Renato Moicano vs Tom Nolan
Age
37|26
Height
5'11"|6'3"
Reach
72"|73"
Stance
Orthodox|Southpaw
Career Statistics
| Statistic | Renato Moicano | Tom Nolan | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Striking | |||
| Sig. Strike Accuracy | 49.4% | 49.5% | — |
| Sig. Strikes Landed/min | 3.9 | 4.9 | ► |
| Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min | 3.7 | 3.3 | — |
| Strike Differential | 0.2/min | 1.7/min | ► |
| Grappling | |||
| Takedown Accuracy | 42.1% | 31.2% | — |
| Takedown Defense | 62.8% | 52.9% | — |
| Takedowns Landed/15min | 1.8 | 1.1 | — |
| Submission Attempts/15min | 0.6 | 1.1 | ► |
| Control Time/15min | 3:38 | 2:30 | ◄ |
| Finishing Ability | |||
| KO/TKO % of Wins | 15.4% | 33.3% | — |
| Submission % of Wins | 53.8% | 16.7% | — |
| Decision % of Wins | 30.8% | 50.0% | — |
| Avg Fight Time | 9:30 | 9:21 | — |
| Secondary Stats | |||
| Knockdowns/15min | 0.2 | 0.2 | — |
| Reversals/15min | 0.1 | 0.5 | — |
| Edges | 1 | 3 | 5 even |
Fight Dynamics
Career Striking Volume
Renato Moicano
Tom Nolan
League median
| Statistic | Renato Moicano | Tom Nolan | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fight Shape | |||
| Fight Completion Rate | 53.2% | 56.9% | — |
| Avg Fight Time | 9:30 | 9:21 | — |
| % Fights Inside the Distance | 71.4% | 57.1% | — |
| Strength of UFC Schedule | |||
| Opponent UFC Win % (all) | 67.9% | 61.4% | ◀ |
| Opponent UFC Record (all) | 144-68 (67.9%) | 27-17 (61.4%) | — |
| Opponent Record (among wins) | 71-43 (62.3%) | 26-15 (63.4%) | — |
| Positional Profile | |||
| % Time at Distance (approx.) | 62.7% | 51.1% | — |
| % Time in Control | 24.3% | 16.7% | — |
| % Time Controlled | 13.0% | 32.2% | ◀ |
| Control Rate of Clinch/Ground Time | 65.2% | 34.1% | ◀ |
| Distance Striking | |||
| Distance Sig. Landed / Min | 5.15 | 6.73 | ▶ |
| Distance Sig. Absorbed / Min | 4.67 | 5.14 | — |
| Distance Striking Differential / Min | +0.49 | +1.58 | ▶ |
| Distance Strike Accuracy | 46.4% | 43.9% | — |
| Distance Strike Defense | 62.2% | 49.3% | ◀ |
| Power & Pressure | |||
| KDs per 100 Power Strikes | 0.37 | 0.45 | — |
| Knocked Down per 100 Absorbed | 1.03 | 1.43 | ◀ |
| TD Attempts per 5 Distance Min | 2.28 | 2.39 | — |
| TDs Faced per 5 Distance Min | 1.72 | 2.54 | — |
| Fade Index (R3 / R1 pace) | 1.41 | 1.16 | — |
UFC fights only. Metrics with insufficient data show "—" and award no edge.
Methodology →
Last 5 Fights (Averages)
| Statistic | Renato Moicano | Tom Nolan | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sig. Strike Accuracy | 57.7% | 48.9% | ◄ |
| Sig. Strikes Landed/min | 2.5 | 4.6 | ► |
| Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min | 3.8 | 2.9 | ► |
| Takedown Accuracy | 33.3% | 31.2% | — |
| Takedown Defense | 30.0% | 50.0% | ► |
| Control Time/Fight | 3:21 | 2:10 | — |
| Edges | 1 | 3 | 2 even |
Last 3 Fights
Renato Moicano
LOSS
vs. Tom Nolan
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan • Oct 2026Lightweight
Renato Moicano9/1275%TD 3/5Ctrl 7:17
Tom Nolan69/9275%TD 1/1Ctrl 1:10KD 1
WIN
vs. Chris Duncan
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan • Apr 2026Lightweight
Renato Moicano21/3658%TD 1/4Ctrl 3:16
Chris Duncan27/6244%TD 0/2Ctrl 0:01
LOSS
vs. Beneil Dariush
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira • Jun 2025Lightweight
Renato Moicano31/6151%TD 0/3Ctrl 1:20KD 1
Beneil Dariush56/10752%TD 5/5Ctrl 5:53
Tom Nolan
WIN
vs. Renato Moicano
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan • Oct 2026Lightweight
Tom Nolan69/9275%TD 1/1Ctrl 1:10KD 1
Renato Moicano9/1275%TD 3/5Ctrl 7:17
WIN
vs. Fares Ziam
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim • Jun 2026Lightweight
Tom Nolan31/6647%TD 2/6Ctrl 6:47
Fares Ziam16/3250%TD 3/5Ctrl 5:07
WIN
vs. Charlie Campbell
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes • Sep 2025Lightweight
Tom Nolan26/6143%TD 1/1Ctrl 0:34
Charlie Campbell15/4236%TD 0/1Ctrl 0:18
Common Opponents
No Common Opponents
Analysis Summary
Striking Volume: Tom Nolan is the busier striker, landing 4.9 significant strikes per minute vs 3.9. Their opponent absorbs 3.7 strikes per minute on average — Tom Nolan's output should find a target.
Grappling: Renato Moicano shoots at 42% accuracy but Tom Nolan stops 53% of attempts — the takedown path looks difficult. Tom Nolan shoots at 31% accuracy against Renato Moicano's 63% defense — Renato Moicano should keep it standing.
Finish Threat: Renato Moicano finishes 69% of wins (15% KO/TKO, 54% sub).