | 50.0% | 33.3% | ◄ |
| Takedown Defense | 37.5% | 81.8% | ► |
| Control Time/Fight | 0:49 | 0:54 | — |
| Edges | 1 | 1 | 4 even |
Last 3 Fights
Matt Schnell
LOSS
vs. Alessandro Costa
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim • Jun 2026Catch Weight
Matt Schnell8/2138%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
Alessandro Costa19/2383%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:05KD 1
LOSS
vs. Joseph Morales
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown • Nov 2025Flyweight
Matt Schnell4/1136%TD 1/1Ctrl 0:15
Joseph Morales5/1145%TD 0/0Ctrl 1:12
WIN
vs. Jimmy Flick
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates • Apr 2025Flyweight
Matt Schnell35/6157%TD 0/0Ctrl 3:53
Jimmy Flick12/2060%TD 5/7Ctrl 8:28
Alessandro Costa
WIN
vs. Cody Durden
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 • Jul 2026Flyweight
Alessandro Costa21/4943%TD 0/0Ctrl 1:01
Cody Durden28/7338%TD 0/2Ctrl 0:12
WIN
vs. Matt Schnell
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim • Jun 2026Catch Weight
Alessandro Costa19/2383%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:05KD 1
Matt Schnell8/2138%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
WIN
vs. Stewart Nicoll
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan • Apr 2026Flyweight
Alessandro Costa43/8948%TD 2/3Ctrl 1:18KD 1
Stewart Nicoll47/9947%TD 0/5Ctrl 0:06
Common Opponents
vs. Cody Durden
Matt Schnell
LOSS
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady • Sep 2024Bantamweight
Matt Schnell40/8348%TD 0/1Ctrl 0:00
Cody Durden34/7844%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:10
Alessandro Costa
WIN
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 • Jul 2026Flyweight
Alessandro Costa21/4943%TD 0/0Ctrl 1:01
Cody Durden28/7338%TD 0/2Ctrl 0:12
vs. Jimmy Flick
Matt Schnell
WIN
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates • Apr 2025Flyweight
Matt Schnell35/6157%TD 0/0Ctrl 3:53
Jimmy Flick12/2060%TD 5/7Ctrl 8:28
Alessandro Costa
WIN
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier • Jun 2023Flyweight
Alessandro Costa65/9171%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:50KD 1
Jimmy Flick14/3738%TD 0/4Ctrl 0:14
vs. Steve Erceg
Matt Schnell
LOSS
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev • Mar 2024Flyweight
Matt Schnell22/7828%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
Steve Erceg34/7247%TD 0/1Ctrl 0:05KD 1
Alessandro Costa
LOSS
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira • Nov 2023Flyweight
Alessandro Costa54/9756%TD 1/6Ctrl 1:14
Steve Erceg74/12559%TD 1/8Ctrl 6:29
Analysis Summary
Striking Volume: Both fighters operate at a similar pace (4.1 vs 3.9 sig str/min). Accuracy and timing will decide the striking battle.
Striking Accuracy: Alessandro Costa connects on 49.3% of significant strikes compared to 40.3%. The 9pp accuracy gap compounds over the rounds.
Grappling: Matt Schnell shoots at 45% accuracy but Alessandro Costa stops 85% of attempts — the takedown path looks difficult. Alessandro Costa shoots at 27% accuracy against Matt Schnell's 44% defense — Matt Schnell should keep it standing.
Finish Threat: Alessandro Costa finishes 100% of wins (80% KO/TKO, 20% sub).