Nasrat Haqparast vs Chris Padilla
Age
31|31
Height
5'10"|5'9"
Reach
72"|74"
Stance
Southpaw|Orthodox
Career Statistics
| Statistic | Nasrat Haqparast | Chris Padilla | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Striking | |||
| Sig. Strike Accuracy | 45.4% | 54.4% | ► |
| Sig. Strikes Landed/min | 6.2 | 6.7 | — |
| Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min | 6.2 | 4.8 | ► |
| Strike Differential | 0.1/min | 1.8/min | ► |
| Grappling | |||
| Takedown Accuracy | 18.2% | 29.4% | — |
| Takedown Defense | 84.9% | 83.3% | — |
| Takedowns Landed/15min | 0.3 | 1.1 | — |
| Submission Attempts/15min | 0.0 | 0.4 | — |
| Control Time/15min | 0:32 | 2:28 | ► |
| Finishing Ability | |||
| KO/TKO % of Wins | 20.0% | 40.0% | — |
| Submission % of Wins | 0.0% | 40.0% | — |
| Decision % of Wins | 80.0% | 20.0% | — |
| Avg Fight Time | 11:56 | 11:22 | — |
| Secondary Stats | |||
| Knockdowns/15min | 0.5 | 0.2 | — |
| Reversals/15min | 0.0 | 0.0 | — |
| Edges | 0 | 4 | 5 even |
Fight Dynamics
Career Striking Volume
Nasrat Haqparast
Chris Padilla
League median
| Statistic | Nasrat Haqparast | Chris Padilla | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fight Shape | |||
| Fight Completion Rate | 79.6% | 75.9% | — |
| Avg Fight Time | 11:56 | 11:22 | — |
| % Fights Inside the Distance | 31.2% | 66.7% | — |
| Strength of UFC Schedule | |||
| Opponent UFC Win % (all) | 59.8% | 59.4% | — |
| Opponent UFC Record (all) | 67-45 (59.8%) | 19-13 (59.4%) | — |
| Opponent Record (among wins) | 35-24 (59.3%) | 16-13 (55.2%) | — |
| Positional Profile | |||
| % Time at Distance (approx.) | 85.9% | 82.4% | — |
| % Time in Control | 3.6% | 16.5% | ▶ |
| % Time Controlled | 10.5% | 1.1% | ▶ |
| Control Rate of Clinch/Ground Time | 25.6% | 93.9% | ▶ |
| Distance Striking | |||
| Distance Sig. Landed / Min | 6.47 | 6.75 | — |
| Distance Sig. Absorbed / Min | 6.68 | 5.15 | ▶ |
| Distance Striking Differential / Min | -0.21 | +1.60 | ▶ |
| Distance Strike Accuracy | 43.8% | 51.2% | ▶ |
| Distance Strike Defense | 63.4% | 54.2% | ◀ |
| Power & Pressure | |||
| KDs per 100 Power Strikes | 0.64 | 0.36 | ◀ |
| Knocked Down per 100 Absorbed | 0.31 | 0.00 | ▶ |
| TD Attempts per 5 Distance Min | 0.67 | 1.51 | — |
| TDs Faced per 5 Distance Min | 1.62 | 1.07 | — |
| Fade Index (R3 / R1 pace) | 1.76 | 1.59 | — |
UFC fights only. Metrics with insufficient data show "—" and award no edge.
Methodology →
Last 5 Fights (Averages)
| Statistic | Nasrat Haqparast | Chris Padilla | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sig. Strike Accuracy | 47.3% | 54.7% | — |
| Sig. Strikes Landed/min | 7.7 | 7.0 | — |
| Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min | 8.8 | 4.9 | ► |
| Takedown Accuracy | 14.3% | 14.3% | — |
| Takedown Defense | 95.0% | 83.3% | ◄ |
| Control Time/Fight | 0:11 | 1:59 | ► |
| Edges | 1 | 2 | 3 even |
Last 3 Fights
Nasrat Haqparast
LOSS
vs. Chris Padilla
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues • Aug 2026Lightweight
Nasrat Haqparast71/16842%TD 0/2Ctrl 0:00
Chris Padilla125/22755%TD 1/3Ctrl 0:45KD 1
LOSS
vs. Quillian Salkild
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane • Oct 2025Lightweight
Nasrat Haqparast10/1377%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
Quillian Salkild14/3639%TD 0/4Ctrl 0:00KD 1
WIN
vs. Esteban Ribovics
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev • Mar 2025Lightweight
Nasrat Haqparast135/27349%TD 1/5Ctrl 0:49
Esteban Ribovics147/43334%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
Chris Padilla
WIN
vs. Nasrat Haqparast
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues • Aug 2026Lightweight
Chris Padilla125/22755%TD 1/3Ctrl 0:45KD 1
Nasrat Haqparast71/16842%TD 0/2Ctrl 0:00
D
vs. MarQuel Mederos
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg • Apr 2026Lightweight
Chris Padilla147/27154%TD 1/4Ctrl 2:09
MarQuel Mederos112/18062%TD 1/6Ctrl 0:16
WIN
vs. Ismael Bonfim
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown • Nov 2025Lightweight
Chris Padilla64/10959%TD 0/0Ctrl 3:21
Ismael Bonfim42/8450%TD 1/3Ctrl 0:15
Common Opponents
No Common Opponents
Analysis Summary
Striking Volume: Both fighters operate at a similar pace (6.2 vs 6.7 sig str/min). Accuracy and timing will decide the striking battle.
Striking Accuracy: Chris Padilla connects on 54.4% of significant strikes compared to 45.4%. The 9pp accuracy gap compounds over the rounds.
Grappling: Chris Padilla shoots at 29% accuracy against Nasrat Haqparast's 85% defense — Nasrat Haqparast should keep it standing.
Finish Threat: Chris Padilla finishes 80% of wins (40% KO/TKO, 40% sub).