| Statistic | Matt Schnell | Alessandro Costa | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Striking | |||
| Sig. Strike Accuracy | 40.3% | 48.4% | ► |
| Sig. Strikes Landed/min | 4.1 | 3.9 | — |
| Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min | 4.0 | 3.8 | — |
| Strike Differential | 0.1/min | 0.1/min | — |
| Grappling | |||
| Takedown Accuracy | 45.5% | 26.7% | ◄ |
| Takedown Defense | 45.5% | 84.0% | ► |
| Takedowns Landed/15min | 0.6 | 1.0 | — |
| Submission Attempts/15min | 1.2 | 0.5 | ◄ |
| Control Time/15min | 1:03 | 1:21 | — |
| Finishing Ability | |||
| KO/TKO % of Wins | 0.0% | 100.0% | — |
| Submission % of Wins | 42.9% | 0.0% | — |
| Decision % of Wins | 57.1% | 0.0% | — |
| Avg Fight Time | 8:02 | 10:05 | — |
| Secondary Stats | |||
| Knockdowns/15min | 0.0 | 0.0 | — |
| Reversals/15min | 0.4 | 0.0 | — |
| Edges | 2 | 2 | 5 even |
| Statistic | Matt Schnell | Alessandro Costa | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sig. Strike Accuracy | 41.4% | 52.5% | ► |
| Sig. Strikes Landed/min | 3.4 | 4.6 | ► |
| Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min | 3.3 | 4.0 | — |
| Takedown Accuracy | 50.0% | 26.7% | ◄ |
| Takedown Defense | 33.3% | 85.7% | ► |
| Control Time/Fight | 0:49 | 1:05 | — |
| Edges | 1 | 3 | 2 even |
Striking Volume: Both fighters operate at a similar pace (4.1 vs 3.9 sig str/min). Accuracy and timing will decide the striking battle.
Striking Accuracy: Alessandro Costa connects on 48.4% of significant strikes compared to 40.3%. The 8pp accuracy gap compounds over the rounds.
Grappling: Matt Schnell shoots at 45% accuracy but Alessandro Costa stops 84% of attempts — the takedown path looks difficult. Alessandro Costa shoots at 27% accuracy against Matt Schnell's 46% defense — Matt Schnell should keep it standing.
Finish Threat: Alessandro Costa finishes 100% of wins (100% KO/TKO, 0% sub).
Fight Length: Alessandro Costa's fights average 10:05 vs 8:02 for Matt Schnell. If this reaches the championship rounds, Alessandro Costa's conditioning history becomes a factor.