Renato Moicano vs Chris Duncan
Age
37|33
Height
5'11"|5'10"
Reach
72"|71"
Stance
Orthodox|Orthodox
Career Statistics
| Statistic | Renato Moicano | Chris Duncan | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Striking | |||
| Sig. Strike Accuracy | 49.2% | 46.2% | — |
| Sig. Strikes Landed/min | 4.1 | 4.6 | — |
| Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min | 3.6 | 4.2 | — |
| Strike Differential | 0.5/min | 0.4/min | — |
| Grappling | |||
| Takedown Accuracy | 40.4% | 40.6% | — |
| Takedown Defense | 64.3% | 55.6% | — |
| Takedowns Landed/15min | 1.7 | 2.8 | ► |
| Submission Attempts/15min | 0.6 | 0.6 | — |
| Control Time/15min | 3:17 | 3:16 | — |
| Finishing Ability | |||
| KO/TKO % of Wins | 15.4% | 0.0% | — |
| Submission % of Wins | 53.8% | 50.0% | — |
| Decision % of Wins | 30.8% | 50.0% | — |
| Avg Fight Time | 9:24 | 8:43 | — |
| Secondary Stats | |||
| Knockdowns/15min | 0.2 | 0.4 | — |
| Reversals/15min | 0.1 | 0.0 | — |
| Edges | 0 | 1 | 8 even |
Fight Dynamics
Career Striking Volume
Renato Moicano
Chris Duncan
League median
| Statistic | Renato Moicano | Chris Duncan | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fight Shape | |||
| Fight Completion Rate | 53.7% | 53.7% | — |
| Avg Fight Time | 9:24 | 8:43 | — |
| % Fights Inside the Distance | 70.0% | 62.5% | — |
| Strength of UFC Schedule | |||
| Opponent UFC Win % (all) | 67.5% | 65.2% | — |
| Opponent UFC Record (all) | 139-67 (67.5%) | 30-16 (65.2%) | — |
| Opponent Record (among wins) | 71-43 (62.3%) | 16-9 (64.0%) | — |
| Positional Profile | |||
| % Time at Distance (approx.) | 65.0% | 68.5% | — |
| % Time in Control | 21.9% | 21.8% | — |
| % Time Controlled | 13.1% | 9.7% | — |
| Control Rate of Clinch/Ground Time | 62.5% | 69.2% | — |
| Distance Striking | |||
| Distance Sig. Landed / Min | 5.21 | 5.53 | — |
| Distance Sig. Absorbed / Min | 4.55 | 5.36 | ◀ |
| Distance Striking Differential / Min | +0.66 | +0.17 | — |
| Distance Strike Accuracy | 46.1% | 42.3% | — |
| Distance Strike Defense | 63.0% | 54.9% | ◀ |
| Power & Pressure | |||
| KDs per 100 Power Strikes | 0.38 | 0.86 | ▶ |
| Knocked Down per 100 Absorbed | 0.88 | 0.00 | ▶ |
| TD Attempts per 5 Distance Min | 2.13 | 3.35 | — |
| TDs Faced per 5 Distance Min | 1.72 | 1.88 | — |
| Fade Index (R3 / R1 pace) | 1.37 | 1.65 | — |
UFC fights only. Metrics with insufficient data show "—" and award no edge.
Methodology →
Last 5 Fights (Averages)
| Statistic | Renato Moicano | Chris Duncan | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sig. Strike Accuracy | 55.9% | 45.0% | ◄ |
| Sig. Strikes Landed/min | 3.2 | 4.8 | ► |
| Sig. Strikes Absorbed/min | 2.8 | 5.5 | ◄ |
| Takedown Accuracy | 25.0% | 45.5% | ► |
| Takedown Defense | 33.3% | 60.0% | ► |
| Control Time/Fight | 3:03 | 1:27 | ◄ |
| Edges | 3 | 3 | 0 even |
Last 3 Fights
Renato Moicano
WIN
vs. Chris Duncan
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan • Apr 2026Lightweight
Renato Moicano21/3658%TD 1/4Ctrl 3:16
Chris Duncan27/6244%TD 0/2Ctrl 0:01
LOSS
vs. Beneil Dariush
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira • Jun 2025Lightweight
Renato Moicano31/6151%TD 0/3Ctrl 1:20KD 1
Beneil Dariush56/10752%TD 5/5Ctrl 5:53
LOSS
vs. Islam Makhachev
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano • Jan 2025LightweightTITLE
Renato Moicano9/2733%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
Islam Makhachev6/1932%TD 1/2Ctrl 1:27
Chris Duncan
LOSS
vs. Renato Moicano
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan • Apr 2026Lightweight
Chris Duncan27/6244%TD 0/2Ctrl 0:01
Renato Moicano21/3658%TD 1/4Ctrl 3:16
WIN
vs. Terrance McKinney
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 • Dec 2025Lightweight
Chris Duncan38/5569%TD 1/2Ctrl 1:10KD 1
Terrance McKinney31/5754%TD 0/0Ctrl 0:00
WIN
vs. Mateusz Rebecki
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park • Aug 2025Lightweight
Chris Duncan92/22241%TD 0/1Ctrl 0:27
Mateusz Rebecki114/26743%TD 2/6Ctrl 1:23
Common Opponents
No Common Opponents
Analysis Summary
Striking Volume: Both fighters operate at a similar pace (4.1 vs 4.6 sig str/min). Accuracy and timing will decide the striking battle.
Grappling: Renato Moicano shoots at 40% accuracy but Chris Duncan stops 56% of attempts — the takedown path looks difficult. Chris Duncan shoots at 41% accuracy against Renato Moicano's 64% defense — Renato Moicano should keep it standing.
Finish Threat: Renato Moicano finishes 69% of wins (15% KO/TKO, 54% sub). Chris Duncan finishes 50% of wins (0% KO/TKO, 50% sub).